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← Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at,…
17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 12 Jun 2008 to 29 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under management
management
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Everything filed under benchmarks
benchmarks
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under SaaS
SaaS
Everything filed under fiscal policy
fiscal policy
Everything filed under metascience
metascience
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science.
Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science.
Last stated a year ago
21 Sept 2025
JZ
Julie Zhuo — holds since 2025-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When the data and the anecdotes disagree, the anecdotes are usually right and the metric is usually measuring the wrong thing. — tap to centre the map on it
When the data and the anecdotes disagree, the anecdotes are usually right and the metric is usually measuring the wrong thing.
Last stated 3 years ago
14 Dec 2023
JB
Jeff Bezos — holds since 2023-12-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Money decisions are fundamentally about emotion rather than numbers. — tap to centre the map on it
Money decisions are fundamentally about emotion rather than numbers.
Last stated 3 months ago
14 Jul 2026
JZ
Jason Zweig — holds since 2026-07-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Success is probably measured wrongly when it is judged by the amount of output or the quality of that output. — tap to centre the map on it
Success is probably measured wrongly when it is judged by the amount of output or the quality of that output.
Last stated 3 months ago
21 Jul 2026
PS
Pablo Stanley — holds since 2026-07-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Quoting a number for P(doom) is a ridiculous notion, because it implies a precision that nobody actually has. — tap to centre the map on it
Quoting a number for P(doom) is a ridiculous notion, because it implies a precision that nobody actually has.
Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Predicting how much new content will drive growth is more art than science. — tap to centre the map on it
Predicting how much new content will drive growth is more art than science.
Last stated 4 years ago
3 May 2022
GB
Gibson Biddle — holds since 2022-05-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When assessing an economy's trajectory, current performance signals are more useful than forecasts of potential GDP growth. — tap to centre the map on it
When assessing an economy's trajectory, current performance signals are more useful than forecasts of potential GDP growth.
Last stated a year ago
13 Aug 2025
AB
Andrew Batson — holds since 2025-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Giving something 60-40 odds and being wrong is not itself a mistake. — tap to centre the map on it
Giving something 60-40 odds and being wrong is not itself a mistake.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Feb 2023
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2023-02-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A range of studies from many places and methods showing the same result does not necessarily make a strong signal. — tap to centre the map on it
A range of studies from many places and methods showing the same result does not necessarily make a strong signal.
Last stated 11 months ago
30 Nov 2025
GT
Gary Taubes — holds since 2025-11-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role. — tap to centre the map on it
"Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role.
Last stated 2 years ago
17 Dec 2024
CM
Charity Majors — holds since 2024-12-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A career goes better attached to the part of a business that brings the money in than to a cost centre, whatever the work itself is. — tap to centre the map on it
A career goes better attached to the part of a business that brings the money in than to a cost centre, whatever the work itself is.
Last stated 15 years ago
28 Oct 2011
PM
Patrick McKenzie — holds since 2011-10-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A career ladder must not be a checklist that guarantees promotion, because a promotion depends on the organisation’s needs as much as on the employee’s skills. — tap to centre the map on it
A career ladder must not be a checklist that guarantees promotion, because a promotion depends on the organisation’s needs as much as on the employee’s skills.
Last stated a year ago
28 May 2025
CF
Camille Fournier — holds since 2025-05-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI favours tiny teams of high-agency individual contributors with blurred roles, and the coordinating manager is not needed until it is time to polish. — tap to centre the map on it
AI favours tiny teams of high-agency individual contributors with blurred roles, and the coordinating manager is not needed until it is time to polish.
Last stated 2 years ago
25 Mar 2025
JZ
Julie Zhuo — holds since 2025-03-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI-branded layoffs are not about AI; they are about badly run companies putting an AI label on having hired too many people. — tap to centre the map on it
AI-branded layoffs are not about AI; they are about badly run companies putting an AI label on having hired too many people.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
27 Sept 2026
MG
Molly Graham — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An engineering manager should support six to eight engineers: fewer and they drift into being a tech lead, more and they can only be a coach. — tap to centre the map on it
An engineering manager should support six to eight engineers: fewer and they drift into being a tech lead, more and they can only be a coach.
Last stated 8 years ago
14 Jul 2018
WL
Will Larson — holds since 2018-07-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A portfolio that could be one-shotted, or that looks very familiar next to someone else's, is going to put hiring managers off. — tap to centre the map on it
A portfolio that could be one-shotted, or that looks very familiar next to someone else's, is going to put hiring managers off.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
29 Sept 2026
DM
Danny Martinez — holds since 2026-09-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An obsession with titles is what will screw people over. — tap to centre the map on it
An obsession with titles is what will screw people over.
Last stated 6 months ago
14 Apr 2026
BL
Brian Lovin — holds since 2026-04-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Better organizations recruit more effectively, because most people want to work for a high-quality organization — tap to centre the map on it
Better organizations recruit more effectively, because most people want to work for a high-quality organization
Last stated 18 years ago
12 Jun 2008
MB
Max Bazerman — holds since 2008-06-12 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science.
Last stated 21 Sept 2025 · a year ago
Holds Julie Zhuo
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
When the data and the anecdotes disagree, the anecdotes are usually right and the metric is usually measuring the wrong thing.
Last stated 14 Dec 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Jeff Bezos
Similar wording
Money decisions are fundamentally about emotion rather than numbers.
Last stated 14 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Jason Zweig
Similar wording
Success is probably measured wrongly when it is judged by the amount of output or the quality of that output.
Last stated 21 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Pablo Stanley
Similar wording
Quoting a number for P(doom) is a ridiculous notion, because it implies a precision that nobody actually has.
Last stated 23 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds Demis Hassabis
Similar wording
Predicting how much new content will drive growth is more art than science.
Last stated 3 May 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Gibson Biddle
Similar wording
When assessing an economy's trajectory, current performance signals are more useful than forecasts of potential GDP growth.
Last stated 13 Aug 2025 · a year ago
Holds Andrew Batson
Similar wording
Giving something 60-40 odds and being wrong is not itself a mistake.
Last stated 1 Feb 2023 · 4 years ago
Holds Scott Alexander
Similar wording
A range of studies from many places and methods showing the same result does not necessarily make a strong signal.
Last stated 30 Nov 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds Gary Taubes
Same subject: management
"Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role.
Last stated 17 Dec 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Charity Majors
Same subject: management
A career goes better attached to the part of a business that brings the money in than to a cost centre, whatever the work itself is.
Last stated 28 Oct 2011 · 15 years ago
Holds Patrick McKenzie
Same subject: management
A career ladder must not be a checklist that guarantees promotion, because a promotion depends on the organisation’s needs as much as on the employee’s skills.
Last stated 28 May 2025 · a year ago
Holds Camille Fournier
Same subject: team size
AI favours tiny teams of high-agency individual contributors with blurred roles, and the coordinating manager is not needed until it is time to polish.
Last stated 25 Mar 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Julie Zhuo
Same subject: team size
AI-branded layoffs are not about AI; they are about badly run companies putting an AI label on having hired too many people.
Last stated 27 Sept 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Molly Graham
Same subject: team size
An engineering manager should support six to eight engineers: fewer and they drift into being a tech lead, more and they can only be a coach.
Last stated 14 Jul 2018 · 8 years ago
Holds Will Larson
Same subject: hiring
A portfolio that could be one-shotted, or that looks very familiar next to someone else's, is going to put hiring managers off.
Last stated 29 Sept 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds Danny Martinez
Same subject: hiring
An obsession with titles is what will screw people over.
Last stated 14 Apr 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds Brian Lovin
Same subject: hiring
Better organizations recruit more effectively, because most people want to work for a high-quality organization
Last stated 12 Jun 2008 · 18 years ago
Holds Max Bazerman