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The useful question about AI and work is not what percentage of jobs it will replace but what percentage of tasks it will do, over ever-longer time horizons.

Drawn from what Sam Altman said

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What Sam Altman actually said

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  1. Sam Altman

    Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI

    The way I think about it is not what percent of jobs AI will do, but what percent of tasks will AI do on over one time horizon. So if you think of all of the five-second tasks in the economy, five minute tasks, the five-hour tasks, maybe even the five-day tasks, how many of those can AI do?

    Where this was said

    Watch from 0:42:01 plays here

    ↗Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419youtube.com

    video · 1h 55m · spoken · official transcript

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