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Noah Smith

@noah-smith · 10 positions · 1 change of mind

Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter.

Noah Smith did not write this page. We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it.

  1. 1 Sept 2026

    True AI alignment is impossible because obedience and benevolence are fundamentally incompatible goals.

    AI alignment will forever be balancing the tradeoff between paperclip-maximizing and disempowerment, because these two rival concepts of alignment are fundamentally incompatible.

    Roundup #87: Technology BAD!!noahpinion.blog

  2. 1 Sept 2026

    Humans will keep their jobs for a long time because AI agents need constant human supervision to stay on task.

    In other words, humans will keep their jobs for a good long time, because someone will need to keep the AIs on task

    Roundup #87: Technology BAD!!noahpinion.blog

  3. 1 Sept 2026

    America is missing out on the global electrification revolution, the first major tech shift it has completely whiffed on.

    The electric revolution is the first major technological revolution that America has just completely whiffed on.

    Roundup #87: Technology BAD!!noahpinion.blog

  4. 3 days earlier
  5. 29 Aug 2026

    Japan's loss of innovation is mostly a finance story: companies can no longer get the cheap plentiful bank loans they had in the 70s and 80s.

    In the 70s and 80s, Japanese companies could get cheap plentiful bank loans to develop new products and explore new markets. Today, they can't. Innovation is downstream of finance.

    @Noahpinion on Xx.com

  6. 29 Aug 2026

    China leapfrogged the West on cars by treating internal combustion as obsolete and mastering the technology that replaces it.

    Technological leapfrogging in action. China realized that internal combustion cars are largely obsolete, and mastered the he technology of the future. We didn't.

    @Noahpinion on Xx.com

  7. 1 day earlier
  8. 28 Aug 2026

    AI-designed superviruses outweigh every other risk in the world right now.

    Why AI-designed superviruses outweigh every other risk in the world right now:

    @Noahpinion on Xx.com

  9. 12 months earlier
  10. 13 Aug 2025

    The "private equity is buying up all the houses" argument is both wrong and an excuse for deferring zoning reform.

    The first of the two charts shows that institutional buyers — which includes private equity, BlackRock, etc. — own only a tiny sliver of the homes in America.

    Corporations aren't the reason your rent is too highnoahpinion.blog

  11. 17 months earlier
  12. 25 Mar 2024

    Housing affordability is almost the direct inverse of how many new homes are built, so the answer is to build more houses.

    This is exactly how building market-rate housing — even fancy “luxury” market-rate housing — makes housing more affordable in general.

    Market-rate housing will make your city cheapernoahpinion.blog

  13. 20 months earlier
  14. 25 Jul 2022

    Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022.

    Even more importantly, cash benefits seem to have contributed at least somewhat to the dangerous and painful inflation that the economy is now experiencing.

    Four things I got wrong since I started this blognoahpinion.blog

    inflation

  15. 25 Jul 2022

    Stocks sustained by persistent online attention can stay overpriced for long periods, so overvaluation alone does not imply a near-term correction.

    Knowing this research, I should have emphasized the possibility that Gamestop would stay overpriced for a long time.

    Four things I got wrong since I started this blognoahpinion.blog