What Noah Smith thinks about China
Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter.
Noah Smith did not write this page.
We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.
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17 dated positions, 2024 to 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what Noah Smith has said — not written or endorsed by them.
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Our readingNoah Smith is becoming a China bear.
Their wordsNow I'm becoming a China bear, and this is making me care less about being a China hawk.
- 5 days earlier
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Their wordsWhat a "car" means has fundamentally changed. China changed it.
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Their wordsXi's splashy subsidies are not what made China grow the way it did.
- 7 days earlier
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Their wordsDemographics won't start to hurt China until the 2040s at the earliest.
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Their wordsChina's leaders tried to resist the typical exodus of labor-intensive manufacturing, but it was inevitable.
- 4 days earlier
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Their wordsChinamaxxers are tourists who visit Chinese malls on their American salaries, write gushingly about how amazing everything in China is, and then fly back to their suburban American McMansions
- 7 days earlier
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Their wordsEurope should put more tariffs on Chinese products, in order to push Chinese companies to make their products overseas -- which will give industrialization a boost in poor countries all over the world.
- 5 days earlier
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Their wordsTrump has thus forfeited America’s claim to moral superiority over China.
- 2 days earlier
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Their wordsExport controls work. "Export controls just make Chinese companies work harder or catch up" is propaganda ass shite
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Our readingChina is the world's most cyberpunk country.
Their wordsChina is definitely the world's most cyberpunk country at this point.
- 2 days earlier
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Our readingXi is unpopular in China, as shown by how quickly certain unspecified things are spreading.
Their wordsthe fact that they're flying so quickly shows that Xi is unpopular in China.
- 2 days earlier
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solarAmericaclimate changebatteries
Their wordsChina scaled solar and batteries when America refused to, because the CCP got scared of climate change.
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Our readingThe Chinese Communist Party needs to be made to realize that AI can bring it down from within.
Their wordsWe need the CCP to realize that AI can bring them down from within.
- 9 days earlier
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Their wordsIf either country opens up a large, sustained lead in AI capabilities, it might upend the balance of power between the two.
↗America is still beating China in the AI racenoahpinion.blog
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Their wordsBut given the Chinese Communist Party’s power-seeking nature, it seems much more likely that China would agree to cooperate on AI safety if U.S. capabilities were comfortably ahead.
↗America is still beating China in the AI racenoahpinion.blog
- 7 days earlier
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Their wordsTechnological leapfrogging in action. China realized that internal combustion cars are largely obsolete, and mastered the he technology of the future. We didn't.
- 2 years earlier
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Their wordsBut China’s economic might is not going to go “poof” and disappear from population aging; in fact, as I’ll explain, it probably won’t suffer significant problems from aging until the second half of this century.
↗China's demographics will be fine through mid-centurynoahpinion.blog