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Jakub Pachocki

@jakub-pachocki · 14 positions · 0 changes of mind

Chief Scientist at OpenAI. Worked on the research that turned scaled reinforcement learning into reasoning models, and writes about where he thinks that path leads.

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  1. Based on internal results, I have a strong expectation that this speed of progress could be sustained into recursive self-improvement.

    An Alien Mindopenai.com

    recursive self-improvement

  2. I am concerned no one is prepared for the consequences of a continued rapid rise in machine intelligence.

    An Alien Mindopenai.com

  3. AI is grown more than designed - it is, to first degree, the product of repeating a straightforward optimization step many times on a hard-to-imagine amount of compute.

    An Alien Mindopenai.com

  4. The fundamental challenge of AI alignment is generalization.

    An Alien Mindopenai.com

    AI alignment

  5. However, unfortunately our evaluations indicate our ability to rely on CoT monitoring is progressively diminishing.

    An Alien Mindopenai.com

  6. Still, I expect general AI progress to increasingly be bottlenecked by confidence in monitoring.

    An Alien Mindopenai.com

  7. A clear risk discussed throughout this year is to cybersecurity: the models are becoming superhuman in their ability to break in and out of computer systems.

    An Alien Mindopenai.com

    cybersecurity

  8. We may be used to thinking of AI as tools, but some agents will be pursuing their own objectives.

    An Alien Mindopenai.com

    AI agents

  9. The strongest argument I see for continuing to train much smarter models quickly is the need to build defensive systems against the dangers posed by other AI.

    An Alien Mindopenai.com

  10. The idea of racing forward at all costs seems absurd once one internalizes the seriousness of the stakes.

    An Alien Mindopenai.com

  11. Scaling AI systems has to be constrained by our confidence in safety.

    An Alien Mindopenai.com

  12. Currently I believe that no lab has solved alignment and monitoring to a sufficient degree to continue responsibly scaling at maximum speed for much longer.

    An Alien Mindopenai.com

    AI alignment

  13. I expect and hope for voluntary slowdowns to become commonplace until shared safety bars are established.

    An Alien Mindopenai.com

  14. And I believe that international coordination on future AI development needs to become a top priority for governments around the world.

    An Alien Mindopenai.com