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← When assessing an economy's trajectory, current performance signals…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments on record from 28 Oct 2011 to 4 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under management
management
Everything filed under America
America
Everything filed under Europe
Europe
Everything filed under China
China
Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs
Everything filed under value investing
value investing Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: When assessing an economy's trajectory, current performance signals are more useful than forecasts of potential GDP growth. When assessing an economy's trajectory, current performance signals are more useful than forecasts of potential GDP growth. Last stated a year ago
13 Aug 2025
AB
Andrew Batson — holds since 2025-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: China faces a genuine, sizable output gap right now, not just a lower structural growth ceiling. — tap to centre the map on it China faces a genuine, sizable output gap right now, not just a lower structural growth ceiling. Last stated a year ago
13 Aug 2025
AB
Andrew Batson — holds since 2025-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Official forecasts consistently underestimate the pace of real-world change, with reality outperforming conservative predictions. — tap to centre the map on it Official forecasts consistently underestimate the pace of real-world change, with reality outperforming conservative predictions. Last stated 2 years ago
9 Dec 2024
NB
Nat Bullard — holds since 2024-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A declining manufacturing share of GDP as an economy matures reflects economic success rather than decline. — tap to centre the map on it A declining manufacturing share of GDP as an economy matures reflects economic success rather than decline. Last stated 10 months ago
23 Nov 2025
AB
Andrew Batson — holds since 2025-11-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science. — tap to centre the map on it Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science. Last stated a year ago
21 Sept 2025
JZ
Julie Zhuo — holds since 2025-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear theory of change than on analytical skill alone. — tap to centre the map on it Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear theory of change than on analytical skill alone. Last stated 2 years ago
9 Dec 2024
NB
Nat Bullard — holds since 2024-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Individual economists' forecasts about AI and the labour market are close to worthless, and aggregated forecasts from prediction markets should replace them. — tap to centre the map on it Individual economists' forecasts about AI and the labour market are close to worthless, and aggregated forecasts from prediction markets should replace them. Last stated 4 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The track record of thoughtful people predicting the long-run future is mediocre rather than hopeless, which is enough to take such predictions seriously. — tap to centre the map on it The track record of thoughtful people predicting the long-run future is mediocre rather than hopeless, which is enough to take such predictions seriously. Last stated 4 years ago
30 Jun 2022
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2022-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The value-versus-growth distinction does not serve investors well in a fast-changing world. — tap to centre the map on it The value-versus-growth distinction does not serve investors well in a fast-changing world. Last stated 6 years ago
11 Jan 2021
HM
Howard Marks — holds since 2021-01-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role. — tap to centre the map on it "Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role. Last stated 2 years ago
17 Dec 2024
CM
Charity Majors — holds since 2024-12-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A career goes better attached to the part of a business that brings the money in than to a cost centre, whatever the work itself is. — tap to centre the map on it A career goes better attached to the part of a business that brings the money in than to a cost centre, whatever the work itself is. Last stated 15 years ago
28 Oct 2011
PM
Patrick McKenzie — holds since 2011-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A career ladder must not be a checklist that guarantees promotion, because a promotion depends on the organisation’s needs as much as on the employee’s skills. — tap to centre the map on it A career ladder must not be a checklist that guarantees promotion, because a promotion depends on the organisation’s needs as much as on the employee’s skills. Last stated a year ago
28 May 2025
CF
Camille Fournier — holds since 2025-05-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A century of fire suppression policy in the American West has dangerously overloaded forests with fuel and made megafires more likely. — tap to centre the map on it A century of fire suppression policy in the American West has dangerously overloaded forests with fuel and made megafires more likely. Last stated 4 weeks ago
22 Aug 2026
JP
Jennifer Pahlka — holds since 2026-08-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A city's first rail line comes in at a reasonable cost and every line after it does not, because the follow-up outgrows the in-house team that oversaw the pilot. — tap to centre the map on it A city's first rail line comes in at a reasonable cost and every line after it does not, because the follow-up outgrows the in-house team that oversaw the pilot. Last stated 2 years ago
7 Dec 2024
AL
Alon Levy — holds since 2024-12-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A conspiracy theory can be used as a pretext to dismantle government programs and target researchers and citizens. — tap to centre the map on it A conspiracy theory can be used as a pretext to dismantle government programs and target researchers and citizens. Last stated 2 weeks ago
4 Sept 2026
AA
Anne Applebaum — holds since 2026-09-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work. — tap to centre the map on it A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work. Last stated a month ago
7 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done. — tap to centre the map on it A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done. Last stated 5 years ago
28 Jan 2022
BD
Bret Devereaux — holds since 2022-01-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it. — tap to centre the map on it A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it. Last stated a year ago
10 Sept 2025
UL
Ursula von der Leyen — holds since 2025-09-10 — tap for who they are
At the centre
When assessing an economy's trajectory, current performance signals are more useful than forecasts of potential GDP growth.
Holds Read this korrent →
China faces a genuine, sizable output gap right now, not just a lower structural growth ceiling.
Holds
Official forecasts consistently underestimate the pace of real-world change, with reality outperforming conservative predictions.
Holds
A declining manufacturing share of GDP as an economy matures reflects economic success rather than decline.
Holds
Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science.
Holds
Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear theory of change than on analytical skill alone.
Holds
Individual economists' forecasts about AI and the labour market are close to worthless, and aggregated forecasts from prediction markets should replace them.
Holds
The track record of thoughtful people predicting the long-run future is mediocre rather than hopeless, which is enough to take such predictions seriously.
Holds
The value-versus-growth distinction does not serve investors well in a fast-changing world.
Holds
"Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role.
Holds
A career goes better attached to the part of a business that brings the money in than to a cost centre, whatever the work itself is.
Holds
A career ladder must not be a checklist that guarantees promotion, because a promotion depends on the organisation’s needs as much as on the employee’s skills.
Holds
A century of fire suppression policy in the American West has dangerously overloaded forests with fuel and made megafires more likely.
Holds
A city's first rail line comes in at a reasonable cost and every line after it does not, because the follow-up outgrows the in-house team that oversaw the pilot.
Holds
A conspiracy theory can be used as a pretext to dismantle government programs and target researchers and citizens.
Holds
A company doing something at the edge of the Overton window has to hold two cultures at once — the true believers and the serious professionals who think they are crazy — and integrating them is what makes it work.
Holds
A heavily centralised state is the most fragile kind: when Rome’s centre failed, its successors were left without the resources or administration to do what it had done.
Holds
A new world order based on raw power is being drawn right now, and Europe has to fight for its place in it.
Holds