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← How verifiable a task is now predicts how automatable it is, the way specifiability predicted it in the 1980s.
16 connected korrents · 16 moments from 22 Mar 2025 to 10 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs
Everything filed under coding agents
coding agents
Everything filed under reinforcement learning
reinforcement learning
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under coding agents
coding agents Rests on Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: How verifiable a task is now predicts how automatable it is, the way specifiability predicted it in the 1980s. How verifiable a task is now predicts how automatable it is, the way specifiability predicted it in the 1980s. Last stated 11 months ago
17 Nov 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are
Rests on: A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. — tap to centre the map on it A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. Last stated 11 months ago
17 Nov 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI has changed software development enough that some old assumptions about it no longer hold. — tap to centre the map on it AI has changed software development enough that some old assumptions about it no longer hold. Last stated 9 months ago
15 Jan 2026
SK
Steve Klabnik — holds since 2026-01-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Formal verification is about to become economical, because models are getting good enough at writing the proofs that humans no longer have to. — tap to centre the map on it Formal verification is about to become economical, because models are getting good enough at writing the proofs that humans no longer have to. Last stated 6 months ago
22 Apr 2026
MK
Martin Kleppmann — holds since 2026-04-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A machine can complete the task and completely miss the job -- coding makes this easy to see precisely because its tasks are so legible and verifiable. — tap to centre the map on it A machine can complete the task and completely miss the job -- coding makes this easy to see precisely because its tasks are so legible and verifiable. Last stated 2 months ago
14 Aug 2026
SP
Sunil Pai — holds since 2026-08-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI agents can now do real cognitive work, and writing software is permanently changed as a result. — tap to centre the map on it AI agents can now do real cognitive work, and writing software is permanently changed as a result. Last stated a year ago
10 Jun 2025
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2025-06-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most current predictions about AI's imminent impact on the job market are naive. — tap to centre the map on it Most current predictions about AI's imminent impact on the job market are naive. Last stated a year ago
25 Sept 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-09-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The shift from a transductive paradigm to an inductive paradigm is the big story of 2025 and 2026. — tap to centre the map on it The shift from a transductive paradigm to an inductive paradigm is the big story of 2025 and 2026. Last stated a week ago
10 Oct 2026
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2026-10-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about. — tap to centre the map on it A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about. Last stated 7 months ago
11 Mar 2026
SY
Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A likely outcome is that many occupations are eventually mostly replaced by AI while humans still have plenty to do. — tap to centre the map on it A likely outcome is that many occupations are eventually mostly replaced by AI while humans still have plenty to do. Last stated a month ago
7 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A lot of jobs will probably be created because of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A lot of jobs will probably be created because of AI. Last stated 3 weeks ago
27 Sept 2026
MG
Molly Graham — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will not eliminate software engineering jobs, but engineers who are highly skilled with AI tools could displace those who are not. — tap to centre the map on it AI will not eliminate software engineering jobs, but engineers who are highly skilled with AI tools could displace those who are not. Last stated 6 months ago
27 Apr 2026
JS
Jon Seager — holds since 2026-04-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As a capability becomes abundant, its remaining scarce complements become more valuable. — tap to centre the map on it As a capability becomes abundant, its remaining scarce complements become more valuable. Last stated a month ago
13 Sept 2026
VR
Venkatesh Rao — holds since 2026-09-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Leaning on AI trades knowledge for speed, and the price may be a generation of programmers in which juniors stay juniors forever. — tap to centre the map on it Leaning on AI trades knowledge for speed, and the price may be a generation of programmers in which juniors stay juniors forever. Last stated 2 years ago
22 Mar 2025
TH
ThePrimeagen — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An agent can understand a maximally simplified explanation and still be unable to come up with it — that gap is what is left of the expert's job. — tap to centre the map on it An agent can understand a maximally simplified explanation and still be unable to come up with it — that gap is what is left of the expert's job. Last stated 7 months ago
20 Mar 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An AI you have to supervise at 90 percent is not 90 percent task completion: you are still doing the thing. — tap to centre the map on it An AI you have to supervise at 90 percent is not 90 percent task completion: you are still doing the thing. Last stated a month ago
8 Sept 2026
RU
Roman Ugarte — holds since 2026-09-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As AI agents take on bigger delegated tasks, the human bottleneck shifts to writing specs and reviewing output fast, hollowing out the middle of the work. — tap to centre the map on it As AI agents take on bigger delegated tasks, the human bottleneck shifts to writing specs and reviewing output fast, hollowing out the middle of the work. Last stated 5 months ago
3 May 2026
EY
Eugene Yan — holds since 2026-05-03 — tap for who they are