politics
How people actually hold political views: tribes, partisanship, and whether anybody reasons their way in.
FilterEveryone, all time237 from 102 people
- MY
Matthew Yglesias quoted
Writes Slow Boring, a near-daily newsletter on American…
Their wordsI agree with Hasan that this approach of targeting Mamdani is not a good way to do politics.
↗Why anti-Israel protestors are targeting New York’s anti-Zionist mayorslowboring.com
- 1 day earlier
- PK
Paul Krugman quoted
Trade economist, Nobel laureate in 2008 for his work…
Their wordsUnfortunately, a corrupt, partisan majority on the Supreme Court, invoking the “unitary executive” theory, has given Trump a huge amount of untrammeled power, especially because he is surrounded by minions — many approved by supine Republicans in Congress — who are willing, even eager to break the law.
- 2 days earlier
- NS
Noah Smith quoted
Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter
Their wordsEverything bad in American society, culture, and politics is partly a Russian op
- 3 days earlier
- NS
Nate Silver quoted
Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight
Their wordsPerpetually increasing polarization means that: 1) fewer states are competitive; 2) there’s less and less ticket-splitting, so races for Congress are more predictable based on presidential voting and 3) “candidate effects,” including incumbency, are weaker, so there’s less opportunity for a candidate with strong personal qualities to overcome the partisan tide.
- PC
Patrick Collison quoted
Co-founder and CEO of Stripe and co-founder of the Arc Institute
Their wordstaking stock of all of the effects, it seems to me that the quality point may well be the biggest: that agents will change the nature of the backpropagation such that the rewards for better products increase. Maybe this is too optimistic, but I suspect (and hope) that companies that make things that they're proud of will feel that the universe is a little more partisan in their favor.
- 4 days earlier
- PK
Paul Krugman quoted
Their wordsBut if one combines a closer look at these numbers with a more realistic understanding of public opinion, this poll actually shows that corruption is becoming a serious G.O.P. problem.
↗The Trump Administration is a Cesspit of Corruptionpaulkrugman.substack.com
- 1 day earlier
- PL
Pieter Levels quoted
Dutch bootstrapper who builds and runs his internet startups alone
Their wordsBrazil's politics to me feel very heavily influenced by the US but with a 2 year delay because when US has elections in 2024, Brazil has them 2 years later in 2026.
- NS
Noah Smith quoted
Their wordsChris Rufo is literally out here arguing that getting drunk and blowing off tests is Traditional White Culture that needs to be protected from Brown Supremacy It's Robin DiAngelo but with the races swapped
- PL
Pieter Levels quoted
Our readingMonopoly power can capture politics
Their wordsOne interesting thing about Brazil more recently is how the Supreme Court judges are allegedly used by the ruling president to influence politics, censoring speech against the current government
- 1 day earlier
- NS
Nate Silver quoted
Our readingPolls may be biased in either direction
Their wordsSystematic polling errors are common. Polls might be biased against Republicans again. Or against Democrats.
- NS
Nate Silver quoted
Their wordsIn the 9 midterms or presidential years I’ve covered since FiveThirtyEight launched in 2008, polls have had a systematic bias against Democrats once, in 2012, a systematic bias against Republicans four times (the three Trump presidential elections + 2014), and were basically unbiased in the other four elections, including in the past two midterms.
- NS
Noah Smith quoted
Their wordsRightists will scream "Colorblind meritocracy!" right up until the point where Indian people start doing well, at which point every rightist turns into Ibram Kendi
- 1 day earlier
- MY
Matthew Yglesias quoted
Their wordsAll you really need to do to be sporadically competitive in blue states is just apply that exact same formula to an electorate where the median voter is more left-wing.
↗How blue-state Republicans can be relevant againslowboring.com
- 1 day earlier
- NS
Nate Silver quoted
Their wordsDemocrats’ voter-targeting efforts are plausibly more efficient and effective than the Republican ones under Trump.
- 4 days earlier
- EM
Elon Musk quoted
Founded SpaceX in 2002
Their wordsIn New York and California, they have made it illegal for officials to ask for or for you to show your voter ID! They made election fraud mandatory.
- TL
Tobias Lütke quoted
Co-founder and CEO of Shopify
Their wordsShe’s saying she will take some people’s money to pay for this. The incentive is to buy votes, not make things better.
- 2 days earlier
- BD
Brad DeLong quoted
Economics professor at the University of California
Their wordsEach new outrage buys a day of base enthusiasm, and then compounds the strong-disapproval pile that never shrinks.
- NS
Noah Smith quoted
Their wordsA lot of regular Republican voters are conservatives who want nothing to do with MAGA's little bumbling klepto-fascist putsch.
- 2 days earlier
- NS
Noah Smith quoted
Their wordsThe GOP had a golden opportunity to become a multiracial majority party and destroy the left for two generations, and instead they turned things over to the Claremont Nazis
- NS
Noah Smith quoted
Their wordsMost partisans in both parties just want someone on their side who can win. They have no real ideology, no real issue stances, no real governing philosophy. They just want to beat the other team.
- 1 day earlier
- BC
Bryan Caplan quoted
Their wordsIn the Neo-Median Voter Model, platforms diverge widely, especially on issues where the base is passionate and the median voter in the general election is apathetic.
↗The Neo-Median Voter Modelbetonit.ai 2nd of 3 in this piece
- ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz quoted
Writes Don't Worry About the Vase
Their wordsBut when you want to save the world, or change it, and you start to get traction, politics is going to get interested in you.
↗Politics Gets Interested In Those Trying Not To Diethezvi.substack.com
- NS
Nate Silver quoted
Their wordsInflation in fuel prices is much higher in diesel-heavy farm states — and may explain some surprisingly competitive Senate races.
↗Diesel prices could crush Republicans in the heartlandnatesilver.net
- DD
Daniel W. Drezner quoted
Political scientist writing Drezner’s World on international relations
Their wordsThe thing is, while Trump’s staffers and advisers might be aware of the effect of political gravity, Trump himself remains unaware that he and his feckless subordinates have steered his administration off of a political cliff.
↗Welcome to the Wile E. Coyote Momentdanieldrezner.substack.com
- 1 day earlier
- PG
Paul Graham quoted
Co-founder of Y Combinator and Viaweb
Their wordsThe Democrats lack all conviction, while the Republicans are full of passionate intensity.
- 1 day earlier
- HF
Henry Farrell quoted
Professor of international affairs at Johns Hopkins SAIS and co-author
Their wordsThe feedback loops that drive system change are both "highly destabilizing and difficult to predict."
↗International relations has a problem with the futureprogrammablemutter.com 1st of 3 in this piece
- BD
Brad DeLong quoted
Their wordsDisagreement is, often, genuinely about values or truly contested facts.
↗CROSSPOST: NICHOLAS GRUEN: Hobbes on Spin & Bullshitbraddelong.substack.com 3rd of 3 in this piece
- NS
Nate Silver quoted
Their wordsConversely, expert ratings imply a much different political environment. The Cook Political Report, for example, counts seven races as “toss-ups,” including states like New Hampshire where models and prediction markets imply that Democrats are heavy favorites. This cautious view is misaligned with the long history of strong opposition performance in midterm elections, especially when the incumbent president is as unpopular as Trump.
↗Expert ratings are ignoring signs of a blue wavenatesilver.net
- 1 day earlier
- BD
Brad DeLong quoted
Their wordsSuch people are unlikely to make good judgments about Middle East issues.
↗Trump’s State Department’s Obsession with What They Fear Are Satanic Bull-Statues: Laugh of the Daybraddelong.substack.com 1st of 3 in this piece
- 1 day earlier
- MY
Matthew Yglesias quoted
Our readingMost people who hold a widely-held political view are ignorant or intellectually sloppy about it
Their wordsThe fact is that for basically any widely held political view, a huge share of the people who hold the view are going to be ignorant, intellectually sloppy, or otherwise badly flawed in their reasoning.
↗Trying to convince people you’re right is underratedslowboring.com 1st of 2 in this piece