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← Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments on record from 8 Nov 2011 to 15 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under ambition
ambition
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under measuring intelligence
measuring intelligence
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under metascience
metascience
Everything filed under design
design Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear theory of change than on analytical skill alone. Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear theory of change than on analytical skill alone. Last stated 2 years ago
9 Dec 2024
NB
Nat Bullard — holds since 2024-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake. — tap to centre the map on it We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As much as possible, one should avoid predicting the future and instead wait for it to become the present and reveal what is actually needed. — tap to centre the map on it As much as possible, one should avoid predicting the future and instead wait for it to become the present and reveal what is actually needed. Last stated a year ago
14 May 2025
DS
Derek Sivers — holds since 2025-05-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When assessing an economy's trajectory, current performance signals are more useful than forecasts of potential GDP growth. — tap to centre the map on it When assessing an economy's trajectory, current performance signals are more useful than forecasts of potential GDP growth. Last stated a year ago
13 Aug 2025
AB
Andrew Batson — holds since 2025-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: LLM intelligence should not be understood through an animal analogy; it is a different kind of entity altogether — tap to centre the map on it LLM intelligence should not be understood through an animal analogy; it is a different kind of entity altogether Last stated 9 months ago
19 Dec 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-12-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: If AI can build the new theory that crystallises how to think about a subject, it would be surprising if that capability did not spill into the rest of the economy. — tap to centre the map on it If AI can build the new theory that crystallises how to think about a subject, it would be surprising if that capability did not spill into the rest of the economy. Last stated 3 months ago
30 Jun 2026
GS
Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: How science works can be reasoned about in advance, because the activity has invariants that do not change over time. — tap to centre the map on it How science works can be reasoned about in advance, because the activity has invariants that do not change over time. Last stated 5 years ago
17 Mar 2022
JR
José Luis Ricón — holds since 2022-03-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The future of interaction is a choice, not something that happens to us: people choose which visions to pursue and which research to fund. — tap to centre the map on it The future of interaction is a choice, not something that happens to us: people choose which visions to pursue and which research to fund. Last stated 15 years ago
8 Nov 2011
BV
Bret Victor — holds since 2011-11-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Creativity consists of curiosity combined with the foresight to imagine what a new combination of ideas could produce. — tap to centre the map on it Creativity consists of curiosity combined with the foresight to imagine what a new combination of ideas could produce. Last stated 6 years ago
15 Aug 2020
MT
Ming Thein — holds since 2020-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. — tap to centre the map on it "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. Last stated 8 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it. — tap to centre the map on it A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it. Last stated a year ago
23 Mar 2025
RV
Rahul Vohra — holds since 2025-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. Last stated 9 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JL
Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. Last stated 2 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved. — tap to centre the map on it A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved. Last stated a month ago
10 Aug 2026
FL
Fei-Fei Li — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject. — tap to centre the map on it A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject. Last stated a year ago
10 Jun 2025
SH
Samuel Hammond — holds since 2025-06-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A unit of AI inference needs to be defined, for example via a chain of increasingly hard problems where each consecutive pair is solvable by one model. — tap to centre the map on it A unit of AI inference needs to be defined, for example via a chain of increasingly hard problems where each consecutive pair is solvable by one model. Last stated 6 days ago
15 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. Last stated 7 years ago
5 Nov 2019
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear theory of change than on analytical skill alone.
Holds Read this korrent →
We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake.
Holds
As much as possible, one should avoid predicting the future and instead wait for it to become the present and reveal what is actually needed.
Holds
When assessing an economy's trajectory, current performance signals are more useful than forecasts of potential GDP growth.
Holds
LLM intelligence should not be understood through an animal analogy; it is a different kind of entity altogether
Holds
If AI can build the new theory that crystallises how to think about a subject, it would be surprising if that capability did not spill into the rest of the economy.
Holds
How science works can be reasoned about in advance, because the activity has invariants that do not change over time.
Holds
The future of interaction is a choice, not something that happens to us: people choose which visions to pursue and which research to fund.
Holds
Creativity consists of curiosity combined with the foresight to imagine what a new combination of ideas could produce.
Holds
"If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company.
Holds
A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us.
Holds
A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it.
Holds
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Holds
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Holds
A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved.
Holds
A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject.
Holds
A unit of AI inference needs to be defined, for example via a chain of increasingly hard problems where each consecutive pair is solvable by one model.
Holds
Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect.
Holds