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There will be no overnight intelligence explosion, because a model's best work takes so much test-time compute that time itself is the bottleneck.

Drawn from what Noam Brown said

scaling laws Whether more compute keeps buying more capability, and where the curve now bends -- pre-training, post-training, test-time.

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What Noam Brown actually said

Word for word, with the source under each one. They did not write this page.

  1. Noam Brown

    Research scientist at OpenAI

    and I don't think we're headed to that world largely because of the fact that the models rely so much on large scale test time compute in order to achieve um their greatest intelligence. If you if it requires so much test time on compute to unlock the full capabilities of the model, then that means you're bottlenecked by time

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