Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.
← The lower a country's neutral interest rate, the smaller the fiscal…
17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 5 Sept 2010 to 15 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under interest rates
interest rates
Everything filed under government
government
Everything filed under inflation
inflation
Everything filed under public debt
public debt
Everything filed under quantitative easing
quantitative easing Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: The lower a country's neutral interest rate, the smaller the fiscal and welfare costs of public debt and the larger its welfare benefits. The lower a country's neutral interest rate, the smaller the fiscal and welfare costs of public debt and the larger its welfare benefits. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When safe interest rates are expected to remain below growth rates for a long time, rolling over public debt without later tax increases is feasible and public debt may carry no fiscal cost. — tap to centre the map on it When safe interest rates are expected to remain below growth rates for a long time, rolling over public debt without later tax increases is feasible and public debt may carry no fiscal cost. Last stated 3 years ago
6 Nov 2023
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2019-02-11 — tap for who they are
OB
Olivier Blanchard — no longer holds since 2023-11-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: During post-2008 fiscal consolidation, the costs of high public debt were overestimated and fiscal multipliers were underestimated, understating the output costs of austerity. — tap to centre the map on it During post-2008 fiscal consolidation, the costs of high public debt were overestimated and fiscal multipliers were underestimated, understating the output costs of austerity. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The main obstacle to sound fiscal policy debate is a widespread, quasi-religious belief that public debt is inherently bad. — tap to centre the map on it The main obstacle to sound fiscal policy debate is a widespread, quasi-religious belief that public debt is inherently bad. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. — tap to centre the map on it A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. Last stated a year ago
16 Jul 2025
JD
Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Fed easing move being immediately followed by a sharp jump in long-term rates suggests the Federal Reserve has lost control over the narrative governing bond-market expectations. — tap to centre the map on it A Fed easing move being immediately followed by a sharp jump in long-term rates suggests the Federal Reserve has lost control over the narrative governing bond-market expectations. Last stated 3 days ago
15 Oct 2026
BD
Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-10-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. — tap to centre the map on it A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. — tap to centre the map on it A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. Last stated 2 months ago
21 Aug 2026
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Since the Global Financial Crisis, unconventional monetary policy has become the dominant force driving asset prices, more than fundamentals. — tap to centre the map on it Since the Global Financial Crisis, unconventional monetary policy has become the dominant force driving asset prices, more than fundamentals. Last stated 2 years ago
24 Sept 2024
LA
Lyn Alden — holds since 2024-09-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Canceling government bonds held by a central bank creates no fiscal space, because the reduction in government interest payments is exactly offset by an equal reduction in the profits the central bank remits to the government. — tap to centre the map on it Canceling government bonds held by a central bank creates no fiscal space, because the reduction in government interest payments is exactly offset by an equal reduction in the profits the central bank remits to the government. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Aggressive quantitative easing should raise long-term interest rates, because effective monetary stimulus raises them. — tap to centre the map on it Aggressive quantitative easing should raise long-term interest rates, because effective monetary stimulus raises them. Last stated 16 years ago
6 Sept 2010
SS
Scott Sumner — holds since 2010-09-05 — tap for who they are
SS
Scott Sumner — no longer holds since 2010-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. Last stated 7 months ago
1 Apr 2026
TP
Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An economy on a fixed, unprintable base money supply can sustain rapid long-run growth with zero cumulative price inflation. — tap to centre the map on it An economy on a fixed, unprintable base money supply can sustain rapid long-run growth with zero cumulative price inflation. Last stated 7 months ago
11 Mar 2026
LA
Lyn Alden — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022. — tap to centre the map on it Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022. Last stated 4 years ago
25 Jul 2022
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2022-07-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A ban on self-recursive improvement in AI models would create a big incentive for some other parts of the world to invest a lot more in compute. — tap to centre the map on it A ban on self-recursive improvement in AI models would create a big incentive for some other parts of the world to invest a lot more in compute. Last stated 4 weeks ago
22 Sept 2026
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A broken criminal justice institution survives precisely because it serves the people who run it. — tap to centre the map on it A broken criminal justice institution survives precisely because it serves the people who run it. Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
RB
Radley Balko — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment. — tap to centre the map on it A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment. Last stated 2 months ago
31 Aug 2026
DD
Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are
At the centre
The lower a country's neutral interest rate, the smaller the fiscal and welfare costs of public debt and the larger its welfare benefits.
Holds Read this korrent →
When safe interest rates are expected to remain below growth rates for a long time, rolling over public debt without later tax increases is feasible and public debt may carry no fiscal cost.
No longer holds
During post-2008 fiscal consolidation, the costs of high public debt were overestimated and fiscal multipliers were underestimated, understating the output costs of austerity.
Holds
The main obstacle to sound fiscal policy debate is a widespread, quasi-religious belief that public debt is inherently bad.
Holds
A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it.
Holds
A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate.
Holds
A Fed easing move being immediately followed by a sharp jump in long-term rates suggests the Federal Reserve has lost control over the narrative governing bond-market expectations.
Holds
A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output.
Holds
A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending.
Holds
Since the Global Financial Crisis, unconventional monetary policy has become the dominant force driving asset prices, more than fundamentals.
Holds
Canceling government bonds held by a central bank creates no fiscal space, because the reduction in government interest payments is exactly offset by an equal reduction in the profits the central bank remits to the government.
Holds
Aggressive quantitative easing should raise long-term interest rates, because effective monetary stimulus raises them.
No longer holds
A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost.
Holds
An economy on a fixed, unprintable base money supply can sustain rapid long-run growth with zero cumulative price inflation.
Holds
Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022.
Holds
A ban on self-recursive improvement in AI models would create a big incentive for some other parts of the world to invest a lot more in compute.
Holds
A broken criminal justice institution survives precisely because it serves the people who run it.
Holds
A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment.
Holds