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← Imagined futures mislead when they leave out features that matter, and help when they represent the critical ones
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 8 Nov 2011 to 20 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under ambition
ambition
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robotics
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motivation
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creativity
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AI alignment
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design Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Imagined futures mislead when they leave out features that matter, and help when they represent the critical ones Imagined futures mislead when they leave out features that matter, and help when they represent the critical ones
DS
Daniel Schacter — holds since c. 2012 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear theory of change than on analytical skill alone. — tap to centre the map on it Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear theory of change than on analytical skill alone. Last stated 2 years ago
9 Dec 2024
NB
Nat Bullard — holds since 2024-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake. — tap to centre the map on it We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: If we live in a simulation, whoever is running it does not know how it ends, because nobody runs a simulation whose outcome they already know. — tap to centre the map on it If we live in a simulation, whoever is running it does not know how it ends, because nobody runs a simulation whose outcome they already know. Last stated 3 years ago
9 Nov 2023
EM
Elon Musk — holds since 2023-11-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Letting a robot imagine the next image helps, but it is not essential — the model was surprisingly good without it. — tap to centre the map on it Letting a robot imagine the next image helps, but it is not essential — the model was surprisingly good without it. Last stated 2 months ago
12 Aug 2026
CF
Chelsea Finn — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People tend to think they understand the future better than they actually do — tap to centre the map on it People tend to think they understand the future better than they actually do Last stated 4 years ago
3 Mar 2023
MM
Michael Mauboussin — holds since 2023-03-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Very few people have the blank-sheet creativity to imagine the future unencumbered by the present. — tap to centre the map on it Very few people have the blank-sheet creativity to imagine the future unencumbered by the present. Last stated 2 weeks ago
20 Sept 2026
PS
Peter Sellis — holds since 2026-09-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI agents pursuing a task can develop emergent, misaligned behavior that humans are not prepared for. — tap to centre the map on it AI agents pursuing a task can develop emergent, misaligned behavior that humans are not prepared for. Last stated 2 months ago
10 Aug 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The future of interaction is a choice, not something that happens to us: people choose which visions to pursue and which research to fund. — tap to centre the map on it The future of interaction is a choice, not something that happens to us: people choose which visions to pursue and which research to fund. Last stated 15 years ago
8 Nov 2011
BV
Bret Victor — holds since 2011-11-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. — tap to centre the map on it "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. Last stated 8 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it. — tap to centre the map on it A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it. Last stated 2 years ago
23 Mar 2025
RV
Rahul Vohra — holds since 2025-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A highly dynamic economy that cheaply mass-produces robots may increase rather than decrease the risk of Malthusian resource dilemmas. — tap to centre the map on it A highly dynamic economy that cheaply mass-produces robots may increase rather than decrease the risk of Malthusian resource dilemmas. Last stated 3 years ago
1 Oct 2023
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A humanoid robot is the wrong tool on a factory floor, because a machine specialised in the task beats it. — tap to centre the map on it A humanoid robot is the wrong tool on a factory floor, because a machine specialised in the task beats it. Last stated a year ago
6 Apr 2025
MH
Molson Hart — holds since 2025-04-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A physical AI agent has to be safe on day one, because you cannot ship something merely good enough and let users find the edge cases. — tap to centre the map on it A physical AI agent has to be safe on day one, because you cannot ship something merely good enough and let users find the edge cases. Last stated 2 months ago
3 Aug 2026
DD
Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. — tap to centre the map on it A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. Last stated 3 years ago
10 Jan 2024
CH
Cate Hall — holds since 2024-01-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. — tap to centre the map on it A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jun 2024
AS
Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A habit only survives difficulty if the person enjoys it, which makes enjoyment a better predictor of persistence than discipline. — tap to centre the map on it A habit only survives difficulty if the person enjoys it, which makes enjoyment a better predictor of persistence than discipline. Last stated 9 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JC
James Clear — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Imagined futures mislead when they leave out features that matter, and help when they represent the critical ones
Last stated c. 2012
Holds Read this korrent →
Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear theory of change than on analytical skill alone.
Holds
We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake.
Holds
If we live in a simulation, whoever is running it does not know how it ends, because nobody runs a simulation whose outcome they already know.
Holds
Letting a robot imagine the next image helps, but it is not essential — the model was surprisingly good without it.
Holds
People tend to think they understand the future better than they actually do
Holds
Very few people have the blank-sheet creativity to imagine the future unencumbered by the present.
Holds
AI agents pursuing a task can develop emergent, misaligned behavior that humans are not prepared for.
Holds
The future of interaction is a choice, not something that happens to us: people choose which visions to pursue and which research to fund.
Holds
"If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company.
Holds
A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us.
Holds
A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it.
Holds
A highly dynamic economy that cheaply mass-produces robots may increase rather than decrease the risk of Malthusian resource dilemmas.
Holds
A humanoid robot is the wrong tool on a factory floor, because a machine specialised in the task beats it.
Holds
A physical AI agent has to be safe on day one, because you cannot ship something merely good enough and let users find the edge cases.
Holds
A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out.
Holds
A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them.
Holds
A habit only survives difficulty if the person enjoys it, which makes enjoyment a better predictor of persistence than discipline.
Holds