A question, the views people on record take on it, and their own words under
each. Our reading of what the claims have in common; the quotes are theirs.
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Where does the energy come from, and what is stopping it?
A question that used to be about which technology would win and is now mostly about what can actually get built. On the record here: how far the cost of solar has fallen, what the AI build-out does to demand, why large projects stall in rich countries, and which of the received worries about energy use survive contact with the numbers. Dated, in their own words.
10 people on record ·
4 views · most recent 3 Sept 2026
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How dangerous is AI, and how soon?
The loudest disagreement in technology, and the people on record here are not arguing about one question but three: whether the danger is the kind of thing that can be reasoned about at all, whether the systems or the companies building them are the thing to watch, and when any of it arrives. One of the clearest statements on this page is one its author has since abandoned. Dated, in their own words.
10 people on record ·
4 views · most recent 2 Sept 2026
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Will AI take the jobs?
Some of the people on record here expect AI to remove whole classes of work within a few years. Others think the confident predictions are themselves the overreach — that past waves created new work, and that the loudest forecasts have already missed. A third group has stopped arguing about whether and started arguing about what to do if it happens. Dated, in their own words.
6 people on record ·
4 views · most recent 2 Sept 2026
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What do coding agents change about software work?
Everyone here agrees the tools got good. The disagreement is about what follows: whether cheap implementation was ever the thing holding software back, how much of the craft still needs a person, and what the human in the loop is actually for. One of the strongest claims on this page is one its holder has since abandoned. Dated, in their own words.
9 people on record ·
4 views · most recent 26 Aug 2026
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Does public debt cost what we think it does?
For a decade the answer looked settled: with interest rates below growth, debt could be rolled over almost for free, and the usual thresholds meant little. Rates then moved, and so did some of the people who had argued it — this page carries two documented changes of mind on the question, both from people who had put the earlier position in writing. Dated, in their own words.
4 people on record ·
3 views · most recent 21 Aug 2026