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Noah Smith

What Noah Smith thinks about AI and jobs

@noah-smith · 215 positions · 1 change of mind · On ppll ↗

Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter.

Noah Smith did not write this page.

We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.

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Only Noah Smith on AI and jobs. See everyone on AI and jobs

6 dated positions, 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what Noah Smith has said — not written or endorsed by them.

  1. Our readingWork for mathematicians will not run out.

    mathematics

    Their wordsNo, we're not going to run out of work for mathematicians to do.

    ↗@Noahpinion on Xx.com

  2. 4 weeks earlier

  3. Our readingThe AI boom is not yet bigger than the railroad boom, which hit 5.4% of GDP in the 1870s, though it is close and its decade average might end up bigger.

    Their wordsI'm not sure why people keep saying that the AI boom is bigger than the railroads. It's getting close, and the decade average might end up bigger, but railroads hit 5.4% of GDP in the 1870s and 4% of GDP in the 1880s.

    ↗@Noahpinion on Xx.com

  4. 12 days earlier

  5. Our readingDomain experts consistently underestimate how quickly AI can master their field and surpass them.

    Their wordsDomain experts consistently underestimate how quickly AI can master their field and surpass them, because they mistake human difficulties for universal difficulty.

    ↗Two missing pieces in the AI safety discussionnoahpinion.blog

  6. 7 days earlier

  7. Our readingA likely outcome is that many occupations are eventually mostly replaced by AI while humans still have plenty to do.

    Their wordsBut my bet is that while many occupations will eventually be mostly replaced by AI, humans will still have plenty to do.

    ↗AI keeps stubbornly refusing to take our jobsnoahpinion.blog

  9. Our readingHumans will always have jobs keeping AI agents on track.

    AI agents

    Their wordsSo I predict that humans will always have jobs keeping AI agents on track.

    ↗AI keeps stubbornly refusing to take our jobsnoahpinion.blog

  10. 6 days earlier

  11. Our readingHumans will keep their jobs for a good long time because someone will need to keep AIs on task.

    Their wordsIn other words, humans will keep their jobs for a good long time, because someone will need to keep the AIs on task

    ↗Roundup #87: Technology BAD!!noahpinion.blog