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← Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at,…
8 connected korrents · 10 moments on record from 15 Aug 2019 to 13 Jul 2026.
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Read this korrent: Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science.
Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science.
Last stated 12 months ago
21 Sept 2025
JZ
Julie Zhuo — holds since 2025-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When the data and the anecdotes disagree, the anecdotes are usually right and the metric is usually measuring the wrong thing. — tap to centre the map on it
When the data and the anecdotes disagree, the anecdotes are usually right and the metric is usually…
Last stated 3 years ago
14 Dec 2023
JB
Jeff Bezos — holds since 2023-12-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Quoting a number for P(doom) is a ridiculous notion, because it implies a precision that nobody actually has. — tap to centre the map on it
Quoting a number for P(doom) is a ridiculous notion, because it implies a precision that nobody actually has.
Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Giving something 60-40 odds and being wrong is not itself a mistake. — tap to centre the map on it
Giving something 60-40 odds and being wrong is not itself a mistake.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Feb 2023
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2023-02-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Samuelson's random-walk analogy for stock prices was mathematical showing-off dressed up as a claim about the real world. — tap to centre the map on it
Samuelson's random-walk analogy for stock prices was mathematical showing-off dressed up as a claim about…
Last stated 3 years ago
30 May 2023
AG
Andrew Gelman — holds since 2023-05-27 — tap for who they are
AG
Andrew Gelman — no longer holds since 2023-05-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Declining many-worlds because it extrapolates past what we can observe is methodologically respectable and still a failure of nerve. — tap to centre the map on it
Declining many-worlds because it extrapolates past what we can observe is methodologically respectable…
Last stated 2 years ago
22 Apr 2024
SC
Sean Carroll — holds since 2024-04-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Scientific progress in biology is not slowing down. — tap to centre the map on it
Scientific progress in biology is not slowing down.
Last stated 7 years ago
15 Aug 2019
AG
Alexey Guzey — holds since 2019-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Science is a strong-link problem: what it amounts to depends on how good the best work is, not on how bad the worst is. — tap to centre the map on it
Science is a strong-link problem: what it amounts to depends on how good the best work is, not on how bad the…
Last stated 3 years ago
11 Apr 2023
AM
Adam Mastroianni — holds since 2023-04-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Confidence in a memory is not evidence of its accuracy, and our sense of how our own memory works is systematically wrong. — tap to centre the map on it
Confidence in a memory is not evidence of its accuracy, and our sense of how our own memory works is systematically…
Last stated 2 months ago
13 Jul 2026
AC
Alan Castel — holds since 2026-07-13 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: how recently it was last stated — full and dark this week, a faint sliver at five years