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← "Return on tokens" has the same measurement problems as hours and capacity: it still hinges on a theory of value.

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 18 Mar 2024 to 23 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under market efficiency market efficiency Everything filed under OpenAI OpenAI Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under infrastructure infrastructure Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: "Return on tokens" has the same measurement problems as hours and capacity: it still hinges on a theory of value. "Return on tokens" has the samemeasurement problems as hours andcapacity: it still hinges on a theory ofvalue. Last stated 2 months ago 17 Aug 2026 JC John Cutler — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: Not every token is worth the same amount, so AI will be sold by results and by the hour as well as by the token. — tap to centre the map on it Not every token is worth the sameamount, so AI will be sold byresults and by the hour as well asby the token. Last stated 9 months ago 13 Feb 2026 DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Even the most advanced AI cannot be followed blindly in investing, where value added is zero-sum and what is widely known is therefore worth little. — tap to centre the map on it Even the most advanced AI cannot befollowed blindly in investing, wherevalue added is zero-sum and what iswidely known is therefore worthlittle. Last stated 5 months ago 10 Jun 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-06-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: If AI can build the new theory that crystallises how to think about a subject, it would be surprising if that capability did not spill into the rest of the economy. — tap to centre the map on it If AI can build the new theory thatcrystallises how to think about asubject, it would be surprising ifthat capability did not spill intothe rest of the economy. Last stated 4 months ago 30 Jun 2026 GS Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI's business results are lagging because organisations have a low tolerance for non-determinism, not because the models are not good enough. — tap to centre the map on it AI's business results are laggingbecause organisations have a lowtolerance for non-determinism, notbecause the models are not goodenough. Last stated 8 months ago 11 Mar 2026 SY Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: The economics of AI infrastructure are backwards: the spending is increasingly locked in while the revenue needed to justify it is still uncertain. — tap to centre the map on it The economics of AI infrastructureare backwards: the spending isincreasingly locked in while therevenue needed to justify it isstill uncertain. Last stated a week ago 23 Oct 2026 PK Paul Kedrosky — holds since 2026-10-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI cannot get a product to the quality bar on its own, because it still works in the realm of averages. — tap to centre the map on it AI cannot get a product to thequality bar on its own, because itstill works in the realm ofaverages. Last stated a year ago 16 Oct 2025 DF Dylan Field — holds since 2025-10-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: An AI as good as a top researcher will not be priced like one, because it competes against the other labs rather than against humans. — tap to centre the map on it An AI as good as a top researcherwill not be priced like one, becauseit competes against the other labsrather than against humans. Last stated a year ago 15 Aug 2025 CH Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-08-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Tokens are not the true unit of AI inference, because better models yield more problem-solving per token. — tap to centre the map on it Tokens are not the true unit of AIinference, because better modelsyield more problem-solving pertoken. Last stated 2 months ago 15 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that deviates from open standards in its data exports without documenting the deviation creates an artificial vendor lock-in. — tap to centre the map on it A company that deviates from openstandards in its data exportswithout documenting the deviationcreates an artificial vendorlock-in. Last stated 2 years ago 3 Mar 2025 TS Tobias Sjösten — holds since 2025-03-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A dominant company's lead in market share compounds over time and becomes harder for competitors to close, especially in technology. — tap to centre the map on it A dominant company's lead in marketshare compounds over time andbecomes harder for competitors toclose, especially in technology. Last stated a month ago 22 Sept 2026 BR Barry Ritholtz — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A sophisticated economy cannot be centrally planned, because planning removes the price signal that carries information about demand. — tap to centre the map on it A sophisticated economy cannot becentrally planned, because planningremoves the price signal thatcarries information about demand. Last stated a year ago 2 Sept 2025 BE Benedict Evans — holds since 2025-09-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: A PHP vulnerability found with GPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc this week. — tap to centre the map on it A PHP vulnerability found withGPT-5.6 Sol will cause havoc thisweek. Last stated a week ago 21 Oct 2026 PS Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-10-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as anonprofit and bolt a for-profit armon later, whatever OpenAI's ownhistory suggests. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it Advertising was a necessary phasefor the internet but a momentaryindustry, and an AI people pay foris better because they know theanswers are not influenced byadvertisers. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. — tap to centre the map on it "Scaling" was powerful because itwas one word: naming a researchdirection is what tells a wholefield what to do next. Last stated 11 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 8 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are
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At the centre "Return on tokens" has the same measurement problems as hours and capacity: it still hinges on a theory of value. Last stated 17 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago Holds John Cutler Read this korrent →