Henry Farrell
Professor of international affairs at Johns Hopkins SAIS and co-author, with Abraham Newman, of Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy.
Everything they publish, on ppll ↗
Henry Farrell did not write this page.
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Their wordsThe feedback loops that drive system change are both "highly destabilizing and difficult to predict."
↗International relations has a problem with the futureprogrammablemutter.com 1st of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsthe value of standard social science approaches, which attempt to discover long term regularities, is likely to depreciate in relative terms until the system settles down again.
↗International relations has a problem with the futureprogrammablemutter.com 2nd of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsCreating institutional forms that can incorporate diversity and respond flexibly to a changing environment while maintaining legitimacy in the eyes of citizens is the fundamental project of state capacity that faces us.
↗International relations has a problem with the futureprogrammablemutter.com 3rd of 3 in this piece
- 5 days earlier
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Their wordsThe European Union is big - the third largest economy in the world, but it has great difficulty in transforming economic strength into geopolitical clout.
↗Canada is cosying up to Europeprogrammablemutter.com 1st of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsSo long as Canada is irrevocably plugged into the US economy, military and other arrangements, it's liable to get stuck with choices that run counter to its national interests.
↗Canada is cosying up to Europeprogrammablemutter.com 2nd of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsThis means that highly transformative institutions will often look identical to ineffectual talking shops and indeed be identical to ineffectual talking shops.
↗Canada is cosying up to Europeprogrammablemutter.com 3rd of 3 in this piece
- 3 days earlier
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Their wordsthe best way to think about AI is as another social, political, cultural and economic shock in the series of shocks that have been underway over the long industrial revolution.
↗How should social science think about AI?programmablemutter.com 1st of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsI suspect that some of the labs' willingness to put money into the social sciences stems from the realization of senior people that the practical build out of AI is highly unpopular in the U.S and their urgent desire to figure out how to sugarcoat the pill so that it will get swallowed
↗How should social science think about AI?programmablemutter.com 2nd of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsa recognition that AI is powerful (and will reshape power relations among humans) but that the consequences will flow messily through multiple complex processes that we really need to start mapping and understanding
↗How should social science think about AI?programmablemutter.com 3rd of 3 in this piece
- 2 weeks earlier
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Their wordsWhat we do know is that the actual Elon Musk that we have to live with on this here timeline was flagrantly incompetent in government, contrary to Noah's previous predictions.
↗The Acemoglu Wars Are All About AIprogrammablemutter.com 1st of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsWhat we do know from economics, is that trajectories of technological development are often associated with increasing returns.
↗The Acemoglu Wars Are All About AIprogrammablemutter.com 2nd of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsAI's development is being steered, right now, by a small self-selecting group of business leaders and investors.
↗The Acemoglu Wars Are All About AIprogrammablemutter.com 3rd of 3 in this piece
- 2 weeks earlier
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Their wordsmuch cultural success is stochastic (the experimental evidence suggests that talent only moderately predicts success in culture markets), and that path dependence shapes chances of success
↗No-One Makes You Shop at Amazonprogrammablemutter.com 1st of 3 in this piece
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Their wordswe are systematically likely to overestimate our own individual awesomeness, and to underestimate the external power asymmetries that magnify our voices.
↗No-One Makes You Shop at Amazonprogrammablemutter.com 2nd of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsIf anything, I think that the book has gained very substantially in relevance, as more of our social structures have come to rely on coordination rather than violence.
↗No-One Makes You Shop at Amazonprogrammablemutter.com 3rd of 3 in this piece
- 4 days earlier
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Our reading
Ireland's colonial wars helped set the template Britain later applied elsewhere in its empire
Their wordsThe brutal war and its aftermath set some of the parameters for what Britain did later in other parts of the world.
↗John Crowley has diedprogrammablemutter.com 1st of 2 in this piece
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Their wordsJohn Dee, who appeared in Flint and Mirror as well as several other Crowley novels, was not just a wizard but an imperial propagandist.
↗John Crowley has diedprogrammablemutter.com 2nd of 2 in this piece
- 1 day earlier
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Their wordsIncreasingly, it is looking much more like the one anticipated by the drugged-up 1960s oeuvre of Philip K Dick, filled with deranged billionaires, machines that claim consciousness, hallucinated worlds and political breakdown.
↗We're stuck in Philip K. Dick's imagined universeprogrammablemutter.com 1st of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsyou can be a great writer, revealing possibilities that others haven't seen, without always being a good one.
↗We're stuck in Philip K. Dick's imagined universeprogrammablemutter.com 2nd of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsAll of these grand visions hide truths that are messier, more sordid and more contingent.
↗We're stuck in Philip K. Dick's imagined universeprogrammablemutter.com 3rd of 3 in this piece
- 1 day earlier
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Their wordsAs a general matter, trying to solve a systemic problem by doubling down risks creating out-of-control feedback loops.
↗The downside of robot solutionismprogrammablemutter.com 1st of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsOnce an arms race has begun, strategic uncertainty means that it may be difficult to prevent escalation, even if it ends up making everyone worse off.
↗The downside of robot solutionismprogrammablemutter.com 2nd of 3 in this piece
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Their words(and it will be gamed - AI bureaucracies will absolutely have their own politics)
↗The downside of robot solutionismprogrammablemutter.com 3rd of 3 in this piece