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The useful question about AI and work is not what percentage of jobs it will replace but what percentage of tasks it will do, over ever-longer time horizons.

Drawn from what Sam Altman said

SubjectAI and jobs
What this subject means

AI and jobs Whether AI displaces human work, which jobs go first, and what replaces them.

On the topicWill AI take the jobs?under our view: The confident forecasts are themselves the overreach

What Sam Altman actually said

  1. Sam Altman Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI
    The way I think about it is not what percent of jobs AI will do, but what percent of tasks will AI do on over one time horizon. So if you think of all of the five-second tasks in the economy, five minute tasks, the five-hour tasks, maybe even the five-day tasks, how many of those can AI do?

    Where this was said

    Watch from 0:42:01 plays here

    ↗Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com

    18 Mar 2024 · video · 1h 55m · spoken · official transcript

    All 20 korrents from this recordingthis one is 6th

Added to korrents 7 Sept 2026 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us

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