Agents will take a decade rather than a year, because today's models are cognitively lacking in too many independent ways at once.

Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla

So like they don't have enough intelligence. They're not multimodal enough. They can't do computer use and all this kind of stuff. And they don't do a lot of things. You know, they don't have continual learning. You can't just tell them something and they'll remember it. And they're just cognitively lacking. And it's just not working. And I just think that it will take about a decade to work through all of those issues.