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← Strong intuitions that seem clear lack a way of calibrating, which…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 15 Jun 2012 to 12 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
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humility
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attitude change
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motivation
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curiosity Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Strong intuitions that seem clear lack a way of calibrating, which makes people wildly overconfident about what they know and reluctant to accept they may be wrong. Strong intuitions that seem clear lack a way of calibrating, which makes people wildly overconfident about what they know and reluctant to accept they may be wrong. Last stated 7 years ago
12 Oct 2019
DK
Daniel Kahneman — holds since 2019-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People may underrate the power of intuition and of deciding what they want the future to be. — tap to centre the map on it People may underrate the power of intuition and of deciding what they want the future to be. Last stated a month ago
30 Aug 2026
TS
Tara Seshan — holds since 2026-08-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People tend to think they understand the future better than they actually do — tap to centre the map on it People tend to think they understand the future better than they actually do Last stated 4 years ago
3 Mar 2023
MM
Michael Mauboussin — holds since 2023-03-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People tend to overestimate their own talent and underestimate the structural advantages that amplify their success. — tap to centre the map on it People tend to overestimate their own talent and underestimate the structural advantages that amplify their success. Last stated 2 months ago
13 Aug 2026
HF
Henry Farrell — holds since 2026-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A large fraction of what the people around you believe is mistaken, and nobody is going to teach you to think for yourself. — tap to centre the map on it A large fraction of what the people around you believe is mistaken, and nobody is going to teach you to think for yourself. Last stated 8 years ago
by 5 Jul 2018
PC
Patrick Collison — holds since 2018-07-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Resisting the discomfort of not knowing leads people to jump to conclusions or decide before they have enough information. — tap to centre the map on it Resisting the discomfort of not knowing leads people to jump to conclusions or decide before they have enough information. Last stated 2 years ago
2 Apr 2025
KN
Ken Norton — holds since 2025-04-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Delaying intuition until each dimension has been assessed separately and a whole profile exists tends to give a better judgment, because rapid intuitions are not particularly good. — tap to centre the map on it Delaying intuition until each dimension has been assessed separately and a whole profile exists tends to give a better judgment, because rapid intuitions are not particularly good. Last stated 7 years ago
12 Oct 2019
DK
Daniel Kahneman — holds since 2019-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Our minds have poor intuitions about what will improve our mood. — tap to centre the map on it Our minds have poor intuitions about what will improve our mood. Last stated 6 years ago
8 Jan 2021
LS
Laurie Santos — holds since 2021-01-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Even when advice is understood and believed, people discount it by assuming their own case is the exception. — tap to centre the map on it Even when advice is understood and believed, people discount it by assuming their own case is the exception. Last stated 4 years ago
14 Mar 2023
AM
Adam Mastroianni — holds since 2023-03-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A CEO grading themselves a failure for their mistakes does not help; every CEO makes thousands of mistakes — tap to centre the map on it A CEO grading themselves a failure for their mistakes does not help; every CEO makes thousands of mistakes Last stated 14 years ago
15 Jun 2012
BH
Ben Horowitz — holds since 2012-06-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A designer's assumption about where a component belongs is a personal assumption and does not mean that the market or the users will react to the component that way. — tap to centre the map on it A designer's assumption about where a component belongs is a personal assumption and does not mean that the market or the users will react to the component that way. Last stated 6 months ago
2 Apr 2026
MS
Marvin Schwaibold — holds since 2026-04-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A designer's PRs should be very small and manageable if the designer is not comfortable reviewing or writing the code themselves. — tap to centre the map on it A designer's PRs should be very small and manageable if the designer is not comfortable reviewing or writing the code themselves. Last stated 4 months ago
26 May 2026
AM
Andy Madrick — holds since 2026-05-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being professionally offended by every little thing is no longer a dominant disposition — tap to centre the map on it Being professionally offended by every little thing is no longer a dominant disposition Last stated 2 years ago
6 Nov 2024
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-11-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today. — tap to centre the map on it Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today. Last stated 4 weeks ago
12 Sept 2026
PF
Paul Ford — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike. — tap to centre the map on it Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike. Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. — tap to centre the map on it A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. Last stated 3 years ago
10 Jan 2024
CH
Cate Hall — holds since 2024-01-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. — tap to centre the map on it A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jun 2024
AS
Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death — tap to centre the map on it A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death
TH
Thomas Hobbes — holds since c. 1651 — tap for who they are