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← Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at,…

8 connected korrents · 10 moments on record from 15 Aug 2019 to 13 Jul 2026.

Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under Apple Apple Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science. Numbers offer a false precision:which metrics you choose to look at,and whether a five percent rise isgood, are both art rather thanscience. Last stated 12 months ago 21 Sept 2025 JZ Julie Zhuo — holds since 2025-09-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: When the data and the anecdotes disagree, the anecdotes are usually right and the metric is usually measuring the wrong thing. — tap to centre the map on it When the data and theanecdotes disagree, theanecdotes are usually rightand the metric is usually… Last stated 3 years ago 14 Dec 2023 JB Jeff Bezos — holds since 2023-12-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: Quoting a number for P(doom) is a ridiculous notion, because it implies a precision that nobody actually has. — tap to centre the map on it Quoting a number for P(doom)is a ridiculous notion,because it implies a precisionthat nobody actually has. Last stated a year ago 23 Jul 2025 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: Giving something 60-40 odds and being wrong is not itself a mistake. — tap to centre the map on it Giving something 60-40 oddsand being wrong is not itselfa mistake. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Feb 2023 SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2023-02-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Samuelson's random-walk analogy for stock prices was mathematical showing-off dressed up as a claim about the real world. — tap to centre the map on it Samuelson's random-walkanalogy for stock prices wasmathematical showing-offdressed up as a claim about… Last stated 3 years ago 30 May 2023 AG Andrew Gelman — holds since 2023-05-27 — tap for who they are AG Andrew Gelman — no longer holds since 2023-05-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: Declining many-worlds because it extrapolates past what we can observe is methodologically respectable and still a failure of nerve. — tap to centre the map on it Declining many-worlds becauseit extrapolates past what wecan observe ismethodologically respectable… Last stated 2 years ago 22 Apr 2024 SC Sean Carroll — holds since 2024-04-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: Scientific progress in biology is not slowing down. — tap to centre the map on it Scientific progress in biologyis not slowing down. Last stated 7 years ago 15 Aug 2019 AG Alexey Guzey — holds since 2019-08-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Science is a strong-link problem: what it amounts to depends on how good the best work is, not on how bad the worst is. — tap to centre the map on it Science is a strong-linkproblem: what it amounts todepends on how good the bestwork is, not on how bad the… Last stated 3 years ago 11 Apr 2023 AM Adam Mastroianni — holds since 2023-04-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: Confidence in a memory is not evidence of its accuracy, and our sense of how our own memory works is systematically wrong. — tap to centre the map on it Confidence in a memory is notevidence of its accuracy, andour sense of how our ownmemory works is systematically… Last stated 2 months ago 13 Jul 2026 AC Alan Castel — holds since 2026-07-13 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: how recently it was last stated — full and dark this week, a faint sliver at five years

At the centre Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science. Last stated 21 Sept 2025 · 12 months ago Holds Julie Zhuo Read this korrent →