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Noah Smith

What Noah Smith thinks about China

@noah-smith · 44 positions · 1 change of mind

Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter.

Everything they publish, on ppll ↗

Noah Smith did not write this page.

We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.

4 dated positions, 2024 to 2026, in their own words. Our reading of what Noah Smith has said — not written or endorsed by them.

4 positions so far — this page is not yet offered to search engines.

  1. Our readingA large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them.

    Their wordsIf either country opens up a large, sustained lead in AI capabilities, it might upend the balance of power between the two.

    ↗America is still beating China in the AI racenoahpinion.blog

    Interesting

  3. Our readingChina is more likely to cooperate on AI safety if the US maintains a clear and comfortable lead in AI capabilities.

    Their wordsBut given the Chinese Communist Party’s power-seeking nature, it seems much more likely that China would agree to cooperate on AI safety if U.S. capabilities were comfortably ahead.

    ↗America is still beating China in the AI racenoahpinion.blog

    AI alignmentAmerica

    Interesting
  4. 7 days earlier

  5. Our readingChina leapfrogged the West on cars by treating internal combustion as obsolete and mastering the technology that replaces it.

    Their wordsTechnological leapfrogging in action. China realized that internal combustion cars are largely obsolete, and mastered the he technology of the future. We didn't.

    ↗@Noahpinion on Xx.com

    Interesting
  6. 2 years earlier

  7. Our readingChina's ageing population will not do serious damage to its economy until the second half of this century.

    Their wordsBut China’s economic might is not going to go “poof” and disappear from population aging; in fact, as I’ll explain, it probably won’t suffer significant problems from aging until the second half of this century.

    ↗China's demographics will be fine through mid-centurynoahpinion.blog

    Interesting