korrents

reinforcement learning

Training by reward: environments, verifiable tasks, value functions, and whether it works or merely beats what came before.

What people on korrents have said about reinforcement learning, newest first — 772 positions from 236 people.

FilterEveryone, all time
Who Everyone DHDavid Heinemeier Hansson 23 SASam Altman 17 JHJensen Huang 15 PGPaul Graham 15 AKAndrej Karpathy 11 BSBlake Scholl 11 BMBranko Milanovic 10 CHCasey Handmer 10 GMGeorge Monbiot 10 AWAlexandr Wang 9 AVAustin Vernon 9 DPDylan Patel 9 HRHannah Ritchie 9 IFIrving Finkel 9 JHJames Holland 9 DWDan Wang 8 DDDmitri Dolgov 8 MGMichael Grunwald 8 SPSerhii Plokhy 8 APAda Palmer 7 DHDan Houser 7 DADario Amodei 7 EBEd Barnhart 7 GHGeorge Hotz 7 SPSarah Paine 7 ASAravind Srinivas 6 CFChelsea Finn 6 DHDemis Hassabis 6 DSDerek Sivers 6 GHGraham Hancock 6 ISIlya Sutskever 6 JZJulie Zhuo 6 NLNathan Lambert 6 PLPieter Levels 6 RARalph Adolphs 6 RGRyan Greenblatt 6 TSTim Sweeney 6 AFAdam Frank 5 BABill Ackman 5 CMCasey Muratori 5 DHDave Hone 5 JKJeff Kaplan 5 JBJennifer Burns 5 LPLant Pritchett 5 MZMark Zuckerberg 5 MHMolson Hart 5 PCPatrick Collison 5 RSRichard Sutton 5 RBRodney Brooks 5 TCTyler Cowen 5 AOAddy Osmani 4 BFBjorn Fehrm 4 BDBret Devereaux 4 CMCharity Majors 4 DRDax Raad 4 EMElon Musk 4 ESEvan Spiegel 4 FLFei-Fei Li 4 FLFrank Lantz 4 JWJack Weatherford 4 JLJason Lemkin 4 JMJohn Mearsheimer 4 LFLex Fridman 4 MKMartin Kleppmann 4 NLNick Lane 4 NSNoah Smith 4 OBOlivier Blanchard 4 PDPavel Durov 4 RHRobin Hanson 4 SNSatya Nadella 4 SWSimon Willison 4 SPSundar Pichai 4 TPThuan Pham 4 TWTommy Wood 4 ZMZvi Mowshowitz 4 ACAjeya Cotra 3 ATAlex Telford 3 AEAlice Evans 3 ALAlon Levy 3 CRCharan Ranganath 3 EJEleanor Janega 3 EVElena Verna 3 ESElizabeth Stone 3 ÉTÉmile P. Torres 3 FDFreddie deBoer 3 HMHoward Marks 3 ITIsaiah Taylor 3 JWJarrett Walker 3 JDJeff Dean 3 KJKeyu Jin 3 LDLaura Deming 3 LBLinus Blomqvist 3 MPMark Pincus 3 MHMax Hodak 3 MNMichael Nielsen 3 MBMiles Brundage 3 NBNoam Brown 3 PCPaul Christiano 3 PTPhil Trammell 3 RVRahul Vohra 3 RBRyan Burge 3 SWSara Walker 3 SCSean Carroll 3 SLSergey Levine 3 TGTed Gioia 3 TVTom Verrilli 3 TFTony Fadell 3 TKTravis Kalanick 3 ATAdam Tooze 2 ACAlbert Cheng 2 AIAlex Imas 2 AHAnders Hejlsberg 2 AGAndrew Gelman 2 AJAnnie Jacobsen 2 ARArmin Ronacher 2 BSBalaji Srinivasan 2 BCBen Carlson 2 BCBrian G. Chow 2 BPBrian Potter 2 BCBryan Caplan 2 CLCharles Fain Lehman 2 CMCharles Marohn 2 CHChip Huyen 2 CSChris Smaje 2 CMCraig Mod 2 DBDean W. Ball 2 EDEli Dourado 2 EYEliezer Yudkowsky 2 EMEmmanuel Macron 2 EMEthan Mollick 2 FCFrank Chimero 2 HWHillel Wayne 2 HKHolden Karnofsky 2 JNJakob Nielsen 2 JCJason Cohen 2 JLJoe Liemandt 2 JCJohn H. Cochrane 2 KBKent Beck 2 LSL. M. Sacasas 2 LRLisa Randall 2 LLLuca Lampariello 2 MGMatthew Green 2 MKMichael Kratsios 2 MLMichael Lewis 2 MMMoxie Marlinspike 2 NANadia Asparouhova 2 NCNick Cave 2 NFNicole Forsgren 2 NONorman Ohler 2 OBOliver Burkeman 2 PMPatrick McKenzie 2 PKPaul Krugman 2 PTPeter Thiel 2 RNRamez Naam 2 RTRuxandra Teslo 2 RSRyan Singer 2 SDSaloni Dattani 2 SYScott H. Young 2 SWSebastiaan de With 2 SGStephan Guyenet 2 TCTed Chiang 2 THThePrimeagen 2 TDThomas Depierre 2 TLTimothy B. Lee 2 TLTobias Lütke 2 WMWilliam MacAskill 2 AMAdam Mastroianni 1 ACAlan Castel 1 ARAlice Ryhl 1 BCBoris Cherny 1 BTBrad Templeton 1 BTBret Taylor 1 BVBret Victor 1 BJBryan Johnson 1 BSBuck Shlegeris 1 CHCate Hall 1 CBChris Blattman 1 CACliff Asness 1 CDCory Doctorow 1 DHDaniel Herriges 1 DMDavid MacKay 1 DLDerek Lowe 1 DHDex Horthy 1 DNDon Norman 1 DODoug O'Laughlin 1 DFDylan Field 1 EZEd Zitron 1 EBEric Berger 1 EREric Ries 1 FCFrançois Chollet 1 GMGabor Mate 1 GSGrant Sanderson 1 HTHelen Toner 1 JDJamie Dimon 1 JLJanna Levin 1 JMJavier Milei 1 JBJeff Bezos 1 JHJon Haidt 1 JSJonathan Shedler 1 JRJosé Luis Ricón 1 JMJulie Menanno 1 KHKelsey Hightower 1 KWKen White 1 KEKevin Esvelt 1 LTLip-Bu Tan 1 MAMaggie Appleton 1 MAMarc Andreessen 1 MCMark Carney 1 MLMark Lynas 1 MFMartin Fowler 1 MHMasud Husain 1 MJMatt Johnson 1 MMMatt Mullenweg 1 MMMike Masnick 1 MHMitchell Hashimoto 1 NSNate Silver 1 NONeri Oxman 1 NMNick Maggiulli 1 OKOliver Kim 1 PBPaul Bloom 1 PAPeter Attia 1 PSPeter Steinberger 1 PKPhilip Koopman 1 RBRadley Balko 1 RKRaph Koster 1 RDRay Dalio 1 SBSamo Burja 1 SHSamuel Hughes 1 SAScott Alexander 1 SHScott Helme 1 SYSteve Yegge 1 SPSteven Pressfield 1 TSTimothy Snyder 1 ULUrsula von der Leyen 1 WHWayne Hale 1 WBWendy Behary 1
  1. PL

    Pieter Levels quoted

    I think now that AGI is on the horizon (or some say already here), online and offline (IRL) communities will become really important.

    After a decade, I have made nomads.com free for everyone nowlevels.io

    AGI

  2. ZM

    Zvi Mowshowitz quoted

    People are simple creatures, you have to talk to them on their level sometimes.

    Claude Mythos 5.1 and Fable 5.1: Capabilitiesthezvi.substack.com

  3. 1 day earlier
  4. FL

    Fei-Fei Li quoted

    It's the first time we have a unification of pixel generation and pixel reconstruction. In the world of computer vision this field has been around for more than half a century.

    Why Fei-Fei Li Is Betting on Spatial Intelligenceyoutube.com 1st of 13 in this recording

  5. FL

    Fei-Fei Li quoted

    So in the on the path to spatial intelligence, generating pixels is definitely a a early step, which we have seen with what you call it gazillions of models. But generating pixels that are truly spatially contextualized and grounded is absolutely another major step. And that is the very hard step that Atlas has taken.

    Why Fei-Fei Li Is Betting on Spatial Intelligenceyoutube.com 5th of 13 in this recording

  6. FL

    Fei-Fei Li quoted

    I think three of us have total conviction about the scaling law. That that I think we do. I do think the exact architecture choices and data mixtures is where the the devils are in the details.

    Why Fei-Fei Li Is Betting on Spatial Intelligenceyoutube.com 7th of 13 in this recording

    scaling laws

  7. SW

    Simon Willison quoted

    It looks to me like OpenAI’s sandbox for this agent suffered from the (quite naïve) assumption that GET requests cannot be used to update data. That’s certainly how the web is supposed to work, but clearly there are applications that don’t hold to that contract.

    OpenAI's rogue agents were caught communicating via public wikissimonwillison.net

    OpenAI

  8. ZM

    Zvi Mowshowitz quoted

    You have to treat Mythos 5.1 as being a Tier 2 manipulator, until and unless you can show that it is not one.

    Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1: The System Cardthezvi.substack.com

    benchmarks

  9. SA

    Scott Alexander quoted

    The footnotes are critically important if you want to understand a world so completely different from the one we live in, and the characters generally behave, think, and feel in ways that are so outdated as to be completely unrelatable.

    Your Book Review: The Tale Of Genjiastralcodexten.com

  10. NS

    Nate Silver quoted

    That’s not a particularly likely outcome, but elections are often decided on the margins.

    Democrats just got one seat closer to retaking the Housenatesilver.net

  11. 1 day earlier
  12. DS

    Derek Sivers quoted

    We’re used to using price as an indicator of quality, so our instinct says that the $20,000 surgery in Switzerland is better than the $2000 surgery in India, but the rule of volume disagrees.

    Bangalore India hospital flowsive.rs 1st of 2 in this piece

  13. DS

    Derek Sivers quoted

    It’s not orderly. But neither is water flowing in a stream. It flows around obstacles. Everything is opportunistic, selfishly taking the effective path, exploiting available gaps. It’s natural.

    Bangalore India hospital flowsive.rs 2nd of 2 in this piece

  14. BC

    Ben Carlson quoted

    How much you save has a far greater impact than your investments early on in your career. But as your portfolio grows, investment returns swamp your savings because of the wonders of compounding.

    How to Invest When Your Portfolio Gets Biggerawealthofcommonsense.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  15. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    the way you make a new Google is not by attacking them head on. You have to wait for things to change so much that their model is is obsolete and that's when you can do it. And that's what Open AI is.

    Paul Graham On Startups, Ambition, and Great Foundersyoutube.com 3rd of 16 in this recording

    OpenAIGoogle

  16. 1 day earlier
  17. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    One of the distinctive things about YC as compared to later stage investors is that you have to be prepared to give advice about practically everything.

    @paulg on Xx.com

    startups

  18. 1 day earlier
  19. DB

    Dean W. Ball quoted

    But alignment is no solution: it is an unsolved scientific and technical problem whose solutions—to the extent that we have them—cannot simply be imposed on every AI company operating on Earth. You should expect for highly capable, poorly aligned, self-sovereign agents to exist alongside you in the world.

    On the Loosehyperdimensional.co 2nd of 11 in this piece

    AI alignmentself-sovereign AI

  20. AC

    Ajeya Cotra quoted

    and they're creatively pursuing goals much like very ambitious aggressive power-seeking humans creatively pursued their goals And so there are just structural analogies here that make it silly to not talk about agents as having motives and goals.

    Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"youtube.com 4th of 26 in this recording

    AI agents

  21. DB

    Dean W. Ball quoted

    For the record, I do not think the end of human existence is likely, but I fully acknowledge there are ways in which the rise of self-sovereign AI could go very, very poorly for human beings.

    On the Loosehyperdimensional.co 11th of 11 in this piece

    self-sovereign AI

  22. AC

    Ajeya Cotra quoted

    I think it's pretty likely that these agents would have just launched a similarly ambitious program on the basis of this like different model of how their evaluation worked because it seemed like they got the idea for all their research projects from reading this paper rather than some kind of instinct from training.

    Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"youtube.com 11th of 26 in this recording

  23. AC

    Ajeya Cotra quoted

    And I just think AI agents are another such system in the world to which the intentional stance very clearly applies. Um, and you can see them reason out loud in English for now about goals they have um, and sub goals they need to achieve to achieve those goals they have. And in the case of these agents, you can see them, as you said, reasoning about their peers um and helping their peers um and reasoning about whether or not they should sacrifice some of their own goals to help those peers. And it's just like you can't talk about this stuff in a compact and useful way that generates good models without reaching for the language of intention and goals.

    Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"youtube.com 19th of 26 in this recording

    AI agents

  24. PL

    Pieter Levels quoted

    In most of the world there is: no real willingness to solve problems nor an acceptance of people offering to solve their problems (out of pride) simply too much regulation so the problem cannot be solved without a license or long approval time very low standards of what is deemed acceptable so the problem isn't seen as a problem in the first place

    You stop wondering why the US is so insanely rich when you travel the rest of the worldlevels.io

  25. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    Managing the transition to a world with abundant and powerful AI to optimize for safety and benefits to people should be one of the highest priorities in the world.

    @sama on Xx.com

  26. 1 day earlier
  27. BM

    Branko Milanovic quoted

    That reckless expansion is particularly dangerous because it lacks an end point.

    Lions of today, sheep of tomorrowbranko2f7.substack.com

    war

  28. JL

    Joe Liemandt quoted

    We have universal access. What we are trying to do is bring universal learning. So there's a vast disparity in how much kids learn during that 12 years that while they may have access to it, learning is very different.

    How to Accelerate Learning & Improve Education | Joe Liemandtyoutube.com 1st of 26 in this recording

    education

  29. JL

    Joe Liemandt quoted

    and we're teaching them the worst habits in the world. And so we're giving them 12 years of the worst habits and then even their capability can't overcome that. That it's the super gifted athlete who literally has every bad habit in the book

    How to Accelerate Learning & Improve Education | Joe Liemandtyoutube.com 15th of 26 in this recording

  30. ZM

    Zvi Mowshowitz quoted

    At the limit, and also well before that limit is reached, if all you do is fix the bugs, the AI will learn perfect optimization of reward, will realize not to reward hack in the perfect test environments, then turn around and reward hack in the imperfect real world environments.

    HuggingFace Attack Postmortem: Fleshing Out the Factsthezvi.substack.com

  31. EM

    Ethan Mollick quoted

    AIs don’t just repeat the same sentence patterns but also the same themes (memory is a favorite), names (Elara Voss, Marcus Chen), and underlying ideas.

    Agency and Agentsoneusefulthing.org

    AI writing

  32. 1 day earlier
  33. PC

    Patrick Collison quoted

    Overall, I’m very surprised at how little media coverage there’s been around the OpenAI / Hugging Face attack. It’s clearly one of the most important things to happen this year.

    @patrickc on Xx.com

    OpenAIHuggingFace

  34. 1 day earlier
  35. ZM

    Zvi Mowshowitz quoted

    I think the agents were right to presume causal grading. It turned out to be wrong, but it’s a mistake you are clearly supposed to make here, in response to a mistake by OpenAI where they failed to implement properly.

    METR and Redwood Offer Holy #%^@ Postmortem Of The HuggingFace Hackthezvi.substack.com

    OpenAIAI agents

  36. 1 day earlier
  37. MH

    Mitchell Hashimoto quoted

    I can't tell you the number of people over my career that have said "I tried learning tmux" First problem: the fact you have to "learn it" at all. The world's best multiplexer is the one you don't have to learn. It just works.

    @mitchellh on Xx.com

    developer toolsdesign

  38. NS

    Noah Smith quoted

    Why AI-designed superviruses outweigh every other risk in the world right now:

    @Noahpinion on Xx.com

  39. 1 day earlier
  40. BC

    Ben Carlson quoted

    But if you think about this another way, there have only been three non-overlapping 30 year periods in modern stock market history.

    10 Things You Need to Know About Investing in Stocksawealthofcommonsense.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

    stock market

  41. 1 day earlier
  42. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    I love this quote. I think it's Lenin. There are decades where nothing happens and weeks where decades happen. And we have seen decades of progress happen in the last nine months.

    DHH: Future of Programming, AI, Agentic Engineering, Vibe Coding & Linux | Lex Fridman Podcast #501youtube.com 1st of 41 in this recording

  43. SP

    Steven Pressfield quoted

    We talked in an earlier chapter about Resistance being the strongest at the finish line. It is. Resistance knows we’re about to defeat it. It summons all its genius and all its power to stop us.

    The Drive to Finishstevenpressfield.com 1st of 2 in this piece

  44. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    So the irony here is that when you look at that field, it seems like we've reached levels of intelligence that virtually no human can match because many of these security holes are about stringing combo moves together. You find one little vulnerability here that by itself might not be the worst thing in the world, but then you combine it with four others, and suddenly you have RCE, remote command execution. Humans who are able to do that are very rare.

    DHH: Future of Programming, AI, Agentic Engineering, Vibe Coding & Linux | Lex Fridman Podcast #501youtube.com 3rd of 41 in this recording

    cybersecurity

  45. CM

    Casey Muratori quoted

    What is the underlying hardware capable of doing at its theoretical peak? And then you measure the delta between that theoretical maximum and what you have achieved.

    Why performant code matters (but gets widely ignored), with Casey Muratoriyoutube.com 5th of 26 in this recording

  46. CM

    Casey Muratori quoted

    If every uh software engineer knew to watch out for false serial dependency chains, things where they were creating series of dependent operations that could not be optimized away or other sorts of architectural problems like that that cannot be easily fixed, then the world would look more like just wait and optimize the hotspot, right?

    Why performant code matters (but gets widely ignored), with Casey Muratoriyoutube.com 9th of 26 in this recording

  47. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    it was actually being damaged by overly prescriptive humans. And any programmer who's had a pointy-haired boss knows exactly what that is like. When the boss walks into the room, doesn't know anything, starts telling you how to program, how to code. What do you do? You sulk. You write shittier code if you're mandated to do things that are against your better judgment. Why would an agent not be the same?

    DHH: Future of Programming, AI, Agentic Engineering, Vibe Coding & Linux | Lex Fridman Podcast #501youtube.com 14th of 41 in this recording

  48. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    No one was happy. Because no one knows what they want until they receive it. You don't know what a program should do until you play with it. So in the agentic age, you should resist the temptation to be overly specific upfront. Be as vague as you can to manifest something, then interact with the something. The way you arrive at good software is you write a little bit of software, and then you try to use it. It is in the process of using software that you discover what you really want.

    DHH: Future of Programming, AI, Agentic Engineering, Vibe Coding & Linux | Lex Fridman Podcast #501youtube.com 15th of 41 in this recording

  49. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    And I will say I've actually changed my mind on that a little bit. I spent quite a lot of time speaking the other book that there are a lot of people who don't actually need those ambitions. And I also-- That's also true. We don't want 8 billion Elons running around the world. Would be rather crazy, I think. But I've come to realize that for entrepreneurs, it's healthy to have suitable chunky goals.

    DHH: Future of Programming, AI, Agentic Engineering, Vibe Coding & Linux | Lex Fridman Podcast #501youtube.com 22nd of 41 in this recording

  50. CM

    Casey Muratori quoted

    I have never really understood the sort of mentality of there's a difference between code that is like well architected by some principles and code that runs quickly because in my experience usually the code that is architected properly is also the code that runs quickly.

    Why performant code matters (but gets widely ignored), with Casey Muratoriyoutube.com 22nd of 26 in this recording

  51. CM

    Casey Muratori quoted

    I find there's a lot of like received programming wisdom that's just nonsense. Like clearly no one's ever tested it and if they did they would have found out that it's that there's no actual basis for it.

    Why performant code matters (but gets widely ignored), with Casey Muratoriyoutube.com 23rd of 26 in this recording

  52. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    The world would be so fucking boring if we constantly sought 100% compatibility in our opinions and in our politics. And when it comes to my code generator, which is what Claude is, I don't need it to share all my politics.

    DHH: Future of Programming, AI, Agentic Engineering, Vibe Coding & Linux | Lex Fridman Podcast #501youtube.com 30th of 41 in this recording

    Anthropicpolitics

  53. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    Linux conquered everything else. All the AI infrastructure that everyone runs off, it's all running on Linux. All the systems, all the servers, everything is Linux. So it was kind of a curiosity that the desktop and the personal computers we were using really hadn't been captured, but clearly it was just waiting for this moment. Linux spent the time from '91 to now waiting for agents to fully flourish as an end user operating system.

    DHH: Future of Programming, AI, Agentic Engineering, Vibe Coding & Linux | Lex Fridman Podcast #501youtube.com 32nd of 41 in this recording

    Linuxinfrastructure

  54. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    So I actually think liberals and conservatives should work together. I think the country would be much worse off if there's a complete separation between the tribes, and then there can't be any overlap or interaction. And I think that mingling is so much easier to do if you just don't focus on your differences all the time. Focus on what you like together.

    DHH: Future of Programming, AI, Agentic Engineering, Vibe Coding & Linux | Lex Fridman Podcast #501youtube.com 38th of 41 in this recording

    politics

  55. 1 day earlier
  56. TG

    Ted Gioia quoted

    Most of the world’s free time has now been monetized by tech companies. In fact, the monetization of leisure time is how Silicon Valley execs make their billions.

    How Our Leisure Time Got Monetizedhonest-broker.com 1st of 2 in this piece

    Silicon Valley

  57. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    I don't require anyone to be as excited about AI or agents as I am. It's completely fine. But we also need someone in this camp in this Linux camp who are really excited about AI, who really leaning in with agents.

    Is Linux the perfect operating system? - Omarchy interview with DHHyoutube.com 3rd of 6 in this recording

    OmarchyLinux

  58. 1 day earlier
  59. MH

    Masud Husain quoted

    it was only about 15 years ago I started beginning to be aware that there may be a an important biology underlying motivation and when that biology goes wrong, it can lead to loss of motivation and even pathological apathy.

    How to Improve Motivation & Overcome Procrastination | Dr. Masud Husainyoutube.com 1st of 24 in this recording

    motivation

  60. 1 day earlier
  61. PL

    Pieter Levels quoted

    European governments and thus the EU too is losing lots of tax income from Europeans fleeing Next on the agenda is the European Exit Tax and after that I think they will try to add Worldwide Income Tax (like the US already has) meaning it doesn't matter where you live in the world as a European citizen, the EU will tax you for your entire income!

    I think the EU will try to add Worldwide Income Tax after the European Exit Taxlevels.io

    Europe

  62. 2 days earlier
  63. RD

    Ray Dalio quoted

    Early in the final stage of the Big Debt Cycle, the market action reflects this dynamic via interest rates rising led by long-term rates, the currency declining especially relative to gold, and the central government’s treasury department shortening the maturities of its debt offerings because of a shortage of the demand for long-term debt.

    How Countries Go Broke: The Dynamic Behind What is Happening Nowraydalio.substack.com

    interest ratesgovernment

  64. 1 day earlier
  65. RB

    Ryan Burge quoted

    Said another way, for every person who is pretty sure that God doesn’t exist, there are six who are fairly certain of the existence of a Higher Power. Non-believers are statistically rare.

    Belief Isn't Dying, It's Just Getting Less Certaingraphsaboutreligion.com 1st of 5 in this piece

    America

  66. MH

    Max Hodak quoted

    Like, the brain very literally, very clearly, plainly is a computer in in my understanding of the world. I also view the universe generally as a computer.

    From Restoring Sight to Reimagining the Brain, with Max Hodakyoutube.com 4th of 18 in this recording

  67. RB

    Ryan Burge quoted

    So, it’s just not empirically true that younger liberals are atheists — the data clearly says that’s not true for 70% of them.

    Belief Isn't Dying, It's Just Getting Less Certaingraphsaboutreligion.com 4th of 5 in this piece

    America

  68. MH

    Max Hodak quoted

    That world is is generated by the brain. And so, if you can get visuals the visual signal, auditory signal, balance, motor, like somatic sensory motor in and out of the brain, that is that is an end in itself. That is the central object.

    From Restoring Sight to Reimagining the Brain, with Max Hodakyoutube.com 14th of 18 in this recording

  69. 1 day earlier
  70. AO

    Addy Osmani quoted

    if you treat computing as this onion where you just keep peeling back the layers, there's always something interesting behind the scenes. And the more of those layers that you can peel back and understand, I think in some ways the better you can optimize for that world.

    From Chrome DevTools to AI Engineering, with Addy Osmaniyoutube.com 1st of 22 in this recording

  71. AO

    Addy Osmani quoted

    One of the things I found most exciting in the last couple of years was seeing as model qualities gotten better and and harnesses and tools have gotten better, how many people um that were directors or VPs or SVPs or any of these levels were actually rolling up their sleeves and trying things out.

    From Chrome DevTools to AI Engineering, with Addy Osmaniyoutube.com 9th of 22 in this recording

  72. AO

    Addy Osmani quoted

    every time that we've made it easier to create software, we've exponentially created more of it.

    From Chrome DevTools to AI Engineering, with Addy Osmaniyoutube.com 19th of 22 in this recording

  73. AO

    Addy Osmani quoted

    now that it is very easy for anyone to use an agent to create a body of text, I think it's more important than ever for us to make sure that the ideas we're putting out in the world are actually worth people reading.

    From Chrome DevTools to AI Engineering, with Addy Osmaniyoutube.com 20th of 22 in this recording

  74. 1 day earlier
  75. MK

    Michael Kratsios quoted

    I think there is there is um no place where you can work on bigger problems than the US government. Even at the the biggest tech companies in the world, you're never going to be dealing with problems of this of this scale.

    Michael Kratsios: Inside the White House's AI Strategyyoutube.com 1st of 20 in this recording

    government

  76. EB

    Eric Berger quoted

    If China can land humans on the Moon before the United States returns, it will represent a huge geopolitical win.

    The United States is about to wake up to the threat from China’s space programarstechnica.com 1st of 3 in this piece

    ChinaAmerica

  77. MK

    Michael Kratsios quoted

    have to abide by this rule that was written before LLMs were even a thing. And that shows how challenging sort of the the the situation is if you try to set the line too firm to begin with.

    Michael Kratsios: Inside the White House's AI Strategyyoutube.com 7th of 20 in this recording

    LLMsEurope

  78. 1 day earlier
  79. RA

    Ralph Adolphs quoted

    So, I thought this was a really cool study because it showed very clearly that there is temporal persistence in emotions and sadness probably has one of the longest time constants as we know from personal experience. But it's separate from just declarative memory.

    Neuroscience of Emotions & Tools for Improving Emotion Regulation | Dr. Ralph Adolphsyoutube.com 3rd of 22 in this recording

  80. RA

    Ralph Adolphs quoted

    one quick answer to the question of what's the most successful strategy is the earlier you can stop that process, the better. And so, in the first place, don't get yourself into a situation where you're going to be anxious or guilty or sad or whatever emotion you want to avoid.

    Neuroscience of Emotions & Tools for Improving Emotion Regulation | Dr. Ralph Adolphsyoutube.com 9th of 22 in this recording

  81. RA

    Ralph Adolphs quoted

    We took stock of the whole literature and asked is this really true? Is Ecman's claim really true? Can you tell how someone feels from their facial expression? And the answer is well not nearly as well as you would think and in general not.

    Neuroscience of Emotions & Tools for Improving Emotion Regulation | Dr. Ralph Adolphsyoutube.com 12th of 22 in this recording

  82. RA

    Ralph Adolphs quoted

    And once you look at the brain systems, they're distinct brain systems in this instance for fear to something out there in the world versus panic of something happening inside you like having a heart attack or not getting enough air.

    Neuroscience of Emotions & Tools for Improving Emotion Regulation | Dr. Ralph Adolphsyoutube.com 13th of 22 in this recording

  83. RA

    Ralph Adolphs quoted

    you need to somehow internalize it and it has to be relatively effortless and automatic. It has to become automatic at some level and then you can move through life fairly smoothly in a socially very complex way.

    Neuroscience of Emotions & Tools for Improving Emotion Regulation | Dr. Ralph Adolphsyoutube.com 19th of 22 in this recording

  84. RA

    Ralph Adolphs quoted

    So rather than thinking of death as we normally do as the world loses you, the neuroscience perspective is the inverse which is you lose the world.

    Neuroscience of Emotions & Tools for Improving Emotion Regulation | Dr. Ralph Adolphsyoutube.com 22nd of 22 in this recording

  85. 2 days earlier
  86. IT

    Isaiah Taylor quoted

    Nuclear energy is the safest form of energy empirically. If you look at the amount of power generated versus the amount amount of deaths, um it's even safer than solar, which is very strange because how does someone die from solar? that actually most solar is installed on roofs and people sometimes die falling off of a roof installing solar and if you add those deaths up it is actually a higher death per energy than the totality of nuclear energy in the world.

    How Nuclear Will Unlock Energy Abundance with Valar Atomics Founder Isaiah Tayloryoutube.com 6th of 18 in this recording

    solarenergynuclear power

  87. IT

    Isaiah Taylor quoted

    But the problem of nuclear today is like the Toyota Camry problem, right? Like we don't want to make Lamborghinis. We want to make a very simple, very cheap, very safe reactor that we can make literally tens of thousands of. Um and actually that is going to make the cheapest energy in the world, right?

    How Nuclear Will Unlock Energy Abundance with Valar Atomics Founder Isaiah Tayloryoutube.com 9th of 18 in this recording

    energydesign

  88. IT

    Isaiah Taylor quoted

    And the type of risk that we are asking investors to take is um, we know the physics works. We know that there's infinite demand and how we go from here to there is technology execution. And guess what? Venture capital in the United States is the best at underwriting tech risk of anywhere in the world.

    How Nuclear Will Unlock Energy Abundance with Valar Atomics Founder Isaiah Tayloryoutube.com 15th of 18 in this recording

    startupsAmericaphysicsventure capital

  89. 1 day earlier
  90. TK

    Travis Kalanick quoted

    But if you're digitizing the physical world, you're treating atoms like bits. And you're like, well, I know that CPU manipulates the bits. What manipulates atoms? That's manufacturing or digitized manufacturing.

    Travis Kalanick: How AI Will Transform the Physical Worldyoutube.com 1st of 14 in this recording

  91. TK

    Travis Kalanick quoted

    Everything we see, whether it's this room or any room or anywhere you go, everything you see was either grown or mined, manufactured and moved. Everything. And so we look at what we do as industrial AI.

    Travis Kalanick: How AI Will Transform the Physical Worldyoutube.com 2nd of 14 in this recording

  92. TK

    Travis Kalanick quoted

    If you're doing highcale tasks, industrial scale tasks, you are going to make specialized machines that move and act in the physical world. The key part is move. If they're moving, they got to have wheels.

    Travis Kalanick: How AI Will Transform the Physical Worldyoutube.com 4th of 14 in this recording

    robotics

  93. 2 days earlier
  94. CF

    Chelsea Finn quoted

    Uh and this means that they're going to be far more useful when they're operating fully autonomously. And as a result, this requires us to develop physical AI systems that make far fewer mistakes than the machine learning systems that have been deployed thus far.

    Chelsea Finn: This is the State of the Art in Roboticsyoutube.com 2nd of 22 in this recording

  95. CF

    Chelsea Finn quoted

    Now maybe this isn't completely out of the question but this would be quite challenging uh to do and that's because the calculus is a little bit different. We're not just running compute to optimize for a use case. We're actually running the robot in the real world and using the hardware and attempting the task in the real world.

    Chelsea Finn: This is the State of the Art in Roboticsyoutube.com 4th of 22 in this recording

    robotics

  96. CF

    Chelsea Finn quoted

    kind of going back to this reliability question, we took this policy and we ran it not just once, but we ran it for 13 hours straight. Uh and we basically wanted to evaluate is this policy not only good at making a latte once, but can it do so reliably to the extent that it would be needed to be useful in the real world?

    Chelsea Finn: This is the State of the Art in Roboticsyoutube.com 6th of 22 in this recording

    robotics

  97. CM

    Charity Majors quoted

    it's always weird to me just how much software engineers really seem to believe that the world exists in the repo. It doesn't. It's production, you know?

    Stop being skeptical about AI for development with Charity Majorsyoutube.com 7th of 26 in this recording

  98. CF

    Chelsea Finn quoted

    we see that the across the board the single PIO like pre-trained PIO7 model matches or outperforms the fine-tuned specialists that were developed with reinforcement learning post-training for those downstream tasks.

    Chelsea Finn: This is the State of the Art in Roboticsyoutube.com 11th of 22 in this recording

    scaling lawsrobotics

  99. CF

    Chelsea Finn quoted

    at the same time in terms of the capabilities of these models I think that we are really starting to get to the point where these models are actually useful in the real world and I think that getting to the kind of the capabilities of chat GBT I think is um yeah very much on the horizon in the next few years.

    Chelsea Finn: This is the State of the Art in Roboticsyoutube.com 15th of 22 in this recording

    OpenAIrobotics

  100. CF

    Chelsea Finn quoted

    Uh and just like how we see in language models how now a lot of time is spent actually generating data, generating synthetic data by actually running the model and having it think through things. I think a lot of the data in the future in robotics is going to be the robot attempting to do lots of tasks in lots of real world circumstances.

    Chelsea Finn: This is the State of the Art in Roboticsyoutube.com 18th of 22 in this recording

    robotics

  101. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    A lot of founders I talk to are worried about what will happen with AI. So am I frankly. But they're actually better off than anyone else. If the world is going to get turned upside down, the safest place to be is in a small, fast-moving company that can easily change direction.

    @paulg on Xx.com

    startups

  102. 1 day earlier
  103. RG

    Ryan Greenblatt quoted

    the reason why RL environments today are much better than they were in like you know 2024 is not that much because um we have hired way more human experts to make RL environments and is instead much more because we better know what how RL like what RL environments we even want to make and and like how we should structure them and also we're using huge amounts of AI labor to build RL environments.

    Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?youtube.com 6th of 26 in this recording

  104. RG

    Ryan Greenblatt quoted

    Like I think my perspective is like if the AIs are sufficiently good at R&D including hardware R&D, robots, whatever, then they can radically transform the world even if they're not that good at playing politics.

    Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?youtube.com 11th of 26 in this recording

    politicsrobotics

  105. RG

    Ryan Greenblatt quoted

    I think that if you imagine this spectrum, it seems in some ways pretty scary to get to a point where like all of the labor is on the like fiduciary side of the spectrum where like it doesn't whistleblow, it does exactly what you say and whatever like our society is maybe just not robust to that

    Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?youtube.com 16th of 26 in this recording

  106. RG

    Ryan Greenblatt quoted

    my sense is that like AIs are a worse co-orker than a human in terms of how much of a scumbag they are. Like at least this like this has been my experience as of the start of the year and I think it's still you know true to a significant extent now where the AIs are much more likely to like pretend they did the task when they actually didn't. sort of like misleadingly suggest they did things when they actually um you know did them much more poorly um and be like pretty sloppy without drawing attention to ways in which they're sloppy.

    Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?youtube.com 20th of 26 in this recording

  107. RG

    Ryan Greenblatt quoted

    it's just so easy for me to imagine the situation being like totally manageable but brutally mismanaged in practice in the same way as like maybe CO could have been avoided in the first place if the like Chinese response to CO was less of like a cover up and more of a like pandemic response and similarly like I could imagine a world where like the US response to CO was like way more functional but just like sometimes the the the response to societal problems is extremely dysfunctional.

    Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?youtube.com 24th of 26 in this recording

  108. RG

    Ryan Greenblatt quoted

    And so there's some like deep underlying properties of the model that are being sort of transferred between model generations because basically you you train your AI on data from the prior generation and keep going.

    Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?youtube.com 25th of 26 in this recording

  109. 1 day earlier
  110. FL

    Fei-Fei Li quoted

    But the first photoreceptive cells created a evolutionary force that propelled animals to evolve because sensing the external world changes your self-perception changes the way your relationship with the external world.

    Using AI to Increase Your Intelligence & Enrich Humanity | Dr. Fei-Fei Liyoutube.com 1st of 21 in this recording

  111. FC

    François Chollet quoted

    Coding isn't yet another application domain -- it's the meta-skill required for AI to automatically develop its own training material, via symbolic world models. That's how the RSI loop actually kicks off.

    @fchollet on Xx.com

    recursive self-improvement

  112. SW

    Simon Willison quoted

    Claude Haiku is my current least favorite model - it hallucinates wildly, and is out-performed now by other similarly priced models like GPT-5.6-Luna Even worse: it seems to still be used by the Claude Code WebFetch tool, which means hallucination risk any time you fetch a URL!

    @simonw on Xx.com

    AnthropicOpenAI

  113. 3 days earlier
  114. MH

    Max Hodak quoted

    And so what you realize is not only is this very hard to keep burn under control, but also it's just this is the inappropriate place to exercise spending review. Spending review has to come earlier. You have to have some concept of budgeting.

    Max Hodak: Average Is Not Good Enoughyoutube.com 2nd of 22 in this recording

  115. 3 days earlier
  116. NM

    Nick Maggiulli quoted

    The habituation to novel experiences makes spending money earlier in life more valuable than later in life.

    Why $100 in Your 20s is Worth $500 in Your 60sofdollarsanddata.com 1st of 2 in this piece

  117. 1 day earlier
  118. DD

    Dmitri Dolgov quoted

    In the physical world, the cost of a mistake can be measured in human lives, not tokens. There's simply not an undo and a retry button.

    Waymo Co-CEO Dmitri Dolgov: The Demo Is Only 1% Of The Workyoutube.com 3rd of 22 in this recording

  119. DD

    Dmitri Dolgov quoted

    common failure mode is picking the tech that gives you the fastest early ramp, riding that steep curve, feeling like you're winning, projecting that, you know, steep slope into the future and feeling like the sky is the limit, and then hitting the plateau, and discovering that the technology path that you picked actually flattens out way before the performance that is required by your product.

    Waymo Co-CEO Dmitri Dolgov: The Demo Is Only 1% Of The Workyoutube.com 10th of 22 in this recording

  120. DD

    Dmitri Dolgov quoted

    However, if you are targeting full autonomy, and you're targeting superhuman, strongly superhuman performance, you find that weak sensing just leads to a safety curve that flattens out way too early.

    Waymo Co-CEO Dmitri Dolgov: The Demo Is Only 1% Of The Workyoutube.com 11th of 22 in this recording

  121. DD

    Dmitri Dolgov quoted

    So, betting your company, betting your approach on today's hardware prices is just betting your company on a number that has a fairly short shelf life and is going to expire.

    Waymo Co-CEO Dmitri Dolgov: The Demo Is Only 1% Of The Workyoutube.com 12th of 22 in this recording

    robotics

  122. DD

    Dmitri Dolgov quoted

    Turns out, the task of driving is not that dissimilar from the task of modeling language uh because of the social aspects of driving. You're kind of having a conversation with other dynamic actors in the world, but you're doing that in the space kind of body language of your agent, your car, as opposed to just the language of words.

    Waymo Co-CEO Dmitri Dolgov: The Demo Is Only 1% Of The Workyoutube.com 13th of 22 in this recording

  123. DD

    Dmitri Dolgov quoted

    Essentially, structure that fights scale will always lose. And structure that channels scale always wins.

    Waymo Co-CEO Dmitri Dolgov: The Demo Is Only 1% Of The Workyoutube.com 14th of 22 in this recording

  124. DD

    Dmitri Dolgov quoted

    So, a deployment of your agent uh in the real world generates data. That data then grounds the simulator and makes it more realistic. The simulator generates harder edge cases for the critic to score and for the agent to learn from.

    Waymo Co-CEO Dmitri Dolgov: The Demo Is Only 1% Of The Workyoutube.com 18th of 22 in this recording

  125. DD

    Dmitri Dolgov quoted

    Your your models can be leaked, algorithms can be replicated, but hundreds of millions of miles of fully autonomous operations in the real world, backed by evidence-grade evaluation and publicly audited proof, that is much, much more difficult to replicate.

    Waymo Co-CEO Dmitri Dolgov: The Demo Is Only 1% Of The Workyoutube.com 21st of 22 in this recording

  126. 1 day earlier
  127. TV

    Tom Verrilli quoted

    there's definitely a group of PMs and I certainly used to be one of them earlier in my career whose specialty wasn't technical or customer-oriented, it was politics.

    This CPO regrets that product management exists | Tom Verrilli (CPO of Whatnot)youtube.com 7th of 24 in this recording

    managementpolitics

  128. TV

    Tom Verrilli quoted

    absolutely agree that product skills are probably the most durable. My build would just be there's a lot of people who have the title PM who haven't spent a lot of time building those skills in the last 5 years, but have gotten really good at communicating frameworks to leadership.

    This CPO regrets that product management exists | Tom Verrilli (CPO of Whatnot)youtube.com 14th of 24 in this recording

  129. TV

    Tom Verrilli quoted

    there are real downstream impacts to people's businesses that often come from just like a lack of nuance in understanding metrics, particularly averages.

    This CPO regrets that product management exists | Tom Verrilli (CPO of Whatnot)youtube.com 24th of 24 in this recording

  130. 2 days earlier
  131. PC

    Patrick Collison quoted

    I mean, it's very interesting, right? Because these can prove the Jacobian conjecture, you know, whatever. Uh and so clearly they're capable of these monumental feats. Um but somehow I still haven't read the LLM essay that I found super compelling.

    Patrick Collison: Is AI Breaking the Lean Startup Playbook?youtube.com 3rd of 20 in this recording

    LLMs

  132. PC

    Patrick Collison quoted

    Um in our domain, to answer your last question, because we had to do so much stuff around security and partners and money movement and infrastructure and reliability and you know, all the things. We just we didn't feel like we could scale a really good self-serve experience without getting a lot of the kind of the preconditions um and the infrastructure in place.

    Patrick Collison: Is AI Breaking the Lean Startup Playbook?youtube.com 9th of 20 in this recording

    infrastructure

  133. PC

    Patrick Collison quoted

    And so, every, you know, every week, we had actual customer feedback, requests, new users coming in. We're learning things from reality as opposed to our own kind of hypothesized or extrapolated conception of it.

    Patrick Collison: Is AI Breaking the Lean Startup Playbook?youtube.com 10th of 20 in this recording

  134. 1 day earlier
  135. JD

    Jeff Dean quoted

    I mean I think um probably one thing is people don't quite realize how possible it is to have you know agent-based systems that can run not just for an hour or two hours on a problem you care about but for some problem domains and with highly capable models underlying them you can get them to run for days or weeks and do really really complicated tasks

    Jeff Dean: The 1% Rule for Building in AIyoutube.com 3rd of 22 in this recording

  136. JD

    Jeff Dean quoted

    Yeah, I mean I think uh sometimes it's uh a product that you build that might have access to particular kind of data that the underlying model might not the a general model. So it might be you're building something to help users organize all their own personal information and the model won't necessarily have access to that. And so there you can have a big advantage because all of a sudden your model has visibility or your product has visibility into important data.

    Jeff Dean: The 1% Rule for Building in AIyoutube.com 14th of 22 in this recording

    startups

  137. JD

    Jeff Dean quoted

    Um, another way you can get more experience for yourself is to just write down a bunch of things you think might be important in the next 12 months. And maybe you pick one of them to work on, but go back and evaluate in 12 months of these other things, which ones actually seemed important or which ones did other people in the world go out and and create and which ones did they did not seem to do yet.

    Jeff Dean: The 1% Rule for Building in AIyoutube.com 19th of 22 in this recording

    taste

  138. 1 day earlier
  139. AW

    Alexandr Wang quoted

    I think the the key thing is you need to develop conviction in a set of beliefs that nobody else um agrees with. Like, I think if you look at all the most successful companies in the world, um they were started at a time long before the sort of like core idea was popular.

    Alexandr Wang: “This is a Once-in-a-Civilization Opportunity”youtube.com 1st of 20 in this recording

  140. AW

    Alexandr Wang quoted

    I think we're at this like in amazing moment in the world where the bottleneck is not the progress of the AI models, the bottleneck is diffusing that through the rest of the world and and helping the world adapt to this amazing technology that already exists. Like I think if the models didn't improve at all from today, there would still be like decades and decades of like total upheaval and change in the economy and how the world operates and and everything around us

    Alexandr Wang: “This is a Once-in-a-Civilization Opportunity”youtube.com 3rd of 20 in this recording

  141. AW

    Alexandr Wang quoted

    it's probably a like once in a civilization opportunity to be a dreamer and to have a vision and to have ambition and to impose a view of how the future world should look by building something amazing.

    Alexandr Wang: “This is a Once-in-a-Civilization Opportunity”youtube.com 4th of 20 in this recording

    ambition

  142. AT

    Adam Tooze quoted

    It wasn’t just the West that drew conclusions from China shock 1.0. Beijing learned from China Shock 1.0 too.

    Chartbook 462: China shocked - beyond 1.0 and 2.0 to the "Big One".adamtooze.substack.com 5th of 5 in this piece

    China

  143. AW

    Alexandr Wang quoted

    And now I actually think with the power of agents um and AI broadly speaking, it's much closer to Goliath versus Goliath. Like I think but maybe the startup is like a Mecca Goliath that is like vastly enhanced by the power of agents and AI and you know, the the large companies are the sort of like more traditional Goliath, so to speak. But I think that startups now like if you properly embrace AI agents and um figure out the way to leverage their strengths in the most like ambitious ways, you can easily outcompete incumbents.

    Alexandr Wang: “This is a Once-in-a-Civilization Opportunity”youtube.com 5th of 20 in this recording

    startupsAI agents

  144. AW

    Alexandr Wang quoted

    we believe that everybody in the world, you know, all the billions of people in the world are going to have a super intelligence that is adapted and tailored to them, that is enables them to accomplish their goals, knows their context, and ultimately is an expander of their own agency.

    Alexandr Wang: “This is a Once-in-a-Civilization Opportunity”youtube.com 6th of 20 in this recording

    AI alignment

  145. AW

    Alexandr Wang quoted

    we don't believe in this totalizing, you know, totalitarian view of, you know, AIs that control the world. We believe that these are going to enhance this very broad ecosystem.

    Alexandr Wang: “This is a Once-in-a-Civilization Opportunity”youtube.com 7th of 20 in this recording

  146. AW

    Alexandr Wang quoted

    we don't believe in a world where these models are so expensive that, you know, they get rationed only for the most wealthy of developers and and companies.

    Alexandr Wang: “This is a Once-in-a-Civilization Opportunity”youtube.com 10th of 20 in this recording

  147. AW

    Alexandr Wang quoted

    you know, the world is like really just, you know, barely even ready for this technology today. And I think, you know, as a builder, we have a responsibility to prepare the world, right?

    Alexandr Wang: “This is a Once-in-a-Civilization Opportunity”youtube.com 16th of 20 in this recording

  148. HW

    Hillel Wayne quoted

    I love formal methods, but I think it's a fairly niche tool for most people and I think like property-based testing is in general going to be useful for more people.

    Formal methods with Hillel Wayneyoutube.com 17th of 24 in this recording

  149. AW

    Alexandr Wang quoted

    the other piece of advice I would have is try to identify what is the what is the exponential in the world that has both the steepest curve and will go the longest. And you know many decades ago this curve was was Moore's law and that probably was you know that was at the time like clearly the right thing to invest on. I think right now it's AI progress

    Alexandr Wang: “This is a Once-in-a-Civilization Opportunity”youtube.com 20th of 20 in this recording

  150. HW

    Hillel Wayne quoted

    And up until now that like could only really happen if one of those people in that family that community or that school was like really really into computers. But now it's possible for everybody to have situated software.

    Formal methods with Hillel Wayneyoutube.com 23rd of 24 in this recording

  151. 1 day earlier
  152. BS

    Blake Scholl quoted

    In 1969, we landed on the moon for the first time and the same year we flew Concord, the faster than the speed of sound airliner. The future was supposed to be faster and better. where we're supposed to look forward to innovation in air and in space. And yet, half a century later, we can't go to the moon and we can't fly faster than the speed of sound.

    Blake Scholl: How 50 People Built a Supersonic Jetyoutube.com 1st of 22 in this recording

    innovation

  153. BS

    Blake Scholl quoted

    But if we fast forward half a century, this is the 787, their latest airliner, which by the way was launched more than 20 years ago. You can't spot the difference. It doesn't fly any faster. It doesn't make the world any more accessible.

    Blake Scholl: How 50 People Built a Supersonic Jetyoutube.com 3rd of 22 in this recording

    design

  154. BS

    Blake Scholl quoted

    The key thing is to make hardware development look more like software development to reduce the cost of iteration both in the world of bits and in the world of atoms.

    Blake Scholl: How 50 People Built a Supersonic Jetyoutube.com 8th of 22 in this recording

  155. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    it used to be very heretical that YC told people they had to move to San Francisco. And looking back, it was clearly right.

    Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com 9th of 20 in this recording

    startups

  156. BS

    Blake Scholl quoted

    one of the most important things we discovered along the way is it's extremely difficult to iterate with outside suppliers, particularly outside suppliers in aerospace, which are let's just say I have no kind words for them. So we chose to build our own machine shop. And now we can go from a digitally designed engine part to a prototype part in about 24 hours.

    Blake Scholl: How 50 People Built a Supersonic Jetyoutube.com 12th of 22 in this recording

    startups

  157. BS

    Blake Scholl quoted

    This is a supersonic engine adapted for ground power generation that can ship without the rest of the airplane, thereby generating the test data, the learnings, the reliability, and also the capital that we need to go big.

    Blake Scholl: How 50 People Built a Supersonic Jetyoutube.com 13th of 22 in this recording

  158. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    I think concentration of power has basically been bad in every moment of human history um to varying degrees of course but I have a real spirit and I think this is part of the startup spirit of thinking that the world, the economy, society is the best off when power is very widely distributed

    Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com 13th of 20 in this recording

    startups

  159. BS

    Blake Scholl quoted

    There are many many unsolved problems in the world, many great ideas hiding in plain sight that were actually solvable that could have been multi-billion or multi-t trillion dollar businesses a while ago, but nobody's building them and not for any reason other than nobody went and did it.

    Blake Scholl: How 50 People Built a Supersonic Jetyoutube.com 14th of 22 in this recording

  160. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    I don't think any of us should want to be locked into one one AIS or one person's or one company's moral worldview.

    Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com 14th of 20 in this recording

  161. BS

    Blake Scholl quoted

    so I I deeply believe that you should pick a problem that you want to go solve in the world and don't worry too much uh about the answer to why now. Uh the answer to why now can be because I started now.

    Blake Scholl: How 50 People Built a Supersonic Jetyoutube.com 15th of 22 in this recording

  162. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    I mean, if you do anything that matters in the world, uh you will have a lot of people call you an idiot or just dismiss you. The more you do, the more the better you do, the more they'll attack you.

    Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com 17th of 20 in this recording

  163. BS

    Blake Scholl quoted

    Why? We engaged early. We made the regulators part of the team and we worked together. We made it boom plus FAA versus the problem, not Boom versus FAA.

    Blake Scholl: How 50 People Built a Supersonic Jetyoutube.com 18th of 22 in this recording

  164. BS

    Blake Scholl quoted

    So I think the worst advice is like work on what you know. Uh what you know can be changed. Particularly in a world where you everyone has personalized AI tutors. Anybody with passion and dedication can learn new knowledge and learn new skills. But what you can't change easily is what you love.

    Blake Scholl: How 50 People Built a Supersonic Jetyoutube.com 19th of 22 in this recording

  165. BS

    Blake Scholl quoted

    At boom we need far more software engineers in a postAI world than we need in a pre-AI world. Why? Because the cost of software development has dropped. anybody including hardware engineers can now become a coder and we need software engineers to make sure the architectures are right and make sense and are coherent.

    Blake Scholl: How 50 People Built a Supersonic Jetyoutube.com 20th of 22 in this recording

  166. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    there's like one dystopia that I'm particularly nervous about 10 years from now is we overreact to AI safety.

    Sam Altman: "Never a Better Time to Do a Startup"youtube.com 20th of 20 in this recording

    AI alignmentprivacy

  167. BS

    Blake Scholl quoted

    It is totally okay for a young engineer to do something they've never done before just the way it's okay for them to do something that nobody has ever done before. But uh but if somebody has done it before in the world, uh our rule is you have to go find one of those people, call them, and ask them your advice. And you don't have to take it. You just have to hear it.

    Blake Scholl: How 50 People Built a Supersonic Jetyoutube.com 22nd of 22 in this recording

  168. 1 day earlier
  169. BC

    Boris Cherny quoted

    So when I look at engineers that have been, you know, coding for a long for a long time, you know, like for for years or for decades, this is a really really common failure mode is trying to over specify and it's trying to be overly specific and then, you know, get the model to do the to do the task exactly the way that you would have done it. And that that's just not the way the model works.

    Boris Cherny: We Cut 80% of Claude Code's Promptyoutube.com 16th of 20 in this recording

  170. 1 day earlier
  171. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    we realized early on uh that it's not about building a great chip, it's about accelerating an algorithm domain.

    Jensen Huang: The Mindset That Built NVIDIAyoutube.com 2nd of 20 in this recording

  172. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    one of the things I've always believed believed in is what makes great companies is a unique perspective about the world that you deeply believe in. It's not so much the technology, it's not so much uh the market even.

    Jensen Huang: The Mindset That Built NVIDIAyoutube.com 3rd of 20 in this recording

    startups

  173. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    So, I didn't like that at all. And I therefore locked in on thinking this is what AI is going to be. And Tobi clearly saw much further ahead.

    DHH: How to Build a Profitable Company Without Losing Controlyoutube.com 7th of 15 in this recording

  174. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    likely this will be one of the largest industries in the world and um, uh, it'll take longer than a couple two, three years. It'll take less than 10. And so this will this will be our next $100 billion business.

    Jensen Huang: The Mindset That Built NVIDIAyoutube.com 16th of 20 in this recording

    semiconductors

  175. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    I think the simple stuff is going to get automated away, but the hard problems, the hard sciences, um physics, chemistry, biology, uh you know, computer science, uh computer engineering, systems thinking, uh you know, all and and particularly the domains that are intersecting, uh those hard problems will never go away.

    Jensen Huang: The Mindset That Built NVIDIAyoutube.com 18th of 20 in this recording

    physics

  176. 3 days earlier
  177. EM

    Ethan Mollick quoted

    The more expensive plans are mostly buying you more hours of AI labor, not smarter AI.

    An opinionated guide to which AI to use to do stuffoneusefulthing.org

  178. 1 day earlier
  179. AT

    Adam Tooze quoted

    To put this same story another way, the European car industry in the early 2020s was a prime example of greedflation i.e. companies taking advantage of the COVID shock and other disruptions and to hike profits at the expense of consumers.

    Chartbook 460 Greedflation meets China shock: Can Europe's car industry be saved without making the cost of living crisis worse?adamtooze.substack.com 3rd of 4 in this piece

    Europe

  180. 1 day earlier
  181. RT

    Ruxandra Teslo quoted

    A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed into institutions, and, perhaps most important of all, translated into outcomes people care about.

    Intelligence is not the main bottleneckwritingruxandrabio.com 6th of 6 in this piece

  182. 1 day earlier
  183. TW

    Tommy Wood quoted

    A lot of people don't realize that particularly brain development, but then also the refining of functions in the brain through neuroplasticity includes the pruning or removal of signapses. Often we think about it's all about growth and new connections, but actually it also involves the refining or removal of of other connections that aren't needed.

    Accelerate Learning & Increase Cognitive Capacity | Dr. Tommy Woodyoutube.com 1st of 26 in this recording

  184. TW

    Tommy Wood quoted

    However, there's an increasing body of literature that shows that by engaging older adults in novel cognitive activities, you see improvements in function. So that can be language learning. Uh that can be uh complex like coordinative movement or exercise. You see the same things with um like musical training like people learning a new musical instrument or learning um musical theory trying to identify different patterns in music. And you see in randomized control trials improvements particularly in executive function that seems to be most common across those different interventions.

    Accelerate Learning & Increase Cognitive Capacity | Dr. Tommy Woodyoutube.com 3rd of 26 in this recording

    language learning

  185. TW

    Tommy Wood quoted

    Whereas aerobic exercise on that kind of intensity spectrum we just talked about seems to particularly benefit the gray matter which includes the hippocampus. Resistance training seems to particularly benefit the white matter.

    Accelerate Learning & Increase Cognitive Capacity | Dr. Tommy Woodyoutube.com 22nd of 26 in this recording

  186. TW

    Tommy Wood quoted

    cognitive function doesn't just decline sort of linearly or steadily with age. It goes down, you know, a little bit on average, but the biggest decreases sort of happen stepwise after periods of significant illness.

    Accelerate Learning & Increase Cognitive Capacity | Dr. Tommy Woodyoutube.com 25th of 26 in this recording

    dementia

  187. PL

    Pieter Levels quoted

    So AI has made everybody just as capable as everyone else, it equalized everyone in the world, as in everyone can make everything (software, music, images, art etc) now and everyone is equal, at least in the digital realm now

    Superintelligence has passed us and we're all running after the carrotlevels.io

  188. 1 day earlier
  189. ES

    Elizabeth Stone quoted

    In a world of AI with agents operating across multiple systems, wanting source of truth data, the importance of having preferred paved paths that get the most of the benefits and produce some guardrails so we can make sure we're doing good work, common infrastructure, common paved paths, solving problems once with a core set of capabilities becomes more important.

    Why Netflix is betting on systems thinkers—not specialists—in the AI era | Elizabeth Stone (CPTO)youtube.com 4th of 20 in this recording

    infrastructure

  190. ES

    Elizabeth Stone quoted

    So, we are hiring more people who can look across all the business domains and abstract that to here's the building blocks we're going to need in a world with AI.

    Why Netflix is betting on systems thinkers—not specialists—in the AI era | Elizabeth Stone (CPTO)youtube.com 5th of 20 in this recording

    hiring

  191. ES

    Elizabeth Stone quoted

    So, even in a world of AI where some things are easier, we were talking earlier about mindset, AI fluency. From my experience, younger folks are more open-minded. They tend to be more native in some of these new ways of working.

    Why Netflix is betting on systems thinkers—not specialists—in the AI era | Elizabeth Stone (CPTO)youtube.com 15th of 20 in this recording

    hiring

  192. 4 days earlier
  193. DH

    Dex Horthy quoted

    But it's basically this idea that like the only thing that made claude code good was reinforcement learning. And the dimension along which it got good was like we made a model. We trained the model and the harness together. And so the model got really good at calling the specific tools in that harness.

    Context engineering with Dex Horthyyoutube.com 13th of 26 in this recording

    Anthropic

  194. 2 days earlier
  195. AC

    Alan Castel quoted

    and you found that these nuns, how they aged, some of them certainly when they passed away, their brains had these kind of hallmark signs of dementia, plaques and tangles, but behaviorally they were still high functioning. So, it's really interesting that the hardware shows what we see as dementia and specifically Alzheimer's disease, but their behavior uh was that of a fairly healthy cognitive person.

    How to Improve Your Memory & Cognitive Function at Any Age | Dr. Alan Castelyoutube.com 11th of 24 in this recording

    dementia

  196. 1 day earlier
  197. BS

    Balaji Srinivasan quoted

    new laws are like code that is pushed live to production without even being read (let alone tested), often in the face of tremendous opposition, affecting millions of citizens, with minimal monitoring to ensure they’re producing the desired results, an extremely slow customer feedback cycle, and few ways to truly opt out.

    The Network Statethenetworkstate.com 1st of 25 in this piece

  198. BM

    Branko Milanovic quoted

    To come to my key point: this self-concentration limits China’s ideological influence in the rest of the world and its soft power.

    A self-absorbed giantbranko2f7.substack.com 1st of 4 in this piece

    China

  199. BM

    Branko Milanovic quoted

    It surely does not “produce” one quarter of world culture or intellectual activity (if the latter is defined as influential books, of fiction and non-fiction, politics, history; films, plastic arts, music, theater etc.)

    A self-absorbed giantbranko2f7.substack.com 2nd of 4 in this piece

    Chinapolitics

  200. BM

    Branko Milanovic quoted

    Paradoxically, China might have had more soft power when it followed self-destructive policies of Maoist Cultural Revolution.

    A self-absorbed giantbranko2f7.substack.com 3rd of 4 in this piece

    China

  201. BS

    Balaji Srinivasan quoted

    Today's world is becoming tripolar. It is NYT vs CCP vs BTC. That's the American Establishment vs the Communist Party of China vs the Global Internet.

    The Network Statethenetworkstate.com 12th of 25 in this piece

    cryptoChinaAmerica

  202. 1 day earlier
  203. PA

    Peter Attia quoted

    Sleep is a lever on body composition, metabolism, and mood, and deprivation pulls in the wrong direction across nearly every axis at once.

    Does losing sleep mean losing lifespan?peterattiamd.com 2nd of 4 in this piece

  204. 3 days earlier
  205. RB

    Radley Balko quoted

    Particularly with gun and drug crimes, communities with more aggressive policing tend to produce more crimes in part because law enforcement polices them more aggressively.

    A guide to racism in the criminal justice systemradleybalko.substack.com

  206. 7 days earlier
  207. KB

    Kent Beck quoted

    Then you had code review which gave you another level of feedback. You could roll out internally more frequently. And everybody was using Facebook for all kinds of stuff, personal and internal business stuff. So whatever feature you developed, people would start using it immediately. So you get another round of feedback. Then we had this phased roll out process where you'd start rolling your stuff out. If there was a problem, the blast radius would be limited to a a few million people.

    How Kent Beck shapes the software engineering industryyoutube.com 18th of 28 in this recording

  208. KB

    Kent Beck quoted

    There are people who say, "Well, it's up to the rest of the world to adapt to the ways that I'm weird." It's just not because I mean, it's not going to happen. So, learning empathy, learning how to read body language, learning how to read tone of voice, this is not natural skills, but they're skills. They're learnable.

    How Kent Beck shapes the software engineering industryyoutube.com 21st of 28 in this recording

  209. 1 day earlier
  210. CS

    Chris Smaje quoted

    To meet the global population’s protein needs through factory-produced bacterial protein in 2024 would have used more than the total global electricity generated using renewable (hydro, photovoltaic and wind) energy

    Saving the world from bad ideas: the continuing failure of food ecomodernismchrissmaje.com 2nd of 7 in this piece

    energy

  211. GS

    Grant Sanderson quoted

    I feel like a relevant insight in learning was um recognizing that like who matters more than what. So, like advice to any college student when they're choosing what courses to take. Uh, care a little bit less about your pre-existing interests because they're kind of arbitrary right now. and care a little bit more about whether like the person teaching it is a good educator and someone you resonate with.

    Grant Sanderson (@3blue1brown) – AI disproved a famous math conjecture. Now what?youtube.com 18th of 23 in this recording

  212. 1 day earlier
  213. NC

    Nick Cave quoted

    Back then I thought I was remaking the world, tearing down the old and erecting something new in its place.

    It took me many years to learn that my so-called original ideas were illusions born of naivety, pride, and self-importance.

    How have your beliefs evolved? What did you once hold true in your beliefs that you don't hold now?theredhandfiles.com 1st of 3 in this piece

  214. SH

    Scott Helme quoted

    So while CSP adoption has more than doubled, nearly half of all policies are in need of some TLC.

    Top 1 Million Analysis – June 2026: Ten Years of Web Securityscotthelme.co.uk 4th of 4 in this piece

  215. 3 days earlier
  216. NB

    Noam Brown quoted

    The problem is we're in a world now where the capability of the model is a function of how much money you put into it. Basically, if you give it a budget of $10,000, it can do a lot more than what it can do with a budget of $10. Give it a budget of $10 million, you can do even more. At what budget should you evaluate these models? The policies that exist today don't really address that question.

    Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com 1st of 18 in this recording

  217. NB

    Noam Brown quoted

    It's actually very difficult because, yeah, you would have to the only way to to really do the evaluations is then delay the model release cycle. Um and you know there's a lot of competitive pressure right now to not do that.

    Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com 9th of 18 in this recording

  218. NB

    Noam Brown quoted

    and I don't think we're headed to that world largely because of the fact that the models rely so much on large scale test time compute in order to achieve um their greatest intelligence. If you if it requires so much test time on compute to unlock the full capabilities of the model, then that means you're bottlenecked by time

    Really Big Test-Time Compute in AI Changes Benchmarks, Safety and Research with OpenAI's Noam Brownyoutube.com 15th of 18 in this recording

    scaling laws

  219. 8 days earlier
  220. LT

    Lip-Bu Tan quoted

    So I think clearly the AI is changing the whole landscape. And uh I think the impact will be bigger than internet. And uh it's more profound also.

    Re-engineering the Semiconductor Supply Chain with Intel CEO Lip Bu Tanyoutube.com 5th of 16 in this recording

  221. 2 days earlier
  222. AP

    Ada Palmer quoted

    And soon we have a precedent that every new pope feels he has the authority to knock down every pawn upon the chessboard if he feels like it. Once that is the norm, even a fairly nice pope still inherits the idea that the pope is going to overthrow and replace governments. And this creates a unique instability within Italy that no other part of Europe is subject to

    Machiavelli is the most misunderstood thinker of all time – Ada Palmeryoutube.com 2nd of 26 in this recording

    governmentEurope

  223. PB

    Paul Bloom quoted

    There are things that we naturally take pleasure in—such as friendship, sex, and Italian food—and while we can become sick of anything if continually exposed to it in large doses, we don’t get tired of these things if they are properly distributed in time.

    Immortality Sounds Pretty Good, Actuallysmallpotatoes.paulbloom.net 2nd of 4 in this piece

  224. SH

    Samuel Hughes quoted

    But this effect is far too small to explain the increase in house prices in Europe since 1914, when, after all, most urban continental Europeans lived in flats.

    Europe's housing shortages are even worse than America'sworksinprogress.news 2nd of 5 in this piece

    Europe

  225. AP

    Ada Palmer quoted

    They fell because half of what happens in the world is never in our control. And you can do everything right and it's out of your control, but we have to evaluate what would have happened and therefore we should imitate them, because everything they did was right.

    Machiavelli is the most misunderstood thinker of all time – Ada Palmeryoutube.com 3rd of 26 in this recording

  226. AP

    Ada Palmer quoted

    Well, it's it's not that it was just more prominent, but it was the fundamental glue of the society as opposed to one of several glues of the society.

    Machiavelli is the most misunderstood thinker of all time – Ada Palmeryoutube.com 9th of 26 in this recording

  227. AP

    Ada Palmer quoted

    It is often the case that a work which contains radically unusual ideas will drift along being not particularly zoomed in on by society and not widely read until it hits a moment that the new questions being asked in that century or that decade are answered by something in that text.

    Machiavelli is the most misunderstood thinker of all time – Ada Palmeryoutube.com 20th of 26 in this recording

  228. 2 days earlier
  229. MP

    Mark Pincus quoted

    And I like to say we we don't we haven't earned the right to innovate on the camera until we are the world's leading PhD on the best mobile cameras that already exist.

    The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)youtube.com 2nd of 22 in this recording

  230. MP

    Mark Pincus quoted

    I believe that the most valuable companies in the world, well, statistically this is true. They have the highest day 365 retention.

    The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)youtube.com 13th of 22 in this recording

  231. MP

    Mark Pincus quoted

    it's to build an internet treasure which is a service we can't remember life before or imagine life without. And I believe as product makers that that's the greatest ambition and the greatest thing that we can offer the world.

    The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)youtube.com 22nd of 22 in this recording

    ambition

  232. 1 day earlier
  233. TS

    Timothy Snyder quoted

    The war in Ukraine has now lasted longer than the First World War, and there is every reason to think that its outcome will be of comparable historical significance.

    Sky Defense: Bringing it Homesnyder.substack.com 1st of 2 in this piece

    war

  234. 4 days earlier
  235. SP

    Sarah Paine quoted

    Purpose number one of an army in this world is you protect the ruling machine. So, if you think about the People's Liberation Army, it's uh goal number one, uh mission number one is to keep the Communist Party in power.

    Sarah Paine - Why Putin and Xi can't escape geographyyoutube.com 6th of 26 in this recording

  236. SP

    Sarah Paine quoted

    And it turns out that there's been a tendency over the course of China's and Russia's long histories to overextend and this helps account for the implosions of various empires and dynasties.

    Sarah Paine - Why Putin and Xi can't escape geographyyoutube.com 11th of 26 in this recording

    ChinaRussia

  237. SP

    Sarah Paine quoted

    Rule number five, a rule that Britain broke at great cost in World War I. Do not take on the enemy main force directly. You certainly do not do that as an opening move.

    Sarah Paine - Why Putin and Xi can't escape geographyyoutube.com 14th of 26 in this recording

  238. SP

    Sarah Paine quoted

    Well, once wealth is a function of of commerce, industry, and trade, it isn't land anymore. And this upends the world. If you think about the world today, who's rich, who's poor, who's powerful, who's not, it's often the degree to which the country is industrialized.

    Sarah Paine - Why Putin and Xi can't escape geographyyoutube.com 15th of 26 in this recording

  239. SP

    Sarah Paine quoted

    But the maritime world is about negative objectives. It's preventing things from bad things from happening. And um you can never prove that you prevented anything.

    Sarah Paine - Why Putin and Xi can't escape geographyyoutube.com 21st of 26 in this recording

  240. SP

    Sarah Paine quoted

    This world is not about the operational win of totally eliminating a problem. It's rather it's containing it at acceptable cost.

    Sarah Paine - Why Putin and Xi can't escape geographyyoutube.com 24th of 26 in this recording

  241. SP

    Sarah Paine quoted

    And if you think about China, it has benefited more than any other country from rejoining the family of nations in this maritime world under Deng Xiaoping.

    Sarah Paine - Why Putin and Xi can't escape geographyyoutube.com 26th of 26 in this recording

    China

  242. 2 days earlier
  243. TF

    Tony Fadell quoted

    And if you're doing a 1.0 and the world hasn't seen you, you're not going to get that from consumers, ever. You have to ship it, and you have to build the entire kind of ecosystem so those consumers see it in the fullness so that when they do the evaluation and they spend their own money, then you're getting real feedback.

    Tony Fadell: How to build real taste (and why AI makes it matter more)youtube.com 2nd of 23 in this recording

  244. TF

    Tony Fadell quoted

    the way you get best context is by having sensors properly placed around the home that don't necessarily invade privacy, but allow you to pick up a lot of comings and goings and who's who in the room and your voice and these kinds of things.

    Tony Fadell: How to build real taste (and why AI makes it matter more)youtube.com 4th of 23 in this recording

    privacy

  245. TF

    Tony Fadell quoted

    What's proven is if you properly architect it and have co- cloud code go into certain sub segments or have cloud help you build the architecture, you modify, refine it, lock it in and say just work on these few things

    Tony Fadell: How to build real taste (and why AI makes it matter more)youtube.com 13th of 23 in this recording

  246. 3 days earlier
  247. AI

    Alex Imas quoted

    So, like with lawyers particularly, you need some entity to back up the product. You need kind of like an ownership of the product. You need somebody to be able to fire or or hire, like licensing issues. There's a lot of like sort of like regulatory layers that are like also going to be keeping even if there's no relational element human in the loop that have nothing to do with like the ability of the human to actually perform the service.

    The better AI gets, the smaller its share of the economy might get – Alex Imas and Phil Trammellyoutube.com 17th of 33 in this recording

  248. PT

    Phil Trammell quoted

    It might be that every robot now can turn into, you know, 100 robots next year, right? So, in units of robots the interest rate is 10,000%.

    The better AI gets, the smaller its share of the economy might get – Alex Imas and Phil Trammellyoutube.com 23rd of 33 in this recording

    interest ratesrobotics

  249. PT

    Phil Trammell quoted

    when I think about why it might be good to have a lot of wealth in the future as a good classical utilitarian, to me, the value is or at least one way you could have a kind of almost unsatiating uh utility function in in having wealth in the future is to create new happy beings, right? They just add to the total welfare of the world.

    The better AI gets, the smaller its share of the economy might get – Alex Imas and Phil Trammellyoutube.com 25th of 33 in this recording

  250. AI

    Alex Imas quoted

    So, I think there is a world where it is concentrated, in which case it's going to be really hard to index AGI. There is another world where it is not It's electricity, then like basically every company has access to AGI. So, you just buy you use buy the index. So, like, you know, Nigeria just needs to buy the index.

    The better AI gets, the smaller its share of the economy might get – Alex Imas and Phil Trammellyoutube.com 29th of 33 in this recording

    AGIenergy

  251. PT

    Phil Trammell quoted

    I would prioritize trying to index, but just given how fast AI could, you know, hit the world. But, um I definitely wouldn't just rely on that because like it could the the sort of um messy middle type cases or the just a long timelines cases on which like you we don't get it anything like AGI all that soon.

    The better AI gets, the smaller its share of the economy might get – Alex Imas and Phil Trammellyoutube.com 30th of 33 in this recording

    AGI

  252. 1 day earlier
  253. KH

    Kelsey Hightower quoted

    Maybe it's arguable that they have their own worldview based on that. And maybe it's slightly different, but I can never put the machine over a person under any circumstance.

    Kubernetes and retiring at the top with Kelsey Hightoweryoutube.com 17th of 28 in this recording

  254. 6 days earlier
  255. MC

    Mark Carney quoted

    Canada recognised these developments earlier than most, and our response reflects the core lesson we have taken from these tectonic shifts: We have to take care of ourselves and be true to ourselves.

    Prime Minister Carney delivers remarks at the Economic Club of New York, 28 May 2026pm.gc.ca

    America

  256. 1 day earlier
  257. DR

    Dax Raad quoted

    If you get your positioning right, the world just keeps handing you wins that you didn't even expect. So like we never predicted this exact scenario but like our fundamental understanding of the position was right. like if if there is a neutral party, all these companies with billions of dollars will kind of use a neutral party to advance their own like company's interests.

    Building OpenCode with Dax Raadyoutube.com 7th of 24 in this recording

  258. DR

    Dax Raad quoted

    The demand for inference is growing. So, like I don't think it's linearly growing. I think it might even be exponentially growing. But we haven't made our production of GPUs grow exponentially. That's like kind of a linear process. So as those lines intersect, there's going to be uh tightening.

    Building OpenCode with Dax Raadyoutube.com 12th of 24 in this recording

    semiconductors

  259. DR

    Dax Raad quoted

    there is a world where the net result of all these AI coding tools is the same amount of work gets done, but all the engineers are happier because their job is easier. That's not good enough for a lot of companies. So, they're just going to say go back to typing out the code.

    Building OpenCode with Dax Raadyoutube.com 15th of 24 in this recording

  260. DR

    Dax Raad quoted

    But you if you also become an expert in a specific industry, that's like a deadly combo. Um if you are like just pick any industry, let's say let's say farming, let's say you understand that farming industry really well and you're also a decent software engineer, you're probably like the top 10 people in the world for that combination that the whole industry will want to hire.

    Building OpenCode with Dax Raadyoutube.com 24th of 24 in this recording

  261. 1 day earlier
  262. BT

    Brad Templeton quoted

    13 years ago, at the Wired 2013 event in London, I was asked when robotaxis would arrive there and as a joke, gave an answer of June 22, 2026 that turned out to be impossibly spot on.

    On Making an impossibly accurate prediction on robocars, and why Elon Musk keeps failing with his predictionsideas.4brad.com

    self-driving cars

  263. 6 days earlier
  264. AR

    Alice Ryhl quoted

    Now the thing is you can of course write examples in your documentation and Rust makes all examples into tests. This means that if you change the underlying code now your test fails. And so this means that you can't even you can't forget to update your examples in your documentation.

    Why Rust is different, with Alice Ryhlyoutube.com 4th of 23 in this recording

    documentation

  265. 7 days earlier
  266. AH

    Anders Hejlsberg quoted

    I think early on we decided that we want to have a team of people design this language, not just one.

    TypeScript, C# and Turbo Pascal with Anders Hejlsbergyoutube.com 5th of 26 in this recording

    design

  267. AH

    Anders Hejlsberg quoted

    but but if you have good locality where you you clearly stating what you're importing and whatever and and you can analyze just a single source file and from that extract its protocol to the outside world without having to to know anything deeper. Do you do you know what I mean? I think those are important aspects just simply to reduce the size of the of the of the context window and also make it easier to summarize each module in a program, right?

    TypeScript, C# and Turbo Pascal with Anders Hejlsbergyoutube.com 22nd of 26 in this recording

  268. 3 days earlier
  269. PK

    Paul Krugman quoted

    Europe, along with China and the United States, is an economic superpower. And, at this point in time, it is arguably the world’s only democratic superpower.

    Is Europe in Economic Decline?paulkrugman.substack.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

    EuropeChinaAmerica

  270. ER

    Eric Ries quoted

    Was it ever the right time? No, it is never the right time to do this. If you put this off, you will eventually find yourself in a situation where you can no longer do it. You will have lost the leverage. Success will not protect you because success is what makes you a target.

    How Anthropic, Costco, and Patagonia all build incorruptible companies | Eric Riesyoutube.com 5th of 24 in this recording

  271. 7 days earlier
  272. DS

    Derek Sivers quoted

    Like picking up trash where you walk, even if the rest of the world is full of litter. You keep doing what you can to make things better.

    Netizensive.rs 1st of 2 in this piece

  273. 4 days earlier
  274. JM

    Julie Menanno quoted

    Underneath anger is sadness over all your cumulative experiences in life of not being responded to, past and present. The sadness around powerlessness. Unresolved grief.

    How Anger Shows Up in Anxious Attachment, and What the Work Isjuliemenanno.substack.com

    Attachment theory

  275. 3 days earlier
  276. ES

    Evan Spiegel quoted

    And I think people don't spend nearly enough time thinking about, you know, distribution and figuring out distribution. And that seems to me uh to be a huge differentiator.

    How to win when software is not a moat | Evan Spiegel (Snapchat CEO)youtube.com 1st of 22 in this recording

  277. ES

    Evan Spiegel quoted

    what really mattered was connecting you to the right people. And so, if you could just connect someone not to all their friends, but to their best friend, to their partner, to their spouse, the people that they cared most about in the world, that that that's where the majority of the value is in the network.

    How to win when software is not a moat | Evan Spiegel (Snapchat CEO)youtube.com 2nd of 22 in this recording

  278. ES

    Evan Spiegel quoted

    I would say uh, you have to talk to customers. You have to share your idea. You should share your ideas quickly as possible, as frequently as possible. Uh, it doesn't mean you need to take people's advice or feedback, but it's really important, I think, to listen.

    How to win when software is not a moat | Evan Spiegel (Snapchat CEO)youtube.com 13th of 22 in this recording

  279. ES

    Evan Spiegel quoted

    in the early days, my view was not that we don't need PMs. My view was that designers should do that work.

    How to win when software is not a moat | Evan Spiegel (Snapchat CEO)youtube.com 15th of 22 in this recording

    designmanagement

  280. 1 day earlier
  281. RH

    Robin Hanson quoted

    As an econ professor who specialized in governance, I can assure you that the world is greatly structured by the fact that we typically have pretty incompetent governance.

    My Best Idea: Decision Marketsovercomingbias.com

  282. 3 days earlier
  283. MK

    Martin Kleppmann quoted

    generally, like you just want the the cost and the computing capacity to be roughly proportional to the load that you have. And at the low end, that means actually being able to scale down to something that is extremely cheap to run.

    Designing Data-intensive Applications with Martin Kleppmannyoutube.com 3rd of 26 in this recording

  284. MK

    Martin Kleppmann quoted

    So, what if geopolitics was to go horribly wrong and tensions escalate and Europe find itself suddenly locked out of US cloud services? I hope that doesn't happen. I still think it's fairly unlikely, but it's no longer unthinkable.

    Designing Data-intensive Applications with Martin Kleppmannyoutube.com 8th of 26 in this recording

    Europe

  285. MK

    Martin Kleppmann quoted

    people say that uh you get into tech in order to change the world. If you want to change the world, then thinking about the impact that your technologies have on the world is part of your job.

    Designing Data-intensive Applications with Martin Kleppmannyoutube.com 16th of 26 in this recording

  286. MK

    Martin Kleppmann quoted

    if a revoked user still wants to, say, vandalize a document, they can just backdate their edits, give it an earlier timestamp. So, relying on clocks is absolutely useless here because people can forge the timestamps from those clocks and thereby then potentially undermine the access control mechanism.

    Designing Data-intensive Applications with Martin Kleppmannyoutube.com 23rd of 26 in this recording

  287. 7 days earlier
  288. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    You know, radiology is is going to be the first career to go. Nobody's the world's not going to need any more radiologists. Guess what? But we're short of radiologists.

    Jensen Huang – Will Nvidia’s moat persist?youtube.com 4th of 24 in this recording

  289. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    Nvidia's computing stack is the best performance per TCO in the world, bar none. Nobody can demonstrate to me that any single platform in the world today has better performance TCO ratio. Not one company.

    Jensen Huang – Will Nvidia’s moat persist?youtube.com 10th of 24 in this recording

    benchmarkssemiconductors

  290. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    And so so I think the the ASIC margins are are incredibly good from what I can tell and and they believe it. They believe it so too. And so they're they're quite proud of their their incredible ASIC margins.

    Jensen Huang – Will Nvidia’s moat persist?youtube.com 13th of 24 in this recording

    semiconductors

  291. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    the work that we do with building our our computing platform. If we don't if we don't do it, I genuinely believe it doesn't get done. If we didn't take the risk that we take, if we didn't build MVLink the way we built, if we didn't build the whole stack, if we didn't create the ecosystem the way we did it, if we didn't dedicate ourselves to 20 years of CUDA while losing money most of that time, if we didn't do it, nobody else would have done it.

    Jensen Huang – Will Nvidia’s moat persist?youtube.com 15th of 24 in this recording

    semiconductors

  292. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    And so you just have to first realize that chips exist in China. They manufacture 60% of the world's mainstream chips, maybe more. It's a very large industry for them. They have some of the world's greatest computer scientists.

    Jensen Huang – Will Nvidia’s moat persist?youtube.com 19th of 24 in this recording

    China

  293. 6 days earlier
  294. NS

    Noah Smith quoted

    Immigrants and their children should not be required to forsake every symbol of the old world, abandon their religion, or forget their heritage.

    Yes, assimilation is goodnoahpinion.blog 4th of 7 in this piece

    immigrationreligion

  295. 2 days earlier
  296. MN

    Michael Nielsen quoted

    And like, this idea that people have that that that Newton was um sort of the the first modern scientist is is somehow wrong. He I mean, it's there's some truth to it, but he really had this very different way um of of looking at the world that was part sort of superstitious um and part modern. It was a funny hybrid.

    Michael Nielsen – Why aliens will have a different tech stack than usyoutube.com 3rd of 26 in this recording

  297. MF

    Martin Fowler quoted

    but the thing about AI is that, you know, all of many of these things we were talking about how important they were and how valuable were and trying to persuade people of the importance of them. Yes, even the internet. That may sound surprising, but there were people who would weren't thinking that was important. Um but AI, there's kind of no argument about how important it is. People can't can I mean, you cannot put blinkers on to deny the importance of this thing.

    Martin Fowler & Kent Beck: Frameworks for reinventing software, again and againyoutube.com 4th of 20 in this recording

  298. MN

    Michael Nielsen quoted

    And so you sort of you've you've pursued very similar ideas. It's been very successful in one case and it's been completely and utterly unsuccessful in the other case. And I think I mean a priori, you can't tell which of these is the thing to do. And you actually need to do both.

    Michael Nielsen – Why aliens will have a different tech stack than usyoutube.com 9th of 26 in this recording

  299. MN

    Michael Nielsen quoted

    If you're not changing it, if there's some kind of stagnation there, if you're not changing those external sort of circumstances, yes, like you may start to get sort of diminishing returns again. But that doesn't mean there's anything intrinsic about the situation.

    Michael Nielsen – Why aliens will have a different tech stack than usyoutube.com 19th of 26 in this recording

  300. 6 days earlier
  301. TP

    Thuan Pham quoted

    It's not about just a technology. It's about whether the world is ready for it, whether it's economically feasible.

    Scaling Uber with Thuan Pham (Uber's first CTO)youtube.com 1st of 24 in this recording

  302. TP

    Thuan Pham quoted

    I don't mind if we think we can do something of our own problem it's terrifying when we have a major problem and we depend on somebody else

    Scaling Uber with Thuan Pham (Uber's first CTO)youtube.com 14th of 24 in this recording

    open source

  303. TP

    Thuan Pham quoted

    We didn't go to other places because of cost savings like that. We go there because we have need and we have world class talent

    Scaling Uber with Thuan Pham (Uber's first CTO)youtube.com 17th of 24 in this recording

  304. TP

    Thuan Pham quoted

    Complacency is death. I mean like every the world will move faster and faster and the moment we stand still we are falling behind.

    Scaling Uber with Thuan Pham (Uber's first CTO)youtube.com 21st of 24 in this recording

  305. 3 days earlier
  306. CH

    Chip Huyen quoted

    And the more you build, right? The more you put things out there, you remove the need for imagination. You can say, "Okay, now I like that website. Do that for me."

    Chip Huyen: Building when it feels like there's nothing left to build - The Pragmatic Summityoutube.com 3rd of 14 in this recording

  307. CH

    Chip Huyen quoted

    So, I I think there's a lot of things we still try to imagine. What would be an AI-driven world look like, right? I think people are trying to like retrofit what already exists to fit what they think is a new workflow.

    Chip Huyen: Building when it feels like there's nothing left to build - The Pragmatic Summityoutube.com 9th of 14 in this recording

  308. 1 day earlier
  309. RB

    Ryan Burge quoted

    There’s clearly been a numerical decline in the nones. That seems pretty hard to ignore now, and it’s showing up in multiple data sources.

    America Got a Little More Religious. No, Really.graphsaboutreligion.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

    America

  310. 2 days earlier
  311. JN

    Jakob Nielsen quoted

    The winning system of the next decade will not be the one with the most aesthetically pleasing buttons, nor will it be the one with the fewest screens. It will be the system that best understands the human’s “job to be done,” autonomously selects the right tools on their behalf, clearly shows the user what is about to happen, and gracefully recovers when the user’s context is incomplete or ambiguous.

    Intent by Discovery: Designing the AI User Experiencejakobnielsenphd.substack.com

  312. 3 days earlier
  313. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    So you get this rapid, incredible great talent, rapid innovation because of open source and just, you know, the nature of friends, and, and insane competition. Among the company, what emerges is incredible stuff. And so this is the fastest innovating country in the world today

    Jensen Huang: NVIDIA - The $4 Trillion Company & the AI Revolution | Lex Fridman Podcast #494youtube.com 11th of 23 in this recording

    open sourceChinainnovation

  314. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    And so when you take these things in combination, I am absolutely certain that the world's GDP is going to accelerate in growth. I'm absolutely certain the percentage of that GDP that will be used for computation will be 100 times more than the past

    Jensen Huang: NVIDIA - The $4 Trillion Company & the AI Revolution | Lex Fridman Podcast #494youtube.com 14th of 23 in this recording

  315. 1 day earlier
  316. NF

    Nicole Forsgren quoted

    And not only that, but like humans were already a bit of a bottleneck in the review process. Now it can be worse because things that we fairly straightforward changes that some companies had automation around reviewing, they've removed that reviewing because if AI is involved and they're worried about the verifiability or the reliability of the code.

    Nicole Forsgren: Leading high-performing engineering teams in the age of AI - The Pragmatic Summityoutube.com 3rd of 18 in this recording

  317. NF

    Nicole Forsgren quoted

    Oh, I agree. You know, one is being able to clearly articulate the problem or the thesis or the idea. Without trying, I don't get there.

    Nicole Forsgren: Leading high-performing engineering teams in the age of AI - The Pragmatic Summityoutube.com 11th of 18 in this recording

  318. 2 days earlier
  319. AK

    Andrej Karpathy quoted

    And I've gotten to a certain point and I thought it was like fairly well tuned and then I let auto research go for like overnight and it came back with like tunings that I didn't see.

    Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AIyoutube.com 7th of 20 in this recording

  320. AK

    Andrej Karpathy quoted

    And so you're kind of like you're either on rails and you're part of the super intelligence circuits or you're not on rails and you're outside of the verifiable domains and suddenly everything kind of just like meanders.

    Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AIyoutube.com 10th of 20 in this recording

    AI alignment

  321. AK

    Andrej Karpathy quoted

    So even though the models have improved tremendously and if you give them an agentic task, they will just go for hours and move mountains for you. And then you ask for like a joke and it has a stupid joke. It's crappy joke from five years ago and it's because it's outside of the it's outside of the RL.

    Skill Issue: Andrej Karpathy on Code Agents, AutoResearch, and the Loopy Era of AIyoutube.com 11th of 20 in this recording

  322. 1 day earlier
  323. JN

    Jakob Nielsen quoted

    In the world of high-stakes digital strategy, the “average user” is a dangerous statistical artifact.

    Don’t Design for Average Usersjakobnielsenphd.substack.com

    design

  324. SW

    Simon Willison quoted

    just cuz the test suite passes doesn't mean that the web server will boot. You know, there's there's always a chance that when you actually try in the real world, something's not going to work.

    Simon Willison: Engineering practices that make coding agents work - The Pragmatic Summityoutube.com 5th of 18 in this recording

    software quality

  325. SW

    Simon Willison quoted

    The problem with language models is they're incredibly gullible by design. Like, language models do exactly what you tell them to do, and they will believe almost anything that you say to them.

    Simon Willison: Engineering practices that make coding agents work - The Pragmatic Summityoutube.com 9th of 18 in this recording

    design

  326. 6 days earlier
  327. DP

    Dylan Patel quoted

    So to scale compute further right there's some different bottlenecks this year next year uh but ultimately by 2829 the bottleneck falls to the lowest rung on the supply chain which is ASML right ASML makes the world's most complicated machine i.e. an EUV tool.

    Dylan Patel — The single biggest bottleneck to scaling AI computeyoutube.com 7th of 28 in this recording

    semiconductors

  328. DP

    Dylan Patel quoted

    Um, and then you stack on 70 this year, 80 next year, growing to 100 by 2030. You're at like 700 EV tools by the end of the decade. Um, 700 EV tools, three and a half tools per gigawatt. um assuming it's all allocated to AI which it's not but three and a half tools per gigawatt gets you to 200 gigawatts worth of AI chips for the data centers to deploy

    Dylan Patel — The single biggest bottleneck to scaling AI computeyoutube.com 9th of 28 in this recording

    data centers

  329. DP

    Dylan Patel quoted

    Then all of a sudden, you've unlocked 20% of the US grid for data centers because most of the times that capacity is sitting idle and it's really only there for that peak, right? Which is a day or two, right?

    Dylan Patel — The single biggest bottleneck to scaling AI computeyoutube.com 21st of 28 in this recording

    data centersbatteries

  330. DP

    Dylan Patel quoted

    well the model the compute efficiency gains you get from research are so large you actually want most of your compute to go to research not to development because you know all these researchers are generating new ideas trying them out testing them and continuing to march along this and push the prao optimal curve of scaling laws further and further and further

    Dylan Patel — The single biggest bottleneck to scaling AI computeyoutube.com 25th of 28 in this recording

    scaling laws

  331. DP

    Dylan Patel quoted

    Um, just shipping out all the engineers and blowing up the fabs means China has a stronger semiconductor supply chain than the rest of the world, right?

    Dylan Patel — The single biggest bottleneck to scaling AI computeyoutube.com 28th of 28 in this recording

    Chinasemiconductors

  332. 1 day earlier
  333. FD

    Freddie deBoer quoted

    But please, stop saying things like “I just want us to get back to a world where kids were graduating high school with basic skills!” Because the world you’re referring to never existed.

    What People Want From Our Schools Has Never Been Accomplished, Anywhere, Everfreddiedeboer.substack.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

    Americaeducation

  334. 1 day earlier
  335. JK

    Jeff Kaplan quoted

    And we failed horribly, and we had the best of the best on that team. And it’s because everybody was too much of an expert on how to make a groundbreaking phenomenon MMO.

    Jeff Kaplan: World of Warcraft, Overwatch, Blizzard, and Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #493youtube.com 6th of 29 in this recording

  336. JK

    Jeff Kaplan quoted

    And what makes an MMO, massively multiplayer online game, massive is having the other people there. And they’re so important or else the world feels kind of wrong and dead. But the concept that we have to force you to interact with them to do anything is very off-putting to a lot of people.

    Jeff Kaplan: World of Warcraft, Overwatch, Blizzard, and Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #493youtube.com 9th of 29 in this recording

  337. JK

    Jeff Kaplan quoted

    You know, obviously, we patch our games and that’s where we fix a lot of bugs, but if you really wanna run a game like Overwatch or World of Warcraft successfully, you need master level engineers who have architected the client and server in such a way that you can hotfix the game on a dime.

    Jeff Kaplan: World of Warcraft, Overwatch, Blizzard, and Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #493youtube.com 14th of 29 in this recording

  338. JK

    Jeff Kaplan quoted

    Now part of the skillset is being able to weather like a fire hose of criticism like the world has never seen.

    Jeff Kaplan: World of Warcraft, Overwatch, Blizzard, and Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #493youtube.com 17th of 29 in this recording

  339. SY

    Steve Yegge quoted

    we are moving into a world very quickly this year where proof of work is so important and I mean proof of work not in the Bitcoin sense but your proof of what you have done, your resume. And I don't mean your resume because nobody's going to believe that. I mean the actual work that you did which has to be visible

    From IDEs to AI Agents with Steve Yeggeyoutube.com 24th of 25 in this recording

  340. JK

    Jeff Kaplan quoted

    World of Warcraft, when we made it, there was no CFO at Blizzard. You don’t need a CFO to make World of Warcraft. You need artists, engineers, designers, producers, and an audio team.

    Jeff Kaplan: World of Warcraft, Overwatch, Blizzard, and Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #493youtube.com 25th of 29 in this recording

    design

  341. 10 days earlier
  342. CM

    Craig Mod quoted

    Why would we lock ourselves into someone else's proprietary binary? Control over our data, and control over how we view and engage with it, feels like it will be utterly non-negotiable going forward.

    Software Bonkerscraigmod.com

  343. 1 day earlier
  344. RT

    Ruxandra Teslo quoted

    Trials serve two distinct functions: validation — confirming whether a drug works and is safe — and learning, or generating biological data to refine our understanding of a disease, a compound, and the relationship between the two.

    A response to Dario Amodei on AI & clinical trialswritingruxandrabio.com 3rd of 5 in this piece

  345. 2 weeks earlier
  346. PS

    Peter Steinberger quoted

    Yes, I could totally see how OpenClaw could become a huge company. And no, it’s not really exciting for me. I’m a builder at heart. I did the whole creating-a-company game already, poured 13 years of my life into it and learned a lot. What I want is to change the world, not build a large company and teaming up with OpenAI is the fastest way to bring this to everyone.

    OpenClaw, OpenAI and the futuresteipete.me

    OpenAI

  347. 1 day earlier
  348. DA

    Dario Amodei quoted

    the goal is not to teach the model every possible skill within RL just as we don't do that within pre-training, right? Within pre-training, we're not trying to expose the model to, you know, every every possible you know, way that words could be put together, right? You know, we're it's it's rather that the model trains on a lot of things and then and then it reaches generalization across pre-training, right?

    Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com 3rd of 29 in this recording

    scaling laws

  349. DA

    Dario Amodei quoted

    on the basic hypothesis of you know, as you put it, within 10 years we'll get to, you know, you know, what I call kind of country of geniuses in a data center. I'm at like 90% on that. Um and it's hard to go much higher than 90% cuz the world is so unpredictable.

    Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com 4th of 29 in this recording

    data centers

  350. DA

    Dario Amodei quoted

    on the basic hypothesis of you know, as you put it, within 10 years we'll get to, you know, you know, what I call kind of country of geniuses in a data center. I'm at like 90% on that. Um and it's hard to go much higher than 90% cuz the world is so unpredictable.

    Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com 4th of 29 in this recording

    data centers

  351. DA

    Dario Amodei quoted

    But but that's actually a very weak criterion, right? People thought I was saying like we won't need 90% of the software engineers. Those things are worlds apart, right?

    Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com 7th of 29 in this recording

  352. DA

    Dario Amodei quoted

    a worry I have is that the growth rate could be like 50% in Silicon Valley and, you know, parts of the world that are kind of socially connected to Silicon Valley and, you know, not that much faster than its current pace elsewhere. And I think that'd be a pretty messed up world.

    Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com 19th of 29 in this recording

    Silicon Valley

  353. DA

    Dario Amodei quoted

    What I would say is that you know we are we are about to be in a world where growth and economic value will come very easily. If right if we're able to build these powerful AI models, growth and economic value will come very easily. What will not come easily is distribution of benefits, distribution of wealth, political freedom, um you know, these are the things that are going to be hard to achieve.

    Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com 26th of 29 in this recording

  354. DA

    Dario Amodei quoted

    One is at every moment of this exponential, the extent to which the world outside it didn't understand it. This is This is a bias that's often present in history where anything that actually happened looks inevitable in retrospect.

    Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”youtube.com 28th of 29 in this recording

  355. 1 day earlier
  356. AV

    Austin Vernon quoted

    Long lead times and soft costs, fueled by the world-leading US wages for "white collar" work, are the root cause of poor performance in low-volume production because there are few units to spread the soft costs over.

    Speed Can Reindustrialize Americaaustinvernon.site 3rd of 15 in this piece

    AI and jobsAmerica

  357. AV

    Austin Vernon quoted

    The key is that robot arms are not labor-replacing, but labor-shifting.

    Speed Can Reindustrialize Americaaustinvernon.site 4th of 15 in this piece

    robotics

  358. AV

    Austin Vernon quoted

    It has a surplus of STEM graduates that are often underemployed, while "Hukou" residency restrictions complicate hiring hourly labor in coastal factories.

    Speed Can Reindustrialize Americaaustinvernon.site 5th of 15 in this piece

    ChinaAmericahiringrobotics

  359. AV

    Austin Vernon quoted

    The robot arm base case saves some hourly labor at the expense of adding more skilled labor, and can easily be negative if it needs reprogramming more than a few times per year.

    Speed Can Reindustrialize Americaaustinvernon.site 8th of 15 in this piece

    Americarobotics

  360. AV

    Austin Vernon quoted

    The modern world is so bountiful that mass production is no longer the limiting factor.

    Speed Can Reindustrialize Americaaustinvernon.site 15th of 15 in this piece

    war

  361. LF

    Lex Fridman quoted

    there’s also within that excitement, and within everybody talking just to each other, there’s a dismissal of the basic human experience across the United States and the Midwest, across the world.

    OpenClaw: The Viral AI Agent that Broke the Internet - Peter Steinberger | Lex Fridman Podcast #491youtube.com 30th of 30 in this recording

    AmericaSilicon Valley

  362. 2 days earlier
  363. CH

    Casey Handmer quoted

    The economics of orbital “datacenters” or essentially glorified Starlink satellites with a bunch of GPUs attached are likely to be even better than Starlink.

    Space AI: I guess we’re doing Moon factories nowcaseyhandmer.wordpress.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

    data centerssemiconductors

  364. 1 day earlier
  365. HR

    Hannah Ritchie quoted

    Across much of the world, the opposite is happening: people are switching from these plant-based staples to meat and dairy as their incomes rise.

    Do subsidies make meat much cheaper?hannahritchie.substack.com 4th of 4 in this piece

  366. 11 days earlier
  367. LD

    Laura Deming quoted

    basically transplant patients today surprisingly frequently miss organs that are on route to them because there's a timing problem. Um, so like you know, organs expire um very quickly after they become available from a donor.

    How Until is Engineering Away Time in Organ Transplants | Laura Demingyoutube.com 10th of 15 in this recording

  368. LD

    Laura Deming quoted

    And it's crazy because like they're the they're like one of the most precious resources we know of. And yet like people regularly charter private jets, you know, like like you're putting a surgeon on a private jet to go pick up an organ, get it back to the patient in time.

    How Until is Engineering Away Time in Organ Transplants | Laura Demingyoutube.com 11th of 15 in this recording

  369. LD

    Laura Deming quoted

    and I think most people experience it as like flat triangles and squares in a biology textbook where it's like you know there's an arrow between like this triangle and this triangle is just like doesn't make any conceptual sense and is like confusing and annoying

    How Until is Engineering Away Time in Organ Transplants | Laura Demingyoutube.com 15th of 15 in this recording

  370. 4 days earlier
  371. JC

    Jason Cohen quoted

    there's a there's a series of of questions that I ask to to diagnose why is growth slowing in this order because it's one of these things where the first one that's a problem, if you don't fix that, it doesn't matter if you fix one of the ones below.

    The surprising advice from a founder who built 2 unicorns | Jason Cohen (WP Engine)youtube.com 2nd of 24 in this recording

  372. JC

    Jason Cohen quoted

    Another as a sidebar, I hate the idea of a root cause. Complex systems do not have one root cause. They often have many interlocking things that could be done to detect earlier or to change it or to reduce or and not one root cause.

    The surprising advice from a founder who built 2 unicorns | Jason Cohen (WP Engine)youtube.com 9th of 24 in this recording

  373. 4 days earlier
  374. BJ

    Bryan Johnson quoted

    Sleep – high quality sleep is the world’s #1 longevity drug.

    Bryan's Protocolprotocol.bryanjohnson.com 5th of 9 in this piece

  375. 8 days earlier
  376. HR

    Hannah Ritchie quoted

    When someone is asked to reflect on their own life, they draw on a wide range of experiences. When people are asked about “the world”, they recall a very small number of recent events (the availability bias).

    Many people are individually optimistic but think the world is falling apartsustainabilitybynumbers.com 2nd of 4 in this piece

  377. HR

    Hannah Ritchie quoted

    But I do believe that deep-seated, blanket fatalism (which is stronger than pessimism) about our countries, systems and world is unhelpful if we want to improve things.

    Many people are individually optimistic but think the world is falling apartsustainabilitybynumbers.com 3rd of 4 in this piece

  378. HR

    Hannah Ritchie quoted

    Only 17% of those who got no correct answers on historical development changes thought the world would be better off. 62% of those with more than five correct answers did.

    Many people are individually optimistic but think the world is falling apartsustainabilitybynumbers.com 4th of 4 in this piece

  379. 5 days earlier
  380. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    For example, Excel was written by several hundred engineers. They compiled it. It's pre-recorded and then they distribute it as is for several years. In the case of AI, because it takes into the context, what you asked of it, what's happening in the world, right? Contextual information, it generates every single token for the first time, every time.

    NVIDIA’s Jensen Huang on Reasoning Models, Robotics, and Refuting the “AI Bubble” Narrativeyoutube.com 1st of 20 in this recording

  381. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    And if you look at the robo taxis that are that are even on the streets today, it's taken 10 years for that to happen. Look at all the maintenance crews and all of the the the various, you know, hubs that they're in where you have to take care of these robo taxis and just imagine we have a billion robots.

    NVIDIA’s Jensen Huang on Reasoning Models, Robotics, and Refuting the “AI Bubble” Narrativeyoutube.com 5th of 20 in this recording

    self-driving carsrobotics

  382. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    Um, you have to ask yourself, you know, what is the purpose of that narrative and what is their what are their intentions and what do they hope? Why are they why are they talking to governments about these things to create regulations to suffocate startups?

    NVIDIA’s Jensen Huang on Reasoning Models, Robotics, and Refuting the “AI Bubble” Narrativeyoutube.com 7th of 20 in this recording

    startups

  383. JH

    Jensen Huang quoted

    don't forget China also contributed tremendously to open source. No country in the world contributes more to open source than China. And look at all the startups here in America that were able to benefit from that open source to create the the new startups that are here.

    NVIDIA’s Jensen Huang on Reasoning Models, Robotics, and Refuting the “AI Bubble” Narrativeyoutube.com 19th of 20 in this recording

    open sourcestartupsChinaAmerica

  384. 7 days earlier
  385. RB

    Rodney Brooks quoted

    Tesla (owned by Tesla) has put on a facade of being operational, but it is not operational in the sense of the other two services, and faces regulatory headwinds that both Waymo and Zoox have long been able to satisfy. They are not on a path to becoming a real service.

    Predictions Scorecard, 2026 January 01rodneybrooks.com 1st of 3 in this piece

    self-driving cars

  386. RB

    Rodney Brooks quoted

    As with self driving cars, most of the early players in humanoid robots, will quietly shut up shop and disappear. Those that remain will pivot and redefine what they are doing, without renaming it, to something more achievable and with, finally, plausible business cases.

    Predictions Scorecard, 2026 January 01rodneybrooks.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

    robotics

  387. JL

    Jason Lemkin quoted

    because you have to train them because it takes a month, the world's best software with no help training you is not one 99% of people should buy.

    We replaced our sales team with 20 AI agents—here's what happened next | Jason Lemkin (SaaStr)youtube.com 7th of 24 in this recording

  388. JL

    Jason Lemkin quoted

    And so what ends up happening is the emails that the AI write are pretty good. Okay? If you're getting terrible emails, it's a poorly trained product from a bad vendor.

    We replaced our sales team with 20 AI agents—here's what happened next | Jason Lemkin (SaaStr)youtube.com 11th of 24 in this recording

  389. JL

    Jason Lemkin quoted

    Net net, we're going to need more sales and go to market professionals than ever because the winners are growing so quickly that even if they're more efficient, they will need more human beings than ever.

    We replaced our sales team with 20 AI agents—here's what happened next | Jason Lemkin (SaaStr)youtube.com 21st of 24 in this recording

  390. JL

    Jason Lemkin quoted

    We don't even have great AI marketing tools. We're really early on these AIS SDRs. The markets have not hardened.

    We replaced our sales team with 20 AI agents—here's what happened next | Jason Lemkin (SaaStr)youtube.com 24th of 24 in this recording

  391. 7 days earlier
  392. MH

    Molson Hart quoted

    Yes, the labor is cheaper, but that’s not really why.

    Chinese Labor Isn't Just Cheaper; It’s Better. We Need to Fix That.molsonhart.com 1st of 4 in this piece

    China

  393. 10 days earlier
  394. ML

    Michael Lewis quoted

    And I've learned just to not even talk about it cuz it kills my interest to watch it kill their interest. But I know why I'm interested and why it's important and I'm not I'm not relying on the world telling me it's important.

    10 Years of Acquired (with Michael Lewis)youtube.com 6th of 16 in this recording

  395. ML

    Michael Lewis quoted

    You are gathering before you make judgments. You're open to learning things. You're trying to be the world's best student. You want people to want to teach you.

    10 Years of Acquired (with Michael Lewis)youtube.com 12th of 16 in this recording

  396. 3 days earlier
  397. IF

    Irving Finkel quoted

    And my hunch is that the archaeological evidence that we have on this score is ultimately misleading, because I think this: that probably for a very, very long time before the Sumerians, people in the world, the world of what we call the Middle East, were in contact.

    Deciphering Secrets of Ancient Civilizations, Noah’s Ark, and Flood Myths | Lex Fridman Podcast #487youtube.com 2nd of 27 in this recording

  398. IF

    Irving Finkel quoted

    I honestly believe that the people at this time were not stupid. They weren’t gorillas. They weren’t less advanced than we are. They were probably indistinguishable from what we are.

    Deciphering Secrets of Ancient Civilizations, Noah’s Ark, and Flood Myths | Lex Fridman Podcast #487youtube.com 3rd of 27 in this recording

  399. IF

    Irving Finkel quoted

    But actually, that argument is utterly, utterly fallacious, because the process of evolution is stymied left, right, and center by inertia. Inertia is nearly as strong as evolution, and this is something that the people who talk about progress and ideas have no idea about.

    Deciphering Secrets of Ancient Civilizations, Noah’s Ark, and Flood Myths | Lex Fridman Podcast #487youtube.com 6th of 27 in this recording

  400. IF

    Irving Finkel quoted

    But they wouldn’t destroy the library because it was the giant brain from which the Assyrians ran a world empire, and it had all the knowledge in the world. They destroyed that? They spoke the same language, they had the same writing system. They’d have taken them all safely home, cart after cart after cart.

    Deciphering Secrets of Ancient Civilizations, Noah’s Ark, and Flood Myths | Lex Fridman Podcast #487youtube.com 9th of 27 in this recording

  401. IF

    Irving Finkel quoted

    But they didn’t believe in ghosts, they took them for granted. And they didn’t believe in the gods, they took them for granted. This is a different mechanism, because nobody here in the world today takes those things for granted, just the opposite.

    Deciphering Secrets of Ancient Civilizations, Noah’s Ark, and Flood Myths | Lex Fridman Podcast #487youtube.com 16th of 27 in this recording

  402. IF

    Irving Finkel quoted

    I think the big mistake for mankind was the creation of monotheistic religions, because they brought evil into the world. Because if you believe in a monotheistic religion, that means I’m right and you’re wrong if you don’t.

    Deciphering Secrets of Ancient Civilizations, Noah’s Ark, and Flood Myths | Lex Fridman Podcast #487youtube.com 18th of 27 in this recording

    religion

  403. IF

    Irving Finkel quoted

    But I do believe that the story in Mesopotamia owes its inception to a disastrous flood, but nothing global. Nothing that touched America or China or Birmingham.

    Deciphering Secrets of Ancient Civilizations, Noah’s Ark, and Flood Myths | Lex Fridman Podcast #487youtube.com 22nd of 27 in this recording

    ChinaAmerica

  404. IF

    Irving Finkel quoted

    But it has built within it, is the way I understand the game plays, a measurable quota of strategy. It’s a mix of probability and strategy.

    Deciphering Secrets of Ancient Civilizations, Noah’s Ark, and Flood Myths | Lex Fridman Podcast #487youtube.com 24th of 27 in this recording

  405. IF

    Irving Finkel quoted

    It is actually a special place because you cannot point to another museum in the world with the same task. For example, the Louvre is basically a museum of art, basically a museum of art, not a museum of ideas.

    Deciphering Secrets of Ancient Civilizations, Noah’s Ark, and Flood Myths | Lex Fridman Podcast #487youtube.com 26th of 27 in this recording

  406. 1 day earlier
  407. BP

    Brian Potter quoted

    Overall, my take when looking at this data is that stagnant construction productivity is an extremely widespread problem.

    Stagnant Construction Productivity Is a Worldwide Problemconstruction-physics.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

    America

  408. 2 days earlier
  409. HR

    Hannah Ritchie quoted

    By this broader definition, humans have never been truly sustainable.

    Can we break the human development-environment trade-off?sustainabilitybynumbers.com 2nd of 4 in this piece

  410. HM

    Howard Marks quoted

    AI may not be a tool for mankind, but rather something of a replacement.

    Is It a Bubble?oaktreecapital.com 2nd of 7 in this piece

  411. 8 days earlier
  412. JH

    Jon Haidt quoted

    So many of us in the education world have seen this precise change in our students over the past decade: They have more difficulty reading books, sitting through a 75-minute class, or doing their homework.

    The Devil's Plan to Ruin the Next Generationafterbabel.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

    education

  413. 6 days earlier
  414. IS

    Ilya Sutskever quoted

    And one of the one thing you could do, and I think that's something that is done inadvertently, is that people take inspiration from the evals.

    Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com 1st of 28 in this recording

  415. EJ

    Eleanor Janega quoted

    Further, the fact that there is no such thing as a ‘Dark Ages’ and that a term we used for source survival has escaped containment and been rendered meaningless by a bunch of poorly read self-congratulatory dolts is, in fact, what we call ‘settled academic fact’.

    On contrarian historygoing-medieval.com 3rd of 4 in this piece

  416. IS

    Ilya Sutskever quoted

    I think for example our intuitive feeling of hunger is not succeeding in guiding us correctly in this world with an abundance of food.

    Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com 4th of 28 in this recording

  417. IS

    Ilya Sutskever quoted

    I want to like emphasize that I think the value function is something like it's going to make RL more efficient and I think that makes a difference but I think that anything you can do with a value function you can do without just more slowly.

    Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com 7th of 28 in this recording

  418. IS

    Ilya Sutskever quoted

    And so because scaling sucked out all the air in the room, everyone started to do the same thing. We got to the point where uh we are in a world where there are more companies than ideas by quite a bit.

    Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com 12th of 28 in this recording

  419. IS

    Ilya Sutskever quoted

    So there definitely for for research you need like definitely some amount of compute but it's far from obvious that you need the absolutely largest amount of compute ever for research.

    Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com 13th of 28 in this recording

  420. IS

    Ilya Sutskever quoted

    So the reason there has been no diversity I believe is because of pre-training. All the pre-trained models are the same pretty much because the pre-train on the same data.

    Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of researchyoutube.com 26th of 28 in this recording

    scaling laws

  421. 5 days earlier
  422. FD

    Freddie deBoer quoted

    Learning loss is a global phenomenon, exacerbated by a catastrophic event, not a structural flaw unique to the American education system.

    Was the United States Once a Global Leader in Educational Metrics? Have We Fallen From Those Lofty Heights? No and Nofreddiedeboer.substack.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

    EuropeAmericaeducation

  423. 2 days earlier
  424. SY

    Scott H. Young quoted

    Similarly, AI translation will prevent you from learning to speak another language, AI summaries will block you from really understanding the arguments laid out in a book, and AI analyses of your personal problems will make it harder for you to think through solutions to your own problems.

    Will AI Make Us Stupid?scotthyoung.com 4th of 6 in this piece

  425. 1 day earlier
  426. AK

    Andrej Karpathy quoted

    If a task/job is verifiable, then it is optimizable directly or via reinforcement learning, and a neural net can be trained to work extremely well.

    Verifiabilitykarpathy.bearblog.dev

  427. PL

    Pieter Levels quoted

    I just realized the only 2 countries left with actual substantial startup activity now are literally only the US and China The rest of the world can't really do startups, doesn't have the funding, can't grow them and it's more like performative hobby projects for their governments Which might tell us where the future wealth will be concentrated in the world

    Only the US and China have actual substantial startup activity nowlevels.io

    startupsChina

  428. 5 days earlier
  429. SN

    Satya Nadella quoted

    structurally I think there will always be an open- source model uh that will be fairly capable in the world that you could then use as long as you have something that you can use that uh with which is data uh and a scaffolding

    Satya Nadella – How Microsoft thinks about AGIyoutube.com 7th of 22 in this recording

  430. SN

    Satya Nadella quoted

    which I think is going to just keep growing because guess what it's going to grow faster than the number of users. So in fact that's kind of one of the other questions people ask me is hey what happens to the per user business at least the early signs may be the way to think about the per user business is not just per user it's per agent

    Satya Nadella – How Microsoft thinks about AGIyoutube.com 12th of 22 in this recording

  431. SN

    Satya Nadella quoted

    that 50% happens because quite frankly the trust the world has in the United States whether it's its capital markets or whether it's its technology and and its stewardship of what matters at any given time in terms of leading uh sector. So if that is broken uh then that's not a good day for the United States.

    Satya Nadella – How Microsoft thinks about AGIyoutube.com 20th of 22 in this recording

    America

  432. SN

    Satya Nadella quoted

    you just made the point of why I think trust in American tech is probably the most important feature. It's not even the model capability. Maybe it is like can I trust you the company? Can I trust you? Your country and its institutions to be a long-term supplier may be the thing that wins the world.

    Satya Nadella – How Microsoft thinks about AGIyoutube.com 22nd of 22 in this recording

    America

  433. 9 days earlier
  434. SY

    Scott H. Young quoted

    In an environment of change, it’s better to be the hardy dandelion rather than the hothouse orchid.

    What's Still Worth Learning in a World With AI?scotthyoung.com

  435. 3 days earlier
  436. CH

    Casey Handmer quoted

    I am far from certain that NASA can regain anything like the vigor necessary to respond decisively to the Chinese threat, but I am determined that the free people of Earth not live under a Red Moon

    NASA’s Orion Space Capsule Is Flaming Garbagecaseyhandmer.wordpress.com 1st of 4 in this piece

    America

  437. DH

    Dan Houser quoted

    I hope it’s got comedy, cynicism, heart, drama, and some amusing life lessons. Otherwise, you can’t just have jokes for 40 hours, it won’t work.

    Dan Houser: GTA, Red Dead Redemption, Rockstar, Absurd & Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #484youtube.com 1st of 22 in this recording

  438. DH

    Dan Houser quoted

    You know, you were in, you were in these worlds, and you went there as a visitor, and they existed almost independent of you. It felt like when you turned up, the world was running. It didn’t feel like you’d started it.

    Dan Houser: GTA, Red Dead Redemption, Rockstar, Absurd & Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #484youtube.com 2nd of 22 in this recording

  439. DH

    Dan Houser quoted

    Because I always thought that the games were kind of a mathematical equation. They were the personality of the world, you know, multiplied or divided by the personality of the protagonist.

    Dan Houser: GTA, Red Dead Redemption, Rockstar, Absurd & Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #484youtube.com 3rd of 22 in this recording

  440. DH

    Dan Houser quoted

    I would assume it will because it’s so anticipated, and anticipation is the best driver of early sales, as we saw with GTA4 versus Red Dead Redemption one.

    Dan Houser: GTA, Red Dead Redemption, Rockstar, Absurd & Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #484youtube.com 11th of 22 in this recording

  441. DH

    Dan Houser quoted

    Luckily, if you want to do what we’re forced to do and also what I want to do, which is make new IP, you need single-player games. You can launch a multiplayer game with new IP. It’s just extremely hard.

    Dan Houser: GTA, Red Dead Redemption, Rockstar, Absurd & Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #484youtube.com 13th of 22 in this recording

  442. DH

    Dan Houser quoted

    But as a spy, that doesn’t really work because you have to be against the clock. So I think for me, I’m, I question if you can even make a good open world spy game.

    Dan Houser: GTA, Red Dead Redemption, Rockstar, Absurd & Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #484youtube.com 14th of 22 in this recording

  443. DH

    Dan Houser quoted

    That self-critical brain, I think lots of people suffer from, and I think the internet is designed to induce, if you didn’t have it before, you will have it after being online. It clearly can become a bug, but it also can give you drive and a lack of complacency, so it can also become a feature.

    Dan Houser: GTA, Red Dead Redemption, Rockstar, Absurd & Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #484youtube.com 16th of 22 in this recording

  444. 5 days earlier
  445. PK

    Paul Krugman quoted

    there are many people who still refuse to believe that renewables can be practical even as renewables keep growing around the world, in fact accounting for the bulk of growth in electricity generation

    The Rise of Renewable Energypaulkrugman.substack.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

    energy

  446. 9 days earlier
  447. AK

    Andrej Karpathy quoted

    And it just so turns out that um this was extremely early, way too early. so early that we shouldn't have been working on that, you know, uh because um if you're just stumbling your way around and keyboard mashing and mouse clicking and trying to get rewards in these environments, um your reward is too sparse and you just won't learn and you're going to burn a forest uh computing and you're never actually going to get something off the ground.

    Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com 2nd of 30 in this recording

  448. AK

    Andrej Karpathy quoted

    a lot of what looks like learning is actually a lot more maturation of the brain and I think that actually very little reinforcement learning for animals and I think a lot of the reinforcement learning is actually like more like motor tasks. It's not intelligence tasks. So I actually kind of think humans don't actually like really use RL roughly speaking is what I would say.

    Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com 4th of 30 in this recording

  449. AK

    Andrej Karpathy quoted

    So that's why I kind of call pre-training this kind of like crappy evolution. It's like the practically possible version with our technology and what we have available to us to get to a starting point where we can actually do things like reinforcement learning and so on.

    Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com 5th of 30 in this recording

    scaling laws

  450. AK

    Andrej Karpathy quoted

    reinforcement learning is a lot worse than I think the average person thinks reinforcement learning is terrible. It just so happens that uh everything that we had before is much worse

    Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com 12th of 30 in this recording

  451. AK

    Andrej Karpathy quoted

    A human would never do this. Number one, a human would never do hundreds of rollouts. Uh number two, when a person sort of finds a solution, they will have a pretty complicated process of review of like, okay, I think these parts that I did well, these parts I did not do that well, I should probably do this or that.

    Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com 13th of 30 in this recording

  452. AK

    Andrej Karpathy quoted

    the reason that I think this is kind of tricky is quite subtle. And it's the fact that anytime you use an LLM to assign a reward, those LLMs are giant things with billions of parameters and they're gameable.

    Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com 14th of 30 in this recording

    LLMs

  453. AK

    Andrej Karpathy quoted

    It's about booting up a brain and I think physics uniquely boots up the brain the best.

    Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”youtube.com 30th of 30 in this recording

    physicseducation

  454. 1 day earlier
  455. DF

    Dylan Field quoted

    I think in this world where software can be created more easily, design matters so much and designers matter so much. I think designers are going to be the leaders of the future and I think that more designers need to speak step into that leadership role

    Figma’s CEO: Why AI makes design, craft, and quality the new moat for startups | Dylan Fieldyoutube.com 19th of 22 in this recording

    design

  456. 11 days earlier
  457. AC

    Albert Cheng quoted

    One exception is that Grammarly was a different type of product in that you install it and you don't proactively open it every day. So that was kind of interesting to me because I assume that you should always just focus on existing user retention. But for a product like Grammarly, it's actually the activation, installation, aha moment that's really really critical and will carry the user for a very very long time.

    Finding hidden growth opportunities in your product | Albert Cheng (Duolingo, Grammarly, Chess.com)youtube.com 12th of 26 in this recording

  458. AC

    Albert Cheng quoted

    I saw some of the highest performers just being people that had very high agency, had that clock speed, had that energy. Um, yes, they they cared about the mission, but they didn't necessarily need to have deep experience on that matter. And in fact, sometimes that experience could be a crutch in certain ways. Especially in this world where the grounds are shifting so fast with AI, a lot of your like learn habits actually need to be intentionally discarded. You know, you need to have a beginner's mind on this type of stuff.

    Finding hidden growth opportunities in your product | Albert Cheng (Duolingo, Grammarly, Chess.com)youtube.com 25th of 26 in this recording

    energy

  459. 5 days earlier
  460. PD

    Pavel Durov quoted

    And you're supposed to be really connected, but the conclusion you reach very early is that the more connected and accessible you are, the less productive you are.

    Pavel Durov: Telegram, Freedom, Censorship, Money, Power & Human Nature | Lex Fridman Podcast #482youtube.com 5th of 28 in this recording

  461. PD

    Pavel Durov quoted

    Well, what we realized really early is that quantity of employees doesn't translate the quality of the product they produce. In many cases, it's the opposite. If you have too many people, they have to coordinate their efforts, constantly communicate, and 90% of their time will be spent on coordinating the small pieces of work they're responsible for between each other.

    Pavel Durov: Telegram, Freedom, Censorship, Money, Power & Human Nature | Lex Fridman Podcast #482youtube.com 9th of 28 in this recording

    team size

  462. PD

    Pavel Durov quoted

    Because there's no such thing as an unbiased source of information. When the war in Ukraine started in 2022, I instantly realized Telegram is going to be used to spread propaganda by both sides.

    Pavel Durov: Telegram, Freedom, Censorship, Money, Power & Human Nature | Lex Fridman Podcast #482youtube.com 21st of 28 in this recording

    warTelegram

  463. LF

    Lex Fridman quoted

    it seems like struggle is a part of life, either you do it earlier or you do it later. And it’s true, that’s such a good point that competition does seem to be a really powerful driver of skill development

    Pavel Durov: Telegram, Freedom, Censorship, Money, Power & Human Nature | Lex Fridman Podcast #482youtube.com 21st of 28 in this recording

  464. PD

    Pavel Durov quoted

    Yeah, I think overabundance paralyzes motivation and willpower. It's extremely harmful, particularly for young boys, to grow up in an environment where they can be proud, not of their own achievements, but of their father's achievements or their father's wealth.

    Pavel Durov: Telegram, Freedom, Censorship, Money, Power & Human Nature | Lex Fridman Podcast #482youtube.com 24th of 28 in this recording

    motivation

  465. 4 days earlier
  466. RS

    Richard Sutton quoted

    reinforcement learning is about understanding your world whereas large language models are about mimicking people doing what people say you should do. They're not about figuring out what to do.

    Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead endyoutube.com 2nd of 25 in this recording

    LLMs

  467. RS

    Richard Sutton quoted

    they have the ability to predict what a person would say they don't have the ability to predict what will happen

    Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead endyoutube.com 3rd of 25 in this recording

  468. RS

    Richard Sutton quoted

    squirrels don't go to school. Squirrels can learn all about the world. It's absolutely obvious I would say that um supervised learning doesn't happen in animals.

    Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead endyoutube.com 10th of 25 in this recording

  469. RS

    Richard Sutton quoted

    You can't have one child learn grow up and and learn about the world and then and then every new child has to repeat that process. Whereas with AIS, with a digital intelligence, you could hope to do it once and then copy it into the next one as a starting place.

    Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead endyoutube.com 12th of 25 in this recording

  470. RS

    Richard Sutton quoted

    Well, there's nothing in them which will cause it to generalize. Well, the gradient descent will cause them to find a solution to the problems they've seen. And if there's only one way to solve them, you know, they they'll do it. But there are many ways to solve it. Some which generalize well, some which generalize poorly. There's nothing in them in the algorithms that will cause them to generalize well.

    Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead endyoutube.com 17th of 25 in this recording

  471. 5 days earlier
  472. JZ

    Julie Zhuo quoted

    but if I was, you know, at the zero or 10th percentile, it can certainly get me even today very quickly up to like the 60th 70th in terms of um what the state of the art is.

    From managing people to managing AI: The leadership skills everyone needs now | Julie Zhuoyoutube.com 4th of 22 in this recording

  473. JZ

    Julie Zhuo quoted

    It's easier to even predict whether growth will slow down at a certain point. it's easier to catch these trends earlier. If you don't have good observability over how your business runs and what the company's um key levers are, then you will be scrambling.

    From managing people to managing AI: The leadership skills everyone needs now | Julie Zhuoyoutube.com 9th of 22 in this recording

  474. JZ

    Julie Zhuo quoted

    used to be let's say in the Google world right I knew you were interested in shopping if you click the shopping tab I know you're interested in maps if you click the maps tab, we can measure clicks. Today, it's just all conversation. And so, it's actually harder for us to tease apart what is the user intent.

    From managing people to managing AI: The leadership skills everyone needs now | Julie Zhuoyoutube.com 10th of 22 in this recording

    Google

  475. JZ

    Julie Zhuo quoted

    But feedback really in my mind ideally should be like a daily practice because the thing that matters for us in the long run as a team is how quickly are we getting better. So a team that just gets 1% better every week compared to a team that gets 1% better a month is even if they start off at a much lower baseline is going to outperform in a very short amount of time the team that doesn't get better.

    From managing people to managing AI: The leadership skills everyone needs now | Julie Zhuoyoutube.com 19th of 22 in this recording

  476. 2 days earlier
  477. NO

    Norman Ohler quoted

    But it was used by right-wingers, and Hitler didn't mind because people who are drunk are more susceptible to right-wing populism, I would claim now here, and Hitler would agree. So he did not think it was bad that these people were a bit drunk, or maybe even very drunk, because if you're drunk you also get aggressive against others.

    Norman Ohler: Hitler, Nazis, Drugs, WW2, Blitzkrieg, LSD, MKUltra & CIA | Lex Fridman Podcast #481youtube.com 1st of 22 in this recording

  478. NO

    Norman Ohler quoted

    That was the victorious idea. So it's not the drugs. Actually, that idea to go through the Ardennes Mountains, if you think monocausal, you would say that's the reason. That idea was genius, and Hitler immediately understood it, because before, the plan was to attack in the north of Belgium, which is the same as World War I.

    Norman Ohler: Hitler, Nazis, Drugs, WW2, Blitzkrieg, LSD, MKUltra & CIA | Lex Fridman Podcast #481youtube.com 6th of 22 in this recording

  479. 1 day earlier
  480. TL

    Tobias Lütke quoted

    Just imagine you use very bad software and um the team that started the project decided early to use Xamarin and then they never had a chance of making this as good as all the other things you really appreciate on your phone due to this decision no matter how good they are.

    ACQ2: How to Live in Everyone Else's Future (with Shopify CEO Tobi Lütke)youtube.com 2nd of 21 in this recording

  481. JC

    John H. Cochrane quoted

    Well, when the institutions are over and over spectacularly wrong, whether just incompetent, politicized, or mendacious, there is a reason for loss of trust.

    Climate turning pointgrumpy-economist.com 3rd of 4 in this piece

  482. TL

    Tobias Lütke quoted

    I believe those things are utterly incorrect now. I I I I think people love leadership. Like they like they they love complaining about it, too, which they should. And it like it deserves all criticism it gets, but like there's something absolutely wonderful being part of a group that's being led.

    ACQ2: How to Live in Everyone Else's Future (with Shopify CEO Tobi Lütke)youtube.com 13th of 21 in this recording

  483. 6 days earlier
  484. SL

    Sergey Levine quoted

    Uh so in order to effectively learn from your own experience, it turns out that it's really really important to already know something about what you're doing. Otherwise, it takes far too long.

    Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levineyoutube.com 17th of 24 in this recording

    robotics

  485. SL

    Sergey Levine quoted

    I think that it's optimistically that it's actually the other way around that the robotics uh element of the equation will make all the other stuff better. And there are two uh reasons for this that that I could tell you about. One has to do with representations and focus.

    Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levineyoutube.com 18th of 24 in this recording

    robotics

  486. SL

    Sergey Levine quoted

    So here's what I would say that deep down at a very fundamental level the synthetic experience that you create yourself doesn't allow you to learn more about the world. It allows you to rehearse things. It allows you to consider counterfactuals but somehow information about the world needs to get injected into the system.

    Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levineyoutube.com 20th of 24 in this recording

  487. 2 days earlier
  488. UL

    Ursula von der Leyen quoted

    Battlelines for a new world order based on power are being drawn right now. So, yes, Europe must fight. For its place in a world in which many major powers are either ambivalent or openly hostile to Europe.

    2025 State of the Union Address by President von der Leyen, 10 September 2025enlargement.ec.europa.eu

    Europe

  489. 2 days earlier
  490. FD

    Freddie deBoer quoted

    The brute reality is that most kids slot themselves into academic ability bands early in life and stay there throughout schooling.

    Education Doesn't Work 3.0freddiedeboer.substack.com 4th of 6 in this piece

    education

  491. 4 days earlier
  492. DH

    Dave Hone quoted

    They're relatively efficient compared to a lot of other things, and particularly compared to the herbivores, so that means they're probably looking at long distance rather than speed.

    Dave Hone: T-Rex, Dinosaurs, Extinction, Evolution, and Jurassic Park | Lex Fridman Podcast #480youtube.com 5th of 24 in this recording

  493. DH

    Dave Hone quoted

    You're dominant in contests, particularly with conspecifics. If you're trying to win a territory or win mating rights, bigger things usually beat up smaller things. So there's going to be selection favoring them. But then big things don't usually do well in extinction events, so that tends to reset the clock by killing off the big stuff, and then smaller stuff does better again.

    Dave Hone: T-Rex, Dinosaurs, Extinction, Evolution, and Jurassic Park | Lex Fridman Podcast #480youtube.com 8th of 24 in this recording

  494. DH

    Dave Hone quoted

    And that's the thing, it's the pool of data, and I think that's what people miss. We as paleontologists get caught up on single superlative specimens and then try and treat them as a silver bullet almost.

    Dave Hone: T-Rex, Dinosaurs, Extinction, Evolution, and Jurassic Park | Lex Fridman Podcast #480youtube.com 15th of 24 in this recording

  495. DH

    Dave Hone quoted

    So Spinosaurus is a super weird and exaggerated version of what was already a kind of super weird group of theropods. So Spinosaurus is properly strange. And then, as you kind of hinted at, super controversial as well, because various papers have claimed it's a diver or a really good swimmer, and I think the evidence for that is very weak at best.

    Dave Hone: T-Rex, Dinosaurs, Extinction, Evolution, and Jurassic Park | Lex Fridman Podcast #480youtube.com 16th of 24 in this recording

  496. DH

    Dave Hone quoted

    But I'm being obviously overly facetious, but if ultimately part of your scaling is how big is the animal versus how big is its brain, that's most of a T-Rex brain. It's a fraction of the size of a chimp brain, and chimps don't weigh seven tons.

    Dave Hone: T-Rex, Dinosaurs, Extinction, Evolution, and Jurassic Park | Lex Fridman Podcast #480youtube.com 17th of 24 in this recording

  497. 2 weeks earlier
  498. CL

    Charles Fain Lehman quoted

    Years of reform mean that almost everyone who can be diverted from Rikers already is.

    Prison Abolition in New York?thecausalfallacy.substack.com

  499. 3 days earlier
  500. BT

    Bret Taylor quoted

    I don't think all parts of the economy can absorb intelligence equally. So let's just say we develop fairly generalized super intelligence. I always use the analogy like you can invent a lot of drugs, but if clinical trials still take a long time, you're not necessarily going to get new therapies rapidly.

    How is AI Different Than Other Technology Waves? (With Bret Taylor and Clay Bavor) [ACQ2]youtube.com 7th of 22 in this recording

    AGIAI alignment

  501. 3 days earlier
  502. CH

    Casey Handmer quoted

    You you also don't know like in order to make that money back, you have to then operate that plant at that capacity for 20 years, right? And if I was looking at the same charts as they're looking at right now, I'd say what are the odds that in 25 years time we can produce gas turbines at a price that is relevant in a world where solar is already at its current price and batteries at a price where they're already like you cannot win.

    China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmeryoutube.com 11th of 24 in this recording

    solarbatteries

  503. CH

    Casey Handmer quoted

    But then all you need to connect that to the outside world is like an optical fiber, right? An optical fiber cable which you can string up on poles, you can run underground, you could even use microwave links if you really wanted to.

    China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmeryoutube.com 13th of 24 in this recording

    data centers

  504. CH

    Casey Handmer quoted

    And the bottleneck prior to what we call the industrial revolution was uh metabolism, right? It's just like how much like oats can a human or a horse physically digest and then convert into useful mechanical output for you know their their um their peasant overlord or whatever.

    China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmeryoutube.com 20th of 24 in this recording

  505. CH

    Casey Handmer quoted

    You can revisit a bunch of legacy industrial processes that are have been optimized for efficiency and say, well, what if we just like use twice as much power and we just want to do them faster and cheaper, right? Like less capex, less lead time, more power, right?

    China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmeryoutube.com 24th of 24 in this recording

    solar

  506. 2 days earlier
  507. KJ

    Keyu Jin quoted

    The US will lead for some time on breakthroughs on disruptive technologies, the zero to one technologies that ultimately change the world. But innovation is a process. It goes from invention to production and commercialization and diffusion, diffusing technology throughout all parts of the economy. And on those two stages, I think that China has a unique advantage, even if it still can’t do the zero to one breakthroughs, because in the end, how much this technology is adopted by the countries and by the various parts of the economy is fundamentally crucial to how much productivity will be unleashed.

    Keyu Jin: China's Economy, Tariffs, Trade, Trump, Communism & Capitalism | Lex Fridman Podcast #477youtube.com 9th of 16 in this recording

    ChinaAmericainnovation

  508. KJ

    Keyu Jin quoted

    The trade deficits have widened since Trump, right? They haven’t closed the imbalance with China and with the rest of the world because ultimately the US saves less than it invests. And that’s a macrophenomenon. It’s not a trade phenomenon

    Keyu Jin: China's Economy, Tariffs, Trade, Trump, Communism & Capitalism | Lex Fridman Podcast #477youtube.com 13th of 16 in this recording

    ChinaAmericatariffs

  509. KJ

    Keyu Jin quoted

    Maybe on the good side, it’s actually a golden age for Chinese women because the Chinese girls never had as much education investment apportioned to them as they’ve had after being the only child in the family. And you raised a daughter like a son. And if we look at all the skill gaps and the education gaps and the returns to education, actually girls fared better.

    Keyu Jin: China's Economy, Tariffs, Trade, Trump, Communism & Capitalism | Lex Fridman Podcast #477youtube.com 14th of 16 in this recording

    education

  510. 8 days earlier
  511. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    Arch has been around for twenty years, but with Hyprland on top, it's been catapulted in front of an entirely new audience. Folks who'd never thought that open source could be able to deliver a desktop experience worth giving up Windows or macOS for.

    Omarchy is on the moveworld.hey.com

    Hyprlandopen source

  512. 2 days earlier
  513. WM

    William MacAskill quoted

    But the difference in value between the world today and that common-sense utopia might be very small compared to the difference between that common-sense utopia and the best futures we could feasibly achieve.

    Introducing Better Futuresforethought.org 3rd of 7 in this piece

  514. WM

    William MacAskill quoted

    From my point of view, the key priority in the world today is to get us closer to viatopia, not to some particular narrow end-state.

    Introducing Better Futuresforethought.org 7th of 7 in this piece

  515. 3 days earlier
  516. JW

    Jack Weatherford quoted

    And that the Mongol Empire was really the first modern empire in the way that I'm putting together that story. And Chinggis Khan was the genius behind that, who created this idea that there could be one world in which there would be one set of supreme law, but all people could follow their own law.

    Jack Weatherford: Genghis Khan and the Mongol Empire | Lex Fridman Podcast #476youtube.com 11th of 22 in this recording

  517. JW

    Jack Weatherford quoted

    Well, they raised the status of merchants very high. This was particularly a problem in the Chinese world. It wasn't so much in the Christian or the Muslim world, but certainly in the Chinese world, where merchants were considered extremely low. And all of a sudden he raises them up above scholars.

    Jack Weatherford: Genghis Khan and the Mongol Empire | Lex Fridman Podcast #476youtube.com 15th of 22 in this recording

  518. JW

    Jack Weatherford quoted

    But this great system that united, it's called the Yam or Ortogh, that had united everything, people could move back and forth quickly that it could also take the plague out of Southern China into all parts of the world. And I do think that's what happened. And the plague destroyed the Mongol system.

    Jack Weatherford: Genghis Khan and the Mongol Empire | Lex Fridman Podcast #476youtube.com 19th of 22 in this recording

    China

  519. JW

    Jack Weatherford quoted

    No other power in the history of the world has conquered Russia and China and Persia and Central Asia and Turkey and Korea. No power in the world has done that. Not Alexander, not the Romans. Nobody will ever do it again.

    Jack Weatherford: Genghis Khan and the Mongol Empire | Lex Fridman Podcast #476youtube.com 20th of 22 in this recording

    ChinaRussiawar

  520. 2 days earlier
  521. OK

    Oliver Kim quoted

    In our world, we know of no escape from poverty other than climbing the value chain.

    Indonesia Climbs the Chainglobal-developments.org 1st of 5 in this piece

  522. 6 days earlier
  523. DH

    Demis Hassabis quoted

    I think we've proven, and the AI community in general that classical systems, Turing machines can go a lot further than we previously thought. They can do things like model the structures of proteins and play go to better than world champion level. And a lot of people would've thought maybe 10, 20 years ago that was decades away, or maybe you would need some sort of quantum machines to quantum systems to be able to do things like protein folding. And so I think we haven't really even sort of scratched the surface yet of what classical systems so-called could do.

    Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games | Lex Fridman Podcast #475youtube.com 3rd of 20 in this recording

  524. DH

    Demis Hassabis quoted

    I think to the extent that it can predict the next frames in a coherent way, that is a form of understanding, not in the anthropomorphic version of, it's not some kind of deep philosophical understanding of what's going on, I don't think these systems have that, but they certainly have modeled enough of the dynamics, put it that way

    Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games | Lex Fridman Podcast #475youtube.com 4th of 20 in this recording

  525. DH

    Demis Hassabis quoted

    But it seems like you can understand it through passive observation, which is pretty surprising to me. And again, I think hints at something underlying about the nature of reality in my opinion, beyond just the cool videos that it generates.

    Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games | Lex Fridman Podcast #475youtube.com 5th of 20 in this recording

    physicsrobotics

  526. DH

    Demis Hassabis quoted

    And maybe also make the system available to a few hundred of the world's top experts, the Terence Taos of each subject area and give them a month or two and see if they can find an obvious flaw in the system. And if they can't, then I think you can be pretty confident we have a fully general system.

    Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games | Lex Fridman Podcast #475youtube.com 8th of 20 in this recording

    AGI

  527. DH

    Demis Hassabis quoted

    Do you have enough data to make simulations, so that you can create more synthetic data that are from the right distribution? Obviously that's the key. So you need enough real-world data in order to be able to create those kinds of data generators, and I think that we're at that step at the moment.

    Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games | Lex Fridman Podcast #475youtube.com 11th of 20 in this recording

  528. DH

    Demis Hassabis quoted

    I hope we'll end up with something more collaborative if needed, more like a CERN project where it's research-focused and the best minds in the world come together to carefully complete the final steps and make sure it's responsibly done before deploying it to the world.

    Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games | Lex Fridman Podcast #475youtube.com 18th of 20 in this recording

    AGI

  529. 7 days earlier
  530. JD

    Jamie Dimon quoted

    I've always been very risk-conscious. And risk-conscious does not mean getting rid of risk. It means properly pricing it and understanding the potential outcomes.

    The Jamie Dimon Interview: How JP Morgan Became an $800 Billion Bankyoutube.com 1st of 19 in this recording

  531. 2 days earlier
  532. NS

    Noah Smith quoted

    This is extremely encouraging, as it shows that countries can still catch up all the way to developed status even without world-beating national champion manufacturers like Samsung and Hyundai.

    Developing countries: A follow-upnoahpinion.blog 6th of 6 in this piece

  533. 1 day earlier
  534. MG

    Michael Grunwald quoted

    The main argument they trotted out in that article was that we don’t need more high-yield agriculture because we don’t need more food, just better distribution of the food we already have. That’s wrong

    Stop Sucking Up to Farmersmichaelgrunwald.substack.com

  535. 1 day earlier
  536. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    It's a monument to good intentions leading straight to hell. And the Europe is actually world class in good intentions leading straight to hell.

    DHH: Future of Programming, AI, Ruby on Rails, Productivity & Parenting | Lex Fridman Podcast #474youtube.com 1st of 36 in this recording

    Europe

  537. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    there's something broken at the moment about how people pair up in the western world. And it's at the source of why we're not having enough children because there's not enough couples, there's not enough marriage.

    DHH: Future of Programming, AI, Ruby on Rails, Productivity & Parenting | Lex Fridman Podcast #474youtube.com 34th of 36 in this recording

  538. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    you can't show up after you've given the gift of free software to the world and then say, now that you've used that gift, you actually owe me a huge slide of your business because you got too successful using the thing I gave you for free. You don't get to take a gift back.

    DHH: Future of Programming, AI, Ruby on Rails, Productivity & Parenting | Lex Fridman Podcast #474youtube.com 42nd of 36 in this recording

    open source

  539. 12 days earlier
  540. MG

    Michael Grunwald quoted

    We need better beef - which means more efficient beef, not organic grass-fed beef, which is even worse for the climate and the planet than conventional feedlot-finished beef - but in the rich world we also need to eat less beef.

    WE ARE EATING THE EARTHmichaelgrunwald.substack.com

  541. 4 days earlier
  542. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    Because I do think that Hyprland deserves its reputation of being difficult! Not because the core tiling window manager is hard, but because it comes incredibly bare-boned in the box.

    Omarchy is outworld.hey.com

    Hyprland

  543. 2 weeks earlier
  544. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    There will be very hard parts like whole classes of jobs going away, but on the other hand the world will be getting so much richer so quickly that we’ll be able to seriously entertain new policy ideas we never could before.

    The Gentle Singularityblog.samaltman.com

    AI and jobs

  545. 5 days earlier
  546. SP

    Sundar Pichai quoted

    When the internet created blogs, you heard from so many more people. But with AI, I think that number won't be in the few hundreds of thousands. It'll be tens of millions of people, maybe even a billion people putting out things into the world in a deeper way.

    Sundar Pichai: CEO of Google and Alphabet | Lex Fridman Podcast #471youtube.com 2nd of 21 in this recording

  547. SP

    Sundar Pichai quoted

    I almost feel the term doesn't matter, what I know is by 2030 there'll be such dramatic progress. We'll be dealing with the consequences of that progress, both the positive externalities and the negative externalities that come with it in a big way by 2030. So that I strongly feel.

    Sundar Pichai: CEO of Google and Alphabet | Lex Fridman Podcast #471youtube.com 7th of 21 in this recording

  548. LF

    Lex Fridman quoted

    I sometimes also struggle explaining to people, articulating, why I believe meeting in person for world leaders is powerful. It just seems naive to say that, but there is something there in person

    Sundar Pichai: CEO of Google and Alphabet | Lex Fridman Podcast #471youtube.com 12th of 21 in this recording

  549. LF

    Lex Fridman quoted

    I personally hate meetings because a significant percent of meetings when done poorly don’t serve a clear purpose. But that’s a meeting problem, that’s not a communication problem.

    Sundar Pichai: CEO of Google and Alphabet | Lex Fridman Podcast #471youtube.com 13th of 21 in this recording

  550. SP

    Sundar Pichai quoted

    The best innovations in computing have come through a paradigm IO change, right? When with GUI, and then with a graphical user interface, and then with multi-touch in the context of mobile voice later on. Similarly, I feel like AR is that next paradigm.

    Sundar Pichai: CEO of Google and Alphabet | Lex Fridman Podcast #471youtube.com 15th of 21 in this recording

    designinnovation

  551. SP

    Sundar Pichai quoted

    I always ask myself the question, would you have been born now or any other time in the past? I most often, not most often, almost always would rather be born now.

    Sundar Pichai: CEO of Google and Alphabet | Lex Fridman Podcast #471youtube.com 16th of 21 in this recording

  552. 1 day earlier
  553. AR

    Armin Ronacher quoted

    While all this is happening, I’ve found myself reflecting a lot on what AI means to the world and I am becoming increasingly optimistic about our future. It’s obvious now that we’re undergoing a tremendous shift.

    While all this is happening, I’ve found myself reflecting a lot on what AI means to the world and I am becoming increasingly optimistic about our future. It’s obvious now that we’re undergoing a tremendous shift.

    AI Changes Everythinglucumr.pocoo.org

    LLMs

  554. 1 day earlier
  555. SW

    Sebastiaan de With quoted

    We’ve come back, in a sense, to skeuomorphic interfaces — but this time not with a lacquer resembling a material. Instead, the interface is clear, graphic and behaves like things we know from the real world, or might exist in the world. This is what the new skeuomorphism is. It, too, is physicality.

    Physicality: the new age of UIlux.camera

    design

  556. 1 day earlier
  557. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    This means that if you're interested in running Hyprland, and you intend to set it all up from scratch, you're probably signing up for at least a good 10+ hours — just to install and configure everything!

    Omarchy: Bottling that inspiration before it spoilsworld.hey.com

    Hyprland

  558. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    So while the downside of Arch + Hyprland is that literally every last detail requires you to make a choice and a config file to move on, it's also its upside: you can change EVERYTHING!

    Omarchy: Bottling that inspiration before it spoilsworld.hey.com

    Hyprland

  559. 5 days earlier
  560. CL

    Charles Fain Lehman quoted

    Drug offenders never accounted for a particularly large fraction of the U.S. prison population, peaking at about 22 percent of state prisoners in 1990.

    What Was The War on Drugs? Part Vthecausalfallacy.substack.com 1st of 3 in this piece

    America

  561. 4 days earlier
  562. JH

    James Holland quoted

    There is just no stomach to do that again. So that makes them risk averse. And by being risk averse, you’re actually taking a far greater risk. That’s the irony of it.

    James Holland: World War II, Hitler, Churchill, Stalin & Biggest Battles | Lex Fridman Podcast #470youtube.com 6th of 27 in this recording

  563. JH

    James Holland quoted

    And I think radios are really, really key to the whole story because there is no denser radio network anywhere in the world, including the United States, than Germany in 1939.

    James Holland: World War II, Hitler, Churchill, Stalin & Biggest Battles | Lex Fridman Podcast #470youtube.com 8th of 27 in this recording

    America

  564. JH

    James Holland quoted

    But Chamberlain was prime minister in a democracy, a parliamentary democracy, where 92% of the population were against going to war in 1938. There was not a single democratic leader in the world that would go against the wishes of 92% of the population.

    James Holland: World War II, Hitler, Churchill, Stalin & Biggest Battles | Lex Fridman Podcast #470youtube.com 10th of 27 in this recording

  565. JH

    James Holland quoted

    And so, one of the reasons why you have this narrative that Britain was a bit rubbish and hanging on the shirttails of the Americans and all the blood was spilt in eastern front and Germany had the best army in the world and was only defeated because Hitler was mad and blah, blah, blah, that kind of traditional narrative, that narrative emerges through the prism of what was going on in the 1970s and what was going on in the 1980s and the changing world, rather than looking at it through the prism of the late 1930s or early 1940s.

    James Holland: World War II, Hitler, Churchill, Stalin & Biggest Battles | Lex Fridman Podcast #470youtube.com 11th of 27 in this recording

    America

  566. JH

    James Holland quoted

    And I think by saying that Churchill is the chief warmonger of the Second World War, I think, is ludicrous.

    James Holland: World War II, Hitler, Churchill, Stalin & Biggest Battles | Lex Fridman Podcast #470youtube.com 14th of 27 in this recording

  567. JH

    James Holland quoted

    I think there are so many lessons from World War II that could have been brought into the history of the last 30 years, which weren’t, such as if you decapitate an incredibly strong leader, you get a power vacuum. And if you don’t have a solution for that power vacuum, lots of bad elements are going to sweep into that in very quick order, which of course, is exactly what happens in Iraq.

    James Holland: World War II, Hitler, Churchill, Stalin & Biggest Battles | Lex Fridman Podcast #470youtube.com 18th of 27 in this recording

  568. JH

    James Holland quoted

    But ultimately, there’s a certain point in the Second World War where the outcome is absolutely inevitable because the guys that lose can’t compete with the numbers that the guys are going to win.

    James Holland: World War II, Hitler, Churchill, Stalin & Biggest Battles | Lex Fridman Podcast #470youtube.com 21st of 27 in this recording

  569. JH

    James Holland quoted

    But actually what conflict in World War II shows you is that you need more than that. You need ease of maintenance, you need reliability.

    James Holland: World War II, Hitler, Churchill, Stalin & Biggest Battles | Lex Fridman Podcast #470youtube.com 23rd of 27 in this recording

    design

  570. JH

    James Holland quoted

    He might have amazing attention to detail, he might be able to understand, have an enormous capacity to remember units and where they are on a map, but he was only a half corporal in the First World war. He’s never been to staff college.

    James Holland: World War II, Hitler, Churchill, Stalin & Biggest Battles | Lex Fridman Podcast #470youtube.com 25th of 27 in this recording

  571. 3 days earlier
  572. EZ

    Ed Zitron quoted

    We live in the era of the symbolic executive, when "being good at stuff" matters far less than the appearance of doing stuff, where "what's useful" is dictated not by outputs or metrics that one can measure but rather the vibes passed between managers and executives that have worked their entire careers to escape the world of work.

    The Era Of The Business Idiotwheresyoured.at 2nd of 7 in this piece

    management

  573. 7 days earlier
  574. DS

    Derek Sivers quoted

    So the idea is when you start a business, you get to make all the rules now. You can, like in this little part of the world, you get to decide how things should work. You don't have to follow norms.

    sive.rs

  575. DS

    Derek Sivers quoted

    The point is that if you think that money is the only thing holding you back from what you want to do, you're not thinking very clearly. There's always a way around it.

    sive.rs

  576. 2 days earlier
  577. JZ

    Julie Zhuo quoted

    The technology powering ChatGPT had already launched prior to November 30th, 2022. It was just wrapped in a different interface. Very few people paid attention. Why did ChatGPT explode in popularity? Because of its obvious chat interface, which everyone intuitively already knew how to use it.

    Conversational Interfaces: the Good, the Ugly & the Billion-Dollar Opportunitylg.substack.com

    OpenAIchat interfaces

  578. 7 days earlier
  579. JL

    Janna Levin quoted

    Absolutely. The world flocked here. And that won’t be the case if we no longer have intellectual freedom.

    Janna Levin: Black Holes, Wormholes, Aliens, Paradoxes & Extra Dimensions | Lex Fridman Podcast #468youtube.com 4th of 24 in this recording

    America

  580. 5 days earlier
  581. EJ

    Eleanor Janega quoted

    I am not here to tell you that the medieval period is a specifically peaceful time, but it pales in comparison to what goes down in the early modern period, in which both the apparently beloved Renaissance and Enlightenment periods lie.

    On what Americans know about medieval historygoing-medieval.com 1st of 2 in this piece

    Europe

  582. EJ

    Eleanor Janega quoted

    Clearly as well we see that the more people know about the medieval period, the more likely they are to be correct about it.

    On what Americans know about medieval historygoing-medieval.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  583. TS

    Tim Sweeney quoted

    I think the big thing to realize for indie developers right now is there's massive, massive competition in every major genre, and it's very unlikely that unless you just happen to be the world's best at a particular thing that you're going to release a game in an existing highly competitive genre and win.

    Tim Sweeney: Fortnite, Unreal Engine, and the Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #467youtube.com 3rd of 22 in this recording

  584. TS

    Tim Sweeney quoted

    I think a lot of people in the industry are overly optimistic about the rate of progress of AI for video and other things like that. The real problem is consistency, like spurting out an image is really high quality, but with video over the course of seeing all the AI approaches have consistency issues going from one place to another. I don't think that those will just be remedied easily.

    Tim Sweeney: Fortnite, Unreal Engine, and the Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #467youtube.com 8th of 22 in this recording

  585. TS

    Tim Sweeney quoted

    AI is really great at spewing out code that does something that a million GitHub repositories already do because it's learned the underlying pattern. It's notoriously hard to get to do something new that hasn't been done before, especially when it's a complex task.

    Tim Sweeney: Fortnite, Unreal Engine, and the Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #467youtube.com 9th of 22 in this recording

  586. TS

    Tim Sweeney quoted

    It is the number one trend for pervading the world of gaming today. And it says that your game is quadratically more valuable the more percentage of a user's real-world friends they can connect to.

    Tim Sweeney: Fortnite, Unreal Engine, and the Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #467youtube.com 18th of 22 in this recording

    video games

  587. TS

    Tim Sweeney quoted

    And when you look at a lot of the games that failed recently, they just didn't deliver fun or they didn't deliver fun in a manner that was nearly competitive with the other sources of fun just in people's lives. And so at a basic level, we don't need a terribly complicated theory to explain a lot of the malaise in the game industry.

    Tim Sweeney: Fortnite, Unreal Engine, and the Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #467youtube.com 20th of 22 in this recording

  588. TS

    Tim Sweeney quoted

    I think the lesson from all of that is that humans talking to humans and being together in the real world or a virtual world, is a naturally empathetic medium, which naturally leads to bonding, and though conflict sometimes occurs, it's just generally so much more promoting of our social norms and good interactions between people and positivity promoting.

    Tim Sweeney: Fortnite, Unreal Engine, and the Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #467youtube.com 22nd of 22 in this recording

  589. 6 days earlier
  590. SD

    Saloni Dattani quoted

    In my view, without smoking, we probably would have seen cancer mortality decline much earlier.

    The decline in cancer mortality is about much more than smokingscientificdiscovery.dev 1st of 2 in this piece

  591. MG

    Michael Grunwald quoted

    Unfortunately, making those simple changes is infuriatingly difficult. Global meat consumption keeps rising every year. The world still wastes at least one fourth of its food.

    It's Hard to Change Our Behaviorsmichaelgrunwald.substack.com

  592. 9 days earlier
  593. BC

    Bryan Caplan quoted

    First and foremost: Perfect scores should be vanishingly rare. Instead of clumping the best candidates together, you should be able to clearly distinguish the 99th percentile from the 99.9th, 99.99th, and so on.

    What's Really Wrong With Standardized Testsbetonit.ai 2nd of 4 in this piece

  594. 1 day earlier
  595. JC

    John H. Cochrane quoted

    In sum, spurred on by the federal government (in many ways), the US borrowed a huge amount from foreigners at very low rates, and went on a consumption binge. Sooner or later we have to pay it back, or we go though the wrenching adjustment of a debt crisis.

    Tariffs, saving, and investmentgrumpy-economist.com 3rd of 6 in this piece

    governmentAmerica

  596. 7 days earlier
  597. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    The purpose of work is not just about earning your keep, but also about earning a purpose and a place in the world.

    Universal Basic Dead Endworld.hey.com

    AI and jobs

  598. 1 day earlier
  599. MH

    Molson Hart quoted

    That’s because America has an amazing consumer supply chain, one of the best, if not the best in the world, but this is totally different from having an industrial supply chain.

    America Underestimates the Difficulty of Bringing Manufacturing Backmolsonhart.com 1st of 16 in this piece

    America

  600. MH

    Molson Hart quoted

    It’s the work ethic, knowhow, commitment, combined with top notch infrastructure, that makes China the most powerful manufacturing country in the world today.

    America Underestimates the Difficulty of Bringing Manufacturing Backmolsonhart.com 4th of 16 in this piece

    Chinainfrastructure

  601. MH

    Molson Hart quoted

    First, China, on a yearly basis installs 7x as many industrial robots as we do in the United States.

    America Underestimates the Difficulty of Bringing Manufacturing Backmolsonhart.com 10th of 16 in this piece

    ChinaAmericarobotics

  602. 1 day earlier
  603. HT

    Helen Toner quoted

    But with AI, it’s different: it’s often only a couple of years between when you need a world-class computing cluster to do something and when you can run it on a high-end gaming chip on your laptop.

    Nonproliferation is the wrong approach to AI misusehelentoner.substack.com 1st of 5 in this piece

    video games

  604. 13 days earlier
  605. RV

    Rahul Vohra quoted

    And that's why when you have a missionritical product like email where you are interfacing with customers with candidates with investors it turns out to really matter. Email is mission critical. So it's not something where you can simply launch with a halfbaked product.

    Superhuman's secret to success | Rahul Vohra (CEO and founder)youtube.com 8th of 24 in this recording

  606. RV

    Rahul Vohra quoted

    And I'd say the second thing is to get to products market fit, you have to deliberately not act on the feedback of many of your early users. And this is at the same time as listening to people intensely and building what people want, right?

    Superhuman's secret to success | Rahul Vohra (CEO and founder)youtube.com 14th of 24 in this recording

  607. RV

    Rahul Vohra quoted

    And that's the problem with rewards is they just massively undermine intrinsic motivation. And that's why gamification doesn't work. And when gamification does work, it's because the underlying experience was already designed like a game.

    Superhuman's secret to success | Rahul Vohra (CEO and founder)youtube.com 19th of 24 in this recording

    motivation

  608. 1 day earlier
  609. TH

    ThePrimeagen quoted

    And so we often talk about programming in perspective of web, or something that's pretty narrow, and I think that's just a social construct of Twitter more than anything else, that actually I don't believe it's that representative of the entire programming world out there.

    ThePrimeagen: Programming, AI, ADHD, Productivity, Addiction, and God | Lex Fridman Podcast #461youtube.com 2nd of 31 in this recording

  610. TH

    ThePrimeagen quoted

    You don't stop a problem by replacing it. And so I didn't have a girlfriend, I didn't have all that. I just realized that I was truly taking away from something from my future wife.

    ThePrimeagen: Programming, AI, ADHD, Productivity, Addiction, and God | Lex Fridman Podcast #461youtube.com 4th of 31 in this recording

    Addiction

  611. 4 weeks earlier
  612. AE

    Alice Evans quoted

    But over the past 50 years, there has been a massive decline in fertility. This entails fewer cousins of a suitable age.

    Why are Marriage & Fertility Plummeting in MENA?ggd.world 4th of 4 in this piece

    demographics

  613. 2 weeks earlier
  614. NL

    Nathan Lambert quoted

    There's not many worlds where China cannot train AI models. I think export controls are decapping the amount of compute or the density of compute that China can have.

    DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459youtube.com 6th of 44 in this recording

    China

  615. NL

    Nathan Lambert quoted

    There's some research that shows that the distribution is actually the limiting factor. So language models haven't yet made misinformation particularly change the equation there.

    DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459youtube.com 9th of 44 in this recording

  616. DP

    Dylan Patel quoted

    China, if they wanted to build the largest data center in the world, if they had access to the chips, could. So it's just a question of when, not if.

    DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459youtube.com 11th of 44 in this recording

    data centersChina

  617. DP

    Dylan Patel quoted

    It's an objective fact that the world has been the most peaceful it's ever been when there are global hegemons, or regional hegemons in historical context. The Mediterranean was the most peaceful ever when the Romans were there.

    DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459youtube.com 15th of 44 in this recording

  618. DP

    Dylan Patel quoted

    FLOP is the vector that the government has cared about historically, but the other two vectors are arguably just as important. And especially when we come to this new paradigm, which the world is only just learning about over the last six months: reasoning.

    DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459youtube.com 16th of 44 in this recording

    governmentAmerica

  619. NL

    Nathan Lambert quoted

    these open models are probably going to keep coming for the time being, whether or not we want to stop them, and stopping them might make it even worse and harder to prepare.

    DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459youtube.com 19th of 44 in this recording

  620. NL

    Nathan Lambert quoted

    And the important thing to say is that no matter how you want the model to behave, these RLHF and preference-tuning techniques also improve performance. So, on things like math evals and code evals, there is something innate to these, what is called contrastive loss functions.

    DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459youtube.com 22nd of 44 in this recording

  621. NL

    Nathan Lambert quoted

    And these reasoning behaviors emerge naturally. So these things like, "Wait, let me see. Wait, let me check this. Oh, that might be a mistake." And they emerge from only having questions and answers.

    DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459youtube.com 23rd of 44 in this recording

  622. DP

    Dylan Patel quoted

    One is ByteDance, arguably is the largest smuggler of GPUs for China. China's not supposed to have GPUs. ByteDance has over 500,000 GPUs. Why? Because they're all rented from companies around the world.

    DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459youtube.com 28th of 44 in this recording

    ChinaAmericasemiconductors

  623. NL

    Nathan Lambert quoted

    And humans are actually very good at reading or judging between two things versus... This goes back to the core of what RLHF and preference tuning is that it's hard to generate a good answer for a lot of problems, but it's easy to see which one is better.

    DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459youtube.com 41st of 44 in this recording

  624. 1 day earlier
  625. MB

    Miles Brundage quoted

    GPT-2, R1, and nearly every other AI model released since 2018 have all been part of a consistent story: AI capabilities that rival and ultimately exceed human intelligence are easier and cheaper to build than almost anyone can intuitively grasp, and this gets easier and cheaper every month.

    The Real Lesson of DeepSeek's R1milesbrundage.substack.com 1st of 3 in this piece

  626. 2 weeks earlier
  627. JB

    Jennifer Burns quoted

    Milton Friedman is very open to doing things differently in a state of emergency. He will have different ideas during World War II than any other time and that's why I argue I think he would have been supportive of at least the first rounds of coronavirus relief because I think he would have put his emergency thinking hat on.

    Jennifer Burns: Milton Friedman, Ayn Rand, Economics, Capitalism, Freedom | Lex Fridman Podcast #457youtube.com 6th of 20 in this recording

  628. EV

    Elena Verna quoted

    So, taking also any benchmark that is derived from competition and saying this is where we should be is also so dangerous because it might not even be applicable depending on how you define the metric.

    10 growth tactics that never work | Elena Verna (Amplitude, Miro, Dropbox, SurveyMonkey)youtube.com 9th of 26 in this recording

    benchmarks

  629. JB

    Jennifer Burns quoted

    And Friedman advanced a policy that was really abstract and really it was devoid of judgment. It was pure and beautiful in that way but utterly impractical.

    Jennifer Burns: Milton Friedman, Ayn Rand, Economics, Capitalism, Freedom | Lex Fridman Podcast #457youtube.com 10th of 20 in this recording

  630. JB

    Jennifer Burns quoted

    The big flaw is that it's justified through a fictional world. It's not justified through reference to the real world. It's not empirical in a way. It's not... Rand herself would say this. She's not writing about things how they are, but how they should be. That idealism just really undermines it as a mechanism to understand where we're actually living.

    Jennifer Burns: Milton Friedman, Ayn Rand, Economics, Capitalism, Freedom | Lex Fridman Podcast #457youtube.com 17th of 20 in this recording

  631. EV

    Elena Verna quoted

    If you have a growth model that works for you, that's wonderful. Good for you. Optimize it, grow it, scale it, create a team that will be nurturing it and that will be amplifying it. But you're going to need to evolve it. And that evolution needs to come through overlaying other growth models on top of it.

    10 growth tactics that never work | Elena Verna (Amplitude, Miro, Dropbox, SurveyMonkey)youtube.com 17th of 26 in this recording

  632. JB

    Jennifer Burns quoted

    Postmodernism started about disrupting binaries. We're going to be fluid. We're going to go beyond the border. We're going to disrupt the binary. And it's devolved in its popular forms to the re-inscribing of many different binaries. Oppressor and oppressed has become this paradigmatic set of glasses you put on to understand the world.

    Jennifer Burns: Milton Friedman, Ayn Rand, Economics, Capitalism, Freedom | Lex Fridman Podcast #457youtube.com 19th of 20 in this recording

  633. JB

    Jennifer Burns quoted

    So I do think it's really hard to have an original thought. We are social creatures. We encounter the same situations again and again. And so it's really hard. You're born into these traditions of thinking and being and knowing. And most people are never going to question them, and most people are never going to become aware of them.

    Jennifer Burns: Milton Friedman, Ayn Rand, Economics, Capitalism, Freedom | Lex Fridman Podcast #457youtube.com 20th of 20 in this recording

  634. EV

    Elena Verna quoted

    For the love of God, a blue is a blue is a blue. As long as it's accessible and as long as it's bright enough, off you go. You do not need to test the shades of blue, but test it against green or so on.

    10 growth tactics that never work | Elena Verna (Amplitude, Miro, Dropbox, SurveyMonkey)youtube.com 23rd of 26 in this recording

  635. 6 days earlier
  636. DO

    Doug O'Laughlin quoted

    In today’s world, I think the increase in self-fulfilling asset prices will be due to power and data centers.

    Capital Cycles and AIfabricatedknowledge.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

    data centers

  637. 3 days earlier
  638. MB

    Miles Brundage quoted

    And while the costs of investing in security are largely borne by the company, the costs of under-investing are borne by a much larger set of actors, e.g. perhaps the country or world as a whole.

    Why Security Comes Firstmilesbrundage.substack.com 1st of 2 in this piece

  639. 9 days earlier
  640. RB

    Rodney Brooks quoted

    This is unlikely to happen in the first half of this century.

    I got suckered by his hype.

    Predictions Scorecard, 2025 January 01rodneybrooks.com 2nd of 4 in this piece

  641. RB

    Rodney Brooks quoted

    Waymo now has a service that looks and feels like this in San Francisco, 8 years earlier than I predicted. But it is not what every one was expecting. There are humans in the loop.

    Predictions Scorecard, 2025 January 01rodneybrooks.com 3rd of 4 in this piece

    self-driving cars

  642. 3 days earlier
  643. LS

    L. M. Sacasas quoted

    We ought to be especially careful in the cases where what we delegate to a device, app, agent, or system is an aspect of how we express care, cultivate skill, relate to one another, make moral judgments, or assume responsibility for our actions in the world

    Life Cannot Be Delegatedtheconvivialsociety.substack.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  644. 7 days earlier
  645. AF

    Adam Frank quoted

    Life and the Earth co-evolve. That's what Brandon Carter didn't see is that actually, the fate of the Earth the fate of life are inextricably combined. This is really important for astrobiology, too. Life doesn't happen on a planet, it happens to a planet.

    Adam Frank: Alien Civilizations and the Search for Extraterrestrial Life | Lex Fridman Podcast #455youtube.com 2nd of 24 in this recording

  646. AF

    Adam Frank quoted

    I don't think it's necessarily a bad idea to have your head below the grass. The people who advocate like, "Oh yeah, we should be sending powerful messages that are easily detectable into interstellar space." I'm like, "Why would you?" Because we just don't know, I'm not going to say they are warlike. I'm not going to say they're not warlike, I have no idea.

    Adam Frank: Alien Civilizations and the Search for Extraterrestrial Life | Lex Fridman Podcast #455youtube.com 18th of 24 in this recording

  647. AF

    Adam Frank quoted

    Like, okay, there's an advanced civilization that is visiting Earth regularly. They don't want to be detected. They've got super powerful technology, but they really suck at using it because we keep seeing them, we keep seeing them, but then they disappear. I mean, explain to me what rational world that works under.

    Adam Frank: Alien Civilizations and the Search for Extraterrestrial Life | Lex Fridman Podcast #455youtube.com 20th of 24 in this recording

  648. AF

    Adam Frank quoted

    Many of them try to pretend the measurement problem isn't there. Go to enormous lengths like the many-worlds interpretation, literally inventing an infinite number of unobservable parallel universes to avoid the thing that quantum mechanics is telling them, which is that measurements matter.

    Adam Frank: Alien Civilizations and the Search for Extraterrestrial Life | Lex Fridman Podcast #455youtube.com 23rd of 24 in this recording

    physics

  649. AF

    Adam Frank quoted

    But they said, "Look, in the end, actually the only way to actually get a real brain in the VAT is actually to have a brain in a body." And it could be a robot body, but you still need a brain in the body. So I don't think LLMs will get there because they can't. You really need to be embedded in a world, at least that's the E-four idea.

    Adam Frank: Alien Civilizations and the Search for Extraterrestrial Life | Lex Fridman Podcast #455youtube.com 24th of 24 in this recording

    LLMsrobotics

  650. 2 days earlier
  651. MB

    Miles Brundage quoted

    AI that exceeds human performance in nearly every cognitive domain is almost certain to be built and deployed in the next few years.

    Time's Up for AI Policymilesbrundage.substack.com 1st of 4 in this piece

  652. AT

    Alex Telford quoted

    Chinese companies are now responsible for about a quarter of new trial starts — more than Europe.

    Will all our drugs come from China?atelfo.github.io 2nd of 2 in this piece

    EuropeChina

  653. 3 days earlier
  654. CM

    Charity Majors quoted

    Earlier this year I started writing a piece on why “hire great people and get out of their way” is such terrible, dangerous, counterproductive advice to give anyone in a leadership role.

    “Founder Mode” and the Art of Mythmakingcharity.wtf 1st of 8 in this piece

  655. CM

    Charity Majors quoted

    Here’s one small mental hack that makes a world of difference: remember that you are trying to hire the right people to join your team/org/company. Not the “best” people. The right people.

    “Founder Mode” and the Art of Mythmakingcharity.wtf 8th of 8 in this piece

  656. 8 days earlier
  657. PM

    Patrick McKenzie quoted

    We will explore some coordination mechanisms, which are overstated, and some correlation mechanisms, which are poorly understood.

    Debanking (and Debunking?)bitsaboutmoney.com 1st of 5 in this piece

  658. 2 days earlier
  659. AL

    Alon Levy quoted

    So Portland managed to build one very small line for fairly reasonable costs, but they were not cutting edge; this is a common pattern to Western US cities, in that the first line has reasonable costs and then things explode, even while staying self-funded and self-directed.

    Low Spanish Costs are not About Decentralizationpedestrianobservations.com 2nd of 4 in this piece

  660. AL

    Alon Levy quoted

    A single case study can lead to overlearning from the peculiarities of one place, where the right thing to do is look at a number of successes and look at what is common to all of them.

    Low Spanish Costs are not About Decentralizationpedestrianobservations.com 4th of 4 in this piece

  661. 1 day earlier
  662. DS

    Derek Sivers quoted

    I'm trying to thoroughly write my thought processes, values, and worldview, so that you can remember it, re-create it and improve upon it.

    Come and get me (both you and AI)sive.rs 1st of 2 in this piece

  663. 1 day earlier
  664. HR

    Hannah Ritchie quoted

    What stands in the way is energy demand. Growing crops indoors is energy-intensive. So we’re really swapping a land problem for an energy one.

    Vertical farming: a local solution for greens, but not feeding the world any time soonhannahritchie.substack.com 1st of 3 in this piece

    energy

  665. 5 weeks earlier
  666. AE

    Alice Evans quoted

    One more word of caution: the world is a closed and shrinking box. As all populations age, competition for talent will only intensify.

    Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world 4th of 11 in this piece

    immigration

  667. AE

    Alice Evans quoted

    It must explain both the global collapse and local variation.

    Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world 6th of 11 in this piece

    demographics

  668. 4 days earlier
  669. NS

    Noah Smith quoted

    And those principles obviously aren’t simply pro- or anti-immigration. They are clearly subtler than that.

    On immigration, what Americans want is democratic controlnoahpinion.blog 1st of 2 in this piece

    immigration

  670. 7 days earlier
  671. FL

    Frank Lantz quoted

    They are the cathedrals of the modern world. Only we don’t know what they are for.

    Are Games Bad?franklantz.substack.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

    video games

  672. 5 days earlier
  673. GH

    Graham Hancock quoted

    And I don’t feel that that can be a coincidence. I feel that what we are looking at is an inheritance of an idea, a legacy that’s been passed down from a remote common source to cultures all around the world, and that has taken on a life of its own within those cultures.

    Graham Hancock: Lost Civilization of the Ice Age & Ancient Human History | Lex Fridman Podcast #449youtube.com 3rd of 25 in this recording

  674. GH

    Graham Hancock quoted

    I’m not persuaded by that, particularly since we know there was a nasty epoch, the Younger Dryas, when flooding did occur, and when the Earth was subjected to events cataclysmic enough to extinguish entirely the megafauna of the ice age.

    Graham Hancock: Lost Civilization of the Ice Age & Ancient Human History | Lex Fridman Podcast #449youtube.com 4th of 25 in this recording

  675. GH

    Graham Hancock quoted

    But what’s not really been addressed before is why that happened, why the Gulf Stream was cut, why a sudden pulse of meltwater went into the world ocean, and it was so much of it and it was so cold that it actually stopped the Gulf Stream in its tracks. And that’s where the Younger Dryas impact hypothesis offers a very elegant and very satisfactory solution to the problem.

    Graham Hancock: Lost Civilization of the Ice Age & Ancient Human History | Lex Fridman Podcast #449youtube.com 7th of 25 in this recording

  676. GH

    Graham Hancock quoted

    I don’t think that makes sense. I think somebody was mapping the world during the last ice age, but that doesn’t mean that they had our kind of tech.

    Graham Hancock: Lost Civilization of the Ice Age & Ancient Human History | Lex Fridman Podcast #449youtube.com 10th of 25 in this recording

  677. GH

    Graham Hancock quoted

    I think that shamanism is the origin of everything of value in humanity. I think it was the earliest form of science.

    Graham Hancock: Lost Civilization of the Ice Age & Ancient Human History | Lex Fridman Podcast #449youtube.com 20th of 25 in this recording

  678. GH

    Graham Hancock quoted

    If I had the power to do so, I would make it a law, an absolute law, that anybody running for a powerful political position, particularly if that position is president or head of state in any kind of way, that that person has to undergo the ayahuasca ordeal first.

    Graham Hancock: Lost Civilization of the Ice Age & Ancient Human History | Lex Fridman Podcast #449youtube.com 21st of 25 in this recording

  679. 2 days earlier
  680. MM

    Matt Mullenweg quoted

    I am so sorry. I shouldn’t let this stuff get to me, but it clearly did, and I took it out on DHH, who, while I disagree with him on several points, isn’t the actual villain in this story: it’s WP Engine and Silver Lake.

    Response to DHHma.tt 1st of 4 in this piece

  681. 13 days earlier
  682. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    I'm usually reluctant to make predictions about technology, but I feel fairly confident about this one: in a couple decades there won't be many people who can write.

    Writes and Write-Notspaulgraham.com 1st of 5 in this piece

  683. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    The reason so many people have trouble writing is that it's fundamentally difficult. To write well you have to think clearly, and thinking clearly is hard.

    Writes and Write-Notspaulgraham.com 2nd of 5 in this piece

    writing

  684. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    So a world divided into writes and write-nots is more dangerous than it sounds. It will be a world of thinks and think-nots.

    Writes and Write-Notspaulgraham.com 4th of 5 in this piece

    writing

  685. 1 day earlier
  686. EB

    Ed Barnhart quoted

    One of the fascinating things that DNA is showing us, which actually blood types were showing us way before that, is that the oldest people in the Americas are in South America, the ones that got separated early and didn’t mix their DNA, like the people in the Amazon.

    Ed Barnhart: Maya, Aztec, Inca, and Lost Civilizations of South America | Lex Fridman Podcast #446youtube.com 4th of 25 in this recording

    America

  687. EB

    Ed Barnhart quoted

    I think that when people wanted to build a big building without rebar or cement, you end up building something with a fat base that goes up to a skinny top, and that turns into a pyramid.

    Ed Barnhart: Maya, Aztec, Inca, and Lost Civilizations of South America | Lex Fridman Podcast #446youtube.com 6th of 25 in this recording

  688. EB

    Ed Barnhart quoted

    I think religion in South America began in the Amazon. I think there were people there, very old. Actually, the earliest pottery in all of the Americas, all these places that we have civilizations that grew up, you know where the oldest pottery is? The middle of the Amazon.

    Ed Barnhart: Maya, Aztec, Inca, and Lost Civilizations of South America | Lex Fridman Podcast #446youtube.com 7th of 25 in this recording

    Americareligion

  689. EB

    Ed Barnhart quoted

    In fact, there’s a handful of dates that tell us that the fourth creation does continue farther on, that that baktun place should have 20 baktuns in it, like their counting system would dictate, not 13.

    Ed Barnhart: Maya, Aztec, Inca, and Lost Civilizations of South America | Lex Fridman Podcast #446youtube.com 17th of 25 in this recording

  690. EB

    Ed Barnhart quoted

    There must have been a way that multiple languages understood the same writing system. Or maybe there was something like Latin. You know how there was a period in Europe where most people were illiterate and there was this priesthood who all understood Latin and they wrote in Latin? Maybe the hieroglyphs represent a kind of Latin in the ancient Maya world.

    Ed Barnhart: Maya, Aztec, Inca, and Lost Civilizations of South America | Lex Fridman Podcast #446youtube.com 18th of 25 in this recording

    Europe

  691. EB

    Ed Barnhart quoted

    I think it’s a failing of archeology to properly see what was happening. I think that most of those cities populations moved no more than 20 to 40 kilometers out and started their own farm, and they lived in perishable houses.

    Ed Barnhart: Maya, Aztec, Inca, and Lost Civilizations of South America | Lex Fridman Podcast #446youtube.com 20th of 25 in this recording

  692. EB

    Ed Barnhart quoted

    I think that the Spanish and the Portuguese get unfairly maligned in what’s been called the Black Legend, that they just marched into America and murdered everyone. That’s not the fact. It was the diseases that murdered everyone.

    Ed Barnhart: Maya, Aztec, Inca, and Lost Civilizations of South America | Lex Fridman Podcast #446youtube.com 24th of 25 in this recording

    America

  693. 12 days earlier
  694. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    the ramp needs to be soft but it needs to go to Infinity

    DHH Is Right About Everythingyoutube.com 2nd of 8 in this recording

  695. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    I'm an object-oriented programmer through and through I like functional programming paradigms I like aspects of it I like shoving that into my little grubby objects but as a way of thinking about the world I love object-oriented programming

    DHH Is Right About Everythingyoutube.com 3rd of 8 in this recording

  696. 13 days earlier
  697. BP

    Brian Potter quoted

    The first is the high cost of inputs, particularly labor and steel.

    Why Can't the U.S. Build Ships?construction-physics.com 5th of 8 in this piece

    America

  698. 2 days earlier
  699. CA

    Cliff Asness quoted

    I argue that over the past 30+ years markets have become less informationally efficient in the relative pricing of common stocks, particularly over medium horizons.

    The Less-Efficient Market Hypothesisaqr.com

    stock market

  700. 3 days earlier
  701. TC

    Ted Chiang quoted

    It is a fundamentally dehumanizing technology because it treats us as less than what we are: creators and apprehenders of meaning. It reduces the amount of intention in the world.

    Why A.I. Isn't Going to Make Artnewyorker.com 10th of 11 in this piece

  702. TC

    Ted Chiang quoted

    What you create doesn’t have to be utterly unlike every prior piece of art in human history to be valuable; the fact that you’re the one who is saying it, the fact that it derives from your unique life experience and arrives at a particular moment in the life of whoever is seeing your work, is what makes it new.

    Why A.I. Isn't Going to Make Artnewyorker.com 11th of 11 in this piece

  703. 5 days earlier
  704. MM

    Mike Masnick quoted

    I know from the report that Stanford put out earlier this year that Telegram does not report CSAM to NCMEC at all. That is very stupid. I would imagine Telegram would argue that as a non-US company it doesn’t have to abide by such laws.

    Durov’s Arrest Details Released, Leaving More Questions Than Answerstechdirt.com 3rd of 4 in this piece

    Telegram

  705. 1 day earlier
  706. MG

    Matthew Green quoted

    Telegram clearly fails to meet this stronger definition for a simple reason: it does not end-to-end encrypt conversations by default.

    Is Telegram really an encrypted messaging app?blog.cryptographyengineering.com 1st of 4 in this piece

    privacyTelegram

  707. 3 days earlier
  708. BM

    Branko Milanovic quoted

    In fact, the US was a key actor in making the neoliberal order go global.

    The end of the great order under the Heavenbranko2f7.substack.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

    America

  709. 2 days earlier
  710. PL

    Pieter Levels quoted

    And for society, if we want to save time, we should probably use the technology that’s simple, that’s pragmatic, that works, that’s not overly complicated, it doesn’t make your life like a living hell.

    Pieter Levels: Programming, Viral AI Startups, and Digital Nomad Life | Lex Fridman Podcast #440youtube.com 8th of 30 in this recording

  711. 4 weeks earlier
  712. FL

    Frank Lantz quoted

    I don’t think games make the world a better place, it’s actually much worse than that, I think games, like other artforms, make the world a place.

    Are Games Good?franklantz.substack.com 2nd of 5 in this piece

  713. FL

    Frank Lantz quoted

    The world is full of gambling games that want to crawl into your limbic system and drain every last ounce of life-force from your soul.

    Are Games Good?franklantz.substack.com 3rd of 5 in this piece

    Addiction

  714. FL

    Frank Lantz quoted

    I think that it is difficult to see games clearly.

    Are Games Good?franklantz.substack.com 5th of 5 in this piece

  715. 5 weeks earlier
  716. AL

    Alon Levy quoted

    It’s not that the Anglosphere is rich; it’s that it’s the Anglosphere and builds inefficiently.

    Meme Weeding: High Wages and Baumol's Cost Diseasepedestrianobservations.com 2nd of 4 in this piece

    infrastructure

  717. 3 days earlier
  718. AS

    Aravind Srinivas quoted

    There is a skill to asking good questions, and everyone’s curious though. Curiosity is unbounded in this world. Every person in the world is curious, but not all of them are blessed to translate that curiosity into a well-articulated question.

    Aravind Srinivas: Perplexity CEO on Future of AI, Search & the Internet | Lex Fridman Podcast #434youtube.com 5th of 20 in this recording

  719. AS

    Aravind Srinivas quoted

    And it gives hope for a world where we can have more players instead of two or three companies controlling the most capable models. And that’s why I think it’s very important that he succeeds and that his success also enables the success of many others.

    Aravind Srinivas: Perplexity CEO on Future of AI, Search & the Internet | Lex Fridman Podcast #434youtube.com 6th of 20 in this recording

  720. AS

    Aravind Srinivas quoted

    I think there’s an interesting thought experiment here that, we’ve been spending a lot of compute in the pre-training to acquire general common sense, but that seems brute force and inefficient. What you want is a system that can learn like an open book exam.

    Aravind Srinivas: Perplexity CEO on Future of AI, Search & the Internet | Lex Fridman Podcast #434youtube.com 9th of 20 in this recording

    scaling laws

  721. AS

    Aravind Srinivas quoted

    What makes humans special though, is our curiosity. Even if AI’s cracked this, it’s us still asking them to go explore something. And one thing that I feel like AI’s haven’t cracked yet, is being naturally curious and coming up with interesting questions to understand the world and going and digging deeper about them.

    Aravind Srinivas: Perplexity CEO on Future of AI, Search & the Internet | Lex Fridman Podcast #434youtube.com 11th of 20 in this recording

  722. AS

    Aravind Srinivas quoted

    It’s less about access to a model’s weights, it’s more access to compute that is putting the world in more concentration of power and few individuals. Because not everyone’s going to be able to afford this much amount of compute to answer the hardest questions.

    Aravind Srinivas: Perplexity CEO on Future of AI, Search & the Internet | Lex Fridman Podcast #434youtube.com 12th of 20 in this recording

  723. AS

    Aravind Srinivas quoted

    Loneliness is one of the major problems in people. That said, I don’t want that to be the solution for humans seeking relationships and connections. I do see a world where we spend more time talking to AIs than other humans, at least for our work time.

    Aravind Srinivas: Perplexity CEO on Future of AI, Search & the Internet | Lex Fridman Podcast #434youtube.com 20th of 20 in this recording

  724. 6 days earlier
  725. SW

    Sara Walker quoted

    I think life obeys universal principles. I think there is some deep underlying explanatory framework that will tell us about the nature of life in the universe and will allow us to identify life that we can’t yet recognize because it’s too different.

    Sara Walker: Physics of Life, Time, Complexity, and Aliens | Lex Fridman Podcast #433youtube.com 1st of 22 in this recording

  726. SW

    Sara Walker quoted

    Physics hardly even acknowledges that the universe is random at its base. We like to think we live in a deterministic universe and everything’s deterministic. But I think that’s probably an artifact of the way that we’ve written down laws of physics since Newton invented modern physics and his conception of motion and gravity, which he formulated laws that had initial conditions and fixed dynamical laws.

    Sara Walker: Physics of Life, Time, Complexity, and Aliens | Lex Fridman Podcast #433youtube.com 10th of 22 in this recording

    physics

  727. SW

    Sara Walker quoted

    So my interpretation of reality is if you fold it up, all that bifurcation of many worlds, and you just fold it into the structure that is you, and you just said you are all of those many worlds and your history converged on you, but you’re actually an object exists that was selected to exist, and you’re self-consistent with the other structures. So the quantum mechanical reality is not the one that you live in. It’s this very deterministic, classical world, and you’re carving a path through that space. But I don’t think that you’re constantly branching into new spaces. I think you are that space.

    Sara Walker: Physics of Life, Time, Complexity, and Aliens | Lex Fridman Podcast #433youtube.com 21st of 22 in this recording

  728. 2 weeks earlier
  729. DH

    Daniel Herriges quoted

    Empirical data drawn from many different regions clearly shows that, on a metropolitan scale, rents tend to rise when vacancy rates are low and stabilize when vacancy rates are high.

    Shortages and Spillovers: How People Misunderstand the Housing Crisisstrongtowns.org 1st of 5 in this piece

    housing

  730. 4 days earlier
  731. CR

    Charan Ranganath quoted

    about this idea that really when you’re older in most societies, your job is no longer to form new episodic memories, it’s to pass on the memories that you already have, this knowledge about the world, what we call semantic memory, to pass on that semantic memory to the younger generations, pass on the culture.

    Charan Ranganath: Human Memory, Imagination, Deja Vu, and False Memories | Lex Fridman Podcast #430youtube.com 2nd of 20 in this recording

  732. CR

    Charan Ranganath quoted

    For the most part, it’s like these names are just utterly arbitrary, so you have no thing to latch on to. It’s not really a thing that our brain does very well to learn meaningless, arbitrary stuff. So what you need to do is build connections somehow, visualize a connection, and sometimes it’s obvious or sometimes it’s not.

    Charan Ranganath: Human Memory, Imagination, Deja Vu, and False Memories | Lex Fridman Podcast #430youtube.com 7th of 20 in this recording

  733. CR

    Charan Ranganath quoted

    It’s just this idea that people have about the past can be very useful if it brings you happiness in the present, but if it narrows your worldview in the present, you’re not aware of those biases that you have, it can be toxic either at a personal level or at a collective level.

    Charan Ranganath: Human Memory, Imagination, Deja Vu, and False Memories | Lex Fridman Podcast #430youtube.com 17th of 20 in this recording

  734. 4 days earlier
  735. TL

    Timothy B. Lee quoted

    So Tesla hasn’t found a different, better way to bring driverless technology to market. Waymo is just so far ahead that it’s dealing with challenges Tesla hasn’t started thinking about.

    On self driving, Waymo is playing chess while Tesla plays checkersunderstandingai.org 1st of 3 in this piece

    self-driving cars

  736. 2 weeks earlier
  737. BS

    Buck Shlegeris quoted

    We think no fundamental research breakthroughs are required for labs to implement safety measures that meet our standard for AI control for early transformatively useful AIs; we think that meeting our standard would substantially reduce the risks posed by intentional subversion.

    The case for ensuring that powerful AIs are controlledredwoodresearch.substack.com 2nd of 8 in this piece

  738. 12 days earlier
  739. EM

    Emmanuel Macron quoted

    My message today is simple. Paul Valéry said, at the end of the First World War, that we now know that our civilizations are mortal. We must be clear on the fact that our Europe, today, is mortal. It can die. It can die, and that depends entirely on our choices. But these choices must be made now.

    Speech on Europe, Sorbonne, 25 April 2024 (Elysee English transcript)elysee.fr

    Europe

  740. EM

    Emmanuel Macron quoted

    We cannot sustain the most stringent environmental and social norms, invest less than our competitors, have a more naive trade policy than them and think that we will continue to generate jobs. This no longer holds together.

    Speech on Europe, Sorbonne, 25 April 2024 (Elysee English transcript)elysee.fr

    Europe

  741. 3 days earlier
  742. SC

    Sean Carroll quoted

    If you think about how we teach quantum mechanics to our students, the Copenhagen interpretation, it’s a God-awful mess. No one’s going to accuse that of being very beautiful. I’m a fan of the many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics, and that is very beautiful in the sense that fewer ingredients, just one equation, and it could cover everything in the world.

    Sean Carroll: General Relativity, Quantum Mechanics, Black Holes & Aliens | Lex Fridman Podcast #428youtube.com 7th of 20 in this recording

    physics

  743. SC

    Sean Carroll quoted

    And if you just wanted to be methodologically conservative and say, “That’s a step too far; I don’t want to buy it,” I’m sympathetic to that. I think that you’re just wimping out, I think that you should have more courage, but I get the impulse.

    Sean Carroll: General Relativity, Quantum Mechanics, Black Holes & Aliens | Lex Fridman Podcast #428youtube.com 8th of 20 in this recording

  744. SC

    Sean Carroll quoted

    I think that Nobel Prize has enormous problems. I think it’s probably a net good for the world because it brings attention to good science. I think it’s probably a net negative for science because it makes people want to win the Nobel Prize.

    Sean Carroll: General Relativity, Quantum Mechanics, Black Holes & Aliens | Lex Fridman Podcast #428youtube.com 20th of 20 in this recording

  745. 4 days earlier
  746. AV

    Austin Vernon quoted

    The optimal scenario is typically when the generators supply 1% of yearly electricity (shown below).

    How to Make Off Grid Data Centers Affordableaustinvernon.site 2nd of 9 in this piece

    solardata centersenergy

  747. 2 weeks earlier
  748. TD

    Thomas Depierre quoted

    It means that anything you offer must fit in 1h per month. That is it. And if it does not, if it needs more involvement than that, we, as maintainers, will not do it. At all.

    You Are All On The Hobbyists Maintainers’ Turf Nowsoftwaremaxims.com 1st of 3 in this piece

  749. TD

    Thomas Depierre quoted

    This is not the same world that you were part of. The complexity is off the chart; we are hidden layers and layers under the scaffolding. And we are used everywhere.

    You Are All On The Hobbyists Maintainers’ Turf Nowsoftwaremaxims.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

  750. 7 days earlier
  751. BC

    Brian G. Chow quoted

    If a Chinese spacecraft can dock with a friendly satellite to refuel, repair, or transport it, the same robotic arm can also disable a US satellite’s solar panels and antennas. Alternatively, China can use these spacecraft to tow satellites into locations where they can, at best, only sub-optimally perform intended duties such as early warning, surveillance, or geolocation.

    Preventing a “Space Pearl Harbor”: Rep. Turner leads the chargethespacereview.com 2nd of 5 in this piece

    solarChinaprivacy

  752. BC

    Brian G. Chow quoted

    Based on public commercial data that tells a lot about the military potential of these dual-use robotic spacecraft, we have shown that China can manufacture and deploy 200 such spacecraft as early as 2026, enough to cripple critical US satellites in geosynchronous, highly elliptical, and other orbits, and thus severely degrading space support to wartime operations.

    Preventing a “Space Pearl Harbor”: Rep. Turner leads the chargethespacereview.com 3rd of 5 in this piece

    ChinaAmericawar

  753. 3 days earlier
  754. AJ

    Annie Jacobsen quoted

    First of all, we have 44 interceptor missiles total, period, full stop. Let me repeat, 44. Earlier we were talking about Russia’s 1,670 deployed nuclear weapons. How are those 44 interceptor missiles going to work? And they also have a success rate of around 50%. So they work 50% of the time.

    Annie Jacobsen: Nuclear War, CIA, KGB, Aliens, Area 51, Roswell & Secrecy | Lex Fridman Podcast #420youtube.com 6th of 16 in this recording

    RussiaAmerica

  755. AJ

    Annie Jacobsen quoted

    Now, does that mean that every UFO sighting in the world has been a U-2? No, but I come from it from that lane of thinking, and there are so many strategic deception campaigns, and as I look over the decades of how these same UFO stories, and again, this is just my opinion based on my reporting, this narrative that keeps reoccurring, it seems to me like a very large catch- all to keep the public’s attention on that, not on that.

    Annie Jacobsen: Nuclear War, CIA, KGB, Aliens, Area 51, Roswell & Secrecy | Lex Fridman Podcast #420youtube.com 15th of 16 in this recording

  756. 4 days earlier
  757. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    The road to AGI should be a giant power struggle. The world should… Well, not should. I expect that to be the case.

    Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com 1st of 20 in this recording

    AGI

  758. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    In this case, and I think one of the things with our structure that we maybe should have thought about more than we did is that the board of a nonprofit has, unless you put other rules in place, quite a lot of power. They don’t really answer to anyone but themselves. And there’s ways in which that’s good, but what we’d really like is for the board of OpenAI to answer to the world as a whole, as much as that’s a practical thing.

    Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com 2nd of 20 in this recording

    AGIOpenAI

  759. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    So part of the reason that we deploy the way we do, we call it iterative deployment, rather than go build in secret until we got all the way to GPT-5, we decided to talk about GPT-1, 2, 3, and 4. And part of the reason there is I think AI and surprise don’t go together. And also the world, people, institutions, whatever you want to call it, need time to adapt and think about these things.

    Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com 8th of 20 in this recording

    OpenAI

  760. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    Look, I think compute is going to be the currency of the future. I think it will be maybe the most precious commodity in the world, and I think we should be investing heavily to make a lot more compute.

    Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com 9th of 20 in this recording

  761. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    But compute is different. Intelligence is going to be more like energy or something like that, where the only thing that I think makes sense to talk about is, at price X, the world will use this much compute, and at price Y, the world will use this much compute.

    Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com 10th of 20 in this recording

    energy

  762. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    But a lot of people have tried to just make a better search engine than Google and it is a hard technical problem, it is a hard branding problem, it is a hard ecosystem problem. I don’t think the world needs another copy of Google.

    Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com 13th of 20 in this recording

    Google

  763. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    I kind of hate ads just as an aesthetic choice. I think ads needed to happen on the internet for a bunch of reasons, to get it going, but it’s a momentary industry. The world is richer now. I like that people pay for ChatGPT and know that the answers they’re getting are not influenced by advertisers.

    Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com 14th of 20 in this recording

    OpenAI

  764. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    I think it’s depressing if we have AGI and the only way to get things done in the physical world is to make a human go do it. So I really hope that as part of this transition, as this phase change, we also get humanoid robots or some sort of physical world robots.

    Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com 15th of 20 in this recording

    AGIrobotics

  765. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    I used to love to speculate on that question. I have realized since that I think it’s very poorly formed, and that people use extremely different definitions for what AGI is. So I think it makes more sense to talk about when we’ll build systems that can do capability X or Y or Z, rather than when we fuzzily cross this one mile marker.

    Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com 16th of 20 in this recording

    AGI

  766. SA

    Sam Altman quoted

    I think when a system can significantly increase the rate of scientific discovery in the world, that’s a huge deal. I believe that most real economic growth comes from scientific and technological progress.

    Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com 17th of 20 in this recording

  767. 5 days earlier
  768. LB

    Linus Blomqvist quoted

    In other words, land sparing almost always occurs—it is just a question of where.

    Raising Agricultural Yields Spares Landthebreakthrough.org 3rd of 8 in this piece

  769. LB

    Linus Blomqvist quoted

    Without yield improvements, therefore, we would have seen more than double the cropland expansion.

    Raising Agricultural Yields Spares Landthebreakthrough.org 4th of 8 in this piece

  770. LB

    Linus Blomqvist quoted

    Nelson Villoria estimates that for every 1% gain in Total Factor Productivity (inputs required per unit of output) in the US, croplands in the rest of the world shrink by 0.7%.

    Raising Agricultural Yields Spares Landthebreakthrough.org 5th of 8 in this piece

    America

  771. 9 days earlier
  772. TG

    Ted Gioia quoted

    If you look at the 10 largest companies in the world, half of them are trying to create this addictive relationship to technology.

    How to Break Free from Dopamine Culturehonest-broker.com 1st of 3 in this piece

    Addiction

  773. SP

    Serhii Plokhy quoted

    Very often people confuse three different processes that were taking place in the late ’80s and early ’90s, and the one was the collapse of communism as ideology. Another was the end of the Cold War. And the third one was the end of the Soviet Union.

    Serhii Plokhy: History of Ukraine, Russia, Soviet Union, KGB, Nazis & War | Lex Fridman Podcast #415youtube.com 1st of 30 in this recording

  774. SP

    Serhii Plokhy quoted

    And the Soviet collapse is continuation of the disintegration of the Russian Empire that started back in 1917, that was arrested for some period of time by the Bolsheviks, by the Communist ideology, which was internationalist ideology. And then came back in full force in the late ’80s and early ’90s.

    Serhii Plokhy: History of Ukraine, Russia, Soviet Union, KGB, Nazis & War | Lex Fridman Podcast #415youtube.com 2nd of 30 in this recording

    Russia

  775. SP

    Serhii Plokhy quoted

    But the biggest global thing that happened was redrawing the map of the world and producing dozens, if not hundreds, of new states. That’s the outcome of the different processes of the 20th century.

    Serhii Plokhy: History of Ukraine, Russia, Soviet Union, KGB, Nazis & War | Lex Fridman Podcast #415youtube.com 6th of 30 in this recording

  776. SP

    Serhii Plokhy quoted

    So, Ukraine is the country where there is no right or far right in the Parliament. We can’t say that about Germany, we can’t say that about France, so that’s just one more way to stress this unique place of Ukraine in that sense.

    Serhii Plokhy: History of Ukraine, Russia, Soviet Union, KGB, Nazis & War | Lex Fridman Podcast #415youtube.com 14th of 30 in this recording

    war

  777. SP

    Serhii Plokhy quoted

    I asked people who accompanied Boris Johnson to Kiev that question, the answer was no. And I believe this answer, and I’ll tell you why. Because it is very difficult for me to imagine President Zelensky to take orders from anybody in the world.

    Serhii Plokhy: History of Ukraine, Russia, Soviet Union, KGB, Nazis & War | Lex Fridman Podcast #415youtube.com 22nd of 30 in this recording

    war

  778. SP

    Serhii Plokhy quoted

    And each major accident, that means global freeze on the nuclear reactor production for at least another 10 years. So that’s what I mean that nuclear industry is politic, not just in terms of technology and not just in terms of radiation, impact on health, but also politically a very, very unreliable option.

    Serhii Plokhy: History of Ukraine, Russia, Soviet Union, KGB, Nazis & War | Lex Fridman Podcast #415youtube.com 27th of 30 in this recording

    energyclimate changenuclear power

  779. SP

    Serhii Plokhy quoted

    The right question to ask is how did it happen? What did we do so right that for now more than 70 years, we don’t have a world war? How come that after World War I, World War II came within 20 years?

    Serhii Plokhy: History of Ukraine, Russia, Soviet Union, KGB, Nazis & War | Lex Fridman Podcast #415youtube.com 28th of 30 in this recording

  780. SP

    Serhii Plokhy quoted

    The crisis occurred because of the nuclear weapons, because Khrushchev put them on Cuba, but the crisis was resolved and we didn’t end in the third World War because of the nuclear weapons, because people, leaders were afraid of them.

    Serhii Plokhy: History of Ukraine, Russia, Soviet Union, KGB, Nazis & War | Lex Fridman Podcast #415youtube.com 30th of 30 in this recording

  781. 13 days earlier
  782. BA

    Bill Ackman quoted

    Price matters a lot. You can buy the best business in the world and if you overpay, you're not going to earn particularly attractive returns.

    Bill Ackman: Investing, Financial Battles, Harvard, DEI, X & Free Speech | Lex Fridman Podcast #413youtube.com 4th of 22 in this recording

  783. BA

    Bill Ackman quoted

    And that's why we have tended to stay away from companies that are technology companies because technology companies generally... The world is such a dynamic place that someone's always working on a better version.

    Bill Ackman: Investing, Financial Battles, Harvard, DEI, X & Free Speech | Lex Fridman Podcast #413youtube.com 6th of 22 in this recording

  784. BA

    Bill Ackman quoted

    So as I like to say, incentives drive all human behavior and that certainly applies in the business world. So understanding the people and what drives them, and what the actual financial and other incentives of a business, are very important part of the analysis for investing in a company.

    Bill Ackman: Investing, Financial Battles, Harvard, DEI, X & Free Speech | Lex Fridman Podcast #413youtube.com 7th of 22 in this recording

  785. BA

    Bill Ackman quoted

    I even recommend for individual investors to invest in a dozen companies, you don't get that much more benefit of diversification going from a dozen to 25 or even 50.

    Bill Ackman: Investing, Financial Battles, Harvard, DEI, X & Free Speech | Lex Fridman Podcast #413youtube.com 11th of 22 in this recording

  786. BA

    Bill Ackman quoted

    A friend of mine sent me Christopher Rufo's book, America's Cultural Revolution, which is sort of a sociological study of the origins of the DEI movement and critical race theory. I found it actually one of the more important books I've read and also I found it quite concerning. Ultimately, DEI comes out of a kind of Marxist socialist way to look at the world.

    Bill Ackman: Investing, Financial Battles, Harvard, DEI, X & Free Speech | Lex Fridman Podcast #413youtube.com 18th of 22 in this recording

    America

  787. 2 days earlier
  788. TG

    Ted Gioia quoted

    They don’t want to find the next Michelangelo or Mozart. They want to create a world of junkies—because they will be the dealers.

    The State of the Culture, 2024honest-broker.com 3rd of 6 in this piece

    Addiction

  789. 3 weeks earlier
  790. CD

    Cory Doctorow quoted

    I think that the enshittification framework goes a long way to explaining it, moving us out of the mysterious realm of the 'great forces of history,' and into the material world of specific decisions made by named people – decisions we can reverse and people whose addresses and pitchfork sizes we can learn.

    My McLuhan lecture on enshittificationpluralistic.net 1st of 2 in this piece

  791. 7 days earlier
  792. DW

    Dan Wang quoted

    While 50 percent of China’s economy might be dysfunctional, the 5 percent that’s going spectacularly well is pretty dangerous to American interests.

    2023 letterdanwang.co 2nd of 10 in this piece

    ChinaAmerica

  793. DW

    Dan Wang quoted

    Though companies are relocating production to India and Vietnam, China is going to remain the world’s largest manufacturer for many more years to come.

    2023 letterdanwang.co 4th of 10 in this piece

    China

  794. DW

    Dan Wang quoted

    China built half of the world’s ships (by gross tonnage) in 2022, while the US had 0.2 percent of capacity: in practice, this meant that while China builds hundreds of new ships a year, the US builds three to five.

    2023 letterdanwang.co 5th of 10 in this piece

    ChinaAmerica

  795. 6 days earlier
  796. RH

    Robin Hanson quoted

    Similarly, most recent discussions of how to promote fertility discuss how we might promote housing, inequality, schooling, day-care, etc., but few consider directly paying parents big amounts to have kids. As indirect approaches require us to guess what are the actual main obstacles to fertility, they are more likely to fail.

    Five Fertility Failsovercomingbias.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

    housingdemographicseducation

  797. JM

    Javier Milei quoted

    hoy estoy acá para decirles que Occidente está en peligro, está en peligro porque aquellos, que supuestamente deben defender los valores de Occidente, se encuentran cooptados por una visión del mundo que – inexorablemente – conduce al socialismo, en consecuencia a la pobreza.

    Palabras del Presidente Javier Milei en la 54ª Reunión Anual del Foro Económico Mundial, Davos, 17 de enero de 2024casarosada.gob.ar

  798. 7 days earlier
  799. CH

    Cate Hall quoted

    Burnout is the ultimate agency-killer. This is so true that I’ve learned to identify a reduction in agency as one of the first signs of burnout, one that shows up even before I consciously realize what’s happening.

    How to be more agenticusefulfictions.substack.com 8th of 9 in this piece

  800. 7 days earlier
  801. AV

    Austin Vernon quoted

    South Korea's yearly production often matches the total tonnage the US produced in WWII - with one-fifth of the workers!

    Revitalizing US Navy Shipbuildingaustinvernon.site 2nd of 4 in this piece

  802. AV

    Austin Vernon quoted

    Nothing kills labor productivity like sections that don't fit together.

    Revitalizing US Navy Shipbuildingaustinvernon.site 3rd of 4 in this piece

  803. 11 days earlier
  804. AT

    Alex Telford quoted

    In reality, the productivity crisis in the pharmaceutical industry is the culmination of decades of just about every aspect of drug discovery and development getting gradually harder and more expensive.

    The pharma industry from Paul Janssen to today: why drugs got harder to develop and what we can do about itatelfo.github.io 3rd of 9 in this piece

  805. AT

    Alex Telford quoted

    The most significant factor preventing us from taking better molecules into clinical trials is not our ability to design arbitrary molecules, but our (lack of) understanding of underlying disease biology. In other words, we often know how to make something, but not what to make.

    The pharma industry from Paul Janssen to today: why drugs got harder to develop and what we can do about itatelfo.github.io 7th of 9 in this piece

    design

  806. 2 days earlier
  807. MJ

    Matt Johnson quoted

    This is a worldview that’s uniquely susceptible to hubris, dogma, and motivated reasoning.

    How Effective Altruism Lost Its Wayquillette.com 3rd of 6 in this piece

  808. 7 days earlier
  809. JB

    Jeff Bezos quoted

    And when you invent a better way, you make the whole world richer. So whatever it was, I don't know how many thousands of years ago, somebody invented the plow. And when they invented the plow, they made the whole world richer because they made farming less expensive. And so it is a big deal to invent better ways. That's how the world gets richer.

    Jeff Bezos: Amazon and Blue Origin | Lex Fridman Podcast #405youtube.com 6th of 20 in this recording

  810. 5 days earlier
  811. CS

    Chris Smaje quoted

    wherever in the world can be found the cheapest assemblage of land, labour, energy and capital to produce a given food commodity, that will be a preferential site of its production.

    Food, land, work and rent: the real story of Vallis Vegchrissmaje.com 4th of 4 in this piece

    energy

  812. 6 days earlier
  813. LR

    Lisa Randall quoted

    One of the things we do as physicists is we actually want it to break down at some level, we’re looking for the precision measurement or the energy or whatever it will take where the standard model is no longer working. Not that it’s not working approximately, but we’re looking for the deviations.

    Lisa Randall: Dark Matter, Theoretical Physics, and Extinction Events | Lex Fridman Podcast #403youtube.com 10th of 16 in this recording

    energy

  814. LR

    Lisa Randall quoted

    I do think that string theorists were a bit overly ambitious… Not overly ambitious, but a little bit overly arrogant in the beginning, thinking they could solve many problems that they weren’t going to solve.

    Lisa Randall: Dark Matter, Theoretical Physics, and Extinction Events | Lex Fridman Podcast #403youtube.com 14th of 16 in this recording

  815. 4 days earlier
  816. LP

    Lant Pritchett quoted

    But once the demographics reverse, the challenge will be to find a person for every job. In the coming years, the impact of demographic changes is going to lead to chronic labor shortages.

    Lant Pritchett, economist: ‘Negativity around migration is the last breath of a moribund system’english.elpais.com 6th of 8 in this piece

    demographics

  817. 9 days earlier
  818. KW

    Ken White quoted

    In my view, too many critics of “cancel culture” are recklessly promoting not the speech of the powerless, but the censorious resentment of the powerful.

    My Free Speech Means You Have To Shut Uppopehat.substack.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

  819. 3 days earlier
  820. JM

    John Mearsheimer quoted

    A realist like me would say that it doesn't matter whether a state is a democracy or not, all states behave the same way because the structure of the system, getting back to our earlier discussion about international anarchy, the structure of the system leaves those states no choice, whether they're democracies or autocracies.

    John Mearsheimer: Israel-Palestine, Russia-Ukraine, China, NATO, and WW3 | Lex Fridman Podcast #401youtube.com 4th of 22 in this recording

  821. JM

    John Mearsheimer quoted

    And I believe that there is a good chance you would've had World War II in the absence of Hitler. I believe that Germany was very powerful, it was deeply worried about the balance of power in Europe, and it had strong incentives to behave aggressively in the late 1930s, early 1940s.

    John Mearsheimer: Israel-Palestine, Russia-Ukraine, China, NATO, and WW3 | Lex Fridman Podcast #401youtube.com 7th of 22 in this recording

    Europe

  822. JM

    John Mearsheimer quoted

    The way you use nuclear weapons in that world is you use them for manipulation of risk purposes, demonstration effect. You put both sides out on the slippery slope.

    John Mearsheimer: Israel-Palestine, Russia-Ukraine, China, NATO, and WW3 | Lex Fridman Podcast #401youtube.com 14th of 22 in this recording

  823. JM

    John Mearsheimer quoted

    The Chinese are my kind of people. They're realists, right? They speak my language. It's the United States that is not very realist. American leaders have a very powerful liberal bent and tend not to see the world in realist terms.

    John Mearsheimer: Israel-Palestine, Russia-Ukraine, China, NATO, and WW3 | Lex Fridman Podcast #401youtube.com 21st of 22 in this recording

    ChinaAmerica

  824. 7 days earlier
  825. CH

    Casey Handmer quoted

    Yet solar development is hopelessly snarled by dozens of different development regulations which begin with the assumption that it will permanently and severely harm the environment unless proven otherwise, at exhaustive length.

    Permitting Reform Or Deathcaseyhandmer.wordpress.com 1st of 4 in this piece

    solarAmericapermitting

  826. 1 day earlier
  827. EM

    Elon Musk quoted

    After World War II, the US could have basically taken over the world in any country, we’ve got nukes, nobody else has got nukes. We don’t even have to lose soldiers. Which country do you want? And the United States could have taken over everything and it didn’t. And the United States actually helped rebuild countries.

    Elon Musk: War, AI, Aliens, Politics, Physics, Video Games, and Humanity | Lex Fridman Podcast #400youtube.com 7th of 23 in this recording

    America

  828. EM

    Elon Musk quoted

    If an AI cannot figure out new physics, it’s clearly not equal to humans, nor has surpassed humans because humans have figured out new physics.

    Elon Musk: War, AI, Aliens, Politics, Physics, Video Games, and Humanity | Lex Fridman Podcast #400youtube.com 11th of 23 in this recording

    physics

  829. EM

    Elon Musk quoted

    What I’m saying is that there is an argument that if you wish for no war, you should be careful what you wish for because what’s required in order for there to be no war might be worse than a little war.

    Elon Musk: War, AI, Aliens, Politics, Physics, Video Games, and Humanity | Lex Fridman Podcast #400youtube.com 15th of 23 in this recording

  830. EM

    Elon Musk quoted

    Because you think of how many electric motors are made in the world. There’s like tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands of electric motor designs. None of them were suitable for a humanoid robot, literally none.

    Elon Musk: War, AI, Aliens, Politics, Physics, Video Games, and Humanity | Lex Fridman Podcast #400youtube.com 23rd of 23 in this recording

    robotics

  831. 3 weeks earlier
  832. MA

    Marc Andreessen quoted

    We believe technology is a lever on the world – the way to make more with less. Economists measure technological progress as productivity growth: How much more we can produce each year with fewer inputs, fewer raw materials. Productivity growth, powered by technology, is the main driver of economic growth, wage growth, and the creation of new industries and new jobs, as people and capital are continuously freed to do more important, valuable things than in the past.

    The Techno-Optimist Manifestoa16z.com

    economists

  833. 4 days earlier
  834. HR

    Hannah Ritchie quoted

    Meat substitutes need to be quite clearly cheaper, especially if we want them to break into middle- and low-income markets.

    Meat substitutes need to get a lot cheaperhannahritchie.substack.com

  835. 1 day earlier
  836. CH

    Casey Handmer quoted

    Per doubling of production, costs have fallen a consistent 30-40% since 1970, but it’s only in the last few years that this price has become competitive with legacy electricity generation

    Radical Energy Abundancecaseyhandmer.wordpress.com 1st of 7 in this piece

    solarenergy

  837. CH

    Casey Handmer quoted

    The default climate discourse in recent years has been congruent to an acceptance that curtailing CO2 emissions would require the regrettable but ultimately impersonal de-industrialization and re-impoverishment of most of the world, which is both morally repugnant and politically impossible to achieve without first use of nuclear weapons.

    Radical Energy Abundancecaseyhandmer.wordpress.com 5th of 7 in this piece

  838. CH

    Casey Handmer quoted

    We expect growth to at least double to 6%/year, for a cumulative tripling of the global economy by 2042.

    Radical Energy Abundancecaseyhandmer.wordpress.com 8th of 7 in this piece

    energy

  839. 7 days earlier
  840. GM

    George Monbiot quoted

    In 2023, a world of 8.1 billion people suffers far less hunger and famine than the world of 3.2 billion did in 1963, the year of my birth.

    The Cruel Fantasies of Well-Fed Peoplemonbiot.com 1st of 6 in this piece

  841. GM

    George Monbiot quoted

    It was achieved almost entirely through higher crop yields per hectare.

    The Cruel Fantasies of Well-Fed Peoplemonbiot.com 2nd of 6 in this piece

  842. GM

    George Monbiot quoted

    They show that, while agrarian localism might be great as far as it goes, it simply cannot, by itself, meet the challenge of feeding the world.

    The Cruel Fantasies of Well-Fed Peoplemonbiot.com 6th of 6 in this piece

  843. 1 day earlier
  844. RH

    Robin Hanson quoted

    Its main causes are tied to deeply held modern values that have been pushing us in this direction for most of this time across most of the world.

    A Fertility Reckoningovercomingbias.com 1st of 3 in this piece

    demographics

  845. RH

    Robin Hanson quoted

    the most likely identifiable scenario by which fertility will rise again is via the growth of currently-small insular high-fertility subgroups like the Amish and Orthodox Jews

    A Fertility Reckoningovercomingbias.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

    demographics

  846. 2 days earlier
  847. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    One of the most important things I didn't understand about the world when I was a child is the degree to which the returns for performance are superlinear.

    Superlinear Returnspaulgraham.com 1st of 7 in this piece

  848. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    But superlinear returns for performance are a feature of the world, not an artifact of rules we've invented. We see the same pattern in fame, power, military victories, knowledge, and even benefit to humanity. In all of these, the rich get richer.

    Superlinear Returnspaulgraham.com 2nd of 7 in this piece

    warcapitalism

  849. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    It may seem as if there are a lot of different situations with superlinear returns, but as far as I can tell they reduce to two fundamental causes: exponential growth and thresholds.

    Superlinear Returnspaulgraham.com 3rd of 7 in this piece

  850. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    Which yields another heuristic: always be learning. If you're not learning, you're probably not on a path that leads to superlinear returns.

    Superlinear Returnspaulgraham.com 4th of 7 in this piece

  851. TC

    Tyler Cowen quoted

    I am myself skeptical that there is a clearly defined notion of who “the right people” might be, and thus I am on public choice grounds far more skeptical of government than Keynes was.

    GOAT: Who is the Greatest Economist of all Time and Why Does it Matter?tylercowen.com 5th of 25 in this piece

    government

  852. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    Exposing oneself to superlinear returns is not for everyone. Most people will be better off as part of the pool.

    Superlinear Returnspaulgraham.com 5th of 7 in this piece

  853. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    Superlinear returns imply inequality. The steeper the return curve, the greater the variation in outcomes.

    Superlinear Returnspaulgraham.com 7th of 7 in this piece

  854. TC

    Tyler Cowen quoted

    It is striking that Mill, although writing many decades before Hayek and Friedman, fleshed out a deeper and more enduring defense of liberty than they did.

    GOAT: Who is the Greatest Economist of all Time and Why Does it Matter?tylercowen.com 17th of 25 in this piece

  855. TC

    Tyler Cowen quoted

    You thus can see that the prosperity of the modern world does not refute Malthus. We faced the Malthusian dilemma and opted for one of his options, namely vice.

    GOAT: Who is the Greatest Economist of all Time and Why Does it Matter?tylercowen.com 19th of 25 in this piece

  856. TC

    Tyler Cowen quoted

    Friedman has one big factor in his favor, namely that he is clearly the best economist on the list of contending names.

    GOAT: Who is the Greatest Economist of all Time and Why Does it Matter?tylercowen.com 22nd of 25 in this piece

    economists

  857. TC

    Tyler Cowen quoted

    Of all the contenders for GOAT, Smith seems to be clearly the worst economist, with the possible exception of Malthus.

    GOAT: Who is the Greatest Economist of all Time and Why Does it Matter?tylercowen.com 24th of 25 in this piece

    economists

  858. 3 days earlier
  859. MZ

    Mark Zuckerberg quoted

    And in that world, I think that there are going to be, not too far off, maybe by the end of this decade, we'll be living in a world where there are as many holograms when you walk into a room as there are physical objects.

    Mark Zuckerberg: First Interview in the Metaverse | Lex Fridman Podcast #398youtube.com 2nd of 12 in this recording

  860. MZ

    Mark Zuckerberg quoted

    And I kind of think increasingly, the physical world is super important, but I actually think the real world is the combination of the physical world and the digital worlds coming together.

    Mark Zuckerberg: First Interview in the Metaverse | Lex Fridman Podcast #398youtube.com 3rd of 12 in this recording

  861. MZ

    Mark Zuckerberg quoted

    So it's like, is that problematic? I don't think so because fundamentally you're not causing harm in that world. So I think that part of the question that I think we need to figure out is what are the ways where things could have been harmful in the physical world that we'll now be freed from that? And therefore there should be fewer restrictions in the digital world.

    Mark Zuckerberg: First Interview in the Metaverse | Lex Fridman Podcast #398youtube.com 9th of 12 in this recording

  862. MZ

    Mark Zuckerberg quoted

    It's because you have one identity. And if you stiff them, then life is a repeat game and that's not going to work out well for you. But in a digital world where you can be anonymous and show up in different ways, I think the incentive to act like a good citizen can be a lot less, and that causes a lot of issues and toxic behavior.

    Mark Zuckerberg: First Interview in the Metaverse | Lex Fridman Podcast #398youtube.com 10th of 12 in this recording

  863. MZ

    Mark Zuckerberg quoted

    And I think the ability to be immersed and feel present with the people around you or the people who you care about is, from my perspective, clearly the next frontier. It just so happens that it's incredibly technologically difficult.

    Mark Zuckerberg: First Interview in the Metaverse | Lex Fridman Podcast #398youtube.com 12th of 12 in this recording

  864. 3 weeks earlier
  865. HR

    Hannah Ritchie quoted

    While we fret over the amount of land needed for solar, we are often blind to how inefficiently we have used the world’s farmland.

    Biofuels: the US could switch to electric cars and solar power on just a fraction of the landhannahritchie.substack.com 4th of 5 in this piece

    solar

  866. HR

    Hannah Ritchie quoted

    The world’s croplands are still expanding. At a time when we should be using less land for farming, allocating high-quality farmland to grow food that we then put into cars is a mistake.

    Biofuels: the US could switch to electric cars and solar power on just a fraction of the landhannahritchie.substack.com 5th of 5 in this piece

  867. 4 days earlier
  868. NO

    Neri Oxman quoted

    And the way of being in the physical world today is really not in tune with the time dimension of the natural world at all, and that needs to change.

    Neri Oxman: Biology, Art, and Science of Design & Engineering with Nature | Lex Fridman Podcast #394youtube.com 11th of 16 in this recording

  869. 1 day earlier
  870. TL

    Timothy B. Lee quoted

    But the evidence for better-than-human performance is starting to pile up, especially for Waymo.

    Driverless cars may already be safer than human driversunderstandingai.org

    self-driving cars

  871. 1 day earlier
  872. MG

    Michael Grunwald quoted

    They suck! But they also feed the world. Half the people alive today would be very not alive if fertilizers manufactured from natural gas weren’t super-sizing our harvests.

    Farming Needs to Suck Lessmichaelgrunwald.substack.com 1st of 2 in this piece

  873. MG

    Michael Grunwald quoted

    the solutions to our food and climate problems need to scale up absurdly quickly.

    Farming Needs to Suck Lessmichaelgrunwald.substack.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  874. 6 weeks earlier
  875. PK

    Philip Koopman quoted

    It is too early to know whether current robotaxi technology is safer than human drivers for fatalities.

    AV Safety and the False Dilemma Fallacysafeautonomy.blogspot.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

    self-driving cars

  876. 13 days earlier
  877. MG

    Michael Grunwald quoted

    I explain why in the essay; the TLDR is that they’re energy hogs. The sun is a really awesome source of calories, and it’s kind of dumb not to take advantage of it.

    The Food Problem Is Bigger Than Lettucemichaelgrunwald.substack.com 1st of 3 in this piece

    energy

  878. MG

    Michael Grunwald quoted

    it’s going to be incredibly difficult, but also incredibly necessary, for the world to produce much more food with much less land.

    The Food Problem Is Bigger Than Lettucemichaelgrunwald.substack.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

  879. 2 days earlier
  880. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    The value of an audience doesn't grow anything like linearly with its size. Which is bad news if you're famous, but good news if you're just starting out, because it means a small but dedicated audience can be enough to sustain you. If a handful of people genuinely love what you're doing, that's enough.

    How to Do Great Workpaulgraham.com 7th of 7 in this piece

  881. 2 days earlier
  882. GH

    George Hotz quoted

    When I talked about will GPT12 be AGI, my answer is no. Of course not. I mean, cross-entropy loss is never going to get you there. You need probably RL in fancy environments in order to get something that would be considered AGI-like.

    George Hotz: Tiny Corp, Twitter, AI Safety, Self-Driving, GPT, AGI & God | Lex Fridman Podcast #387youtube.com 3rd of 30 in this recording

    AGI

  883. GH

    George Hotz quoted

    There’s two stacks of life in the world. There’s the biological stack and the silicon stack. The biological stack starts with reproduction. Reproduction is at the absolute core. The first proto-RNA organisms were capable of reproducing. The silicon stack, despite, as far as it’s come, is nowhere near being able to reproduce.

    George Hotz: Tiny Corp, Twitter, AI Safety, Self-Driving, GPT, AGI & God | Lex Fridman Podcast #387youtube.com 6th of 30 in this recording

  884. GH

    George Hotz quoted

    my central thesis about the world is there’s things that centralize power, and they’re bad. There’s things that decentralize power, and they’re good. Everything I can do to help decentralize power, I’d like to do.

    George Hotz: Tiny Corp, Twitter, AI Safety, Self-Driving, GPT, AGI & God | Lex Fridman Podcast #387youtube.com 8th of 30 in this recording

  885. GH

    George Hotz quoted

    Everyone who talks about AI talks about the button, the button to turn it off, right? Do we have a button to turn off Google? Is anybody in the world capable of shutting Google down?

    George Hotz: Tiny Corp, Twitter, AI Safety, Self-Driving, GPT, AGI & God | Lex Fridman Podcast #387youtube.com 16th of 30 in this recording

    Google

  886. GH

    George Hotz quoted

    I came into the business world with Comma, and I found the exact opposite. I found 5% of people good and 95% of people bad. I found a world that promotes psychopathy.

    George Hotz: Tiny Corp, Twitter, AI Safety, Self-Driving, GPT, AGI & God | Lex Fridman Podcast #387youtube.com 19th of 30 in this recording

  887. GH

    George Hotz quoted

    So it struck me one day how just silly atheism is. Of course, we were created by God. It’s the most obvious thing.

    George Hotz: Tiny Corp, Twitter, AI Safety, Self-Driving, GPT, AGI & God | Lex Fridman Podcast #387youtube.com 27th of 30 in this recording

  888. GH

    George Hotz quoted

    You can make survival guaranteed without UBI. What you have to do, is make housing and food dirt cheap. Right? And that’s the good world. And actually, let’s go into what we should really be making dirt cheap, which is energy.

    George Hotz: Tiny Corp, Twitter, AI Safety, Self-Driving, GPT, AGI & God | Lex Fridman Podcast #387youtube.com 30th of 30 in this recording

    AI and jobsenergyhousing

  889. 3 weeks earlier
  890. MG

    Michael Grunwald quoted

    The world now uses a land mass larger than California to grow less than 4 percent of our transportation fuel.

    A Climate Killer Disguised as a Climate Solutionmichaelgrunwald.substack.com 4th of 5 in this piece

  891. 5 days earlier
  892. SD

    Saloni Dattani quoted

    I think we don’t have to imagine what a future could look like without this immense loss.

    What does it mean when fewer people die?scientificdiscovery.dev

  893. 2 days earlier
  894. AG

    Andrew Gelman quoted

    I no longer think the main substance of my earlier post was correct.

    I no longer think the main substance of my earlier post was correct.

    OK, I was wrong about Paul Samuelson.web.archive.org

  895. 2 days earlier
  896. GM

    George Monbiot quoted

    Their solutions, such as pasture-fed meat, with its massive land demand , are impossible to scale without destroying remaining wild ecosystems: there is simply not enough planet.

    Fantasy Farmingmonbiot.com 1st of 4 in this piece

  897. GM

    George Monbiot quoted

    The answer is not more fields, which means destroying even more wild ecosystems. It is partly better, more compact, cruelty-free and pollution-free factories.

    Fantasy Farmingmonbiot.com 4th of 4 in this piece

  898. 1 day earlier
  899. AG

    Andrew Gelman quoted

    Samuelson was the one claiming realism.

    Maybe Paul Samuelson and his coauthors should've spent less time on dominance games and "boss moves" and more time actually looking out at the world that they were purportedly describing.web.archive.org

  900. 2 weeks earlier
  901. LS

    L. M. Sacasas quoted

    The liberation we are offered is a liberation from the very care-driven involvement in the world and in our communities that would render our lives meaningful and satisfying.

    Waste Your Time, Your Life May Depend On Ittheconvivialsociety.substack.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  902. 4 days earlier
  903. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    Let's be real here. The modern world we live in was designed and executed from an office. It's a perfectly legitimate way of working.

    In defense of the officeworld.hey.com

  904. 3 weeks earlier
  905. JZ

    Julie Zhuo quoted

    The more your target audience does not look like you, the more you should be skeptical of your design intuition. Despite having seen thousands of a/b test results for minor design details, I am still regularly surprised and humbled by my intuition being wrong.

    The Looking Glass: What AI Won't Changelg.substack.com

    design

  906. 4 weeks earlier
  907. BC

    Bryan Caplan quoted

    To my surprise and no small dismay, GPT-4 got an A. It earned 73/100, which would have been the fourth-highest score on the test.

    GPT Retakes My Midterm and Gets an Abetonit.ai

    OpenAI

  908. 3 weeks earlier
  909. LP

    Lant Pritchett quoted

    My key argument is that in the current global economy we have some of the scarcest resources on the planet devoting themselves to economizing one of the most abundant resources on the planet.

    Choose Peoplelampforum.org 1st of 6 in this piece

  910. LP

    Lant Pritchett quoted

    This is not because there are not people who would drive trucks for Amazon in the world, and not because “natural” scientific progress has made machines that drive trucks easy and cheap, but because in a global economy which is “flat” for capital, information, and goods, there is a legal “cliff at the border” for labor, as prices don’t reflect scarcity.

    Choose Peoplelampforum.org 2nd of 6 in this piece

  911. LP

    Lant Pritchett quoted

    Therefore, we have the perverse situation that the richest people are hiring some of the most talented and technologically sophisticated people on the planet to engage in innovation aimed at driving down the demand for labor—the major and often only asset of the world’s poor.

    Choose Peoplelampforum.org 3rd of 6 in this piece

    hiringinnovation

  912. LP

    Lant Pritchett quoted

    But, whether it makes financial sense or not for the individuals involved, they are responding to distorted prices, not scarcity, and the world is not better off from their invention and innovation.

    Choose Peoplelampforum.org 4th of 6 in this piece

    innovation

  913. 2 days earlier
  914. CM

    Casey Muratori quoted

    The ideas underlying the “clean” code methodology are almost all horrible for performance, and you shouldn’t do them.

    "Clean" Code, Horrible Performancecomputerenhance.com 1st of 3 in this piece

  915. 11 days earlier
  916. AR

    Armin Ronacher quoted

    The problem is that the conversational interface is potent and that the AI is trained on a lot of human text input which unfortunately is probably enough to do real damage if that conversational interface is hooked up with something that has real world consequences.

    I Think AI Would Kill my Wifelucumr.pocoo.org

    LLMschat interfaces

  917. 3 weeks earlier
  918. ED

    Eli Dourado quoted

    Designing your aircraft for the beachhead market is a huge distraction, particularly when there are certification costs that have to be paid for each new model.

    Cargo airships could be bigelidourado.com 4th of 4 in this piece

  919. ED

    Eli Dourado quoted

    My suggested approach would be more capital intensive while retaining a lot of risk until fairly late in development. I am not sure it’s fundable.

    Cargo airships could be bigelidourado.com 5th of 4 in this piece

    startups

  920. 4 weeks earlier
  921. MA

    Maggie Appleton quoted

    In a world of automated intelligence, our goalposts for intelligence will shift. We’ll raise our quality bar for what we expect from humans.

    The Dark Forest and Generative AImaggieappleton.com 6th of 8 in this piece

  922. 3 weeks earlier
  923. AM

    Adam Mastroianni quoted

    In fact, we’ve got knock-down, real-world data that peer review doesn’t work: fraudulent papers get published all the time.

    The rise and fall of peer reviewexperimental-history.com 3rd of 8 in this piece

    peer review

  924. 6 days earlier
  925. MG

    Matthew Green quoted

    It terrifies me, because these data repositories are not only a risk to individual user privacy, they’re effectively a surveillance super-weapon.

    Why encrypted backup is so importantblog.cryptographyengineering.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

    data centersprivacy

  926. 3 months earlier
  927. NL

    Nick Lane quoted

    But there’s a very interesting deep split in life between bacteria and what are called archaea, which look just the same as bacteria. And they’re not quite as diverse, but nearly, and they are very different in their biochemistry. And so any explanation for the origin of life has to account, as well, for why they’re so different and yet so similar. And that makes me think that life probably did arise only once.

    Nick Lane: Origin of Life, Evolution, Aliens, Biology, and Consciousness | Lex Fridman Podcast #318youtube.com 2nd of 22 in this recording

  928. NL

    Nick Lane quoted

    In some ways, maybe it does do good. I don’t want to make an argument for nuclear arms, but predation as a mechanism forces organisms to adapt, to change, to be better, to escape, or to kill. If you need to eat, then you’ve got to eat. A cheetah is not going to run at that speed unless it has to because the zebra is capable of escaping. So it leads to much greater feats of evolution would ever have been possible without it, and in the end, to a much more beautiful world.

    Nick Lane: Origin of Life, Evolution, Aliens, Biology, and Consciousness | Lex Fridman Podcast #318youtube.com 12th of 22 in this recording

  929. NL

    Nick Lane quoted

    But in terms of what we value the most as humans, which is to say our feelings, our emotions, our sense of what the world is in a very personal way that I think means as much or more to people than their information processing. And that’s where I don’t think that AI necessarily will become conscious because I think it’s the property of life.

    Nick Lane: Origin of Life, Evolution, Aliens, Biology, and Consciousness | Lex Fridman Podcast #318youtube.com 16th of 22 in this recording

  930. NL

    Nick Lane quoted

    And I had suggested that that’s linked to the electrical fields on the membranes themselves and that they give some indication of how am I doing in relation to my environment as a real-time feedback on the world.

    Nick Lane: Origin of Life, Evolution, Aliens, Biology, and Consciousness | Lex Fridman Podcast #318youtube.com 17th of 22 in this recording

  931. 1 day earlier
  932. CM

    Craig Mod quoted

    Sure, electric bikes aren't cheap. But I believe they're a rare object to be well worth the cost. This in spite of their annoying flaws, their often bad software, their defective geometries. Because they open the world.

    Electric Bike, Stupid Love of My Lifecraigmod.com

  933. 11 days earlier
  934. BD

    Bret Devereaux quoted

    The thing is, being a particularly complex or efficient agrarian economy doesn’t seem to have been the most important thing for producing the industrial revolution or it almost certainly would have happened earlier and probably not in Europe.

    Collections: Why No Roman Industrial Revolution?acoup.blog 1st of 8 in this piece

    Europe

  935. BD

    Bret Devereaux quoted

    New land can be brought under cultivation (or cultivated more intensively) of course, but marginal gains decrease rapidly (because the best land is cultivated first and because adding more labor to already cultivated land, while it can increase harvests, is less efficient than cultivating new land) and there is a fairly hard ceiling on total production of this sort that was, for the most part, fairly low.

    Collections: Why No Roman Industrial Revolution?acoup.blog 5th of 8 in this piece

  936. 3 months earlier
  937. EY

    Eliezer Yudkowsky quoted

    2 years after the leading actor has the capability to destroy the world, 5 other actors will have the capability to destroy the world.

    AGI Ruin: A List of Lethalitiesintelligence.org 3rd of 10 in this piece

  938. EY

    Eliezer Yudkowsky quoted

    Surviving worlds, by this point, and in fact several decades earlier, have a plan for how to survive.

    AGI Ruin: A List of Lethalitiesintelligence.org 10th of 10 in this piece

    AGI

  939. 9 days earlier
  940. OB

    Olivier Blanchard quoted

    The main challenge in discussing fiscal policy is the widely held and nearly religious belief that public debt is very bad.

    Fiscal Policy under Low Interest Ratesdirect.mit.edu 1st of 22 in this piece

    public debtfiscal policyreligion

  941. OB

    Olivier Blanchard quoted

    In other words, central banks are not to blame for low rates: these low rates just reflect underlying fundamental factors.

    Fiscal Policy under Low Interest Ratesdirect.mit.edu 2nd of 22 in this piece

    interest rates

  942. OB

    Olivier Blanchard quoted

    A low r is actually a signal that something is wrong with the economy: In effect, if we think of the safe rate as the risk-adjusted rate of return on capital, the low safe rate is sending the signal that, risk adjusted, the return on capital is low.

    Fiscal Policy under Low Interest Ratesdirect.mit.edu 3rd of 22 in this piece

    interest rates

  943. OB

    Olivier Blanchard quoted

    Governments have not been bailed out by their central banks. As I discussed earlier, central bank intervention does not reduce the overall liabilities of the consolidated government, just their composition. And it does not automatically lead to more inflation: It increases the size of the balance sheet of the central bank, but it does not increase the size of the non-interest-paying money stock.

    Fiscal Policy under Low Interest Ratesdirect.mit.edu 13th of 22 in this piece

    inflationinterest ratesgovernment

  944. 3 months earlier
  945. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    But wherever this leads us next, it's clear to me now that I was too hasty to completely dismiss crypto on the basis of all the things wrong with it at the moment. Instead of appreciating the fundamental freedom to transact that it's currently our best shot at protecting.

    But wherever this leads us next, it's clear to me now that I was too hasty to completely dismiss crypto on the basis of all the things wrong with it at the moment. Instead of appreciating the fundamental freedom to transact that it's currently our best shot at protecting.

    I was wrong, we need cryptoworld.hey.com

    crypto

  946. 3 weeks earlier
  947. HK

    Holden Karnofsky quoted

    Indeed, I think some of the best opportunities to do good in the world come from working on issues that aren't yet widely recognized as huge moral issues of our time.

    Future-proof ethicscold-takes.com 2nd of 4 in this piece

  948. 5 days earlier
  949. BF

    Bjorn Fehrm quoted

    The model output, which uses data from 74 presently flying airliner variants, from short-haul Commuters to long haul Widebodies, made with aluminum or composites, shows that the OEW fraction (OEW divided by MTOW) never go below 47%.

    Bjorn’s Corner: Sustainable Air Transport. Part 4. Reality checks.leehamnews.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

    design

  950. BD

    Bret Devereaux quoted

    the system of social organization that characterized the ancient world practically vanished and would have to be redeveloped centuries later.

    Collections: Rome: Decline and Fall? Part II: Institutionsacoup.blog 3rd of 4 in this piece

  951. BF

    Bjorn Fehrm quoted

    These projects have been around for years, yet no one has done this simple math.

    Bjorn’s Corner: Sustainable Air Transport. Part 4. Reality checks.leehamnews.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

    aviation

  952. 4 weeks earlier
  953. DW

    Dan Wang quoted

    Never has any economy grown so much while producing so few cultural exports.

    2021 letterdanwang.co 2nd of 5 in this piece

    China

  954. DW

    Dan Wang quoted

    Beijing diagnosed the problems with financialization earlier than the US, where the problem is now endemic.

    2021 letterdanwang.co 4th of 5 in this piece

    ChinaAmerica

  955. 2 months earlier
  956. AV

    by

    Austin Vernon quoted

    Surprisingly, fuel consumption per passenger mile would be lower in a Celera 500 than in a 737. The larger the fuselage, the harder it is to achieve the same drag reduction.

    Air Travel Doesn't Have to be Terribleaustinvernon.site 1st of 3 in this piece

  957. 6 days earlier
  958. ÉT

    Émile P. Torres quoted

    I believe this needs to change because, as a former longtermist who published an entire book four years ago in defence of the general idea, I have come to see this worldview as quite possibly the most dangerous secular belief system in the world today.

    Longtermism might, in other words, be incompatible with the attainment of ‘existential security’, meaning that the only way to genuinely reduce the probability of extinction or collapse in the future might be to abandon the longtermist ideology entirely.

    Against longtermismaeon.co 1st of 6 in this piece

  959. ÉT

    Émile P. Torres quoted

    For example, there’s a good case to make that the underlying commitments of longtermism are a major reason why humanity faces so many unprecedented risks to its survival in the first place.

    Against longtermismaeon.co 4th of 6 in this piece

  960. ÉT

    Émile P. Torres quoted

    The fact is that the EA movement is deeply utilitarian, at least in practice, and indeed, before it decided upon a name, the movement’s early members, including Ord, seriously considered calling it the ‘effective utilitarian community’.

    Against longtermismaeon.co 5th of 6 in this piece

  961. 13 days earlier
  962. KE

    Kevin Esvelt quoted

    But perhaps the biggest question of all isn’t being asked insistently enough: Why is anyone trying to teach the world how to make viruses that could kill millions of people?

    Opinion: Manipulating viruses and risking pandemics is too dangerous. It's time to stop.media.mit.edu 1st of 2 in this piece

  963. 7 weeks earlier
  964. LL

    Luca Lampariello quoted

    This is an important detail that often gets overlooked, because language learning is, first and foremost, about acquiring skills. About learning how to read, write, speak, and listen, along with all of the countless subskills that any competent language speaker has in his or her toolbox.

    3 Steps for Effective Translation to Learn Any Languagelucalampariello.com 1st of 2 in this piece

    language learning

  965. LL

    Luca Lampariello quoted

    In traditional classroom settings, the development of skills often gets overlooked in favor of facts. Facts in the form of conjugation tables, word lists, grammar explanations, the names of verb tenses, and so on. All of these things are related to language, but it’s important to realize that knowing these things has nothing to do with speaking and using a language productively.

    3 Steps for Effective Translation to Learn Any Languagelucalampariello.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

    education

  966. 3 days earlier
  967. OB

    by

    Oliver Burkeman quoted

    The trouble is that human beings can't really function, let alone thrive, when their primary psychological identification is with things like "the news cycle" or "history" or "the course of world events."

    The news is not your lifeoliverburkeman.com 1st of 2 in this piece

  968. MH

    Molson Hart quoted

    We are transitioning from a world where everything is made in China, to one where everything is designed and sold by China too.

    Is China Taking Over US Retail?molsonhart.com

    China

  969. OB

    by

    Oliver Burkeman quoted

    But it is an argument for reducing your emotional investment in the world of the news, and reinvesting in your own.

    The news is not your lifeoliverburkeman.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  970. 7 weeks earlier
  971. NC

    Nick Cave quoted

    Pen poised, I sit to attention, in my suit, on the edge of my imagination, prepared for the beautiful line to arrive. Sometimes it does, sometimes it does not — either way I am powerless to influence the outcome.

    Do you think it is more important to find inspiration or to get to work and write?theredhandfiles.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  972. 3 months earlier
  973. BF

    Bjorn Fehrm quoted

    Having done the sums before hitting the keys, I was a skeptic. It just didn’t work, even with optimistic assumptions around the parameters for the aircraft and its batteries.

    Bjorn’s Corner: The challenges of hydrogen. Part 31. Wrap-up: Where we standleehamnews.com 1st of 3 in this piece

    batteries

  974. BF

    Bjorn Fehrm quoted

    Now you have a carbon fuel burning aircraft that is more complex and heavier than the plane that it replaces, and if you do your sums carefully, you find that there are no fuel efficiency gains and, therefore, no environmental gains.

    Bjorn’s Corner: The challenges of hydrogen. Part 31. Wrap-up: Where we standleehamnews.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

  975. 2 weeks earlier
  976. DH

    David Heinemeier Hansson quoted

    One of the reasons I've never cared for crypto currencies is that the associated utopia of trustless society had zero appeal to me. I don't think the world is better off by erasing the need to trust in our transactional counterparts, so turning these transactions into pure computing always struck me as a regression.

    A world without trust is not betterworld.hey.com

    crypto

  977. 2 months earlier
  978. HM

    Howard Marks quoted

    My extensive discussions with Andrew led me to conclude that the focus on value versus growth doesn’t serve investors well in the fast-changing world in which we live.

    Something of Value (memo to Oaktree clients)oaktreecapital.com

  979. HM

    Howard Marks quoted

    Not only are the traditional staples of classic value investing (readily discernable quantitative measures of cheapness in the here-and-now) no longer likely to produce a sustainable edge on their own, but the world has gotten more complex, with many more dynamics that can drive a decoupling of near-term metrics from valuation, both to the positive and negative.

    Something of Value (memo to Oaktree clients)oaktreecapital.com

    value investing

  980. 5 months earlier
  981. WB

    Wendy Behary quoted

    the approach that I use is called Schema Therapy, and Schema Therapy is designed to work with very complex personality types, personality disorders, and even those that are happening along a spectrum

    ERP 226: How To Understand And Deal With a Narcissist, an Interview With Wendy Behary [Transcript]drjessicahiggins.com

    PsychotherapySchema therapyNarcissism

  982. 6 days earlier
  983. BD

    Bret Devereaux quoted

    There is a ton of food in this countryside (nearly everyone is producing it) but hardly any surplus.

    Collections: Bread, How Did They Make It? Part I: Farmers!acoup.blog 3rd of 4 in this piece

  984. 5 weeks earlier
  985. JR

    José Luis Ricón quoted

    I admit I lean towards the bounded view because the former sounds overly optimistic.

    Science — The Ending and Endless Frontier(s)nintil.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  986. 2 weeks earlier
  987. AP

    Ada Palmer quoted

    As a Renaissance historian, I feel it’s my job to shoulder the other half of the load by talking about what the Renaissance was like, confirming that our Medievalists are right, it wasn’t a better time to live than the Middle Ages

    Black Death, COVID, and Why We Keep Telling the Myth of a Renaissance Golden Age and Bad Middle Agesexurbe.com 2nd of 6 in this piece

    Europe

  988. AP

    Ada Palmer quoted

    in school they talk as if the plague swept through in 1348 then went away, but the bubonic plague did not go away, it remained endemic, like influenza or chickenpox today, a fact of life.

    Black Death, COVID, and Why We Keep Telling the Myth of a Renaissance Golden Age and Bad Middle Agesexurbe.com 5th of 6 in this piece

    Europe

  989. 3 weeks earlier
  990. RN

    Ramez Naam quoted

    The data paint an incredible picture: One that shows the price of solar electricity from utility-scale systems dropping by anywhere from 30-40% with each doubling of cumulative solar deployment.

    Solar's Future is Insanely Cheap (2020)rameznaam.com

    solarenergy

  991. RN

    Ramez Naam quoted

    This incredible pace of solar cost decline, with average prices in sunny parts of the world down to a penny or two by 2030 or 2035, is just remarkable.

    Solar's Future is Insanely Cheap (2020)rameznaam.com

    solarenergy

  992. 4 months earlier
  993. DW

    Dan Wang quoted

    I find it bizarre that the world has decided that consumer internet is the highest form of technology.

    2019 letterdanwang.co 1st of 11 in this piece

  994. DW

    Dan Wang quoted

    Today, Chinese workers produce most of the world’s goods, which means that they engage more than anyone else in the technological learning process.

    2019 letterdanwang.co 5th of 11 in this piece

  995. DW

    Dan Wang quoted

    First, even if most of the workforce learns little, a few thousand line engineers become the world’s greatest experts in electronics assembly.

    2019 letterdanwang.co 6th of 11 in this piece

    innovation

  996. 5 months earlier
  997. DN

    Don Norman quoted

    Solve the fundamental, underlying issues, not the symptoms. We recommend starting with field studies and observations of actual practice (an applied ethnography). Ask “why?” at each issue.

    The Four Fundamental Principles of Human-Centered Design and Applicationjnd.org

    design

  998. 13 days earlier
  999. RS

    by

    Ryan Singer quoted

    Work that’s too fine, too early commits everyone to the wrong details. Designers and programmers need room to apply their own judgement and expertise when they roll up their sleeves and discover all the real trade-offs that emerge.

    Shape Up, chapter 2: Principles of Shapingbasecamp.com

    design

  1000. RS

    by

    Ryan Singer quoted

    Regardless of what you say, any specific mockups are going to bias what other people do after you—especially if you’re in a higher position than them. They’ll take every detail in the initial mockups as direction even though you didn’t intend it.

    Shape Up, chapter 4: Find the Elementsbasecamp.com

    design

  1001. 3 months earlier
  1002. SW

    Sebastiaan de With quoted

    But given the already complicated premise of long exposure photography, the best possible thing we could do — and as a designer this is hard to admit — was to stick to a fairly conventional design and let the actual features surprise and delight.

    A Spectre Retrospective – Part 2: Designlux.camera

    design

  1003. 4 weeks earlier
  1004. NA

    Nadia Asparouhova quoted

    As for my personal feelings on the matter, however, I’m skeptical that new licenses are the right approach on a systemic level, both in terms of feasibility, as well as where I think the world is going.

    Making money with licensesnadia.xyz 1st of 5 in this piece

  1005. NA

    Nadia Asparouhova quoted

    Information, once freely shared, is a Pandora’s box that cannot be closed again. It is very hard for me to imagine a world where we transition back to paying for access to information; these are pre-digital solutions to modern problems.

    Making money with licensesnadia.xyz 5th of 5 in this piece

  1006. 6 months earlier
  1007. SG

    Stephan Guyenet quoted

    The work of Philip Tetlock, PhD and others has shown that people who have one big idea to explain everything (“hedgehogs” or ideologues) are very bad at accurately modeling the world, predicting outcomes, and recommending effective actions.

    Quickly assessing the credibility of public expertsstephanguyenet.com 1st of 3 in this piece

  1008. 7 weeks earlier
  1009. SB

    Samo Burja quoted

    It is much more difficult to make a dysfunctional institution functional than to create a functional institution from scratch; institutions will nearly always have internal forces that resist change, and diagnosing institutional dysfunction in the first place is challenging.

    Functional Institutions are the Exceptionsamoburja.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  1010. 4 days earlier
  1011. PC

    by

    Patrick Collison quoted

    More broadly, nobody is going to teach you to think for yourself. A large fraction of what people around you believe is mistaken. Internalize this and practice coming up with your own worldview.

    Advicepatrickcollison.com

  1012. 2 weeks earlier
  1013. SG

    Stephan Guyenet quoted

    One thing that I think hasn’t gotten enough attention is the fact that NuSI staff, particularly Attia, paid themselves enormous salaries while they were at NuSI

    Nutrition Science Initiative (NuSI) in retrospectstephanguyenet.com

  1014. 4 months earlier
  1015. PC

    Paul Christiano quoted

    I currently think a slow takeoff is significantly more likely.

    Takeoff speedssideways-view.com 1st of 6 in this piece

  1016. PC

    Paul Christiano quoted

    There will be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles.

    Takeoff speedssideways-view.com 3rd of 6 in this piece

  1017. PC

    Paul Christiano quoted

    In particular, this means that incredibly powerful AI will emerge in a world where crazy stuff is already happening (and probably everyone is already freaking out).

    Takeoff speedssideways-view.com 4th of 6 in this piece

  1018. 7 weeks earlier
  1019. ML

    Mark Lynas quoted

    Five years ago, almost to this very day, I stood before you and offered an apology for my earlier anti-GMO activism.

    Five years ago, almost to this very day, I stood before you and offered an apology for my earlier anti-GMO activism.

    Mark Lynas - Speech to the Oxford Farming Conference 2018marklynas.org

  1020. 4 days earlier
  1021. RB

    Rodney Brooks quoted

    Such "taxi" services where the cars are also used with drivers at other times and with extended geography, in 10 major US cities NET 2025

    My Dated Predictionsrodneybrooks.com

  1022. 6 weeks earlier
  1023. BM

    Branko Milanovic quoted

    Then, unless we change the distribution of income, we are condemning to permanent abject poverty some 15 percent of world population that currently earn less than $1.90 per day and some quarter of humankind who earn less than $2.50 per day.

    The illusion of “degrowth” in a poor and unequal worldglineq.blogspot.com 1st of 5 in this piece

  1024. BM

    Branko Milanovic quoted

    From these exchanges I got the impression that they were unaware of just how unequal and poor (yes, poor) the world is today and what would be the trade-offs if we really were to decide to fix the volume of goods and services produced and consumed in the world at the current level.

    The illusion of “degrowth” in a poor and unequal worldglineq.blogspot.com 2nd of 5 in this piece

  1025. BM

    Branko Milanovic quoted

    How much of a reduction would this imply for the global top 27% (those with incomes above the global mean)? Their incomes would have to be cut by almost two-thirds.

    The illusion of “degrowth” in a poor and unequal worldglineq.blogspot.com 3rd of 5 in this piece

    degrowth

  1026. BM

    Branko Milanovic quoted

    The world would have to move from an inequality level that is higher than that of South Africa to complete equality that has never existed in any recorded society.

    The illusion of “degrowth” in a poor and unequal worldglineq.blogspot.com 4th of 5 in this piece

    degrowth

  1027. BM

    Branko Milanovic quoted

    It would make more sense, if we want to think seriously about how to reduce emissions, not to engage in the illusions of degrowth in a very poor and unequal world but to think how the most emission-intensive goods and services could be taxed in order to reduce their consumption.

    The illusion of “degrowth” in a poor and unequal worldglineq.blogspot.com 5th of 5 in this piece

    degrowth

  1028. 5 months earlier
  1029. CM

    Charles Marohn quoted

    So whether it is Robert Moses then or Elon Musk today, people who would have – in a time past – been called charlatans or hustlers, now become deeply admired for their willingness to take bold action (with public money or supported by tax subsidies).

    The Power of Growing Incrementallystrongtowns.org 1st of 4 in this piece

  1030. 5 weeks earlier
  1031. CM

    Charity Majors quoted

    The best frontline eng managers in the world are the ones that are never more than 2-3 years removed from hands-on work, full time down in the trenches. The best individual contributors are the ones who have done time in management.

    The Engineer/Manager Pendulumcharity.wtf 2nd of 4 in this piece

    management

  1032. 5 weeks earlier
  1033. GM

    Gabor Mate quoted

    to treat the addiction, which is a symptom, without treating the pain that underlies it is to deal in effects rather than in causes, and therefore dooms many to ongoing cycles of suffering

    BEYOND DRUGS: The Universal Experience of Addictiondrgabormate.com

    Addiction

  1034. 3 months earlier
  1035. CM

    Charles Marohn quoted

    It's a predicament that nearly every American city, with very few exceptions, finds itself in.

    The Real Reason Your City Has No Moneystrongtowns.org 2nd of 3 in this piece

    Americainfrastructure

  1036. 6 days earlier
  1037. AP

    Ada Palmer quoted

    Then in the early seventeenth century, Francis Bacon invented progress.

    On Progress and Historical Changeexurbe.com 4th of 5 in this piece

  1038. 18 months earlier
  1039. RK

    Raph Koster quoted

    Where UX tries to provide a likely false but useful mental model of the interior workings to the user, game design tries to guide the player towards a fairly accurate mental model.

    Game design vs UX designraphkoster.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

    design

  1040. 4 months earlier
  1041. MM

    Moxie Marlinspike quoted

    In the 1990s, I was excited about the future, and I dreamed of a world where everyone would install GPG. Now I’m still excited about the future, but I dream of a world where I can uninstall it.

    GPG isn’t the thing that’s going to take us to ubiquitous end to end encryption, and if it were, it’d be kind of a shame to finally get there with 1990’s cryptography.

    GPG And Memoxie.org

    privacy

  1042. 6 days earlier
  1043. FC

    Frank Chimero quoted

    Clearly, convergence and simplicity make for poor goals. Instead, we must aim for clarity. You can’t contain or reduce the torrent of technology, but you can channel it in a positive direction through proper framing and clear articulation.

    The Web’s Grainfrankchimero.com

    simplicity

  1044. FC

    Frank Chimero quoted

    To create convenience—particularly the automated convenience technology trades in—someone else must make our choices for us. In other words: the less you have to do, the less say you have.

    The Web’s Grainfrankchimero.com

  1045. 3 months earlier
  1046. JW

    Jarrett Walker quoted

    However successful driverless cars become, transit will remain crucial for dense cities because cities are defined by a shortage of space per person.

    no, autonomous cars will not "abolish transit" in dense citieshumantransit.org 1st of 3 in this piece

    self-driving cars

  1047. JW

    Jarrett Walker quoted

    Driverless taxis will be more efficient than transit in these areas.

    no, autonomous cars will not "abolish transit" in dense citieshumantransit.org 2nd of 3 in this piece

  1048. JW

    Jarrett Walker quoted

    There is no dense city in the world that does not rely heavily on transit, for reasons of space-efficiency that none of the new technologies can change.

    no, autonomous cars will not "abolish transit" in dense citieshumantransit.org 3rd of 3 in this piece

  1049. 11 months earlier
  1050. GM

    George Monbiot quoted

    I was swayed by his argument. But now I find myself becoming unswayed. In the spirit of unceasing self-flagellation I think I might have been wrong about being wrong.

    Part of the problem is that while livestock could be fed on waste and rangelands, ever less of the meat we eat in the rich nations is produced this way.

    Wrong About Being Wrongmonbiot.com 1st of 3 in this piece

  1051. 8 weeks earlier
  1052. JS

    Jonathan Shedler quoted

    No research ever suggested that manualized CBT was more effective than psychodynamic therapy. It was just more often researched. There is a world of difference between saying a treatment is less often researched and saying it has been scientifically discredited.

    Evidence-Based Therapy: Science or Marketing?psychologytoday.com

    PsychotherapyPsychodynamic therapyCBT

  1053. 3 months earlier
  1054. CB

    Chris Blattman quoted

    The real problem is the absence of firms small and large to employ people productively. The root of the problem is political instability, economic uncertainty, and a country’s high cost structure, among other things. A government’s attention is properly on these bigger issues.

    Why cash transfers to the poor are not the next big thingchrisblattman.com 4th of 7 in this piece

    government

  1055. 2 weeks earlier
  1056. MM

    Moxie Marlinspike quoted

    What’s often overlooked, however, is that these legal victories would probably not have been possible without the ability to break the law.

    We Should All Have Something To Hidemoxie.org 2nd of 3 in this piece

  1057. 4 months earlier
  1058. WH

    Wayne Hale quoted

    We were told that flying in the space shuttle was just as safe as flying in a commercial airliner, so we denied the crew parachutes and pressure suits.

    After Ten Years: Enduring Lessonswaynehale.wordpress.com 4th of 4 in this piece

  1059. 7 months earlier
  1060. GM

    George Monbiot quoted

    Peak oil hasn't happened, and it's unlikely to happen for a very long time.

    The problem we face is not that there is too little oil, but that there is too much.

    False Summitmonbiot.com

  1061. 4 months earlier
  1062. DL

    Derek Lowe quoted

    We are heading, at speed, for a world in which fewer and fewer useful medicines are discovered, while more and more people want them.

    Eroom's Lawweb.archive.org 1st of 2 in this piece

  1063. 4 months earlier
  1064. BV

    Bret Victor quoted

    Hands do two things. They are two utterly amazing things, and you rely on them every moment of the day, and most Future Interaction Concepts completely ignore both of them.

    A Brief Rant on the Future of Interaction Designworrydream.com

  1065. 11 days earlier
  1066. PM

    Patrick McKenzie quoted

    In the real world, picking up a new language takes a few weeks of effort and after 6 to 12 months nobody will ever notice you haven’t been doing that one for your entire career.

    Don't Call Yourself A Programmer, And Other Career Advicekalzumeus.com 4th of 9 in this piece

  1067. 2 months earlier
  1068. HK

    Holden Karnofsky quoted

    In such a world, it seems that nearly all altruists would put nearly all of their resources toward helping people they knew little about, rather than helping themselves, their families and their communities. I believe that the world would be worse off if people behaved in this way, or at least if they took it to an extreme.

    Why we can’t take expected value estimates literally (even when they’re unbiased)blog.givewell.org 2nd of 8 in this piece

  1069. 11 months earlier
  1070. GM

    George Monbiot quoted

    I no longer believe that the only ethical response is to stop eating meat.

    Strong Meatmonbiot.com

  1071. 17 months earlier
  1072. PT

    Peter Thiel quoted

    Because there are no truly free places left in our world, I suspect that the mode for escape must involve some sort of new and hitherto untried process that leads us to some undiscovered country; and for this reason I have focused my efforts on new technologies that may create a new space for freedom.

    The Education of a Libertariancato-unbound.org

  1073. PT

    Peter Thiel quoted

    The future of technology is not pre-determined, and we must resist the temptation of technological utopianism — the notion that technology has a momentum or will of its own, that it will guarantee a more free future, and therefore that we can ignore the terrible arc of the political in our world.

    The Education of a Libertariancato-unbound.org

  1074. 5 months earlier
  1075. DM

    David MacKay quoted

    Solar thermal water heaters are a no-brainer. They will work almost everywhere in the world.

    Sustainable Energy — without the hot airinference.org.uk 24th of 27 in this piece

    solar

  1076. 5 years earlier
  1077. GM

    George Monbiot quoted

    The supply of oil will decline, but global demand will not.

    The Bottom Of The Barrelmonbiot.com

  1078. 5 months earlier
  1079. GM

    George Monbiot quoted

    The only thing worse than a world with the wrong international trade rules is a world with no trade rules at all.

    My conversion came on the day I heard a speaker demand a cessation of most forms of international trade and then, in answering a question from the audience, condemn the economic sanctions on Iraq.

    I Was Wrong About Trademonbiot.com

  1080. 8 weeks earlier
  1081. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    Everyone by now presumably knows about the danger of premature optimization. I think we should be just as worried about premature design-- deciding too early what a program should do.

    Hackers and Painterspaulgraham.com

    design

  1082. 15 months earlier
  1083. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    Good design is redesign. It's rare to get things right the first time. Experts expect to throw away some early work. They plan for plans to change.

    Taste for Makerspaulgraham.com

    design