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← We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the…
17 connected korrents · 13 moments from 14 Apr 2011 to 14 Oct 2026.
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Read this korrent: We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake.
We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake.
Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Whether anyone can actually do anything about how good the future is, rather than whether it matters, is the strongest objection to prioritising it. — tap to centre the map on it
Whether anyone can actually do anything about how good the future is, rather than whether it matters, is the strongest objection to prioritising it.
Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it
A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us.
Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Working on how good the long-run future is does not require accepting consequentialism or believing that you should always maximise the good. — tap to centre the map on it
Working on how good the long-run future is does not require accepting consequentialism or believing that you should always maximise the good.
Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: In a world where it's impossible to make purely moral decisions in everything we do, we should all recognize where we're making trade-offs and not try to paint ourselves as being purely logical. — tap to centre the map on it
In a world where it's impossible to make purely moral decisions in everything we do, we should all recognize where we're making trade-offs and not try to paint ourselves as being purely logical.
Last stated a week ago
14 Oct 2026
MB
Matt Birchler — holds since 2026-10-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear theory of change than on analytical skill alone. — tap to centre the map on it
Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear theory of change than on analytical skill alone.
Last stated 2 years ago
9 Dec 2024
NB
Nat Bullard — holds since 2024-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being told to be realistic about your ambitions is how ambitions fail; the boundaries people accept about what they can do are the ones that stop them. — tap to centre the map on it
Being told to be realistic about your ambitions is how ambitions fail; the boundaries people accept about what they can do are the ones that stop them.
Last stated 2 months ago
24 Aug 2026
MH
Masud Husain — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As much as possible, one should avoid predicting the future and instead wait for it to become the present and reveal what is actually needed. — tap to centre the map on it
As much as possible, one should avoid predicting the future and instead wait for it to become the present and reveal what is actually needed.
Last stated a year ago
14 May 2025
DS
Derek Sivers — holds since 2025-05-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The most consequential decisions about the shape of the future should not be made by a handful of AI labs. — tap to centre the map on it
The most consequential decisions about the shape of the future should not be made by a handful of AI labs.
Last stated 6 months ago
10 Apr 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-04-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. — tap to centre the map on it
A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out.
Last stated 3 years ago
10 Jan 2024
CH
Cate Hall — holds since 2024-01-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. — tap to centre the map on it
A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them.
Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jun 2024
AS
Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death — tap to centre the map on it
A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death
TH
Thomas Hobbes — holds since c. 1651 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business can use stewardship of a community publication as a top-of-funnel customer acquisition strategy without needing the publication itself to generate revenue directly. — tap to centre the map on it
A business can use stewardship of a community publication as a top-of-funnel customer acquisition strategy without needing the publication itself to generate revenue directly.
Last stated a month ago
21 Sept 2026
CC
Chris Coyier — holds since 2026-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A CEO can master both peacetime and wartime leadership, but it is hard — tap to centre the map on it
A CEO can master both peacetime and wartime leadership, but it is hard
Last stated 16 years ago
14 Apr 2011
BH
Ben Horowitz — holds since 2011-04-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company can produce a good commercial without a large budget — tap to centre the map on it
A company can produce a good commercial without a large budget
Last stated 4 years ago
21 Mar 2023
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2023-03-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: “Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now. — tap to centre the map on it
“Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now.
Last stated 3 months ago
28 Jul 2026
BS
Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. — tap to centre the map on it
A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero.
Last stated 3 months ago
28 Jul 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. — tap to centre the map on it
A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use.
Last stated 5 months ago
2 Jun 2026
JJ
Justin Jackson — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2011 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake.
Last stated 3 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds William MacAskill
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
Whether anyone can actually do anything about how good the future is, rather than whether it matters, is the strongest objection to prioritising it.
Last stated 3 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds William MacAskill
Similar wording
A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us.
Last stated 3 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds William MacAskill
Similar wording
Working on how good the long-run future is does not require accepting consequentialism or believing that you should always maximise the good.
Last stated 3 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds William MacAskill
Similar wording
In a world where it's impossible to make purely moral decisions in everything we do, we should all recognize where we're making trade-offs and not try to paint ourselves as being purely logical.
Last stated 14 Oct 2026 · a week ago
Holds Matt Birchler
Similar wording
Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear theory of change than on analytical skill alone.
Last stated 9 Dec 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Nat Bullard
Similar wording
Being told to be realistic about your ambitions is how ambitions fail; the boundaries people accept about what they can do are the ones that stop them.
Last stated 24 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Masud Husain
Similar wording
As much as possible, one should avoid predicting the future and instead wait for it to become the present and reveal what is actually needed.
Last stated 14 May 2025 · a year ago
Holds Derek Sivers
Similar wording
The most consequential decisions about the shape of the future should not be made by a handful of AI labs.
Last stated 10 Apr 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds Sam Altman
Same subject: motivation
A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out.
Last stated 10 Jan 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds Cate Hall
Same subject: motivation
A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them.
Last stated 19 Jun 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Aravind Srinivas
Same subject: motivation
A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death
Last stated c. 1651
Holds Thomas Hobbes
Same subject: agency
A business can use stewardship of a community publication as a top-of-funnel customer acquisition strategy without needing the publication itself to generate revenue directly.
Last stated 21 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Chris Coyier
Same subject: agency
A CEO can master both peacetime and wartime leadership, but it is hard
Last stated 14 Apr 2011 · 16 years ago
Holds Ben Horowitz
Same subject: agency
A company can produce a good commercial without a large budget
Last stated 21 Mar 2023 · 4 years ago
Holds David Heinemeier Hansson
Same subject: startups
“Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now.
Last stated 28 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Blake Scholl
Same subject: startups
A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero.
Last stated 28 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Sam Altman
Same subject: startups
A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use.
Last stated 2 Jun 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Justin Jackson