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← A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments on record from 17 Mar 2022 to 7 Sept 2026.
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startups
Everything filed under China
China Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now. A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now. Last stated 9 months ago
9 Dec 2025
HM
Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A two-state solution is no longer possible; that boat has sailed. — tap to centre the map on it A two-state solution is no longer possible; that boat has sailed. Last stated 3 years ago
17 Nov 2023
JM
John Mearsheimer — holds since 2023-11-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: How science works can be reasoned about in advance, because the activity has invariants that do not change over time. — tap to centre the map on it How science works can be reasoned about in advance, because the activity has invariants that do not change over time. Last stated 4 years ago
17 Mar 2022
JR
José Luis Ricón — holds since 2022-03-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A retraction can itself be wrong, and be worth retracting. — tap to centre the map on it A retraction can itself be wrong, and be worth retracting. Last stated 3 years ago
22 Jun 2023
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2023-06-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: If people who have disagreed in the past agree about something, it is probably true, which is why Community Notes works. — tap to centre the map on it If people who have disagreed in the past agree about something, it is probably true, which is why Community Notes works. Last stated 3 years ago
9 Nov 2023
EM
Elon Musk — holds since 2023-11-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake. — tap to centre the map on it We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Wondering whether your product will ever be a thing is a dangerous thought, because there is no point at which you would stop second-guessing yourself. — tap to centre the map on it Wondering whether your product will ever be a thing is a dangerous thought, because there is no point at which you would stop second-guessing yourself. Last stated a year ago
23 Mar 2025
RV
Rahul Vohra — holds since 2025-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Washington cannot make good technology policy in a vacuum: without startups and industry saying what they believe, the decisions come out worse. — tap to centre the map on it Washington cannot make good technology policy in a vacuum: without startups and industry saying what they believe, the decisions come out worse. Last stated 3 weeks ago
18 Aug 2026
MK
Michael Kratsios — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nobody is convinced in real time on Twitter: a good argument is a seed lobbed over the barricades that grows months later, so plant it and wait. — tap to centre the map on it Nobody is convinced in real time on Twitter: a good argument is a seed lobbed over the barricades that grows months later, so plant it and wait. Last stated 2 years ago
18 Sept 2024
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. Last stated 3 weeks ago
18 Aug 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation. — tap to centre the map on it A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation. Last stated a year ago
13 Aug 2025
KJ
Keyu Jin — holds since 2025-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country's large trade deficit in manufactured goods reduces its manufacturing employment below what it would be with balanced trade. — tap to centre the map on it A country's large trade deficit in manufactured goods reduces its manufacturing employment below what it would be with balanced trade. Last stated yesterday
7 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. — tap to centre the map on it A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. Last stated a month ago
28 Jul 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder cannot delegate judgment: the chief executive has to make the decision that makes sense to them, however much momentum the alternative has. — tap to centre the map on it A founder cannot delegate judgment: the chief executive has to make the decision that makes sense to them, however much momentum the alternative has. Last stated a month ago
7 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder needs ambition rather than a sense of duty, because a startup is grueling enough that dutifulness will not carry anyone through it. — tap to centre the map on it A founder needs ambition rather than a sense of duty, because a startup is grueling enough that dutifulness will not carry anyone through it. Last stated 5 days ago
3 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it. — tap to centre the map on it A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it. Last stated a year ago
15 May 2025
HR
Hannah Ritchie — holds since 2025-05-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A few square miles at the Moon's south pole are the only lunar real estate that matters, and whoever gets there first sets the terms. — tap to centre the map on it A few square miles at the Moon's south pole are the only lunar real estate that matters, and whoever gets there first sets the terms. Last stated 3 weeks ago
18 Aug 2026
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them. — tap to centre the map on it A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them. Last stated 3 days ago
5 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-05 — tap for who they are
At the centre
A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now.
Holds HM Howard MarksRead this korrent →
A two-state solution is no longer possible; that boat has sailed.
Holds JM John Mearsheimer
How science works can be reasoned about in advance, because the activity has invariants that do not change over time.
Holds JR José Luis Ricón
A retraction can itself be wrong, and be worth retracting.
Holds SA Scott Alexander
If people who have disagreed in the past agree about something, it is probably true, which is why Community Notes works.
Holds
We should act on the assumption that we have almost no idea what the best futures would look like, so committing today to any particular vision would be a great mistake.
Holds WM William MacAskill
Wondering whether your product will ever be a thing is a dangerous thought, because there is no point at which you would stop second-guessing yourself.
Holds RV Rahul Vohra
Washington cannot make good technology policy in a vacuum: without startups and industry saying what they believe, the decisions come out worse.
Holds MK Michael Kratsios
Nobody is convinced in real time on Twitter: a good argument is a seed lobbed over the barricades that grows months later, so plant it and wait.
Holds
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Holds CH Casey HandmerEB Eric Berger
A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation.
Holds KJ Keyu Jin
A country's large trade deficit in manufactured goods reduces its manufacturing employment below what it would be with balanced trade.
Holds PK Paul Krugman
A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero.
Holds
A founder cannot delegate judgment: the chief executive has to make the decision that makes sense to them, however much momentum the alternative has.
Holds MH Max Hodak
A founder needs ambition rather than a sense of duty, because a startup is grueling enough that dutifulness will not carry anyone through it.
Holds
A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it.
Holds HR Hannah Ritchie
A few square miles at the Moon's south pole are the only lunar real estate that matters, and whoever gets there first sets the terms.
Holds EB Eric Berger
A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them.
Holds