Daniel Kahneman
Psychologist and Nobel laureate (1934 to 2024); shared the 2002 Nobel memorial prize in economic sciences for integrating psychological research into economics; with Amos Tversky, developed prospect theory and the study of heuristics and biases.
Everything they publish, on ppll ↗
Daniel Kahneman did not write this page.
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Their wordsThe confidence that people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence, it is not a judgment of the quality of the evidence but it is a judgment of the coherence of the story that the mind has managed to construct.
↗The Marvels and the Flaws of Intuitive Thinking: Edge Master Class 2011edge.org 1st of 2 in this piece
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Their wordsBut the subjective sense of confidence can be the same for intuition that arrives from expertise, and for intuitions that arise from heuristics, that arrives from substitution, and asking a different question.
↗The Marvels and the Flaws of Intuitive Thinking: Edge Master Class 2011edge.org 2nd of 2 in this piece
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Their wordsAs I understood clearly only when I taught statistics some years later, the idea that predictions should be less extreme than the information on which they are based is deeply counterintuitive.
↗Daniel Kahneman – Biographical, Part 2: Eulogy for Amos Tversky (June 5, 1996)nobelprize.org 1st of 6 in this piece
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Their wordsThe concept of loss aversion was, I believe, our most useful contribution to the study of decision making.
↗Daniel Kahneman – Biographical, Part 2: Eulogy for Amos Tversky (June 5, 1996)nobelprize.org 2nd of 6 in this piece
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Their wordsEvery discipline of social science, I believe, has some ritual tests of competence, which must be passed before a piece of work is considered worthy of attention. Such tests are necessary to prevent information overload, and they are also important aspects of the tribal life of the disciplines.
↗Daniel Kahneman – Biographical, Part 2: Eulogy for Amos Tversky (June 5, 1996)nobelprize.org 3rd of 6 in this piece
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Our reading
Which scientific writing gains lasting fame is decided by a strange and rather arbitrary process
Their wordsIt is a strange and rather arbitrary process that selects some pieces of scientific writing for relatively enduring fame while committing most of what is published to almost immediate oblivion.
↗Daniel Kahneman – Biographical, Part 2: Eulogy for Amos Tversky (June 5, 1996)nobelprize.org 4th of 6 in this piece
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Their wordsBoth as a participant and as a reader I have been appalled by the absurdly adversarial nature of these exchanges, in which hardly anyone ever admits an error or acknowledges learning anything from the other.
↗Daniel Kahneman – Biographical, Part 2: Eulogy for Amos Tversky (June 5, 1996)nobelprize.org 5th of 6 in this piece
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Their wordsPeople who make a difference do not die alone. Something dies in everyone who was affected by them.
↗Daniel Kahneman – Biographical, Part 2: Eulogy for Amos Tversky (June 5, 1996)nobelprize.org 6th of 6 in this piece
The line under a date fills as the words age, a quarter at a time: past a month, six months, a year, and three years. Empty means said within the last month; full, more than three years ago. It says when, not whether it still holds — a change of mind is marked on the claim itself.
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