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Margin of safety

Leave room for being wrong, because sometimes you will be.

Our reading of the idea · 4 claims from 3 people, in their own words

A margin of safety means paying a discount deep enough that being wrong about what a company is worth still leaves you whole.

  1. Bill Ackman Founder and chief executive of Pershing Square Capital Management You want to buy a company at a price that if you're wrong about what you think it's worth and it turns out to be worth 30% less, you paid a deep enough discount to your estimate that you're still okay. A big part of investing is not losing money. Bill Ackman: Investing, Financial Battles, Harvard, DEI, X & Free Speech | Lex Fridman Podcast #413youtube.com · 20 Feb 2024 · 0:07:12 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    You want to buy a company at a price that if you're wrong about what you think it's worth and it turns out to be worth 30% less, you paid a deep enough discount to your estimate that you're still okay. A big part of investing is not losing money.

Bold risk-taking and conservative paranoia can work together, as when Gates pursued an audacious vision while wanting a year of payroll in cash, combining getting rich with staying rich.

  1. Morgan Housel Partner at Collaborative Fund and author of The Psychology of Money the example that I always use is Bill Gates when he started Microsoft took the most audacious entrepreneurial swing that maybe anyone's ever taken of saying every desk in the world needs a computer on this and he's saying this in 1974 whatever it was crazy amount of risk crazy bold Vision at the same time he said that he always wanted Microsoft to have enough cash in the bank to make payroll for one year with no Revenue which is the most conservative pessimistic way to run a business so he's like very risk-taking and very conservative paranoid at the same time very good at getting rich very good at staying Rich at the same time Morgan Housel: What You Need to Master (And Avoid) to Get Rich, Stay Rich, and Build Wealthyoutube.com · 28 May 2024 · 0:48:15 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    the example that I always use is Bill Gates when he started Microsoft took the most audacious entrepreneurial swing that maybe anyone's ever taken of saying every desk in the world needs a computer on this and he's saying this in 1974 whatever it was crazy amount of risk crazy bold Vision at the same time he said that he always wanted Microsoft to have enough cash in the bank to make payroll for one year with no Revenue which is the most conservative pessimistic way to run a business so he's like very risk-taking and very conservative paranoid at the same time very good at getting rich very good at staying Rich at the same time

Risk is best defined as whatever could keep a person from their own goals, so stock-market volatility is a risk for a day trader and not for someone retiring in fifty years.

  1. Morgan Housel Partner at Collaborative Fund and author of The Psychology of Money I think broadly it's anything that's going to prevent you from achieving the goals that you want that's a a very basic answer but I think that's what it is and the reason that's important is because take volatility in the stock market is that risk well it could be if you're a day trader then yes if the market goes down tomorrow that's a risk for you if you're in if you're going to retire in 50 years it's not whatsoever Morgan Housel: What You Need to Master (And Avoid) to Get Rich, Stay Rich, and Build Wealthyoutube.com · 28 May 2024 · 0:46:30 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    I think broadly it's anything that's going to prevent you from achieving the goals that you want that's a a very basic answer but I think that's what it is and the reason that's important is because take volatility in the stock market is that risk well it could be if you're a day trader then yes if the market goes down tomorrow that's a risk for you if you're in if you're going to retire in 50 years it's not whatsoever

Surprise usually comes from something that has not happened in one's own lifetime but did happen before, so it is not seen or thought about.

  1. Ray Dalio Founder of Bridgewater Associates whenever I was surprised and I think whenever most people it's surprised it's because of something that never happened in their lifetime before but it happened before so it doesn't happen in their context but it happens so you don't see it so you don't think about it Ray Dalio: Principles for a Life Well Lived | Knowledge Project Podcast Archiveyoutube.com · 27 Sept 2022 · 0:14:17 into the videoAll korrents from this video
    whenever I was surprised and I think whenever most people it's surprised it's because of something that never happened in their lifetime before but it happened before so it doesn't happen in their context but it happens so you don't see it so you don't think about it

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