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← People tend to think they understand the future better than they actually do
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 28 Oct 2011 to 27 Sept 2026.
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attitude change
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behavioural science
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management
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curiosity Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: People tend to think they understand the future better than they actually do People tend to think they understand the future better than they actually do Last stated 4 years ago
3 Mar 2023
MM
Michael Mauboussin — holds since 2023-03-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People tend to overestimate their own talent and underestimate the structural advantages that amplify their success. — tap to centre the map on it People tend to overestimate their own talent and underestimate the structural advantages that amplify their success. Last stated 2 months ago
13 Aug 2026
HF
Henry Farrell — holds since 2026-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The future will be defined by people who learn, not people who know. — tap to centre the map on it The future will be defined by people who learn, not people who know. Last stated 6 days ago
27 Sept 2026
MG
Molly Graham — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Many highly intelligent people tend to be insecure and risk-averse. — tap to centre the map on it Many highly intelligent people tend to be insecure and risk-averse. Last stated 5 years ago
22 Feb 2022
NN
Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Smart people tend to over-value optionality and under-value commitment. — tap to centre the map on it Smart people tend to over-value optionality and under-value commitment. Last stated 4 years ago
6 Jul 2022
AH
Auren Hoffman — holds since 2022-07-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People may underrate the power of intuition and of deciding what they want the future to be. — tap to centre the map on it People may underrate the power of intuition and of deciding what they want the future to be. Last stated a month ago
30 Aug 2026
TS
Tara Seshan — holds since 2026-08-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People tend to unconsciously overestimate how much they personally contribute to shared work compared to others. — tap to centre the map on it People tend to unconsciously overestimate how much they personally contribute to shared work compared to others. Last stated 2 months ago
23 Jul 2026
GR
Gretchen Rubin — holds since 2026-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. — tap to centre the map on it Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. Last stated 5 years ago
22 Feb 2022
NN
Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People tend to overestimate their own contributions to collaborative work. — tap to centre the map on it People tend to overestimate their own contributions to collaborative work. Last stated 7 years ago
30 May 2019
CO
Christopher Olah — holds since 2019-05-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. — tap to centre the map on it A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. Last stated 3 years ago
10 Jan 2024
CH
Cate Hall — holds since 2024-01-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. — tap to centre the map on it A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jun 2024
AS
Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A habit only survives difficulty if the person enjoys it, which makes enjoyment a better predictor of persistence than discipline. — tap to centre the map on it A habit only survives difficulty if the person enjoys it, which makes enjoyment a better predictor of persistence than discipline. Last stated 9 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JC
James Clear — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today. — tap to centre the map on it Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today. Last stated 3 weeks ago
12 Sept 2026
PF
Paul Ford — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike. — tap to centre the map on it Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike. Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Ideas that first circulate in private group chats often become mainstream public opinion. — tap to centre the map on it Ideas that first circulate in private group chats often become mainstream public opinion. Last stated 2 years ago
19 May 2024
SK
Sriram Krishnan — holds since 2024-05-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role. — tap to centre the map on it "Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role. Last stated 2 years ago
17 Dec 2024
CM
Charity Majors — holds since 2024-12-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A career goes better attached to the part of a business that brings the money in than to a cost centre, whatever the work itself is. — tap to centre the map on it A career goes better attached to the part of a business that brings the money in than to a cost centre, whatever the work itself is. Last stated 15 years ago
28 Oct 2011
PM
Patrick McKenzie — holds since 2011-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A career ladder must not be a checklist that guarantees promotion, because a promotion depends on the organisation’s needs as much as on the employee’s skills. — tap to centre the map on it A career ladder must not be a checklist that guarantees promotion, because a promotion depends on the organisation’s needs as much as on the employee’s skills. Last stated a year ago
28 May 2025
CF
Camille Fournier — holds since 2025-05-28 — tap for who they are