Daniel Kahneman

@daniel-kahneman · 41 positions · On ppll ↗

Psychologist and Nobel laureate (1934 to 2024); shared the 2002 Nobel memorial prize in economic sciences for integrating psychological research into economics; with Amos Tversky, developed prospect theory and the study of heuristics and biases.

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What Daniel Kahneman says most about

behavioural science 14

The best prediction is always less extreme than the impression it is based on, but intuitive prediction is non-regressive and ignores regression to the mean.
Strong intuitions that seem clear lack a way of calibrating, which makes people wildly overconfident about what they know and reluctant to accept they may be wrong.

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humility 10

Strong intuitions that seem clear lack a way of calibrating, which makes people wildly overconfident about what they know and reluctant to accept they may be wrong.
Published evidence should not be accepted just because it is published, since things can be published even if they are not true.

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happiness 6

Happiness levels off past a certain income only for the least happy; among happier people it keeps rising with income, fastest for the happiest
The link between income and happiness is weak, even though it is statistically robust

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metascience 3

Published evidence should not be accepted just because it is published, since things can be published even if they are not true.
Social science disciplines use ritual tests of competence that screen work by form rather than substance

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management 2

A pre-mortem makes it possible to voice doubts when a group is nearing a decision, a point at which dissent is otherwise hard to raise.
Organizations are a better hope than individuals for improving judgment, because they think more slowly and have procedures that can be controlled, while individual judgment is really hard to fix.

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patience 2

A basic rule for better decisions is to slow down, especially when there is an immediate conviction.
Delaying intuition until each dimension has been assessed separately and a whole profile exists tends to give a better judgment, because rapid intuitions are not particularly good.

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