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← A slow takeoff is significantly more likely than a fast one: AI that…
17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 24 Feb 2018 to 21 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under AI sentience
AI sentience
Everything filed under measuring intelligence
measuring intelligence
Everything filed under OpenAI
OpenAI
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under self-sovereign AI
self-sovereign AI Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: A slow takeoff is significantly more likely than a fast one: AI that is nearly as powerful will have transformed the world before the incredibly powerful kind arrives. A slow takeoff is significantly more likely than a fast one: AI that is nearly as powerful will have transformed the world before the incredibly powerful kind arrives. Last stated 9 years ago
24 Feb 2018
PC
Paul Christiano — holds since 2018-02-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Expecting a slow takeoff means expecting AI to matter more and sooner, not less; the disagreement is about what happens before superintelligence, not after. — tap to centre the map on it Expecting a slow takeoff means expecting AI to matter more and sooner, not less; the disagreement is about what happens before superintelligence, not after. Last stated 9 years ago
24 Feb 2018
PC
Paul Christiano — holds since 2018-02-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There will be no sudden fast takeoff in AI, even though model progress is happening faster than ever. — tap to centre the map on it There will be no sudden fast takeoff in AI, even though model progress is happening faster than ever. Last stated 2 months ago
6 Sept 2026
AA
Anish Acharya — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI is a slow takeoff, and it will take years to understand what it can actually do. — tap to centre the map on it AI is a slow takeoff, and it will take years to understand what it can actually do. Last stated 4 weeks ago
27 Sept 2026
MG
Molly Graham — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Slower AI progress does not obviously help: a rogue swarm is not much more likely to be caught if takeoff takes twice as long. — tap to centre the map on it Slower AI progress does not obviously help: a rogue swarm is not much more likely to be caught if takeoff takes twice as long. Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A deliberately slower pace of AI model releases would still feel faster than the pace of AI improvement that came before it. — tap to centre the map on it A deliberately slower pace of AI model releases would still feel faster than the pace of AI improvement that came before it. Last stated a month ago
14 Sept 2026
BH
Byrne Hobart — holds since 2026-09-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario. — tap to centre the map on it An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario. Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI's impact will be bigger than the internet's, and more profound. — tap to centre the map on it AI's impact will be bigger than the internet's, and more profound. Last stated 4 months ago
18 Jun 2026
LT
Lip-Bu Tan — holds since 2026-06-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Incredibly powerful AI will arrive into a world that is already being transformed and already alarmed, not into a world like today's. — tap to centre the map on it Incredibly powerful AI will arrive into a world that is already being transformed and already alarmed, not into a world like today's. Last stated 9 years ago
24 Feb 2018
PC
Paul Christiano — holds since 2018-02-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. — tap to centre the map on it A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. Last stated a month ago
15 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. Last stated 7 years ago
5 Nov 2019
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Every generation's test for machine intelligence is whatever machines cannot do yet, so in twenty years the question will be whether it can reproduce. — tap to centre the map on it Every generation's test for machine intelligence is whatever machines cannot do yet, so in twenty years the question will be whether it can reproduce. Last stated 3 years ago
29 Jun 2023
GH
George Hotz — holds since 2023-06-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI sentience is a category error, and the chances of AIs being sentient are vanishingly small. — tap to centre the map on it AI sentience is a category error, and the chances of AIs being sentient are vanishingly small. Last stated 2 months ago
31 Aug 2026
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An AI's sympathy and a friend's are not the same act: one is a learned pattern about what to say, the other rests on having felt the thing. — tap to centre the map on it An AI's sympathy and a friend's are not the same act: one is a learned pattern about what to say, the other rests on having felt the thing. Last stated 2 months ago
10 Aug 2026
FL
Fei-Fei Li — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Calling an intelligent, self-aware being legal property does not resolve whether it has an interest in freedom. — tap to centre the map on it Calling an intelligent, self-aware being legal property does not resolve whether it has an interest in freedom. Last stated 3 months ago
24 Jul 2026
PS
Peter Singer — holds since 2026-07-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A PHP vulnerability found with GPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc this week. — tap to centre the map on it A PHP vulnerability found with GPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc this week. Last stated 2 days ago
21 Oct 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-10-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
At the centre
A slow takeoff is significantly more likely than a fast one: AI that is nearly as powerful will have transformed the world before the incredibly powerful kind arrives.
Holds Read this korrent →
Expecting a slow takeoff means expecting AI to matter more and sooner, not less; the disagreement is about what happens before superintelligence, not after.
Holds
There will be no sudden fast takeoff in AI, even though model progress is happening faster than ever.
Holds
AI is a slow takeoff, and it will take years to understand what it can actually do.
Holds
Slower AI progress does not obviously help: a rogue swarm is not much more likely to be caught if takeoff takes twice as long.
Holds
A deliberately slower pace of AI model releases would still feel faster than the pace of AI improvement that came before it.
Holds
An end-to-end self-improving AI is probably possible, but it is not even desirable, because it is a hard-takeoff scenario.
Holds
AI's impact will be bigger than the internet's, and more profound.
Holds
Incredibly powerful AI will arrive into a world that is already being transformed and already alarmed, not into a world like today's.
Holds
A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve.
Holds
Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect.
Holds
Every generation's test for machine intelligence is whatever machines cannot do yet, so in twenty years the question will be whether it can reproduce.
Holds
AI sentience is a category error, and the chances of AIs being sentient are vanishingly small.
Holds
An AI's sympathy and a friend's are not the same act: one is a learned pattern about what to say, the other rests on having felt the thing.
Holds
Calling an intelligent, self-aware being legal property does not resolve whether it has an interest in freedom.
Holds
A PHP vulnerability found with GPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc this week.
Holds
A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests.
Holds
Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers.
Holds