How verifiable a task is now predicts how automatable it is, the way specifiability predicted it in the 1980s.

Drawn from what Andrej Karpathy said

What this subject means

AI and jobs Whether AI displaces human work, which jobs go first, and what replaces them.

What Andrej Karpathy actually said

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A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well.

The prediction rests on the mechanism: verifiability predicts automatability because a verifiable task is one reinforcement learning can grind down until the network is very good at it.

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