A slow takeoff is significantly more likely than a fast one: AI that is nearly as powerful will have transformed the world before the incredibly powerful kind arrives.

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• Expecting a slow takeoff means expecting AI to matter more and sooner, not less; the disagreement is about what happens before superintelligence, not after. PCPaul Christiano24 Feb 2018similar wording
• Slower AI progress does not obviously help: a rogue swarm is not much more likely to be caught if takeoff takes twice as long. ACAjeya Cotra1 Sept 2026similar wording
• An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario. DHDemis Hassabis23 Jul 2025similar wording
• AI's impact will be bigger than the internet's, and more profound. LTLip-Bu Tan18 Jun 2026similar wording
• Incredibly powerful AI will arrive into a world that is already being transformed and already alarmed, not into a world like today's. PCPaul Christiano24 Feb 2018similar wording

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