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← A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis…
17 connected korrents · 13 moments from 5 Sept 2010 to 15 Oct 2026. Nearly all of them are about interest rates .
Everything filed under public debt
public debt
Everything filed under investing
investing
Everything filed under quantitative easing
quantitative easing
Everything filed under fiscal policy
fiscal policy
Everything filed under surgical outcomes
surgical outcomes
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate.
A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. — tap to centre the map on it
A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it.
Last stated a year ago
16 Jul 2025
JD
Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Fed easing move being immediately followed by a sharp jump in long-term rates suggests the Federal Reserve has lost control over the narrative governing bond-market expectations. — tap to centre the map on it
A Fed easing move being immediately followed by a sharp jump in long-term rates suggests the Federal Reserve has lost control over the narrative governing bond-market expectations.
Last stated 3 days ago
15 Oct 2026
BD
Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-10-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. — tap to centre the map on it
A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. — tap to centre the map on it
A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending.
Last stated 2 months ago
21 Aug 2026
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases. — tap to centre the map on it
A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A new monetary network with its own unit can only bootstrap from zero to mass adoption through a period of upward price volatility. — tap to centre the map on it
A new monetary network with its own unit can only bootstrap from zero to mass adoption through a period of upward price volatility.
Last stated a year ago
6 Jul 2025
LA
Lyn Alden — holds since 2025-07-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A persistently low safe interest rate signals that capital is not very productive at the margin, an underlying economic problem rather than a policy variable. — tap to centre the map on it
A persistently low safe interest rate signals that capital is not very productive at the margin, an underlying economic problem rather than a policy variable.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Aggressive quantitative easing should raise long-term interest rates, because effective monetary stimulus raises them. — tap to centre the map on it
Aggressive quantitative easing should raise long-term interest rates, because effective monetary stimulus raises them.
Last stated 16 years ago
6 Sept 2010
SS
Scott Sumner — holds since 2010-09-05 — tap for who they are
SS
Scott Sumner — no longer holds since 2010-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now. — tap to centre the map on it
A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now.
Last stated 10 months ago
9 Dec 2025
HM
Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder who does not know their own goal dies by a thousand compromises and ends up running a company they do not want to work at. — tap to centre the map on it
A founder who does not know their own goal dies by a thousand compromises and ends up running a company they do not want to work at.
Last stated 5 months ago
2 Jun 2026
MP
Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A margin only counts while you are still investing heavily, because cutting the investment raises this year's margin and lowers the long-term one. — tap to centre the map on it
A margin only counts while you are still investing heavily, because cutting the investment raises this year's margin and lowers the long-term one.
Last stated a year ago
16 Jul 2025
JD
Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Since the Global Financial Crisis, unconventional monetary policy has become the dominant force driving asset prices, more than fundamentals. — tap to centre the map on it
Since the Global Financial Crisis, unconventional monetary policy has become the dominant force driving asset prices, more than fundamentals.
Last stated 2 years ago
24 Sept 2024
LA
Lyn Alden — holds since 2024-09-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Canceling government bonds held by a central bank creates no fiscal space, because the reduction in government interest payments is exactly offset by an equal reduction in the profits the central bank remits to the government. — tap to centre the map on it
Canceling government bonds held by a central bank creates no fiscal space, because the reduction in government interest payments is exactly offset by an equal reduction in the profits the central bank remits to the government.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total. — tap to centre the map on it
Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Almost no mutual fund earns the fees it charges, so most investors are better off buying an index fund. — tap to centre the map on it
Almost no mutual fund earns the fees it charges, so most investors are better off buying an index fund.
Last stated 3 years ago
20 Feb 2024
BA
Bill Ackman — holds since 2024-02-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An investor's starting point should be the portfolio that is best to hold independent of any tactical market view — tap to centre the map on it
An investor's starting point should be the portfolio that is best to hold independent of any tactical market view
Last stated 2 months ago
25 Aug 2026
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-02-19 — tap for who they are
NM
Nick Maggiulli — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: At a market price-earnings ratio of twenty-three there is little upside and a long way to fall, where at fifteen there would be much less risk. — tap to centre the map on it
At a market price-earnings ratio of twenty-three there is little upside and a long way to fall, where at fifteen there would be much less risk.
Last stated a year ago
16 Jul 2025
JD
Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2010 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are faded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind
At the centre
A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Olivier Blanchard
Read this korrent →
Same subject: interest rates
A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it.
Last stated 16 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds Jamie Dimon
Same subject: interest rates
A Fed easing move being immediately followed by a sharp jump in long-term rates suggests the Federal Reserve has lost control over the narrative governing bond-market expectations.
Last stated 15 Oct 2026 · 3 days ago
Holds Brad DeLong
Same subject: interest rates
A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Olivier Blanchard
Same subject: interest rates
A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending.
Last stated 21 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Ray Dalio
Same subject: interest rates
A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Olivier Blanchard
Same subject: interest rates
A new monetary network with its own unit can only bootstrap from zero to mass adoption through a period of upward price volatility.
Last stated 6 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds Lyn Alden
Same subject: interest rates
A persistently low safe interest rate signals that capital is not very productive at the margin, an underlying economic problem rather than a policy variable.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Olivier Blanchard
Same subject: interest rates
Aggressive quantitative easing should raise long-term interest rates, because effective monetary stimulus raises them.
Last stated 6 Sept 2010 · 16 years ago
No longer holds Scott Sumner
Same subject: investing
A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now.
Last stated 9 Dec 2025 · 10 months ago
Holds Howard Marks
Same subject: investing
A founder who does not know their own goal dies by a thousand compromises and ends up running a company they do not want to work at.
Last stated 2 Jun 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Mark Pincus
Same subject: investing
A margin only counts while you are still investing heavily, because cutting the investment raises this year's margin and lowers the long-term one.
Last stated 16 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds Jamie Dimon
Same subject: quantitative easing
Since the Global Financial Crisis, unconventional monetary policy has become the dominant force driving asset prices, more than fundamentals.
Last stated 24 Sept 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Lyn Alden
Same subject: quantitative easing
Canceling government bonds held by a central bank creates no fiscal space, because the reduction in government interest payments is exactly offset by an equal reduction in the profits the central bank remits to the government.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Olivier Blanchard
Same subject: quantitative easing
Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Olivier Blanchard
Same subject: stock market
Almost no mutual fund earns the fees it charges, so most investors are better off buying an index fund.
Last stated 20 Feb 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds Bill Ackman
Same subject: stock market
An investor's starting point should be the portfolio that is best to hold independent of any tactical market view
Last stated 25 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Ray Dalio Nick Maggiulli
Same subject: stock market
At a market price-earnings ratio of twenty-three there is little upside and a long way to fall, where at fifteen there would be much less risk.
Last stated 16 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds Jamie Dimon