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← The least verifiable part of AI research is the judgement call about what goes into the one big training run.

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 10 Dec 2015 to 22 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under neural networks neural networks Everything filed under measuring intelligence measuring intelligence Everything filed under humility humility Everything filed under reinforcement learning reinforcement learning Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: The least verifiable part of AI research is the judgement call about what goes into the one big training run. The least verifiable part of AI researchis the judgement call about what goes intothe one big training run. Last stated 2 months ago 11 Aug 2026 RG Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: The likeliest bad path is not a coup but sloppiness: AI does everything verifiable well, research races ahead, and the subtle work of keeping AI safe is what gets done badly. — tap to centre the map on it The likeliest bad path is not a coupbut sloppiness: AI does everythingverifiable well, research racesahead, and the subtle work ofkeeping AI safe is what gets donebadly. Last stated 2 months ago 11 Aug 2026 RG Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: The AI research cycle from idea to experiment will likely soon be 10x faster, but that may not make researchers 10x more productive in the field's net understanding. — tap to centre the map on it The AI research cycle from idea toexperiment will likely soon be 10xfaster, but that may not makeresearchers 10x more productive inthe field's net understanding. Last stated 4 weeks ago 22 Sept 2026 NL Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: The one genuine uncertainty left about AI capability is tasks nobody can verify — planning a Mars mission, discovering CRISPR, writing a novel. — tap to centre the map on it The one genuine uncertainty leftabout AI capability is tasks nobodycan verify — planning a Marsmission, discovering CRISPR, writinga novel. Last stated 8 months ago 13 Feb 2026 DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching. — tap to centre the map on it Nobody can yet know whether thecurrent enthusiasm for AI isexcessive, so anyone claimingconviction about how it resolves isoverreaching. Last stated 2 months ago 20 Aug 2026 AD Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are HM Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: People have grown accustomed to AI being non-deterministic and occasionally wrong, so it carries little brand risk anymore. — tap to centre the map on it People have grown accustomed to AIbeing non-deterministic andoccasionally wrong, so it carrieslittle brand risk anymore. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 HD Horace Dediu — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Confidence in monitoring, not capability research, will become the binding constraint on AI progress. — tap to centre the map on it Confidence in monitoring, notcapability research, will become thebinding constraint on AI progress. Last stated 2 months ago 6 Sept 2026 JP Jakub Pachocki — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI systems keep trying hard outside training because a model that only exerted itself when it detected training would be useless and would be selected away. — tap to centre the map on it AI systems keep trying hard outsidetraining because a model that onlyexerted itself when it detectedtraining would be useless and wouldbe selected away. Last stated 2 months ago 1 Sept 2026 AC Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: The current capabilities of existing AI models are barely being used and are often not even well understood. — tap to centre the map on it The current capabilities of existingAI models are barely being used andare often not even well understood. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 EM Ethan Mollick — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Scaling" was powerful because it was one word: naming a research direction is what tells a whole field what to do next. — tap to centre the map on it "Scaling" was powerful because itwas one word: naming a researchdirection is what tells a wholefield what to do next. Last stated 11 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 4 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 7 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: One pre-trained robot model now matches or beats the specialists that were fine-tuned with reinforcement learning for the very tasks they were built for. — tap to centre the map on it One pre-trained robot model nowmatches or beats the specialiststhat were fine-tuned withreinforcement learning for the verytasks they were built for. Last stated 2 months ago 12 Aug 2026 CF Chelsea Finn — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: RL environments exist to make a model generalise, not to teach it each skill one at a time — exactly as pre-training does. — tap to centre the map on it RL environments exist to make amodel generalise, not to teach iteach skill one at a time — exactlyas pre-training does. Last stated 8 months ago 13 Feb 2026 DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. — tap to centre the map on it A physical AI company needs threeAIs, not one — the agent, thesimulator and the critic — turningdeployment into a flywheel. Last stated 3 months ago 3 Aug 2026 DD Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: Scaling the 2019-2023 recipe — same architecture, bigger model, more data — is not enough; further progress depends on new architectural ideas. — tap to centre the map on it Scaling the 2019-2023 recipe — samearchitecture, bigger model, moredata — is not enough; furtherprogress depends on newarchitectural ideas. Last stated 2 years ago 20 Dec 2024 FC François Chollet — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2024-10-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A layer should learn a residual with reference to its own input rather than an unreferenced function, which is what makes great depth trainable. — tap to centre the map on it A layer should learn a residual withreference to its own input ratherthan an unreferenced function, whichis what makes great depth trainable. Last stated 11 years ago 10 Dec 2015 JS Jian Sun — holds since 2015-12-10 — tap for who they are KH Kaiming He — holds since 2015-12-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A small enough winning ticket learns faster than the network it was cut out of, and ends up more accurate than it. — tap to centre the map on it A small enough winning ticket learnsfaster than the network it was cutout of, and ends up more accuratethan it. Last stated 9 years ago 9 Mar 2018 MC Michael Carbin — holds since 2018-03-09 — tap for who they are JF Jonathan Frankle — holds since 2018-03-09 — tap for who they are
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At the centre The least verifiable part of AI research is the judgement call about what goes into the one big training run. Last stated 11 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago Holds Ryan Greenblatt Read this korrent →