Marc Andreessen
Co-founder of Netscape and of the venture firm Andreessen Horowitz. Wrote the Techno-Optimist Manifesto and “Why AI Will Save The World”.
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Their wordsWe believe technology is a lever on the world – the way to make more with less. Economists measure technological progress as productivity growth: How much more we can produce each year with fewer inputs, fewer raw materials. Productivity growth, powered by technology, is the main driver of economic growth, wage growth, and the creation of new industries and new jobs, as people and capital are continuously freed to do more important, valuable things than in the past.
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Their wordsWe believe that there is no material problem – whether created by nature or by technology – that cannot be solved with more technology.
- 4 months earlier
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Their wordsI even think AI is going to improve warfare, when it has to happen, by reducing wartime death rates dramatically. Every war is characterized by terrible decisions made under intense pressure and with sharply limited information by very limited human leaders.
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Their wordsMy view is that the idea that AI will decide to literally kill humanity is a profound category error. AI is not a living being that has been primed by billions of years of evolution to participate in the battle for the survival of the fittest, as animals are, and as we are. It is math – code – computers, built by people, owned by people, used by people, controlled by people.
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Their wordsMy response is that their position is non-scientific – What is the testable hypothesis? What would falsify the hypothesis? How do we know when we are getting into a danger zone?
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Their wordsThe single greatest risk of AI is that China wins global AI dominance and we – the United States and the West – do not.
- 16 months earlier
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Their wordsWhat what I find generally is if I don't understand something, I I try to read backwards and and and kind of the further back back I read, the more universal things I find. And the more things that I think are kind of remarkable and unique to our era actually turn out to be quite universal.
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 1st of 16 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd so all of the people who have achieved positions of power and authority in the world based on prior generations of technology are inherently threatened by new technology because new technology will upend the power and status structures and then a new set of people will, you know, come to the foreground and and take the power.
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 2nd of 16 in this recording
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Their wordswhat we have now is kind of at the at the sort of deepest level what we have is kind of this big fight between people who want to use the internet to basically reinforce top-down power uh, versus people who want to use it to disrupt top-down power.
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 3rd of 16 in this recording
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Their wordsit's like could you ever have another Soviet Union like in the era of the internet? Um you know North Korea's doing their damndest to try to maintain that model you know but without going full North Korea like I'm not sure you can. I I mean, I guess I'm an optimist on this point. Like I tend to think open access information basically makes a lot of these historical things, you know, fundamentally impossible.
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 4th of 16 in this recording
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Their wordsA successful startup has about five years until they become a new incumbent. Um and and they actually start to behave like an incumbent. That's rational. Like of course that's rational. Like they've now built something worth defending.
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 5th of 16 in this recording
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Their wordsI I would I would not say that about Google. I would just say that more generally like that is the incumbent temptation. Um it is is basically is basically go from attack mode to defend mode, right? Go from being the pirate to being the navy.
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 6th of 16 in this recording
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Their wordsas you age, you just naturally build up all of this all of this sort of psychic scar tissue and you have all these cautionary lessons in your in your head all the time. And you just you and and therefore as a consequence, right? Your your aperture of what you're willing to explore as you get older just shrinks.
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 7th of 16 in this recording
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Our reading
Almost everything worth doing sits in a probabilistic domain where a perfect score is not available.
Their wordsin quote-unquote real life, right? Which is starting businesses or you know, writing books, right? Or composing music or playing basketball or playing poker, right? Or basically doing anything interesting we're in a probabilistic domain, right?
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 8th of 16 in this recording
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Their wordsI no longer think there are any bad ideas. I I no longer think there are any qualified people starting tech companies that actually have bad ideas. I think all the ideas are good ideas. Um, I think it's just a I think it's just a question of timing and execution.
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 9th of 16 in this recording
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Their wordsyou can go through the entire, I think at this point, catalog of all of the failed dot com ideas of the late 1990s, and I believe they've now all worked.
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 10th of 16 in this recording
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Their wordsthe reality is the kids that make new things work from scratch. It actually turns out that they actually have been deep in the domain for a long time. Almost every case, they've been thinking hard about the problem that they're trying to solve actually for in in a lot of cases for many years.
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 11th of 16 in this recording
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Their wordssuccess or failure is not at the unit of an individual investment. Right? Success or failure is at the level of a portfolio.
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 12th of 16 in this recording
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Their wordswe built that system and then we set it on autopilot um and it's been on autopilot for 100 years and here we are and it doesn't fit at all to the world we live in today.
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 13th of 16 in this recording
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Our reading
School reform cannot work, because the system being reformed has no intention of being reformed.
Their wordsI'll tell you one thing I don't believe in is reform. Like I have all these friends that work on like you know school reform. God bless them like they're just the wonderful most wonderful sweetest well-intentioned people in the world and they're just burning huge amounts of money and time on trying to reform the system that has absolutely no intention of being reformed.
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 14th of 16 in this recording
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Their wordsAnd then you have a choice which is do you blame the people who are exhibiting the terrible behavior or do you blame the people who created the incentives? Right? And and and he he believes and I agree on this. I I think 100% you blame the people who created the incentives.
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 15th of 16 in this recording
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Their wordsa lot of industries over time end up not like that. They end up not being actually a fair and free market with market discipline. They end up as something else. In the business world, what they end up with is either just, you know, one company with a full up monopoly or more commonly they end up with what's called an oligopoly
↗Inside the Mind of A Famous Investor | Marc Andreessenyoutube.com 16th of 16 in this recording