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← A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in…

17 connected korrents · 13 moments from 28 Feb 2014 to 15 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under investing investing Everything filed under interest rates interest rates Everything filed under stock market stock market Everything filed under value investing value investing Everything filed under public debt public debt Everything filed under fiscal policy fiscal policy Cannot both be trueCannot both be trueSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement. A government debt crisis is measurable andtherefore visible well in advance; thediagnostic is mechanical rather than amatter of judgement. Last stated 2 months ago 21 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are Cannot both be true: Assessing whether government debt is sustainable is as much an art as a science. — tap to centre the map on it Assessing whether government debt issustainable is as much an art as ascience. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Cannot both be true: Sovereign debt markets can suffer sudden stops in investor demand even without material changes in economic fundamentals. — tap to centre the map on it Sovereign debt markets can suffersudden stops in investor demand evenwithout material changes in economicfundamentals. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: His advice to his own estate's trustee is the same advice he gives everyone: almost all of it into a low-cost S&P 500 index fund, not with a high-fee manager. — tap to centre the map on it His advice to his own estate'strustee is the same advice he giveseveryone: almost all of it into alow-cost S&P 500 index fund, notwith a high-fee manager. Last stated 13 years ago 28 Feb 2014 WB Warren Buffett — holds since 2014-02-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate aself-fulfilling ('sunspot') debtcrisis simply by credibly committingto buy as many bonds as needed atthe low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company priced in the trillions is not thereby overpriced; the test is what revenues and margins that price actually requires. — tap to centre the map on it A company priced in the trillions isnot thereby overpriced; the test iswhat revenues and margins that priceactually requires. Last stated 11 months ago 3 Dec 2025 AD Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2025-12-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A founder who does not know their own goal dies by a thousand compromises and ends up running a company they do not want to work at. — tap to centre the map on it A founder who does not know theirown goal dies by a thousandcompromises and ends up running acompany they do not want to work at. Last stated 5 months ago 2 Jun 2026 MP Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: A margin of safety means paying a discount deep enough that being wrong about what a company is worth still leaves you whole. — tap to centre the map on it A margin of safety means paying adiscount deep enough that beingwrong about what a company is worthstill leaves you whole. Last stated 3 years ago 20 Feb 2024 BA Bill Ackman — holds since 2024-02-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: A margin only counts while you are still investing heavily, because cutting the investment raises this year's margin and lowers the long-term one. — tap to centre the map on it A margin only counts while you arestill investing heavily, becausecutting the investment raises thisyear's margin and lowers thelong-term one. Last stated a year ago 16 Jul 2025 JD Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: A run of correct forecasts is not evidence of expertise, because among many forecasters some are right by chance. — tap to centre the map on it A run of correct forecasts is notevidence of expertise, because amongmany forecasters some are right bychance. Last stated 4 years ago 9 Aug 2022 GK Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: About a dozen holdings captures nearly all the benefit of diversification; going to fifty adds almost nothing. — tap to centre the map on it About a dozen holdings capturesnearly all the benefit ofdiversification; going to fifty addsalmost nothing. Last stated 3 years ago 20 Feb 2024 BA Bill Ackman — holds since 2024-02-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: A "good business" now means one that can display quarter-on-quarter stock growth, not one that makes good products at a fair price. — tap to centre the map on it A "good business" now means one thatcan display quarter-on-quarter stockgrowth, not one that makes goodproducts at a fair price. Last stated a year ago 21 May 2025 EZ Ed Zitron — holds since 2025-05-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A society's prosperity comes from its productivity, not from the financial system or stock market. — tap to centre the map on it A society's prosperity comes fromits productivity, not from thefinancial system or stock market. Last stated 4 weeks ago 25 Sept 2026 MM Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2026-09-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI stocks are behaving as if they are insensitive to interest rate changes. — tap to centre the map on it AI stocks are behaving as if theyare insensitive to interest ratechanges. Last stated 2 weeks ago 8 Oct 2026 BD Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-10-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. — tap to centre the map on it A bank should be managed against thefat tails it can imagine, notagainst the stress test itsregulator hands it. Last stated a year ago 16 Jul 2025 JD Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: A Fed easing move being immediately followed by a sharp jump in long-term rates suggests the Federal Reserve has lost control over the narrative governing bond-market expectations. — tap to centre the map on it A Fed easing move being immediatelyfollowed by a sharp jump inlong-term rates suggests the FederalReserve has lost control over thenarrative governing bond-marketexpectations. Last stated a week ago 15 Oct 2026 BD Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-10-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. — tap to centre the map on it A fiscal expansion when the economyis already at potential outputprompts monetary tightening thatdampens or eliminates its effect onoutput. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens. — tap to centre the map on it A country should raise revenue bytariffing foreign countries ratherthan by taxing its own citizens. Last stated 2 years ago 20 Jan 2025 DT Donald Trump — holds since 2025-01-20 — tap for who they are
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At the centre A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement. Last stated 21 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago Holds Ray Dalio Read this korrent →