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← During post-2008 fiscal consolidation, the costs of high public debt…

17 connected korrents · 12 moments from 11 Feb 2019 to 7 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under public debt public debt Everything filed under fiscal policy fiscal policy Everything filed under America America Everything filed under inflation inflation Everything filed under quantitative easing quantitative easing Everything filed under tariffs tariffs Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: During post-2008 fiscal consolidation, the costs of high public debt were overestimated and fiscal multipliers were underestimated, understating the output costs of austerity. During post-2008 fiscal consolidation, thecosts of high public debt wereoverestimated and fiscal multipliers wereunderestimated, understating the outputcosts of austerity. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: The main obstacle to sound fiscal policy debate is a widespread, quasi-religious belief that public debt is inherently bad. — tap to centre the map on it The main obstacle to sound fiscalpolicy debate is a widespread,quasi-religious belief that publicdebt is inherently bad. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Automatic fiscal stabilizers give fiscal policy an advantage over monetary policy in stabilizing output because they act faster. — tap to centre the map on it Automatic fiscal stabilizers givefiscal policy an advantage overmonetary policy in stabilizingoutput because they act faster. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Fiscal multipliers vary across time and place but are generally nonzero, positive for spending, negative for taxes, and larger when monetary policy cannot offset them. — tap to centre the map on it Fiscal multipliers vary across timeand place but are generally nonzero,positive for spending, negative fortaxes, and larger when monetarypolicy cannot offset them. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: The lower a country's neutral interest rate, the smaller the fiscal and welfare costs of public debt and the larger its welfare benefits. — tap to centre the map on it The lower a country's neutralinterest rate, the smaller thefiscal and welfare costs of publicdebt and the larger its welfarebenefits. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: When safe interest rates are expected to remain below growth rates for a long time, rolling over public debt without later tax increases is feasible and public debt may carry no fiscal cost. — tap to centre the map on it When safe interest rates areexpected to remain below growthrates for a long time, rolling overpublic debt without later taxincreases is feasible and publicdebt may carry no fiscal cost. Last stated 3 years ago 6 Nov 2023 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2019-02-11 — tap for who they are OB Olivier Blanchard — no longer holds since 2023-11-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: The real danger of high government debt is the policy errors it provokes, not a debt crisis. — tap to centre the map on it The real danger of high governmentdebt is the policy errors itprovokes, not a debt crisis. Last stated 2 months ago 28 Aug 2026 BC Ben Carlson — holds since 2026-08-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement. — tap to centre the map on it A government debt crisis ismeasurable and therefore visiblewell in advance; the diagnostic ismechanical rather than a matter ofjudgement. Last stated 2 months ago 21 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. — tap to centre the map on it A fiscal expansion when the economyis already at potential outputprompts monetary tightening thatdampens or eliminates its effect onoutput. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Since the Global Financial Crisis, unconventional monetary policy has become the dominant force driving asset prices, more than fundamentals. — tap to centre the map on it Since the Global Financial Crisis,unconventional monetary policy hasbecome the dominant force drivingasset prices, more thanfundamentals. Last stated 2 years ago 24 Sept 2024 LA Lyn Alden — holds since 2024-09-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate aself-fulfilling ('sunspot') debtcrisis simply by credibly committingto buy as many bonds as needed atthe low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Canceling government bonds held by a central bank creates no fiscal space, because the reduction in government interest payments is exactly offset by an equal reduction in the profits the central bank remits to the government. — tap to centre the map on it Canceling government bonds held by acentral bank creates no fiscalspace, because the reduction ingovernment interest payments isexactly offset by an equal reductionin the profits the central bankremits to the government. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it A company's staff-engineer barshould be set against the bestcompanies in the industry ratherthan against its own history, whichis what makes title inflation a realcost. Last stated 7 months ago 1 Apr 2026 TP Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: An economy on a fixed, unprintable base money supply can sustain rapid long-run growth with zero cumulative price inflation. — tap to centre the map on it An economy on a fixed, unprintablebase money supply can sustain rapidlong-run growth with zero cumulativeprice inflation. Last stated 7 months ago 11 Mar 2026 LA Lyn Alden — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022. — tap to centre the map on it Cash welfare benefits contributed atleast somewhat to the inflation of2021-2022. Last stated 4 years ago 25 Jul 2022 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2022-07-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A trade dispute escalated by aggressive tariffs can still end in a negotiated outcome that leaves all sides better off. — tap to centre the map on it A trade dispute escalated byaggressive tariffs can still end ina negotiated outcome that leaves allsides better off. Last stated a year ago 30 May 2025 GS Guy Spier — holds since 2025-05-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: America's large trade deficit in manufactured goods means fewer US manufacturing jobs than balanced trade would. — tap to centre the map on it America's large trade deficit inmanufactured goods means fewer USmanufacturing jobs than balancedtrade would. Last stated a month ago 7 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Erratic U.S. tariff implementation is teaching allies and enemies that the U.S. is no longer a reliable trading partner. — tap to centre the map on it Erratic U.S. tariff implementationis teaching allies and enemies thatthe U.S. is no longer a reliabletrading partner. Last stated 8 months ago 9 Feb 2026 JC JL Collins — holds since 2026-02-09 — tap for who they are
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At the centre During post-2008 fiscal consolidation, the costs of high public debt were overestimated and fiscal multipliers were underestimated, understating the output costs of austerity. Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago Holds Olivier Blanchard Read this korrent →