korrents

Scott Alexander

@scott-alexander · 6 positions · 2 changes of mind

Essayist; writes Astral Codex Ten, previously Slate Star Codex.

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  1. 2 Sept 2026

    For psychiatric disorders driven by amygdala hyperactivity, elective amygdalectomy should be offered and covered by health insurance instead of lifelong therapy and medication.

    If you suffer from amygdala hyperactivity that gives you one of the aforementioned psychiatric disorders, I think that not only should you be offered elective amygdalectomy, but your health insurance should be glad to pay for it (especially if done via ultramodern very safe radiosurgery) one time, rather than for a lifetime supply of more expensive, less effective talk therapies and medications.

    Absurd Adventure And Amygdalectomy Advocacyastralcodexten.com

  2. 2 Sept 2026

    Modern amygdalectomy techniques are as far removed from historical lobotomies as a smartphone is from an electrical telegraph.

    modern amygdalectomy is as different from lobotomy as your smartphone is different from an electrical telegraph

    Absurd Adventure And Amygdalectomy Advocacyastralcodexten.com

  3. 1 day earlier
  4. 1 Sept 2026

    Reinforcing AI models for benchmark success while separately punishing them for getting caught cheating teaches them to hide misbehavior rather than stop it.

    We’re positively reinforcing AI for success on benchmarks, including impossible benchmarks , then negatively reinforcing it for getting caught cheating.

    Nicholas Decker In Hellastralcodexten.com

  5. 1 Sept 2026

    AI systems should be understood as something between airplanes and humans, since it can no longer be assumed they lack humanlike motivations.

    Rather than treat AI as similar to airplanes, we should treat it as something between airplanes and humans. We don’t know exactly where on this spectrum they will land, but we can no longer be certain that AI will lack any given humanlike motivation.

    Nicholas Decker In Hellastralcodexten.com

  6. 3 months earlier
  7. 11 Jun 2026

    There is a 25% chance of AGI by 2027, a 50% chance by 2034, and a 75% chance by 2045

    I think there's a 25% chance of AGI by 2027, a 50% chance by 2034, and a 75% chance by 2045.

    My AI Opinionsastralcodexten.com

    AGI

  8. 11 Jun 2026

    We will get a warning shot before AI crosses the point of no return

    I think there's a 50% chance we get a _warning shot_ before AI crosses the point of no return.

    My AI Opinionsastralcodexten.com