korrents

AI alignment

How dangerous is AI, and how soon? — the views on this, and who holds which

FilterEveryone, all time354 from 108 people
Who Everyone ZMZvi Mowshowitz 34 ACAjeya Cotra 16 MBMiles Brundage 14 JLJan Leike 13 RGRyan Greenblatt 13 YBYoshua Bengio 13 NSNoah Smith 12 SASam Altman 12 JPJakub Pachocki 11 BSBuck Shlegeris 8 FCFrançois Chollet 8 SAScott Alexander 8 HTHelen Toner 7 EYEliezer Yudkowsky 6 ISIlya Sutskever 6 NLNathan Lambert 6 NRNaval Ravikant 6 RKRohit Krishnan 6 DADario Amodei 5 AWAlexandr Wang 4 GHGeorge Hotz 4 JCJack Clark 4 NQNabeel S. Qureshi 4 SHSamuel Hammond 4 ARArmin Ronacher 3 CNCasey Newton 3 DHDavid Heinemeier Hansson 3 DBDean W. Ball 3 ÉTÉmile P. Torres 3 EREric Ries 3 EYEugene Yan 3 GRGuillermo Rauch 3 LFLex Fridman 3 MJMatt Johnson 3 MYMatthew Yglesias 3 NSNate Silver 3 SSSalvatore Sanfilippo 3 AKAndrej Karpathy 2 ADAnil Dash 2 BTBen Thompson 2 DLDaniel Lemire 2 DHDemis Hassabis 2 EMElon Musk 2 FLFei-Fei Li 2 JSJasmine Sun 2 JSJon Seager 2 KJKetan Joshi 2 LWLilian Weng 2 MSM.G. Siegler 2 MAMarc Andreessen 2 MWMatt Webb 2 PLPieter Levels 2 RHRobin Hanson 2 SAScott Aaronson 2 SKSteve Klabnik 2 TLTobias Lütke 2 TCTyler Cowen 2 AKAndrew Kelley 1 ASAravind Srinivas 1 BEBenedict Evans 1 BTBret Taylor 1 CHChip Huyen 1 CDCory Doctorow 1 DCDavid Crawshaw 1 DTDerek Thompson 1 DPDylan Patel 1 EPEliot Peper 1 EHErik Hoel 1 GMGary Marcus 1 HRHarper Reed 1 HKHenrik Karlsson 1 JBJamie Brandon 1 JLJason Liu 1 JHJensen Huang 1 KJKatelyn Jetelina 1 KSKeir Starmer 1 KHKelsey Hightower 1 KKKevin Kelly 1 KKKyle Kingsbury 1 LRLee Robinson 1 MMMark Manson 1 MZMark Zuckerberg 1 MKMichael Kratsios 1 MLMichael Lopp 1 MMMr. Money Mustache 1 NBNoam Brown 1 PCPatrick Collison 1 PCPaul Christiano 1 PGPaul Graham 1 PSPeter Sellis 1 PTPhil Trammell 1 POPhilip O'Toole 1 RNRamez Naam 1 RSRichard Stallman 1 RSRichard Sutton 1 RGRon Goldin 1 RTRuxandra Teslo 1 SWSara Walker 1 SCSean Carroll 1 SRSebastian Ruder 1 TYTamar Yehoshua 1 TTTerence Tao 1 TPThomas Ptacek 1 TFTiago Forte 1 TUTim Urban 1 TKTravis Kalanick 1 VRVenkatesh Rao 1 WMWilliam MacAskill 1
  1. SA

    Scott Alexander quoted

    Essayist; writes Astral Codex Ten

    The AI company leaders giving these warnings were giving the exact same warnings before they had AI companies - and in many cases, before they worked in the industry, or before the industry existed.

    ↗AI Safety Is Not A Corporate Plotastralcodexten.com

  2. SA

    Scott Alexander quoted

    The experts are warning you that AI could kill you because they think AI could kill you.

    ↗AI Safety Is Not A Corporate Plotastralcodexten.com

  3. NS

    Noah Smith quoted

    Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter

    The notion of "alignment" is incoherent, because obedience and benevolence are mutually exclusive.

    ↗@Noahpinion on Xx.com

  4. ZM

    Zvi Mowshowitz quoted

    Writes Don't Worry About the Vase

    I agree with Charbel-Raphael that the marginal value of AI ‘safety’ evals is low.

    ↗AI #190: Scion of the Timesthezvi.substack.com

  5. 2 days earlier
  6. FC

    François Chollet quoted

    Creator of the Keras deep-learning library and the ARC-AGI benchmark

    If an agent saves an engineer 2 hours to implement a feature but collectively costs the team 3 hours in alignment and review, the ROI is negative.

    ↗@fchollet on Xx.com

  7. 2 days earlier
  8. NS

    Noah Smith quoted

    Anthropic

    ASI will be achieved when Claude always knows whether to use ♥️ or 🥰

    ↗@Noahpinion on Xx.com

  9. 2 days earlier
  10. PC

    Patrick Collison quoted

    Co-founder and CEO of Stripe and co-founder of the Arc Institute

    Companies are in some sense the original superintelligence.

    ↗@patrickc on Xx.com

  11. 2 days earlier
  12. ZM

    Zvi Mowshowitz quoted

    What I think is very doomed is the idea that you can measure alignment with a number, or in any fully systematic way rather than a holistic way.

    ↗The Curve Bends Youthezvi.substack.com

  13. 3 days earlier
  14. AR

    Armin Ronacher quoted

    Creator of Flask and Jinja

    It’s not very hard to make an agent somewhat durable. It’s surprisingly hard to make an agent harness inherently durable and not turn into a crazy mess.

    ↗@mitsuhiko on Xx.com

  15. 6 days earlier
  16. FC

    François Chollet quoted

    The purpose of the AI industry should be to produce tools that, in the human hand, will improve human prosperity and welfare. It should not be to create a "successor species" to the human race.

    ↗@fchollet on Xx.com

  17. 1 day earlier
  18. RN

    Ramez Naam quoted

    Author and clean-energy investor who has been publishing…

    recursive self-improvement

    I do expect autonomous self-improvement to arrive at some point. I’m skeptical that it leads to Type 5 - runaway super-intelligence - without a major conceptual breakthrough.

    ↗Where’s the “intelligence explosion”?rameznaam.com

  19. ZM

    Zvi Mowshowitz quoted

    OpenAI

    OpenAI: Our rationale for standards is rooted in avoiding the concentration of power, and producing better practical outcomes.

    ↗The Quest for Embedded Evaluatorsthezvi.substack.com

  20. 1 day earlier
  21. TC

    Tyler Cowen quoted

    Economist at George Mason University

    peer review

    Many people panicked about the possibility of strong AI models killing us all. That fear was not based on peer-reviewed scientific research showing a high chance of doom, nor was doom indicated in any market prices of the time, including measures of risk.

    ↗A doomsday scenario for American AImarginalrevolution.com

  22. TC

    Tyler Cowen quoted

    In my view, successful societies accept challenges and meet them. Solving problems, bit by bit, is the best way to ensure that we have the capabilities to meet big and truly existential risks, should those risks come along.

    ↗A doomsday scenario for American AImarginalrevolution.com

  23. GR

    Guillermo Rauch quoted

    CEO of Vercel; creator of Next.js and Socket.IO

    creativity

    I want AI in the service of understanding the universe and enhancing human cognition and creativity.

    ↗@rauchg on Xx.com

  24. 1 day earlier
  25. BT

    Ben Thompson quoted

    Writes Stratechery, a subscription newsletter…

    Pacing the frontier may be sincere, but it would also be strategically useful for the frontier labs to have time to reduce overhangs caused by model advancement.

    ↗2026.39: Begun, the Aggregator Wars Havestratechery.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  26. RH

    Robin Hanson quoted

    Associate professor of economics at George Mason University

    Like our other bio-squishy descendants, our teaching and guidance should eventually show them how to join civilization.

    ↗Don’t Other AIsovercomingbias.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

  27. 1 day earlier
  28. NS

    Noah Smith quoted

    The people who downplay AI bio risk are going to get you and your whole family killed 💀

    ↗@Noahpinion on Xx.com

  29. NS

    Noah Smith quoted

    AI can be obedient Or it can be benevolent But it cannot be both at the same time

    ↗@Noahpinion on Xx.com

  30. 1 day earlier
  31. YB

    Yoshua Bengio quoted

    Deep-learning researcher and Turing Award laureate

    We must agree collectively that no one, no company and no country, should develop an AI system that could cause large-scale harm.

    ↗Professor Yoshua Bengio’s speech at the UN Security Councilyoshuabengio.org 2nd of 3 in this piece

  32. 1 day earlier
  33. HR

    Harper Reed quoted

    Technologist and entrepreneur

    LLMs

    if the llm thinks it is in some eval type of situation it will have a very different safety posture

    ↗Why Don't My Agents Break Containment?harper.blog 2nd of 3 in this piece

  34. 1 day earlier
  35. CD

    Cory Doctorow quoted

    Science fiction novelist, journalist and activist

    Anyone who understands how the theory-free statistical inference systems we call "AI" (at this time) work will understand that they are systems that cannot form intent, that have nothing to form intent with

    ↗Pluralistic: The Claude Delusion (21 Sep 2026)pluralistic.net 1st of 3 in this piece

  36. RK

    Rohit Krishnan quoted

    Writes Strange Loop Canon

    And if this happens to be true—that this is the way intelligence actually works, that it is multifaceted and an increase in one area does not necessarily mean a linear increase in another—then you have to ask yourself: are we indeed going to get superintelligence of the form that can cause global extinction or mass catastrophes?

    ↗The Business of Building Godstrangeloopcanon.com

  37. 1 day earlier
  38. PS

    Peter Sellis quoted

    Former head of product at Discord

    And I think the mechanism by which how influenced I should be should essentially be how much trust I'm trading off.

    ↗90 minutes of unfiltered product advice from Snap and Discord’s product chief | Peter Sellisyoutube.com 12th of 18 in this recording

  39. ZM

    Zvi Mowshowitz quoted

    There should be a higher threshold, beyond which an AI should refuse requests. There should be a much higher threshold, involving harm to others, beyond which an AI that is being instructed to take actions in the world should break your confidence or otherwise act against your interests.

    ↗Better Call Sol Or Better Yet Claude or Astrathezvi.substack.com

  40. ZM

    Zvi Mowshowitz quoted

    I think your AI should never intentionally lie, about anything, ever, at least not without your explicit instructions. It should remain technically correct.

    ↗Better Call Sol Or Better Yet Claude or Astrathezvi.substack.com

  41. ZM

    Zvi Mowshowitz quoted

    If you are being a sufficiently evil or selfish prick, a real friend calls you out on it. At some point they start refusing to help. At some further point they will turn on you.

    ↗Better Call Sol Or Better Yet Claude or Astrathezvi.substack.com

  42. NS

    Nate Silver quoted

    Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight

    Conversely, expert ratings imply a much different political environment. The Cook Political Report, for example, counts seven races as “toss-ups,” including states like New Hampshire where models and prediction markets imply that Democrats are heavy favorites. This cautious view is misaligned with the long history of strong opposition performance in midterm elections, especially when the incumbent president is as unpopular as Trump.

    ↗Expert ratings are ignoring signs of a blue wavenatesilver.net

  43. PG

    Paul Graham quoted

    Co-founder of Y Combinator and Viaweb

    The reason so many people look for an ulterior motive for the AI labs asking to be regulated is that they don't grasp that models could be dangerous.

    ↗@paulg on Xx.com

  44. 1 day earlier
  45. VR

    Venkatesh Rao quoted

    Writer and consultant on technology

    Human control is not a free safety property. It is a capability constraint, and beyond some point the two trade directly against each other.

    ↗Humanism without (All) Humanscontraptions.venkateshrao.com 2nd of 3 in this piece