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← A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis…

17 connected korrents · 13 moments from 5 Sept 2010 to 15 Oct 2026. Nearly all of them are about interest rates.

Everything filed under public debt public debt Everything filed under investing investing Everything filed under quantitative easing quantitative easing Everything filed under fiscal policy fiscal policy Everything filed under surgical outcomes surgical outcomes Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. A central bank can eliminate aself-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisissimply by credibly committing to buy asmany bonds as needed at the low interestrate. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. — tap to centre the map on it A bank should be managed against thefat tails it can imagine, notagainst the stress test itsregulator hands it. Last stated a year ago 16 Jul 2025 JD Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: A Fed easing move being immediately followed by a sharp jump in long-term rates suggests the Federal Reserve has lost control over the narrative governing bond-market expectations. — tap to centre the map on it A Fed easing move being immediatelyfollowed by a sharp jump inlong-term rates suggests the FederalReserve has lost control over thenarrative governing bond-marketexpectations. Last stated 3 days ago 15 Oct 2026 BD Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-10-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. — tap to centre the map on it A fiscal expansion when the economyis already at potential outputprompts monetary tightening thatdampens or eliminates its effect onoutput. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. — tap to centre the map on it A government's debt dynamics are ahousehold's or a company's, exceptthat it can print money and tax --and those two powers are what changethe ending. Last stated 2 months ago 21 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases. — tap to centre the map on it A longer average debt maturityprotects a government from temporaryinterest-rate spikes and gives itmore time to adjust to permanentrate increases. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A new monetary network with its own unit can only bootstrap from zero to mass adoption through a period of upward price volatility. — tap to centre the map on it A new monetary network with its ownunit can only bootstrap from zero tomass adoption through a period ofupward price volatility. Last stated a year ago 6 Jul 2025 LA Lyn Alden — holds since 2025-07-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: A persistently low safe interest rate signals that capital is not very productive at the margin, an underlying economic problem rather than a policy variable. — tap to centre the map on it A persistently low safe interestrate signals that capital is notvery productive at the margin, anunderlying economic problem ratherthan a policy variable. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Aggressive quantitative easing should raise long-term interest rates, because effective monetary stimulus raises them. — tap to centre the map on it Aggressive quantitative easingshould raise long-term interestrates, because effective monetarystimulus raises them. Last stated 16 years ago 6 Sept 2010 SS Scott Sumner — holds since 2010-09-05 — tap for who they are SS Scott Sumner — no longer holds since 2010-09-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now. — tap to centre the map on it A bubble can only be identified inretrospect, so arguing about whetherone is happening now cannot besettled now. Last stated 10 months ago 9 Dec 2025 HM Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A founder who does not know their own goal dies by a thousand compromises and ends up running a company they do not want to work at. — tap to centre the map on it A founder who does not know theirown goal dies by a thousandcompromises and ends up running acompany they do not want to work at. Last stated 5 months ago 2 Jun 2026 MP Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: A margin only counts while you are still investing heavily, because cutting the investment raises this year's margin and lowers the long-term one. — tap to centre the map on it A margin only counts while you arestill investing heavily, becausecutting the investment raises thisyear's margin and lowers thelong-term one. Last stated a year ago 16 Jul 2025 JD Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: Since the Global Financial Crisis, unconventional monetary policy has become the dominant force driving asset prices, more than fundamentals. — tap to centre the map on it Since the Global Financial Crisis,unconventional monetary policy hasbecome the dominant force drivingasset prices, more thanfundamentals. Last stated 2 years ago 24 Sept 2024 LA Lyn Alden — holds since 2024-09-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: Canceling government bonds held by a central bank creates no fiscal space, because the reduction in government interest payments is exactly offset by an equal reduction in the profits the central bank remits to the government. — tap to centre the map on it Canceling government bonds held by acentral bank creates no fiscalspace, because the reduction ingovernment interest payments isexactly offset by an equal reductionin the profits the central bankremits to the government. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total. — tap to centre the map on it Central bank purchases of governmentbonds are not bailouts and do notautomatically cause inflation, sincethey only change the composition ofthe consolidated government'sliabilities, not their total. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Almost no mutual fund earns the fees it charges, so most investors are better off buying an index fund. — tap to centre the map on it Almost no mutual fund earns the feesit charges, so most investors arebetter off buying an index fund. Last stated 3 years ago 20 Feb 2024 BA Bill Ackman — holds since 2024-02-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: An investor's starting point should be the portfolio that is best to hold independent of any tactical market view — tap to centre the map on it An investor's starting point shouldbe the portfolio that is best tohold independent of any tacticalmarket view Last stated 2 months ago 25 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-02-19 — tap for who they are NM Nick Maggiulli — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: At a market price-earnings ratio of twenty-three there is little upside and a long way to fall, where at fifteen there would be much less risk. — tap to centre the map on it At a market price-earnings ratio oftwenty-three there is little upsideand a long way to fall, where atfifteen there would be much lessrisk. Last stated a year ago 16 Jul 2025 JD Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2010 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago Holds Olivier Blanchard Read this korrent →