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← Agents will take a decade rather than a year, because today's models…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments on record from 7 Sept 2008 to 31 Aug 2026.
Everything filed under AI and human skill
AI and human skill
Everything filed under writing
writing
Everything filed under AI writing
AI writing
Everything filed under AI agents
AI agents Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Agents will take a decade rather than a year, because today's models are cognitively lacking in too many independent ways at once. Agents will take a decade rather than a year, because today's models are cognitively lacking in too many independent ways at once. Last stated 11 months ago
17 Oct 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Agents can already be run for days or weeks on a single hard problem, and almost nobody has internalised that. — tap to centre the map on it Agents can already be run for days or weeks on a single hard problem, and almost nobody has internalised that. Last stated a month ago
30 Jul 2026
JD
Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A future where agents run and improve an organisation is impossible unless humans can first see and understand the system themselves. — tap to centre the map on it A future where agents run and improve an organisation is impossible unless humans can first see and understand the system themselves. Last stated 6 months ago
22 Mar 2026
NF
Nicole Forsgren — holds since 2026-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Within a couple of decades there will not be many people who can write, because AI has removed the pressure to learn. — tap to centre the map on it Within a couple of decades there will not be many people who can write, because AI has removed the pressure to learn. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Oct 2024
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2024-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Long-running agents fail because they drift off the distribution they were trained on, and degrade further the farther out they get. — tap to centre the map on it Long-running agents fail because they drift off the distribution they were trained on, and degrade further the farther out they get. Last stated a month ago
30 Jul 2026
JD
Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Continual learning will probably be solved within a year or two, but the trillions of dollars do not depend on solving it. — tap to centre the map on it Continual learning will probably be solved within a year or two, but the trillions of dollars do not depend on solving it. Last stated 7 months ago
13 Feb 2026
DA
Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Computer-use agents had to wait for language models: without pre-trained representations the reward is too sparse to ever learn from. — tap to centre the map on it Computer-use agents had to wait for language models: without pre-trained representations the reward is too sparse to ever learn from. Last stated 11 months ago
17 Oct 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: It is good that the agents-talking-to-agents scare happened in 2026 rather than in 2030, when AI could actually be scary enough to warrant it. — tap to centre the map on it It is good that the agents-talking-to-agents scare happened in 2026 rather than in 2030, when AI could actually be scary enough to warrant it. Last stated 7 months ago
12 Feb 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI can be a shortcut around thinking or a way of thinking more rigorously, and for your core job function only the second one is wanted. — tap to centre the map on it AI can be a shortcut around thinking or a way of thinking more rigorously, and for your core job function only the second one is wanted. Last stated 4 weeks ago
12 Aug 2026
CM
Charity Majors — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI should be treated as an instrument to play rather than a tool to use, because there is no purpose to better machines if they do not also produce better humans. — tap to centre the map on it AI should be treated as an instrument to play rather than a tool to use, because there is no purpose to better machines if they do not also produce better humans. Last stated 11 months ago
20 Oct 2025
FC
Frank Chimero — holds since 2025-10-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Heavy AI use erodes understanding first and judgement second: cognitive debt turns into cognitive surrender, where the model's answer simply becomes your answer. — tap to centre the map on it Heavy AI use erodes understanding first and judgement second: cognitive debt turns into cognitive surrender, where the model's answer simply becomes your answer. Last stated 3 weeks ago
19 Aug 2026
AO
Addy Osmani — holds since 2026-08-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A browser that answers with generated prose instead of links is not a web browser but an anti-web browser, and it hides that substitution from the person using it. — tap to centre the map on it A browser that answers with generated prose instead of links is not a web browser but an anti-web browser, and it hides that substitution from the person using it. Last stated 11 months ago
22 Oct 2025
AD
Anil Dash — holds since 2025-10-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A first draft should not be graded good or bad; it is only the material that taste then gets to act on. — tap to centre the map on it A first draft should not be graded good or bad; it is only the material that taste then gets to act on. Last stated a month ago
6 Aug 2026
GS
George Saunders — holds since 2026-08-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A plain text file and a basic editor are everything anyone needs in order to think and write well; the extra tools add nothing. — tap to centre the map on it A plain text file and a basic editor are everything anyone needs in order to think and write well; the extra tools add nothing. Last stated 5 years ago
2 Mar 2022
DS
Derek Sivers — holds since 2022-03-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent. — tap to centre the map on it A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent. Last stated 2 months ago
30 Jun 2026
GS
Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI-generated writing tends to repeat the same themes, names, and underlying ideas across different outputs. — tap to centre the map on it AI-generated writing tends to repeat the same themes, names, and underlying ideas across different outputs. Last stated a week ago
31 Aug 2026
EM
Ethan Mollick — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI-written code makes formal proof necessary, because human review of all that generated code becomes the bottleneck. — tap to centre the map on it AI-written code makes formal proof necessary, because human review of all that generated code becomes the bottleneck. Last stated 5 months ago
22 Apr 2026
MK
Martin Kleppmann — holds since 2026-04-22 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Agents will take a decade rather than a year, because today's models are cognitively lacking in too many independent ways at once.
Holds Read this korrent →
Agents can already be run for days or weeks on a single hard problem, and almost nobody has internalised that.
Holds JD Jeff Dean
A future where agents run and improve an organisation is impossible unless humans can first see and understand the system themselves.
Holds NF Nicole Forsgren
Within a couple of decades there will not be many people who can write, because AI has removed the pressure to learn.
Holds
Long-running agents fail because they drift off the distribution they were trained on, and degrade further the farther out they get.
Holds JD Jeff Dean
Continual learning will probably be solved within a year or two, but the trillions of dollars do not depend on solving it.
Holds DA Dario Amodei
Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival.
No longer holds SA Scott Aaronson
Computer-use agents had to wait for language models: without pre-trained representations the reward is too sparse to ever learn from.
Holds
It is good that the agents-talking-to-agents scare happened in 2026 rather than in 2030, when AI could actually be scary enough to warrant it.
Holds
AI can be a shortcut around thinking or a way of thinking more rigorously, and for your core job function only the second one is wanted.
Holds CM Charity Majors
AI should be treated as an instrument to play rather than a tool to use, because there is no purpose to better machines if they do not also produce better humans.
Holds FC Frank Chimero
Heavy AI use erodes understanding first and judgement second: cognitive debt turns into cognitive surrender, where the model's answer simply becomes your answer.
Holds AO Addy Osmani
A browser that answers with generated prose instead of links is not a web browser but an anti-web browser, and it hides that substitution from the person using it.
Holds AD Anil Dash
A first draft should not be graded good or bad; it is only the material that taste then gets to act on.
Holds GS George Saunders
A plain text file and a basic editor are everything anyone needs in order to think and write well; the extra tools add nothing.
Holds
A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent.
Holds GS Grant Sanderson
AI-generated writing tends to repeat the same themes, names, and underlying ideas across different outputs.
Holds EM Ethan Mollick
AI-written code makes formal proof necessary, because human review of all that generated code becomes the bottleneck.
Holds MK Martin Kleppmann