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Nat Bullard

Nat Bullard

@nat-bullard · 13 positions · 0 changes of mind

Energy and decarbonisation analyst; publishes an annual chart deck on the state of the transition, and was chief content officer at BloombergNEF.

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  1. Extrapolating from the present day into the near future is highly dependent upon how we measure the present day.

    Growth Measurementsnathanielbullard.com 1st of 3 in this piece

  2. solarenergy

    Shoulder generation (in late summer) of any given year is generally a higher share of global electricity demand than the peak generation (spring) of the year prior.

    Growth Measurementsnathanielbullard.com 2nd of 3 in this piece

  3. there are dozens more assets like this under development right now, all deserving clarity rather than opacity.

    Growth Measurementsnathanielbullard.com 3rd of 3 in this piece

  4. 5 weeks earlier
  5. a juddering, jarring trade motion is not the stuff of which durable industrial decision-making is made.

    Traveler’s Talesnathanielbullard.com 1st of 2 in this piece

  6. solarenergy

    this technology, consistently underestimated, now adds more capacity to the global grid than anything ever and will soon add more power in any given year than anything ever as well.

    Traveler’s Talesnathanielbullard.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  7. 3 weeks earlier
  8. energy

    Electrification is not just a change of energetic inputs; it's a process shift through and across industries.

    Programming Notesnathanielbullard.com 1st of 2 in this piece

  9. energy

    there is no such thing as a high-income, low-electricity economy.

    Programming Notesnathanielbullard.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  10. 3 weeks earlier
  11. energytariffs

    But, tariffs are unavoidable, even within the ringfence that is US energy trade, and even within electricity trade more specifically.

    Tariff Stochasticitynathanielbullard.com 1st of 2 in this piece

  12. tariffs

    The short, and very much un-sweet, vision of a tariff-bound economy is that it is stochastic. We can observe it, measure it, analyze it, but we cannot really predict it.

    Tariff Stochasticitynathanielbullard.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  13. 4 months earlier
  14. I do not believe that analytical skills are the missing ingredient in thinking about the future. Rather, I believe that imagination about the future and a theory of change that helps to describe it clearly, are what is needed to look ahead in a more compelling way.

    AI data and Theories of Changenathanielbullard.com 1st of 2 in this piece

  15. Until we develop better ways to bridge this gap - aligning what analysts understand with what is formally forecast - we'll continue to see the same pattern: reality consistently outperforming conservative predictions.

    AI data and Theories of Changenathanielbullard.com 2nd of 2 in this piece

  16. 3 months earlier
  17. Neither condition is now true, but plug-in hybrids are thriving.

    Inflecting and Overtaking, SunPower, Waymonathanielbullard.com 1st of 2 in this piece

  18. self-driving cars

    I found it to be a superior experience to a human driver, for a few key reasons.

    Inflecting and Overtaking, SunPower, Waymonathanielbullard.com 2nd of 2 in this piece