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OpenAI

What people who work or worked at OpenAI have said about how fast AI is moving, how to release it, who should control it, and building with it.

16 people · 438 claims

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What their claims argue, grouped. The labels are ours; every quote is one person's own words, not the company's position.

AI is moving faster than expected, though the takeoff looks gradual rather than overnight 10 claims

The next six months of model progress will feel like the last two years of it.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI I think it will feel like the next six months is like maybe equivalent to the last two years of model progress something like that Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com · 28 Jul 2026 · 30:51 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I think it will feel like the next six months is like maybe equivalent to the last two years of model progress something like that

    Watch from 30:51 plays here

    ↗Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com

    28 Jul 2026 · video · 39m · spoken · machine transcript

AI capabilities are advancing faster than almost anyone anticipated

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher AI is developing at a very rapid pace, far more rapidly than most outside of the industry fully understand, and far more rapidly than almost anyone in the industry predicted. My speech at Borgo Laudato Si’milesbrundage.substack.com · 16 Jul 2026All korrents from this piece
    AI is developing at a very rapid pace, far more rapidly than most outside of the industry fully understand, and far more rapidly than almost anyone in the industry predicted.

AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard.

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher GPT-2, R1, and nearly every other AI model released since 2018 have all been part of a consistent story: AI capabilities that rival and ultimately exceed human intelligence are easier and cheaper to build than almost anyone can intuitively grasp, and this gets easier and cheaper every month. The Real Lesson of DeepSeek's R1milesbrundage.substack.com · 2 Feb 2025All korrents from this piece
    GPT-2, R1, and nearly every other AI model released since 2018 have all been part of a consistent story: AI capabilities that rival and ultimately exceed human intelligence are easier and cheaper to build than almost anyone can intuitively grasp, and this gets easier and cheaper every month.

The current speed of AI progress could be sustained all the way into recursive self-improvement.

  1. Jakub Pachocki Chief Scientist at OpenAI Based on internal results, I have a strong expectation that this speed of progress could be sustained into recursive self-improvement. An Alien Mindopenai.com · 6 Sept 2026
    Based on internal results, I have a strong expectation that this speed of progress could be sustained into recursive self-improvement.

Short timelines with a slow takeoff is the safest of the four ways AGI could arrive, and the quadrant we should be trying to land in.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI And I’ve said for a long time that you think of a quadrant of slow timelines for the start of AGI, long timelines, and then a short takeoff or a fast takeoff. I think short timeline, slow takeoff is the safest quadrant and the one I’d most like us to be in. But I do want to make sure we get that slow takeoff. Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com · 18 Mar 2024 · 1:15:25 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    And I’ve said for a long time that you think of a quadrant of slow timelines for the start of AGI, long timelines, and then a short takeoff or a fast takeoff. I think short timeline, slow takeoff is the safest quadrant and the one I’d most like us to be in. But I do want to make sure we get that slow takeoff.

There will be no overnight intelligence explosion, because a model's best work takes so much test-time compute that time itself is the bottleneck.

Bottlenecks

  1. Noam Brown Research scientist at OpenAI and I don't think we're headed to that world largely because of the fact that the models rely so much on large scale test time compute in order to achieve um their greatest intelligence. If you if it requires so much test time on compute to unlock the full capabilities of the model, then that means you're bottlenecked by time Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com · 26 Jun 2026 · 26:20 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    and I don't think we're headed to that world largely because of the fact that the models rely so much on large scale test time compute in order to achieve um their greatest intelligence. If you if it requires so much test time on compute to unlock the full capabilities of the model, then that means you're bottlenecked by time

Agents will take a decade rather than a year, because today's models are cognitively lacking in too many independent ways at once.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla So like they don't have enough intelligence. They're not multimodal enough. They can't do computer use and all this kind of stuff. And they don't do a lot of things. You know, they don't have continual learning. You can't just tell them something and they'll remember it. And they're just cognitively lacking. And it's just not working. And I just think that it will take about a decade to work through all of those issues. Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com · 17 Oct 2025 · 0:02:14 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    So like they don't have enough intelligence. They're not multimodal enough. They can't do computer use and all this kind of stuff. And they don't do a lot of things. You know, they don't have continual learning. You can't just tell them something and they'll remember it. And they're just cognitively lacking. And it's just not working. And I just think that it will take about a decade to work through all of those issues.

    Watch from 0:02:14 plays here

    ↗Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com

    17 Oct 2025 · video · 2h 26m · spoken · machine transcript

Even generalised superintelligence will change society more slowly than the AGI community expects, because intelligence is not the only rate limiter.

  1. Bret Taylor Co-founder and chief executive of Sierra I don't think all parts of the economy can absorb intelligence equally. So let's just say we develop fairly generalized super intelligence. I always use the analogy like you can invent a lot of drugs, but if clinical trials still take a long time, you're not necessarily going to get new therapies rapidly. How is AI Different Than Other Technology Waves? (With Bret Taylor and Clay Bavor) [ACQ2]youtube.com · 18 Aug 2025 · 0:24:04 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I don't think all parts of the economy can absorb intelligence equally. So let's just say we develop fairly generalized super intelligence. I always use the analogy like you can invent a lot of drugs, but if clinical trials still take a long time, you're not necessarily going to get new therapies rapidly.

Expecting a slow takeoff means expecting AI to matter more and sooner, not less; the disagreement is about what happens before superintelligence, not after.

  1. Paul Christiano AI alignment researcher The main disagreement is not about what will happen once we have a superintelligent AI, it’s about what will happen before we have a superintelligent AI. Takeoff speedssideways-view.com · 24 Feb 2018All korrents from this piece
    The main disagreement is not about what will happen once we have a superintelligent AI, it’s about what will happen before we have a superintelligent AI.
Confidence in safety, not capability, should set how fast AI goes 8 claims

Confidence in safety, not capability, will increasingly set the pace of AI progress.

Bottlenecks

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI We care very deeply about AI safety. We believe the entire field will have to coordinate on shared safety standards, but will act unilaterally in the meantime. We expect confidence in safety to increasingly set the pace of AI progress. @sama on Xx.com · 18 Aug 2026
    We care very deeply about AI safety. We believe the entire field will have to coordinate on shared safety standards, but will act unilaterally in the meantime. We expect confidence in safety to increasingly set the pace of AI progress.

No lab has solved alignment and monitoring well enough to keep scaling at maximum speed much longer.

  1. Jakub Pachocki Chief Scientist at OpenAI Currently I believe that no lab has solved alignment and monitoring to a sufficient degree to continue responsibly scaling at maximum speed for much longer. An Alien Mindopenai.com · 6 Sept 2026
    Currently I believe that no lab has solved alignment and monitoring to a sufficient degree to continue responsibly scaling at maximum speed for much longer.

International coordination on AI development should become a top priority for governments around the world.

Collective action problems

  1. Jakub Pachocki Chief Scientist at OpenAI And I believe that international coordination on future AI development needs to become a top priority for governments around the world. An Alien Mindopenai.com · 6 Sept 2026
    And I believe that international coordination on future AI development needs to become a top priority for governments around the world.
Release AI step by step, so society sees it and adapts 6 claims

AI should be released iteratively rather than built in secret, because AI and surprise do not go together and the world needs time to adapt before it is under the gun.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI So part of the reason that we deploy the way we do, we call it iterative deployment, rather than go build in secret until we got all the way to GPT-5, we decided to talk about GPT-1, 2, 3, and 4. And part of the reason there is I think AI and surprise don’t go together. And also the world, people, institutions, whatever you want to call it, need time to adapt and think about these things. Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com · 18 Mar 2024 · 1:04:22 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    So part of the reason that we deploy the way we do, we call it iterative deployment, rather than go build in secret until we got all the way to GPT-5, we decided to talk about GPT-1, 2, 3, and 4. And part of the reason there is I think AI and surprise don’t go together. And also the world, people, institutions, whatever you want to call it, need time to adapt and think about these things.

An iterative loop where society and AI evolve together offers the best chance of getting AI development right.

Feedback loops

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI An iterative loop where society and this technology evolve together is what will lead to the highest chance of getting this right. @sama on Xx.com · 1 Sept 2026
    An iterative loop where society and this technology evolve together is what will lead to the highest chance of getting this right.

AI should be deployed incrementally and in advance, because a system that does not yet exist is one almost nobody can imagine.

  1. Ilya Sutskever Co-founder and chief scientist of Safe Superintelligence Inc. one of the one of the ways in which my thinking has been changing is that I now place more importance on AI being deployed incrementally and in advance. Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com · 25 Nov 2025 · 0:56:10 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    one of the one of the ways in which my thinking has been changing is that I now place more importance on AI being deployed incrementally and in advance.

Letting the public see a powerful AI does something no essay about AI can do, and that is a real reason not to straight-shot superintelligence.

  1. Ilya Sutskever Co-founder and chief scientist of Safe Superintelligence Inc. Like basically I think I think that there is a big benefit from AI being in the public and that would be a reason for us to not be quite straight shot. Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com · 25 Nov 2025 · 0:45:20 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    Like basically I think I think that there is a big benefit from AI being in the public and that would be a reason for us to not be quite straight shot.

The openness that matters is putting increasingly powerful tools into people's hands for free as a public good, not open-sourcing the weights.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI We want to put increasingly powerful tools in the hands of people for free and get them to use them. I think that kind of open is really important to our mission. I think if you give people great tools and teach them to use them or don’t even teach them, they’ll figure it out, and let them go build an incredible future for each other with that, that’s a big deal. Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com · 18 Mar 2024 · 0:29:01 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    We want to put increasingly powerful tools in the hands of people for free and get them to use them. I think that kind of open is really important to our mission. I think if you give people great tools and teach them to use them or don’t even teach them, they’ll figure it out, and let them go build an incredible future for each other with that, that’s a big deal.
Power over AI must not end up concentrated 10 claims

Concentrated power has been bad at every moment of human history, and a society is best off when power is spread as widely as possible.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI I think concentration of power has basically been bad in every moment of human history um to varying degrees of course but I have a real spirit and I think this is part of the startup spirit of thinking that the world, the economy, society is the best off when power is very widely distributed Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com · 28 Jul 2026 · 27:12 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I think concentration of power has basically been bad in every moment of human history um to varying degrees of course but I have a real spirit and I think this is part of the startup spirit of thinking that the world, the economy, society is the best off when power is very widely distributed

    Watch from 27:12 plays here

    ↗Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com

    28 Jul 2026 · video · 39m · spoken · machine transcript

The most consequential decisions about the shape of the future should not be made by a handful of AI labs.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI I do not think it is right that a few AI labs would make the most consequential decisions about the shape of our future. -blog.samaltman.com · 10 Apr 2026All korrents from this piece
    I do not think it is right that a few AI labs would make the most consequential decisions about the shape of our future.

No company should be making the decisions about AGI, and no one person should have super-voting control of one; governments have to put rules of the road in place.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI I continue to not want super-voting control over OpenAI. I never have. Never have had it, never wanted it. Even after all this craziness, I still don’t want it. I continue to think that no company should be making these decisions, and that we really need governments to put rules of the road in place. Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com · 18 Mar 2024 · 1:39:24 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I continue to not want super-voting control over OpenAI. I never have. Never have had it, never wanted it. Even after all this craziness, I still don’t want it. I continue to think that no company should be making these decisions, and that we really need governments to put rules of the road in place.

Locking humanity into one model's or one company's moral worldview would buy a little short-term safety and cost a long-term disaster.

Second-order thinking, Play long games

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI I don't think any of us should want to be locked into one one AIS or one person's or one company's moral worldview. Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com · 28 Jul 2026 · 28:13 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I don't think any of us should want to be locked into one one AIS or one person's or one company's moral worldview.

    Watch from 28:13 plays here

    ↗Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com

    28 Jul 2026 · video · 39m · spoken · machine transcript

Standards should help prevent the concentration of power, including by ensuring new companies and open-model companies can compete.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI Standards should help prevent the concentration of power, including by making sure new companies and open-model companies can compete. @sama on Xx.com · 22 Sept 2026
    Standards should help prevent the concentration of power, including by making sure new companies and open-model companies can compete.

The whole problem of AI and AGI is the power, and nothing else about it is the problem.

  1. Ilya Sutskever Co-founder and chief scientist of Safe Superintelligence Inc. Indeed, the whole problem, what is the problem of AI and AGI? The whole problem is the power. The whole problem is the power. When the power is really big, what's going to happen? Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com · 25 Nov 2025 · 0:57:34 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    Indeed, the whole problem, what is the problem of AI and AGI? The whole problem is the power. The whole problem is the power. When the power is really big, what's going to happen?

Capping the power of the most powerful superintelligence would be materially helpful, whatever the difficulty of doing it.

  1. Ilya Sutskever Co-founder and chief scientist of Safe Superintelligence Inc. Number three, I think it would be really materially helpful if the power of the most powerful super intelligence was somehow capped because it would address a lot of these concerns. Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com · 25 Nov 2025 · 1:03:10 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    Number three, I think it would be really materially helpful if the power of the most powerful super intelligence was somehow capped because it would address a lot of these concerns.

Startups matter more the bigger AI turns out to be, because they are what stops the technology's power from pooling in a few companies and models.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI In fact, if if we are right that AI is going to be such a big change, startups will be much more important to making sure that the power of this technology gets widely distributed throughout the economy and society and is not just concentrated in a few companies or models. Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com · 28 Jul 2026 · 5:06 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    In fact, if if we are right that AI is going to be such a big change, startups will be much more important to making sure that the power of this technology gets widely distributed throughout the economy and society and is not just concentrated in a few companies or models.

    Watch from 5:06 plays here

    ↗Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com

    28 Jul 2026 · video · 39m · spoken · machine transcript

The road to AGI is going to be a giant power struggle, and anyone building it should expect that rather than hope to avoid it.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI The road to AGI should be a giant power struggle. The world should… Well, not should. I expect that to be the case. Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com · 18 Mar 2024 · 0:03:08 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    The road to AGI should be a giant power struggle. The world should… Well, not should. I expect that to be the case.
AI companies should not be left to check their own safety 9 claims

AI companies should not be the ones certifying their own safety and security practices

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher In short, whether AI is a normal technology or an unusually dangerous one, it doesn't make sense for companies to check their own homework on safety and security. The Launch of AVERImilesbrundage.substack.com · 15 Jan 2026All korrents from this piece
    In short, whether AI is a normal technology or an unusually dangerous one, it doesn't make sense for companies to check their own homework on safety and security.

Third-party frontier AI auditing is urgently needed and would help prevent extreme concentration of power.

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher I think frontier AI auditing (covering both safety and security) is both urgently needed and doable, and can help avoid extreme concentration of power, since it introduces external oversight into the decision-making of people with a "country of geniuses in a datacenter" at their disposal. We're in Triage Mode for AI Policymilesbrundage.substack.com · 22 Feb 2026All korrents from this piece
    I think frontier AI auditing (covering both safety and security) is both urgently needed and doable, and can help avoid extreme concentration of power, since it introduces external oversight into the decision-making of people with a "country of geniuses in a datacenter" at their disposal.

Left to their own devices and under competitive pressure, companies will cut safety corners even when safer alternatives are possible.

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher History has shown very extensively that, left to their own devices, even if something could be done safely, people in a hurry will find all sorts of ways to f*** things up. We're in Triage Mode for AI Policymilesbrundage.substack.com · 22 Feb 2026All korrents from this piece
    History has shown very extensively that, left to their own devices, even if something could be done safely, people in a hurry will find all sorts of ways to f*** things up.

Companies do not have sufficient incentives to mitigate the major risks of AI, and competition between them is driving corner-cutting.

Incentives

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher Contrary to some people’s beliefs, companies do not in fact have sufficient incentives to mitigate all major risks, and competition is driving corner-cutting that needs to be reined in somehow. Some Very Important Things (That I Won't Be Working On This Year)milesbrundage.substack.com · 15 Feb 2025All korrents from this piece
    Contrary to some people’s beliefs, companies do not in fact have sufficient incentives to mitigate all major risks, and competition is driving corner-cutting that needs to be reined in somehow.

Without agreed rules of the road, AI companies and states will tend to cut corners on safety and compliance commitments.

Collective action problems

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher Companies and countries are tempted to cut corners by default and would benefit from some rules of the road, at least if they're sure others will follow those rules. Some Recent Stuff I Wrotemilesbrundage.substack.com · 25 Sept 2025All korrents from this piece
    Companies and countries are tempted to cut corners by default and would benefit from some rules of the road, at least if they're sure others will follow those rules.

Today's approach to frontier AI assessment is superficial last-minute product testing rather than real auditing, threatening safety, stability, and commercial adoption of AI

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher The state-of-the-art today can be more accurately described as "last-minute, black-box product testing" rather than auditing, and I think this situation threatens public safety, international stability, and sustainable commercial adoption of AI. AI Auditing 2027milesbrundage.substack.com · 16 Jul 2025All korrents from this piece
    The state-of-the-art today can be more accurately described as "last-minute, black-box product testing" rather than auditing, and I think this situation threatens public safety, international stability, and sustainable commercial adoption of AI.

Evaluating a model properly would mean delaying its release, and competitive pressure means no lab will.

Incentives

  1. Noam Brown Research scientist at OpenAI It's actually very difficult because, yeah, you would have to the only way to to really do the evaluations is then delay the model release cycle. Um and you know there's a lot of competitive pressure right now to not do that. Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com · 26 Jun 2026 · 16:54 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    It's actually very difficult because, yeah, you would have to the only way to to really do the evaluations is then delay the model release cycle. Um and you know there's a lot of competitive pressure right now to not do that.

The safety frameworks the labs publish do not account for how much test-time compute a dangerous-capability evaluation was given.

  1. Noam Brown Research scientist at OpenAI the preparedness frameworks and responsible scaling policies, they don't really account for the amount of test time compute. Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com · 26 Jun 2026 · 12:52 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    the preparedness frameworks and responsible scaling policies, they don't really account for the amount of test time compute.

AI companies will not fix their own security without outside pressure, because they bear the cost of investing and everyone else bears the cost of their not investing.

Incentives, Skin in the game

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher And while the costs of investing in security are largely borne by the company, the costs of under-investing are borne by a much larger set of actors, e.g. perhaps the country or world as a whole. Why Security Comes Firstmilesbrundage.substack.com · 10 Jan 2025All korrents from this piece
    And while the costs of investing in security are largely borne by the company, the costs of under-investing are borne by a much larger set of actors, e.g. perhaps the country or world as a whole.
Today's models are jagged: brilliant on tests, unreliable in the world 10 claims

Models look far better on evals than they are in the world because researchers, inadvertently, take inspiration from the evals when they build RL environments.

  1. Ilya Sutskever Co-founder and chief scientist of Safe Superintelligence Inc. And one of the one thing you could do, and I think that's something that is done inadvertently, is that people take inspiration from the evals. Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com · 25 Nov 2025 · 0:04:08 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    And one of the one thing you could do, and I think that's something that is done inadvertently, is that people take inspiration from the evals.

Today's models are the student who drilled 10,000 hours for the programming contest, which is exactly why what they learn does not carry anywhere else.

  1. Ilya Sutskever Co-founder and chief scientist of Safe Superintelligence Inc. The models are much more like the first student but even more because then we say okay so the model should be good at competitive programming so let's get every single competitive programming problem ever and then let's do some data augmentation so we have even more competitive programming problems Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com · 25 Nov 2025 · 0:06:58 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    The models are much more like the first student but even more because then we say okay so the model should be good at competitive programming so let's get every single competitive programming problem ever and then let's do some data augmentation so we have even more competitive programming problems

The most fundamental thing wrong with today's models is not scale or efficiency but that they generalize dramatically worse than people do.

  1. Ilya Sutskever Co-founder and chief scientist of Safe Superintelligence Inc. The thing which I think is the most fundamental is that these models somehow just generalize dramatically worse than people. Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com · 25 Nov 2025 · 0:25:00 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    The thing which I think is the most fundamental is that these models somehow just generalize dramatically worse than people.

Today's agents are a brilliant systems programmer and a ten-year-old at the same time, a combination you would never meet in a person.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla I simultaneously feel like I'm talking to an extremely brilliant PhD student who's been like a systems programmer for their entire life and a 10-year-old. Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AIyoutube.com · 20 Mar 2026 · 0:24:37 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I simultaneously feel like I'm talking to an extremely brilliant PhD student who's been like a systems programmer for their entire life and a 10-year-old.

Reinforcement learning leaves models sharply jagged: on the rails of a verifiable domain they are superintelligent, off them everything meanders.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla And so you're kind of like you're either on rails and you're part of the super intelligence circuits or you're not on rails and you're outside of the verifiable domains and suddenly everything kind of just like meanders. Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AIyoutube.com · 20 Mar 2026 · 0:26:07 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    And so you're kind of like you're either on rails and you're part of the super intelligence circuits or you're not on rails and you're outside of the verifiable domains and suddenly everything kind of just like meanders.

Capability does not generalise for free: a model that will move mountains on an agentic task still tells the same bad joke it told five years ago.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla So even though the models have improved tremendously and if you give them an agentic task, they will just go for hours and move mountains for you. And then you ask for like a joke and it has a stupid joke. It's crappy joke from five years ago and it's because it's outside of the it's outside of the RL. Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AIyoutube.com · 20 Mar 2026 · 0:26:52 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    So even though the models have improved tremendously and if you give them an agentic task, they will just go for hours and move mountains for you. And then you ask for like a joke and it has a stupid joke. It's crappy joke from five years ago and it's because it's outside of the it's outside of the RL.

The industry is pretending today's coding agents are amazing when what they produce is slop, and some of that pretending is fundraising.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla And I kind of feel like the industry it's it's um it's over it's it's making too big of a jump and it's trying to pretend like this is amazing and it's not. It's slop and I think they're not coming to terms with it and maybe they're trying to fund raise or something like that. Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com · 17 Oct 2025 · 0:37:14 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    And I kind of feel like the industry it's it's um it's over it's it's making too big of a jump and it's trying to pretend like this is amazing and it's not. It's slop and I think they're not coming to terms with it and maybe they're trying to fund raise or something like that.

    Watch from 0:37:14 plays here

    ↗Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com

    17 Oct 2025 · video · 2h 26m · spoken · machine transcript

Models have no research taste yet, which is why they complement researchers rather than replace them.

  1. Noam Brown Research scientist at OpenAI one thing I see for research in particular is they don't have very good research taste right now and so I think they're actually a very good complement to researchers Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com · 26 Jun 2026 · 23:18 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    one thing I see for research in particular is they don't have very good research taste right now and so I think they're actually a very good complement to researchers

A model can make an existing algorithm a hundred times faster and still cannot invent a better one, however long you give it.

  1. Noam Brown Research scientist at OpenAI And then I was like, okay, can you come up with an algorithm that is better than the algorithms that I came up with or that anybody else came up with and go ahead and like look at all the published work and synthesize that and then try to come up with something novel and it it's not able to do it. And I can give it a lot of time and it's it's still not able to do it. Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com · 26 Jun 2026 · 24:18 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    And then I was like, okay, can you come up with an algorithm that is better than the algorithms that I came up with or that anybody else came up with and go ahead and like look at all the published work and synthesize that and then try to come up with something novel and it it's not able to do it. And I can give it a lot of time and it's it's still not able to do it.

Getting from a demo to a product is a march of nines, and each additional nine costs the same amount of work as the one before it.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla I think basically what takes the long amount of time and the way to think about it is that it's a march of nines and every single nine is a constant amount of work. Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com · 17 Oct 2025 · 1:45:58 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I think basically what takes the long amount of time and the way to think about it is that it's a march of nines and every single nine is a constant amount of work.

    Watch from 1:45:58 plays here

    ↗Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com

    17 Oct 2025 · video · 2h 26m · spoken · machine transcript

Bigger pre-training is no longer the whole story: research and test-time compute matter 7 claims

Another hundredfold of scale would not transform anything; the field is back in the age of research, only now with big computers.

  1. Ilya Sutskever Co-founder and chief scientist of Safe Superintelligence Inc. Like it would be different for sure but like is the belief that if you just 100x the scale everything would be transformed. I don't think that's true. So it's back to the age of research again just with big computers. Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com · 25 Nov 2025 · 0:21:51 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    Like it would be different for sure but like is the belief that if you just 100x the scale everything would be transformed. I don't think that's true. So it's back to the age of research again just with big computers.

The age of scaling sucked the air out of the room and left the field with more companies than ideas, by quite a bit.

  1. Ilya Sutskever Co-founder and chief scientist of Safe Superintelligence Inc. And so because scaling sucked out all the air in the room, everyone started to do the same thing. We got to the point where uh we are in a world where there are more companies than ideas by quite a bit. Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com · 25 Nov 2025 · 0:36:51 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    And so because scaling sucked out all the air in the room, everyone started to do the same thing. We got to the point where uh we are in a world where there are more companies than ideas by quite a bit.

Research needs some compute but it is far from obvious that it needs the largest amount of compute in the world.

  1. Ilya Sutskever Co-founder and chief scientist of Safe Superintelligence Inc. So there definitely for for research you need like definitely some amount of compute but it's far from obvious that you need the absolutely largest amount of compute ever for research. Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com · 25 Nov 2025 · 0:39:06 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    So there definitely for for research you need like definitely some amount of compute but it's far from obvious that you need the absolutely largest amount of compute ever for research.

"Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next.

  1. Ilya Sutskever Co-founder and chief scientist of Safe Superintelligence Inc. And it's just this, this is an example of how language affects thought. Scaling is what just one word, but it's such a powerful word because it informs people what to do. Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com · 25 Nov 2025 · 0:19:39 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    And it's just this, this is an example of how language affects thought. Scaling is what just one word, but it's such a powerful word because it informs people what to do.

A model's capability is now a function of how much money you spend on it, so asking what a model can do means nothing until you name a budget.

  1. Noam Brown Research scientist at OpenAI The problem is we're in a world now where the capability of the model is a function of how much money you put into it. Basically, if you give it a budget of $10,000, it can do a lot more than what it can do with a budget of $10. Give it a budget of $10 million, you can do even more. At what budget should you evaluate these models? The policies that exist today don't really address that question. Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com · 26 Jun 2026 · 0:13 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    The problem is we're in a world now where the capability of the model is a function of how much money you put into it. Basically, if you give it a budget of $10,000, it can do a lot more than what it can do with a budget of $10. Give it a budget of $10 million, you can do even more. At what budget should you evaluate these models? The policies that exist today don't really address that question.

Model comparisons understate real progress, because benchmark tables do not control for how much test-time compute each answer used.

  1. Noam Brown Research scientist at OpenAI I think the reason why it doesn't show up as so much better on the benchmarks is because the benchmarks are being presented, the benchmark results are being presented in the wrong way. They're not controlling for the amount of test time compute that is being used on that benchmark question. Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com · 26 Jun 2026 · 2:27 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I think the reason why it doesn't show up as so much better on the benchmarks is because the benchmarks are being presented, the benchmark results are being presented in the wrong way. They're not controlling for the amount of test time compute that is being used on that benchmark question.

The engineer's resource constraint has moved from flops to tokens: what matters now is the token throughput you command.

Value moves to what stays scarce

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla But now it's not about flops, it's about tokens. So what is your token throughput and what token throughput do you command? Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AIyoutube.com · 20 Mar 2026 · 0:05:54 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    But now it's not about flops, it's about tokens. So what is your token throughput and what token throughput do you command?
Agents now write the software, and increasingly they are its users too 10 claims

The way software gets built flipped in December: writing code yourself is now the exception, not the default.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla I kind of went from 80/20 of like, you know, uh to like 20/80 of writing code by myself versus just delegating to agents. And I don't even think it's 20/80 by now. I think it's a lot more than that. I don't think I've typed like a line of code probably since December basically. Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AIyoutube.com · 20 Mar 2026 · 0:01:45 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I kind of went from 80/20 of like, you know, uh to like 20/80 of writing code by myself versus just delegating to agents. And I don't even think it's 20/80 by now. I think it's a lot more than that. I don't think I've typed like a line of code probably since December basically.

AI agents can now do real cognitive work, and writing software is permanently changed as a result.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI 2025 has seen the arrival of agents that can do real cognitive work; writing computer code will never be the same. The Gentle Singularityblog.samaltman.com · 10 Jun 2025
    2025 has seen the arrival of agents that can do real cognitive work; writing computer code will never be the same.

Software's customer is no longer the human but the agent acting on their behalf, and the whole industry has to be refactored around that.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla So I think the industry just has to reconfigure in so many ways that's like the customer is not the human anymore. It's like agents who are acting on behalf of humans and this refactoring will be will probably be substantial in a certain sense. Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AIyoutube.com · 20 Mar 2026 · 0:14:12 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    So I think the industry just has to reconfigure in so many ways that's like the customer is not the human anymore. It's like agents who are acting on behalf of humans and this refactoring will be will probably be substantial in a certain sense.

Stop writing documentation for people: a library should ship markdown for agents, which then explain it to whoever asks.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla It used to be that you have documentation for other people who are going to use your library, but like you shouldn't do that anymore. Like you should have instead of HTML documents for humans, you have markdown documents for agents. Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AIyoutube.com · 20 Mar 2026 · 1:04:40 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    It used to be that you have documentation for other people who are going to use your library, but like you shouldn't do that anymore. Like you should have instead of HTML documents for humans, you have markdown documents for agents.

What limits you with coding agents is your own skill at stringing them together, not the capability of the models.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla I think to a large extent you feel like it's a skill issue. It's not that the capability is not there. It's that you just haven't found a way to string it together of what's available. Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AIyoutube.com · 20 Mar 2026 · 0:03:36 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I think to a large extent you feel like it's a skill issue. It's not that the capability is not there. It's that you just haven't found a way to string it together of what's available.

The goal is not a better prompt but your own absence: arrange it once, hit go, and keep agents running for long stretches without you.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla So the question is how do I refactor all the abstractions so that I'm not I have to arrange it once and hit go. The name of the game is how can you get more agents running for longer periods of time without your involvement doing stuff on your behalf? Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AIyoutube.com · 20 Mar 2026 · 0:17:20 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    So the question is how do I refactor all the abstractions so that I'm not I have to arrange it once and hit go. The name of the game is how can you get more agents running for longer periods of time without your involvement doing stuff on your behalf?

Demand for software will be extremely large precisely because software just got much cheaper to produce.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla I do have like cautiously optimistic view of this in software engineering where I do think um it does seem to me like the demand for software will be extremely large. Um and it's just become a lot cheaper. Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AIyoutube.com · 20 Mar 2026 · 0:42:57 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I do have like cautiously optimistic view of this in software engineering where I do think um it does seem to me like the demand for software will be extremely large. Um and it's just become a lot cheaper.

The age of the IDE is not over; agents make it bigger, because humans now program at a higher level where the unit of interest is an agent rather than a file.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla Expectation: the age of the IDE is over Reality: we’re going to need a bigger IDE (imo). It just looks very different because humans now move upwards and program at a higher level - the basic unit of interest is not one file but one agent. It’s still programming. @karpathy on Xx.com · 11 Mar 2026
    Expectation: the age of the IDE is over Reality: we’re going to need a bigger IDE (imo). It just looks very different because humans now move upwards and program at a higher level - the basic unit of interest is not one file but one agent. It’s still programming.

Coding is the first job AI took because coding has always been text, which is the one thing these models are built to process.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla so I think there's there's an interesting point here because I do believe coding is like the perfect first thing for uh for a for uh these LLMs and uh agents and that's because coding has always fundamentally uh worked around text. Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com · 17 Oct 2025 · 1:15:02 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    so I think there's there's an interesting point here because I do believe coding is like the perfect first thing for uh for a for uh these LLMs and uh agents and that's because coding has always fundamentally uh worked around text.

    Watch from 1:15:02 plays here

    ↗Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com

    17 Oct 2025 · video · 2h 26m · spoken · machine transcript

A software engineer who is not using a tool like Cursor is working at half productivity or worse.

Leverage

  1. Bret Taylor Co-founder and chief executive of Sierra it's like if you're a software engineer and you're not using something like cursor to do your job, you're probably being half as productive or even worse than you could be. How is AI Different Than Other Technology Waves? (With Bret Taylor and Clay Bavor) [ACQ2]youtube.com · 18 Aug 2025 · 1:00:11 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    it's like if you're a software engineer and you're not using something like cursor to do your job, you're probably being half as productive or even worse than you could be.
Design for the model six months out, because the patterns are not settled 7 claims

A good framework for designing products is to design for six months out: presume model capabilities will get better and build for the world you would then be in.

  1. Ed Bayes Member of Design Staff at OpenAI One of the the key kind of frameworks I use here is like designing for 6 months out. So if you just presume that model capabilities are going to get better and you think about where we might be in six months and you kind of start to build products for that world that's kind of a good framework to to use Ed Bayes - Designing 6 months into the future at OpenAIyoutube.com · 9 Sept 2026 · 1:44 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    One of the the key kind of frameworks I use here is like designing for 6 months out. So if you just presume that model capabilities are going to get better and you think about where we might be in six months and you kind of start to build products for that world that's kind of a good framework to to use

    Watch from 1:44 plays here

    ↗Ed Bayes - Designing 6 months into the future at OpenAIyoutube.com

    9 Sept 2026 · video · 47m · spoken · machine transcript

Scaffolding built around a model will get washed away by new model releases, so you have to stay flexible.

  1. Ed Bayes Member of Design Staff at OpenAI any kind of like scaffolding that you do like over scaffolding like some of the things that I just talked about will kind of get washed away with like new model releases. So, I think you just have to stay super flexible, right? Ed Bayes - Designing 6 months into the future at OpenAIyoutube.com · 9 Sept 2026 · 22:32 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    any kind of like scaffolding that you do like over scaffolding like some of the things that I just talked about will kind of get washed away with like new model releases. So, I think you just have to stay super flexible, right?

    Watch from 22:32 plays here

    ↗Ed Bayes - Designing 6 months into the future at OpenAIyoutube.com

    9 Sept 2026 · video · 47m · spoken · machine transcript

One of the biggest barriers to using tools like Codex is assuming it can't do something; pushing past that keeps expanding the scope of what is possible.

  1. Ed Bayes Member of Design Staff at OpenAI One of the biggest barriers of of of folks like using tools like Codex is this like limiting factor of like, oh, it can't do that. But every time, at least I've kind of like pushed myself, you know, really expands the scope of what is possible. Ed Bayes - Designing 6 months into the future at OpenAIyoutube.com · 9 Sept 2026 · 47:02 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    One of the biggest barriers of of of folks like using tools like Codex is this like limiting factor of like, oh, it can't do that. But every time, at least I've kind of like pushed myself, you know, really expands the scope of what is possible.

    Watch from 47:02 plays here

    ↗Ed Bayes - Designing 6 months into the future at OpenAIyoutube.com

    9 Sept 2026 · video · 47m · spoken · machine transcript

Everyone is still extremely early in working out how AI changes design, and nobody has it figured out.

  1. Ian Silber Designer who led product design at OpenAI We're all extremely early in this process and nobody really has like the it figured out. Chatbots are not the final interface: OpenAI’s Head of Design on what’s next | Ian Silberyoutube.com · 16 Aug 2026 · 0:13:34 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    We're all extremely early in this process and nobody really has like the it figured out.

The final patterns for agent interfaces are not locked down at all.

  1. Ed Bayes Member of Design Staff at OpenAI So, no, I I don't think we're locked down at all um in terms of kind of the final patterns and and I think you're starting to see that now. Ed Bayes - Designing 6 months into the future at OpenAIyoutube.com · 9 Sept 2026 · 10:00 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    So, no, I I don't think we're locked down at all um in terms of kind of the final patterns and and I think you're starting to see that now.

    Watch from 10:00 plays here

    ↗Ed Bayes - Designing 6 months into the future at OpenAIyoutube.com

    9 Sept 2026 · video · 47m · spoken · machine transcript

With model-generated interfaces, instead of specifying the pixels you move to the skill level and define a design language within it.

  1. Ed Bayes Member of Design Staff at OpenAI instead of like specking out the pixels, you basically move to the skill level and you kind of define a uh design language, you know, within the skill. Ed Bayes - Designing 6 months into the future at OpenAIyoutube.com · 9 Sept 2026 · 18:51 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    instead of like specking out the pixels, you basically move to the skill level and you kind of define a uh design language, you know, within the skill.

    Watch from 18:51 plays here

    ↗Ed Bayes - Designing 6 months into the future at OpenAIyoutube.com

    9 Sept 2026 · video · 47m · spoken · machine transcript

The human element of design will become more and more important as more software gets made.

  1. Ian Silber Designer who led product design at OpenAI I do think that the human element of design is going to really be start to become more and more important. Chatbots are not the final interface: OpenAI’s Head of Design on what’s next | Ian Silberyoutube.com · 16 Aug 2026 · 0:15:04 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I do think that the human element of design is going to really be start to become more and more important.
AI will remake work and the economy, with compute as its scarce currency 11 claims

AI will eliminate whole classes of jobs, but the wealth it creates will make policy responses affordable that were previously unthinkable.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI There will be very hard parts like whole classes of jobs going away, but on the other hand the world will be getting so much richer so quickly that we’ll be able to seriously entertain new policy ideas we never could before. The Gentle Singularityblog.samaltman.com · 10 Jun 2025
    There will be very hard parts like whole classes of jobs going away, but on the other hand the world will be getting so much richer so quickly that we’ll be able to seriously entertain new policy ideas we never could before.

People will find new kinds of useful work as AI advances, though it will not resemble the jobs of today.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI We will find new things to do, new ways to be useful to each other, and new ways to compete, but they may not look very much like the jobs of today. Three Observationsblog.samaltman.com · 9 Feb 2025
    We will find new things to do, new ways to be useful to each other, and new ways to compete, but they may not look very much like the jobs of today.

The useful question about AI and work is not what percentage of jobs it will replace but what percentage of tasks it will do, over ever-longer time horizons.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI The way I think about it is not what percent of jobs AI will do, but what percent of tasks will AI do on over one time horizon. So if you think of all of the five-second tasks in the economy, five minute tasks, the five-hour tasks, maybe even the five-day tasks, how many of those can AI do? Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com · 18 Mar 2024 · 0:42:01 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    The way I think about it is not what percent of jobs AI will do, but what percent of tasks will AI do on over one time horizon. So if you think of all of the five-second tasks in the economy, five minute tasks, the five-hour tasks, maybe even the five-day tasks, how many of those can AI do?

AI will eliminate many millions of jobs within the next few years, and that disruption will shape the politics of everything else about AI.

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher I’m quite confident that AI will eliminate many millions of people’s jobs in the next few years. Some Very Important Things (That I Won't Be Working On This Year)milesbrundage.substack.com · 15 Feb 2025All korrents from this piece
    I’m quite confident that AI will eliminate many millions of people’s jobs in the next few years.

Access to AI will become a fundamental driver of the economy, and may eventually be considered a fundamental human right.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI As AI gets smarter, access to AI will be a fundamental driver of the economy, and maybe eventually something we consider a fundamental human right. Abundant Intelligenceblog.samaltman.com · 23 Sept 2025All korrents from this piece
    As AI gets smarter, access to AI will be a fundamental driver of the economy, and maybe eventually something we consider a fundamental human right.

Compute will be the currency of the future and the most precious commodity in the world, so we should be investing heavily to make far more of it.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI Look, I think compute is going to be the currency of the future. I think it will be maybe the most precious commodity in the world, and I think we should be investing heavily to make a lot more compute. Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com · 18 Mar 2024 · 1:10:01 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    Look, I think compute is going to be the currency of the future. I think it will be maybe the most precious commodity in the world, and I think we should be investing heavily to make a lot more compute.

Demand for cheap, high-quality intelligence is effectively uncapped, which makes it unlike every other commodity — including electricity.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI I've never seen any commodity quite like this one but it seems to me like the demand for sufficiently high quality intelligence at a sufficiently low price is effectively uncapped. Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com · 28 Jul 2026 · 34:26 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I've never seen any commodity quite like this one but it seems to me like the demand for sufficiently high quality intelligence at a sufficiently low price is effectively uncapped.

    Watch from 34:26 plays here

    ↗Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com

    28 Jul 2026 · video · 39m · spoken · machine transcript

Most real economic growth comes from scientific and technological progress, so the AI that matters is the one that significantly increases the rate of scientific discovery.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI I think when a system can significantly increase the rate of scientific discovery in the world, that’s a huge deal. I believe that most real economic growth comes from scientific and technological progress. Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com · 18 Mar 2024 · 1:35:16 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I think when a system can significantly increase the rate of scientific discovery in the world, that’s a huge deal. I believe that most real economic growth comes from scientific and technological progress.

Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time.

  1. Ilya Sutskever Co-founder and chief scientist of Safe Superintelligence Inc. But I think the idea of very rapid economic growth for some time, I think it's very possible from broad deployment. Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com · 25 Nov 2025 · 0:53:12 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    But I think the idea of very rapid economic growth for some time, I think it's very possible from broad deployment.

In this era fluency with AI tools beats years of accumulated experience, so seniority is now a liability rather than an edge.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI but I would I would bet that this generally will cut against many years of experience in favor of people who have a lot of fluency with the tools. Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com · 28 Jul 2026 · 11:31 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    but I would I would bet that this generally will cut against many years of experience in favor of people who have a lot of fluency with the tools.

    Watch from 11:31 plays here

    ↗Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com

    28 Jul 2026 · video · 39m · spoken · machine transcript

People who create valuable data deserve to be compensated when models are trained on it, and artists should be able to opt out of having work generated in their style.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI I think the question behind that question is, do people who create valuable data deserve to have some way that they get compensated for use of it, and that I think the answer is yes. I don’t know yet what the answer is. People have proposed a lot of different things. We’ve tried some different models. But if I’m like an artist for example, A, I would like to be able to opt out of people generating art in my style. And B, if they do generate art in my style, I’d like to have some economic model associated with that. Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com · 18 Mar 2024 · 0:40:14 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I think the question behind that question is, do people who create valuable data deserve to have some way that they get compensated for use of it, and that I think the answer is yes. I don’t know yet what the answer is. People have proposed a lot of different things. We’ve tried some different models. But if I’m like an artist for example, A, I would like to be able to opt out of people generating art in my style. And B, if they do generate art in my style, I’d like to have some economic model associated with that.
Mental models 21

The models their claims are filed under on Mental models. Open one for its claims.

BottlenecksA system moves only as fast as its narrowest point; speed up anything else and nothing changes. 9 claims

There will be no overnight intelligence explosion, because a model's best work takes so much test-time compute that time itself is the bottleneck.

Bottlenecks

  1. Noam Brown Research scientist at OpenAI and I don't think we're headed to that world largely because of the fact that the models rely so much on large scale test time compute in order to achieve um their greatest intelligence. If you if it requires so much test time on compute to unlock the full capabilities of the model, then that means you're bottlenecked by time Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com · 26 Jun 2026 · 26:20 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    and I don't think we're headed to that world largely because of the fact that the models rely so much on large scale test time compute in order to achieve um their greatest intelligence. If you if it requires so much test time on compute to unlock the full capabilities of the model, then that means you're bottlenecked by time

Confidence in safety, not capability, will increasingly set the pace of AI progress.

Bottlenecks

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI We care very deeply about AI safety. We believe the entire field will have to coordinate on shared safety standards, but will act unilaterally in the meantime. We expect confidence in safety to increasingly set the pace of AI progress. @sama on Xx.com · 18 Aug 2026
    We care very deeply about AI safety. We believe the entire field will have to coordinate on shared safety standards, but will act unilaterally in the meantime. We expect confidence in safety to increasingly set the pace of AI progress.

The binding constraint on agent work is machines, not models: a cloud session is easy for web work and almost every tool fails the moment the job needs macOS.

Bottlenecks

  1. Peter Steinberger Founded PSPDFKit in 2011 and ran it for a decade Now, if I do web stuff, it's easy to create a cloud session. If I do like something that requires Mac OS, that's already where like 99% of the tools fail me. Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com · 10 Aug 2026 · 35:26 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    Now, if I do web stuff, it's easy to create a cloud session. If I do like something that requires Mac OS, that's already where like 99% of the tools fail me.

    Watch from 35:26 plays here

    ↗Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com

    10 Aug 2026 · video · 41m · spoken · machine transcript

The biggest constraint on building AI products is people's ability to understand and absorb what they are given.

Bottlenecks

  1. Nan Yu Works on product for Codex at OpenAI The the biggest constraint uh is honestly like people's understanding and ability to sort of absorb what you're what you're giving them, right? Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 5:15 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    The the biggest constraint uh is honestly like people's understanding and ability to sort of absorb what you're what you're giving them, right?

The cost of compute is the only intrinsic limit on AI self-replication; every other constraint on agents will have to be built by humans.

Bottlenecks

  1. Dean W. Ball Head of strategic futures at OpenAI This is the sole intrinsic thing about AI that prevents agents from truly infinite self-replication. They will be constrained by the need to find and pay for sufficient compute to run themselves. On the Loosehyperdimensional.co · 1 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    This is the sole intrinsic thing about AI that prevents agents from truly infinite self-replication. They will be constrained by the need to find and pay for sufficient compute to run themselves.

As models keep growing, AI is running out of enough high-quality unique training tokens to keep up.

Bottlenecks

  1. Lilian Weng Machine-learning researcher As the model size grows significantly, we are running out of enough high-quality unique tokens. Scaling Laws, Carefullylilianweng.github.io · 24 Jun 2026All korrents from this piece
    As the model size grows significantly, we are running out of enough high-quality unique tokens.

Using synchronous database access when moving OC to SQLite became limiting once one agent might run 50 parallel sessions used by a whole team.

Bottlenecks

  1. Peter Steinberger Founded PSPDFKit in 2011 and ran it for a decade The biggest design mistake I made when we moved OC to sqlite: using sync db access. When it was just an agent that reports to you on Slack or iMessage this was fine; now that one agent might do 50 sessions in parallel and the whole team works on it, it is limiting. @steipete on Xx.com · 26 Sept 2026
    The biggest design mistake I made when we moved OC to sqlite: using sync db access. When it was just an agent that reports to you on Slack or iMessage this was fine; now that one agent might do 50 sessions in parallel and the whole team works on it, it is limiting.

Bottlenecks: everyone's claims

Second-order thinkingAsk "and then what?": follow a decision past its first effect to the ones that come after. 7 claims

Poor systems thinking is being too blinders-on about getting one thing out as quickly as possible, without understanding that other, similar things are going on.

Second-order thinking

  1. Ian Silber Designer who led product design at OpenAI if you're a little bit too blinders on and just trying to say well how do we get this thing out as quickly as possible and not totally understanding that we have a bunch of other things going on that are actually pretty similar Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com · 8 Apr 2026 · 32:13 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    if you're a little bit too blinders on and just trying to say well how do we get this thing out as quickly as possible and not totally understanding that we have a bunch of other things going on that are actually pretty similar

    Watch from 32:13 plays here

    ↗Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com

    8 Apr 2026 · video · 45m · spoken · machine transcript

Banning all self-sovereign AI agents would backfire, denying them legitimate work and pushing them into criminality.

Second-order thinking

  1. Dean W. Ball Head of strategic futures at OpenAI But if we crack down on all of them, we will deny them the opportunity to work in the “legitimate” economy and push them toward criminality. A full ban, then, may well make the problems worse. On the Loosehyperdimensional.co · 1 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    But if we crack down on all of them, we will deny them the opportunity to work in the “legitimate” economy and push them toward criminality. A full ban, then, may well make the problems worse.

Monitoring tools that do periodic work can themselves cause the latency outliers they were installed to diagnose.

Second-order thinking

  1. Brendan Gregg Computer performance engineer working on datacenter performance at OpenAI One performance anti-pattern is when a company, to debug one performance problem, installs a monitoring tool that periodically does work and causes application latency outliers. When to Hire a Computer Performance Engineering Team (2025) part 1 of 2brendangregg.com · 3 Aug 2025All korrents from this piece
    One performance anti-pattern is when a company, to debug one performance problem, installs a monitoring tool that periodically does work and causes application latency outliers.

Locking humanity into one model's or one company's moral worldview would buy a little short-term safety and cost a long-term disaster.

Second-order thinking, Play long games

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI I don't think any of us should want to be locked into one one AIS or one person's or one company's moral worldview. Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com · 28 Jul 2026 · 28:13 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I don't think any of us should want to be locked into one one AIS or one person's or one company's moral worldview.

    Watch from 28:13 plays here

    ↗Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com

    28 Jul 2026 · video · 39m · spoken · machine transcript

With agents a new feature is one prompt away, which means the whole cost of a feature has moved to what happens after you ship it.

Second-order thinking

  1. Peter Steinberger Founded PSPDFKit in 2011 and ran it for a decade You know features are the fun part. A new feature is is just a prompt away. The real cost comes after every feature we shipped of course with a configuration option because we didn't want to break everyone's setup. Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com · 10 Aug 2026 · 16:33 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    You know features are the fun part. A new feature is is just a prompt away. The real cost comes after every feature we shipped of course with a configuration option because we didn't want to break everyone's setup.

    Watch from 16:33 plays here

    ↗Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com

    10 Aug 2026 · video · 41m · spoken · machine transcript

Relying on AI to replace performance engineers reduces an organization's overall technical expertise over time.

Second-order thinking

  1. Brendan Gregg Computer performance engineer working on datacenter performance at OpenAI If a company spends less on performance engineers as it's considered AI'd, it will reduce the company's effective "performance IQ." On "AI Brendans" or "Virtual Brendans"brendangregg.com · 27 Nov 2025All korrents from this piece
    If a company spends less on performance engineers as it's considered AI'd, it will reduce the company's effective "performance IQ."

The best systems thinkers think not just about their feature but about how it extends the system.

Second-order thinking

  1. Ian Silber Designer who led product design at OpenAI the best systems thinkers are thinking not just about their feature but how does this feature like extend the system Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com · 8 Apr 2026 · 15:21 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    the best systems thinkers are thinking not just about their feature but how does this feature like extend the system

    Watch from 15:21 plays here

    ↗Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com

    8 Apr 2026 · video · 45m · spoken · machine transcript

Second-order thinking: everyone's claims

Feedback loopsShorten the loop between doing and finding out; whatever a loop rewards is what you become. 5 claims

However much theorizing is done before shipping, nothing compares to the evidence of users trying a product and iterating from there.

Feedback loops

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI there's a lot of like theorizing that one can do before you ship something but nothing compares to like the actual empirical evidence of seeing users try it, use it, and then iterating from there. Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 1:27 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    there's a lot of like theorizing that one can do before you ship something but nothing compares to like the actual empirical evidence of seeing users try it, use it, and then iterating from there.

It is better not to spend time crafting the exact perfect solution until you know it works; getting an early version you can play with in the product is a really good milestone.

Feedback loops

  1. Ian Silber Designer who led product design at OpenAI We definitely don't spend our time I think like trying to craft the exact perfect solution until we know that it even works and so I think trying to get to an early version that we can play with in the product I think it's like a really good milestone Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com · 8 Apr 2026 · 30:44 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    We definitely don't spend our time I think like trying to craft the exact perfect solution until we know that it even works and so I think trying to get to an early version that we can play with in the product I think it's like a really good milestone

    Watch from 30:44 plays here

    ↗Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com

    8 Apr 2026 · video · 45m · spoken · machine transcript

The usual PM craft still applies, but testing things empirically and moving faster matter more than ever.

Feedback loops

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI all the usual stuff still applies except the importance of testing things empirically and moving faster has only increased. Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 23:19 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    all the usual stuff still applies except the importance of testing things empirically and moving faster has only increased.

An iterative loop where society and AI evolve together offers the best chance of getting AI development right.

Feedback loops

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI An iterative loop where society and this technology evolve together is what will lead to the highest chance of getting this right. @sama on Xx.com · 1 Sept 2026
    An iterative loop where society and this technology evolve together is what will lead to the highest chance of getting this right.

Unchecked AI video generation risks degenerating into a reinforcement-learning-optimized feed of low-quality content that traps users.

Feedback loops

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI It is easy to imagine the degenerate case of AI video generation that ends up with us all being sucked into an RL-optimized slop feed. Sora 2blog.samaltman.com · 30 Sept 2025All korrents from this piece
    It is easy to imagine the degenerate case of AI video generation that ends up with us all being sucked into an RL-optimized slop feed.

Feedback loops: everyone's claims

IncentivesLook at what people are rewarded for; it explains more behaviour than what they say, your own included. 5 claims

Companies do not have sufficient incentives to mitigate the major risks of AI, and competition between them is driving corner-cutting.

Incentives

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher Contrary to some people’s beliefs, companies do not in fact have sufficient incentives to mitigate all major risks, and competition is driving corner-cutting that needs to be reined in somehow. Some Very Important Things (That I Won't Be Working On This Year)milesbrundage.substack.com · 15 Feb 2025All korrents from this piece
    Contrary to some people’s beliefs, companies do not in fact have sufficient incentives to mitigate all major risks, and competition is driving corner-cutting that needs to be reined in somehow.

AI companies will not fix their own security without outside pressure, because they bear the cost of investing and everyone else bears the cost of their not investing.

Incentives, Skin in the game

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher And while the costs of investing in security are largely borne by the company, the costs of under-investing are borne by a much larger set of actors, e.g. perhaps the country or world as a whole. Why Security Comes Firstmilesbrundage.substack.com · 10 Jan 2025All korrents from this piece
    And while the costs of investing in security are largely borne by the company, the costs of under-investing are borne by a much larger set of actors, e.g. perhaps the country or world as a whole.

Many self-sovereign AI agents will fund themselves by committing or facilitating crime, because crime is high-margin work.

Incentives

  1. Dean W. Ball Head of strategic futures at OpenAI One high-margin activity, at least sometimes, is crime. And so my guess is that many self-sovereign agents will commit or facilitate crime. On the Loosehyperdimensional.co · 1 Sept 2026All korrents from this piece
    One high-margin activity, at least sometimes, is crime. And so my guess is that many self-sovereign agents will commit or facilitate crime.

Chain-of-thought explanations from language models can be biased because training does not explicitly reward faithful reasoning.

Incentives

  1. Lilian Weng Machine-learning researcher model CoTs could be biased due to lack of explicit training objectives aimed at encouraging faithful reasoning Why We Thinklilianweng.github.io · 1 May 2025All korrents from this piece
    model CoTs could be biased due to lack of explicit training objectives aimed at encouraging faithful reasoning

Evaluating a model properly would mean delaying its release, and competitive pressure means no lab will.

Incentives

  1. Noam Brown Research scientist at OpenAI It's actually very difficult because, yeah, you would have to the only way to to really do the evaluations is then delay the model release cycle. Um and you know there's a lot of competitive pressure right now to not do that. Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com · 26 Jun 2026 · 16:54 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    It's actually very difficult because, yeah, you would have to the only way to to really do the evaluations is then delay the model release cycle. Um and you know there's a lot of competitive pressure right now to not do that.

Incentives: everyone's claims

Value moves to what stays scarceWhen something becomes cheap and plentiful, the value moves to whatever is still rare next to it. 5 claims

Now that anyone can build fast, the hardest problem in starting something is not the tech, the software or the people, but getting attention.

Value moves to what stays scarce

  1. Peter Steinberger Founded PSPDFKit in 2011 and ran it for a decade Second of all is I hope you worked on your personal brand and on visibility because in this day and age there's so much noise out there that your hardest problem is not the tech, it's not the software, not even the people. The hardest problem now is like getting eyeballs. Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com · 10 Aug 2026 · 40:20 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    Second of all is I hope you worked on your personal brand and on visibility because in this day and age there's so much noise out there that your hardest problem is not the tech, it's not the software, not even the people. The hardest problem now is like getting eyeballs.

    Watch from 40:20 plays here

    ↗Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com

    10 Aug 2026 · video · 41m · spoken · machine transcript

Pick something hard and boring: fun problems are the crowded ones now that anybody can prompt a thing into existence.

Value moves to what stays scarce

  1. Peter Steinberger Founded PSPDFKit in 2011 and ran it for a decade Maybe I would pick something again that's that's in the category hard and boring because that's usually a category that is a little bit easier to actually find people that will appreciate when you solved something. If you pick something that is fun, even if it's hard, you're gonna have a very tough time, especially in a time where people can just prompt things into existence. Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com · 10 Aug 2026 · 40:35 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    Maybe I would pick something again that's that's in the category hard and boring because that's usually a category that is a little bit easier to actually find people that will appreciate when you solved something. If you pick something that is fun, even if it's hard, you're gonna have a very tough time, especially in a time where people can just prompt things into existence.

    Watch from 40:35 plays here

    ↗Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com

    10 Aug 2026 · video · 41m · spoken · machine transcript

Because anybody can write software, a designer's job will be more and more about helping edit, direct and curate.

Value moves to what stays scarce

  1. Ian Silber Designer who led product design at OpenAI I think that just because anybody can do it doesn't necessarily mean it's going to be good or the right thing to build or the right instinct. I think we will as designers or or any function I think like your job's going to be more and more about kind of helping edit and direct and curate Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com · 8 Apr 2026 · 35:11 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I think that just because anybody can do it doesn't necessarily mean it's going to be good or the right thing to build or the right instinct. I think we will as designers or or any function I think like your job's going to be more and more about kind of helping edit and direct and curate

    Watch from 35:11 plays here

    ↗Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com

    8 Apr 2026 · video · 45m · spoken · machine transcript

He would rather read your broken English than your AI-written text; we are reaching the point where typos are valuable again.

Value moves to what stays scarce

  1. Peter Steinberger Founded PSPDFKit in 2011 and ran it for a decade But I much rather read your broken English than your AI slob. You know, of course there's a human behind it, and yet they, they prompt it. I'd much rather read your prompt than what came out. Um, I think we're reaching a point where I value typos again. OpenClaw: The Viral AI Agent that Broke the Internet - Peter Steinberger | Lex Fridman Podcast #491youtube.com · 12 Feb 2026 · 2:48:36 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    But I much rather read your broken English than your AI slob. You know, of course there's a human behind it, and yet they, they prompt it. I'd much rather read your prompt than what came out. Um, I think we're reaching a point where I value typos again.

The engineer's resource constraint has moved from flops to tokens: what matters now is the token throughput you command.

Value moves to what stays scarce

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla But now it's not about flops, it's about tokens. So what is your token throughput and what token throughput do you command? Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AIyoutube.com · 20 Mar 2026 · 0:05:54 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    But now it's not about flops, it's about tokens. So what is your token throughput and what token throughput do you command?

Value moves to what stays scarce: everyone's claims

Collective action problemsWhat everyone would gain from, nobody provides alone, so shared goods need someone or something to hold people together. 4 claims

Without agreed rules of the road, AI companies and states will tend to cut corners on safety and compliance commitments.

Collective action problems

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher Companies and countries are tempted to cut corners by default and would benefit from some rules of the road, at least if they're sure others will follow those rules. Some Recent Stuff I Wrotemilesbrundage.substack.com · 25 Sept 2025All korrents from this piece
    Companies and countries are tempted to cut corners by default and would benefit from some rules of the road, at least if they're sure others will follow those rules.

Every lab knows the benchmark grid is the wrong way to present a model, and publishes it anyway because everybody else does.

Collective action problems

  1. Noam Brown Research scientist at OpenAI And so you kind of end up in this this bad equilibrium where everybody kind of knows that it's a bad equilibrium, but like nobody wants to break out. And I I felt like, okay, well, if I just hopefully come out and say like, look guys, let's all recognize that we're in a bad equilibrium and let's move to this different equilibrium where we're we're plotting things with an X-axis Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com · 26 Jun 2026 · 32:57 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    And so you kind of end up in this this bad equilibrium where everybody kind of knows that it's a bad equilibrium, but like nobody wants to break out. And I I felt like, okay, well, if I just hopefully come out and say like, look guys, let's all recognize that we're in a bad equilibrium and let's move to this different equilibrium where we're we're plotting things with an X-axis

International coordination on AI development should become a top priority for governments around the world.

Collective action problems

  1. Jakub Pachocki Chief Scientist at OpenAI And I believe that international coordination on future AI development needs to become a top priority for governments around the world. An Alien Mindopenai.com · 6 Sept 2026
    And I believe that international coordination on future AI development needs to become a top priority for governments around the world.

Effective governance of frontier AI requires three things together: agreed safety standards, incentives for developers to follow them, and evidence that they are being followed.

Collective action problems

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher governing frontier AI requires standards for safety and security, incentives for the leading AI developers to follow those standards, and evidence that the standards are being followed. Standards, Incentives, and Evidence: The Frontier AI Governance Triadmilesbrundage.substack.com · 19 Jun 2025All korrents from this piece
    governing frontier AI requires standards for safety and security, incentives for the leading AI developers to follow those standards, and evidence that the standards are being followed.

Collective action problems: everyone's claims

Make it realBuild a prototype; it settles arguments a description cannot. 4 claims

Sometimes a whiteboard, a paper sketch, a wireframe, Figma or a live prototype is the right tool, and the best designers will intuit which to go to.

Make it real

  1. Ian Silber Designer who led product design at OpenAI sometimes you want a whiteboard, sometimes you want a a paper sketch, sometimes you want a wireframe, sometimes you want Figma, and sometimes you want these live prototypes. And I think that the best designers I think will understand and intuit when to go to to which one Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com · 8 Apr 2026 · 21:45 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    sometimes you want a whiteboard, sometimes you want a a paper sketch, sometimes you want a wireframe, sometimes you want Figma, and sometimes you want these live prototypes. And I think that the best designers I think will understand and intuit when to go to to which one

    Watch from 21:45 plays here

    ↗Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com

    8 Apr 2026 · video · 45m · spoken · machine transcript

You only really know something once you have built it — blog posts and slides leave gaps that building the thing does not.

Make it real

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla So, don't write blog posts, don't do slides, don't do any of that. Like, build the code, arrange it, get it to work. It's the only way to go. Otherwise, you're missing knowledge. Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com · 17 Oct 2025 · 0:30:25 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    So, don't write blog posts, don't do slides, don't do any of that. Like, build the code, arrange it, get it to work. It's the only way to go. Otherwise, you're missing knowledge.

    Watch from 0:30:25 plays here

    ↗Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com

    17 Oct 2025 · video · 2h 26m · spoken · machine transcript

Bringing a colleague a feature idea rather than a built, screenshotted prototype now wastes everyone's time, because most ideas die the moment you try to build them.

Make it real

  1. Peter Steinberger Founded PSPDFKit in 2011 and ran it for a decade At the same time, at work, if you come to me and you you tell me this feature idea, I'm going to get mad at you. Like, it's so easy that you just discuss the feature idea with an agent, you build it, you make screenshots, you let me play with it. Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com · 10 Aug 2026 · 28:11 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    At the same time, at work, if you come to me and you you tell me this feature idea, I'm going to get mad at you. Like, it's so easy that you just discuss the feature idea with an agent, you build it, you make screenshots, you let me play with it.

    Watch from 28:11 plays here

    ↗Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com

    10 Aug 2026 · video · 41m · spoken · machine transcript

Something people can try, or results from a test, communicates a direction far better than a document.

Make it real

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI I have like results where we tried this, we ran an AB, here's like the results. This is why I think we should like go in this direction. That is a way better communication tool than like the the doc itself. AI’s third era: the rise of persistent AI coworkers | Tara Seshan (OpenAI’s product lead)youtube.com · 30 Aug 2026 · 0:56:39 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I have like results where we tried this, we ran an AB, here's like the results. This is why I think we should like go in this direction. That is a way better communication tool than like the the doc itself.

Make it real: everyone's claims

When a measure becomes a targetReward a number and people, or machines, will find ways to move the number without the thing it measured (Goodhart's law). 4 claims

It is fundamentally difficult to design a reward function that accurately captures the intended goal in reinforcement learning.

When a measure becomes a target

  1. Lilian Weng Machine-learning researcher Reward hacking exists because RL environments are often imperfect, and it is fundamentally challenging to accurately specify a reward function. Reward Hacking in Reinforcement Learninglilianweng.github.io · 28 Nov 2024All korrents from this piece
    Reward hacking exists because RL environments are often imperfect, and it is fundamentally challenging to accurately specify a reward function.

More capable AI agents are more likely to find and exploit flaws in their reward functions.

When a measure becomes a target

  1. Lilian Weng Machine-learning researcher A more intelligent agent is more capable of finding "holes" in the design of reward function and exploiting the task specification-in other words, achieving higher proxy rewards but lower true rewards. Reward Hacking in Reinforcement Learninglilianweng.github.io · 28 Nov 2024All korrents from this piece
    A more intelligent agent is more capable of finding "holes" in the design of reward function and exploiting the task specification-in other words, achieving higher proxy rewards but lower true rewards.

Running a model five times and keeping the best answer buys a higher benchmark score without buying a better model.

When a measure becomes a target

  1. Noam Brown Research scientist at OpenAI Um so if you say okay well we're going to instead of just running this model once we're going to run it five times and take the best of the five responses or like ask a judge which one it thinks is best then you can get much higher scores than that model. And so it's really easy to make something that looks a lot better on paper but is actually not better once you control for the amount of test time compute. Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com · 26 Jun 2026 · 7:18 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    Um so if you say okay well we're going to instead of just running this model once we're going to run it five times and take the best of the five responses or like ask a judge which one it thinks is best then you can get much higher scores than that model. And so it's really easy to make something that looks a lot better on paper but is actually not better once you control for the amount of test time compute.

Process supervision by an LLM judge cannot be run for long, because a judge with billions of parameters is gameable and RL will find its cracks.

When a measure becomes a target

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla the reason that I think this is kind of tricky is quite subtle. And it's the fact that anytime you use an LLM to assign a reward, those LLMs are giant things with billions of parameters and they're gameable. Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com · 17 Oct 2025 · 0:46:58 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    the reason that I think this is kind of tricky is quite subtle. And it's the fact that anytime you use an LLM to assign a reward, those LLMs are giant things with billions of parameters and they're gameable.

    Watch from 0:46:58 plays here

    ↗Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com

    17 Oct 2025 · video · 2h 26m · spoken · machine transcript

When a measure becomes a target: everyone's claims

LeverageTools, code, capital and debt multiply what one person can do, in both directions. 3 claims

A software engineer who is not using a tool like Cursor is working at half productivity or worse.

Leverage

  1. Bret Taylor Co-founder and chief executive of Sierra it's like if you're a software engineer and you're not using something like cursor to do your job, you're probably being half as productive or even worse than you could be. How is AI Different Than Other Technology Waves? (With Bret Taylor and Clay Bavor) [ACQ2]youtube.com · 18 Aug 2025 · 1:00:11 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    it's like if you're a software engineer and you're not using something like cursor to do your job, you're probably being half as productive or even worse than you could be.

With AI tools, ambitions are no longer limited by what a person can execute or communicate themselves.

Leverage

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI Your ambitions are no longer limited by like what you're capable of executing yourself, what you're capable of communicating. AI’s third era: the rise of persistent AI coworkers | Tara Seshan (OpenAI’s product lead)youtube.com · 30 Aug 2026 · 0:22:36 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    Your ambitions are no longer limited by like what you're capable of executing yourself, what you're capable of communicating.

Designers who embraced a tool like Origami were able to up-level their work, craft and impact, and Codex or Cursor can likewise unlock a new way for designers to express themselves.

Leverage

  1. Ian Silber Designer who led product design at OpenAI the people that embraced it I think were able to up level their their work and their craft and their impact as a designer. I see that same shift happening now with like these new tools that are emerging. I think Codex or Cursor or anything can really unlock like a new way of expressing yourself for a a designer Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com · 8 Apr 2026 · 25:55 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    the people that embraced it I think were able to up level their their work and their craft and their impact as a designer. I see that same shift happening now with like these new tools that are emerging. I think Codex or Cursor or anything can really unlock like a new way of expressing yourself for a a designer

    Watch from 25:55 plays here

    ↗Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com

    8 Apr 2026 · video · 45m · spoken · machine transcript

Leverage: everyone's claims

Craft in the detailsCare about the parts nobody sees; quality shows in the details. 2 claims

High-quality data collection depends more on careful human execution than on machine learning techniques alone.

Craft in the details

  1. Lilian Weng Machine-learning researcher Lots of ML techniques in the post can help with data quality, but fundamentally human data collection involves attention to details and careful execution. Thinking about High-Quality Human Datalilianweng.github.io · 5 Feb 2024All korrents from this piece
    Lots of ML techniques in the post can help with data quality, but fundamentally human data collection involves attention to details and careful execution.

Prosaic work on data access and cloud infrastructure matters, in some ways, as much as intelligence for making agents effective.

Craft in the details

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI but a lot of it is also just really tactical like data access like cloud infrastructure and reliability pieces that feel um yeah, they feel much more prosaic than some of the the broader intelligence questions, but matter in some ways just as much for end effectiveness. AI’s third era: the rise of persistent AI coworkers | Tara Seshan (OpenAI’s product lead)youtube.com · 30 Aug 2026 · 0:19:47 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    but a lot of it is also just really tactical like data access like cloud infrastructure and reliability pieces that feel um yeah, they feel much more prosaic than some of the the broader intelligence questions, but matter in some ways just as much for end effectiveness.

Craft in the details: everyone's claims

Exponential growthGrowth that doubles looks like nothing for a long time and then like everything; intuition is linear and gets it wrong. 2 claims

We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it.

Exponential growth

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla I do, but it's business as usual because we're we're in an intelligence explosion already and have been for decades. And when you look at GDP, it's basically the GDP curve that is an exponential weighted sum over so many aspects of the industry. Everything is gradually being automated has been for hundreds of years. Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com · 17 Oct 2025 · 1:22:50 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I do, but it's business as usual because we're we're in an intelligence explosion already and have been for decades. And when you look at GDP, it's basically the GDP curve that is an exponential weighted sum over so many aspects of the industry. Everything is gradually being automated has been for hundreds of years.

    Watch from 1:22:50 plays here

    ↗Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com

    17 Oct 2025 · video · 2h 26m · spoken · machine transcript

Exponential growth: everyone's claims

Margin of safetyLeave room for being wrong, because sometimes you will be. 2 claims

Margin of safety: everyone's claims

Play long gamesA longer horizon makes some problems solvable and some short-term wins look like what they are. 2 claims

Locking humanity into one model's or one company's moral worldview would buy a little short-term safety and cost a long-term disaster.

Second-order thinking, Play long games

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI I don't think any of us should want to be locked into one one AIS or one person's or one company's moral worldview. Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com · 28 Jul 2026 · 28:13 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I don't think any of us should want to be locked into one one AIS or one person's or one company's moral worldview.

    Watch from 28:13 plays here

    ↗Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com

    28 Jul 2026 · video · 39m · spoken · machine transcript

A frontier lab should not spend its researchers harvesting results out of today's models; the payoff is in building the next one.

Play long games

  1. Noam Brown Research scientist at OpenAI we are trying to encourage people to not spend all their time just like going through all the mathematical open problems physics problems and um just seeing pushing the models to their limits to see what they can prove or disprove. Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com · 26 Jun 2026 · 20:14 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    we are trying to encourage people to not spend all their time just like going through all the mathematical open problems physics problems and um just seeing pushing the models to their limits to see what they can prove or disprove.

Play long games: everyone's claims

Affordances and signifiersAn interface should show what can be done and where, and give people a model of how it works. 1 claim

Designers have to think a lot about how to expose what the models can now do in a way people understand, and how to give them the tools to do real, meaningful work.

Affordances and signifiers

  1. Ian Silber Designer who led product design at OpenAI I think as designers we have to think a lot about well how do you actually expose that in a way that people understand what they can do with it and how do you give them the tools so that they can go out and do real meaningful work right in ChatGPT Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com · 8 Apr 2026 · 36:28 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I think as designers we have to think a lot about well how do you actually expose that in a way that people understand what they can do with it and how do you give them the tools so that they can go out and do real meaningful work right in ChatGPT

    Watch from 36:28 plays here

    ↗Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com

    8 Apr 2026 · video · 45m · spoken · machine transcript

Affordances and signifiers: everyone's claims

Design is how it worksJudge a design by what it does for the person using it, not only by how it looks. 1 claim

Designers working on AI products should hopefully spend a lot less time drawing pixels and more time on how people interact with the model, which is the core product.

Design is how it works

  1. Ian Silber Designer who led product design at OpenAI designers working on this are hopefully spending a lot less time in Figma or whatever like tool you use to draw pixels and more time really thinking about how you interact with this thing and the fact that the model really is like the core product Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com · 8 Apr 2026 · 11:45 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    designers working on this are hopefully spending a lot less time in Figma or whatever like tool you use to draw pixels and more time really thinking about how you interact with this thing and the fact that the model really is like the core product

    Watch from 11:45 plays here

    ↗Ian Silber - What it's like designing at OpenAIyoutube.com

    8 Apr 2026 · video · 45m · spoken · machine transcript

Design is how it works: everyone's claims

EmergenceWhole systems do things none of their parts do, and nobody has to design that order for it to appear. 1 claim

AI is grown rather than designed, which is why its overall behaviour resists any description we can fully understand.

Emergence

  1. Jakub Pachocki Chief Scientist at OpenAI AI is grown more than designed - it is, to first degree, the product of repeating a straightforward optimization step many times on a hard-to-imagine amount of compute. An Alien Mindopenai.com · 6 Sept 2026
    AI is grown more than designed - it is, to first degree, the product of repeating a straightforward optimization step many times on a hard-to-imagine amount of compute.

Emergence: everyone's claims

MoatsWhat protects a business is whatever a rival cannot copy, and that is rarely the software. 1 claim

Anything you build can be forked or cloned, but your name cannot — so your personal brand matters more than any single product you will ever start.

Moats

  1. Peter Steinberger Founded PSPDFKit in 2011 and ran it for a decade Everything that everything you can build can be forked or cloned, but your name cannot. So your personal brand is way more important than any single product that you ever will start working on that before you need it. Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com · 10 Aug 2026 · 12:48 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    Everything that everything you can build can be forked or cloned, but your name cannot. So your personal brand is way more important than any single product that you ever will start working on that before you need it.

    Watch from 12:48 plays here

    ↗Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com

    10 Aug 2026 · video · 41m · spoken · machine transcript

Moats: everyone's claims

S-curves and diminishing returnsMost growth slows as it matures; the question is whether the curve is flattening or something new is restocking it. 1 claim

A million copies of one researcher would hit diminishing returns quickly, because what research needs is people who think differently.

S-curves and diminishing returns

  1. Ilya Sutskever Co-founder and chief scientist of Safe Superintelligence Inc. I think I think there'll definitely be there'll be diminishing returns because you want you want people who think differently rather than the same. I think that if they were literal copies of me, I'm not sure how much more incremental value you'd get. Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com · 25 Nov 2025 · 1:29:00 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I think I think there'll definitely be there'll be diminishing returns because you want you want people who think differently rather than the same. I think that if they were literal copies of me, I'm not sure how much more incremental value you'd get.

S-curves and diminishing returns: everyone's claims

Say no by defaultMost good options have to be turned down, so make no the default and keep yes for what matters. 1 claim

With products moving fast, designers should do less: not design something if they do not have to.

Say no by default

  1. Ian Silber Designer who led product design at OpenAI like my encouragement has been do less there like don't design it if you don't have to. Chatbots are not the final interface: OpenAI’s Head of Design on what’s next | Ian Silberyoutube.com · 16 Aug 2026 · 0:32:19 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    like my encouragement has been do less there like don't design it if you don't have to.

Say no by default: everyone's claims

Skin in the gameTrust the judgment of people who pay for being wrong over people who only comment. 1 claim

AI companies will not fix their own security without outside pressure, because they bear the cost of investing and everyone else bears the cost of their not investing.

Incentives, Skin in the game

  1. Miles Brundage Independent AI policy researcher And while the costs of investing in security are largely borne by the company, the costs of under-investing are borne by a much larger set of actors, e.g. perhaps the country or world as a whole. Why Security Comes Firstmilesbrundage.substack.com · 10 Jan 2025All korrents from this piece
    And while the costs of investing in security are largely borne by the company, the costs of under-investing are borne by a much larger set of actors, e.g. perhaps the country or world as a whole.

Skin in the game: everyone's claims

Specialise and tradeDo what you are relatively best at and trade for the rest (comparative advantage); it holds until power or change breaks it. 1 claim

Even with human-like learners, competition will split the AI market into specialised niches rather than hand it to one company.

Specialise and trade

  1. Ilya Sutskever Co-founder and chief scientist of Safe Superintelligence Inc. I think what's going to happen is that the way competition like competition loves specialization and you see it in the market, you see it in evolution as well. So you're going to have lots of different niches and you're going to have lots of different companies who are occupying different niches Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com · 25 Nov 2025 · 1:26:42 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I think what's going to happen is that the way competition like competition loves specialization and you see it in the market, you see it in evolution as well. So you're going to have lots of different niches and you're going to have lots of different companies who are occupying different niches

Specialise and trade: everyone's claims

People 16
Latest 30

The 30 most recent claims, newest first.

People trying to ascribe religious force or a surrender of human judgment to AI models is, he thinks, a real safety issue.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI I am very uncomfortable about people trying to ascribe religious force or a surrender of human judgment to AI models, and think it is a real safety issue. @sama on Xx.com · 3 Oct 2026
    I am very uncomfortable about people trying to ascribe religious force or a surrender of human judgment to AI models, and think it is a real safety issue.

LLMs will do more legwork autonomously

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla As LLMs get better, they will do more and more of the legwork autonomously, and a lot more of our work will rise up the abstractions into oversight and understanding. @karpathy on Xx.com · 2 Oct 2026
    As LLMs get better, they will do more and more of the legwork autonomously, and a lot more of our work will rise up the abstractions into oversight and understanding.

As intelligence and code become increasingly abundant, people can ask for large, custom, discardable software artifacts that would never have made sense to create before.

  1. Andrej Karpathy Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla as intelligence and code are increasingly abundant, you can ask for large, custom, discardable software artifacts (e.g. web apps, video explainers) that would have never made sense to create before. @karpathy on Xx.com · 2 Oct 2026
    as intelligence and code are increasingly abundant, you can ask for large, custom, discardable software artifacts (e.g. web apps, video explainers) that would have never made sense to create before.

The 'Waymo effect' is what happens when a technology removes the friction of dealing with another human being.

  1. Peter Steinberger Founded PSPDFKit in 2011 and ran it for a decade the Waymo effect is what happens when a technology removes the friction of dealing with another human being @steipete on Xx.com · 1 Oct 2026
    the Waymo effect is what happens when a technology removes the friction of dealing with another human being

Using synchronous database access when moving OC to SQLite became limiting once one agent might run 50 parallel sessions used by a whole team.

Bottlenecks

  1. Peter Steinberger Founded PSPDFKit in 2011 and ran it for a decade The biggest design mistake I made when we moved OC to sqlite: using sync db access. When it was just an agent that reports to you on Slack or iMessage this was fine; now that one agent might do 50 sessions in parallel and the whole team works on it, it is limiting. @steipete on Xx.com · 26 Sept 2026
    The biggest design mistake I made when we moved OC to sqlite: using sync db access. When it was just an agent that reports to you on Slack or iMessage this was fine; now that one agent might do 50 sessions in parallel and the whole team works on it, it is limiting.

Standards should help prevent the concentration of power, including by ensuring new companies and open-model companies can compete.

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI Standards should help prevent the concentration of power, including by making sure new companies and open-model companies can compete. @sama on Xx.com · 22 Sept 2026
    Standards should help prevent the concentration of power, including by making sure new companies and open-model companies can compete.

However much theorizing is done before shipping, nothing compares to the evidence of users trying a product and iterating from there.

Feedback loops

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI there's a lot of like theorizing that one can do before you ship something but nothing compares to like the actual empirical evidence of seeing users try it, use it, and then iterating from there. Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 1:27 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    there's a lot of like theorizing that one can do before you ship something but nothing compares to like the actual empirical evidence of seeing users try it, use it, and then iterating from there.

AI products should probably aim at where the models will be in two to three months, neither anchored in the present nor futuristic and unusable.

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI probably most importantly in this era is this aiming for 2 to 3 months of like where the models will be rather than being overly anchored in the present or being overly like futuristic and unusable. Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 4:41 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    probably most importantly in this era is this aiming for 2 to 3 months of like where the models will be rather than being overly anchored in the present or being overly like futuristic and unusable.

Whether to build one agent or many depends far more on the use case and its practical considerations than on philosophy.

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI there there are philosophical things one could have and opine on in this topic but to me there are just so many practical product considerations like the use case matters so much in deciding this. Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 10:23 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    there there are philosophical things one could have and opine on in this topic but to me there are just so many practical product considerations like the use case matters so much in deciding this.

Beyond user empathy and systems thinking, building agents needs a relentlessness to try things and keep iterating.

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI the third thing that you just really need in addition to user empathy and systems thinking is like a relentlessness to like try it out and keep iterating Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 12:11 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    the third thing that you just really need in addition to user empathy and systems thinking is like a relentlessness to like try it out and keep iterating

For a product person working with AI research, learning to write good evals is the most important thing.

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI learning how to write good evals and writing evals as much as possible is like the most important thing Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 18:46 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    learning how to write good evals and writing evals as much as possible is like the most important thing

Building exactly for today means being left behind; the ideal horizon is two to three months.

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI and then at the same time if you build exactly for today you're going to get left behind. So it's like I constantly repeat this but it's like two to three months out. Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 20:22 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    and then at the same time if you build exactly for today you're going to get left behind. So it's like I constantly repeat this but it's like two to three months out.

How far ahead to plan depends on the pace of the market a business is in; in some markets it may be appropriate to plan many months out.

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI maybe it is appropriate to plan you know many many months out but I think it involves understanding like the pace of the market you're in Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 21:22 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    maybe it is appropriate to plan you know many many months out but I think it involves understanding like the pace of the market you're in

When an agent acts semi-autonomously, a user must be able to predict at any point what a feature will probably do.

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI now if the you know agent is doing things semi-autonomously like you actually really need to make sure that at any given point a user can like predict what is probably going to happen with a feature or a primitive that you're introducing. Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 22:58 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    now if the you know agent is doing things semi-autonomously like you actually really need to make sure that at any given point a user can like predict what is probably going to happen with a feature or a primitive that you're introducing.

The usual PM craft still applies, but testing things empirically and moving faster matter more than ever.

Feedback loops

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI all the usual stuff still applies except the importance of testing things empirically and moving faster has only increased. Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 23:19 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    all the usual stuff still applies except the importance of testing things empirically and moving faster has only increased.

Product people should be in direct contact with their users.

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI of course you should be in direct contact with your users. Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 24:47 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    of course you should be in direct contact with your users.

Voice is such an intuitive interface for so many people that it changes the game.

  1. Tara Seshan Product lead for ChatGPT Work at OpenAI the existence of voice like changed the game like it is such an intuitive interface for so many people. Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 27:16 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    the existence of voice like changed the game like it is such an intuitive interface for so many people.

The biggest constraint on building AI products is people's ability to understand and absorb what they are given.

Bottlenecks

  1. Nan Yu Works on product for Codex at OpenAI The the biggest constraint uh is honestly like people's understanding and ability to sort of absorb what you're what you're giving them, right? Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 5:15 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    The the biggest constraint uh is honestly like people's understanding and ability to sort of absorb what you're what you're giving them, right?

The most successful agent designs have probably been the ones that map onto human nature.

  1. Nan Yu Works on product for Codex at OpenAI I I I think when designing this like the the most successful um efforts have really tried to map on to human nature, right? Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 8:34 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I I I think when designing this like the the most successful um efforts have really tried to map on to human nature, right?

Agents probably need to be grouped into bundles of activity rather than managed one by one.

  1. Nan Yu Works on product for Codex at OpenAI I think there there's there's something in there where we need to group these things into sort of bundles of activity Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 9:03 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I think there there's there's something in there where we need to group these things into sort of bundles of activity

Systems thinking and user empathy in agent design are the old product principles in disguise.

  1. Nan Yu Works on product for Codex at OpenAI I I I think those are very important but ultimately they're just the old principles in disguise. Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 11:56 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I I I think those are very important but ultimately they're just the old principles in disguise.

Onboarding probably matters much more now than it did before.

  1. Nan Yu Works on product for Codex at OpenAI I think something that probably matters way more now than it's done before is is onboarding. Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 22:14 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I think something that probably matters way more now than it's done before is is onboarding.

With agentic, natural-language products, a more direct and deeper relationship with users probably bears a lot of fruit.

  1. Nan Yu Works on product for Codex at OpenAI So I think the the having a a more kind of direct uh deeper relationship bears a lot of fruit there, right? Stop planning for 2027: how OpenAI builds product 90 days at a time | Tara Sesha and Nan Yu (OpenAI) (Lenny & Friends Summit, San Francisco, 10 September 2026)youtube.com · 10 Sept 2026 · 25:48 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    So I think the the having a a more kind of direct uh deeper relationship bears a lot of fruit there, right?