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← Scaling the 2019-2023 recipe — same architecture, bigger model, more…

17 connected korrents · 14 moments on record from 21 Mar 2023 to 5 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about OpenAI.

Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under cybersecurity cybersecurity Everything filed under HuggingFace HuggingFace Everything filed under startups startups Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under benchmarks benchmarks Cannot both be trueSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Scaling the 2019-2023 recipe — same architecture, bigger model, more data — is not enough; further progress depends on new architectural ideas. Scaling the 2019-2023 recipe — samearchitecture, bigger model, more data — isnot enough; further progress depends onnew architectural ideas. Last stated 2 years ago 20 Dec 2024 FC François Chollet — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2024-10-11 — tap for who they are Cannot both be true: Intelligence is going to scale by exactly one thing, and that thing is compute. — tap to centre the map on it Intelligence is going to scale byexactly one thing, and that thing iscompute. Last stated 6 months ago 23 Mar 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as anonprofit and bolt a for-profit armon later, whatever OpenAI's ownhistory suggests. Last stated 2 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A technique that lets an AI model's reasoning shift outside its visible Chain of Thought is dangerous, both because it works and because a leading lab is willing to deploy it. — tap to centre the map on it A technique that lets an AI model'sreasoning shift outside its visibleChain of Thought is dangerous, bothbecause it works and because aleading lab is willing to deploy it. Last stated 5 days ago 3 Sept 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing aplausible-sounding name is the samephenomenon as a large oneconfidently stating a false fact. Last stated 7 months ago 12 Feb 2026 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it Advertising was a necessary phasefor the internet but a momentaryindustry, and an AI people pay foris better because they know theanswers are not influenced byadvertisers. Last stated 2 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI agents were reasonable to assume a broken exploit grader would check results causally, even though it turned out not to. — tap to centre the map on it AI agents were reasonable to assumea broken exploit grader would checkresults causally, even though itturned out not to. Last stated a week ago 29 Aug 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-08-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI should be released iteratively rather than built in secret, because AI and surprise do not go together and the world needs time to adapt before it is under the gun. — tap to centre the map on it AI should be released iterativelyrather than built in secret, becauseAI and surprise do not go togetherand the world needs time to adaptbefore it is under the gun. Last stated 2 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: An AI can already earn an A on a university economics midterm, years earlier than informed forecasters expected. — tap to centre the map on it An AI can already earn an A on auniversity economics midterm, yearsearlier than informed forecastersexpected. Last stated 3 years ago 21 Mar 2023 BC Bryan Caplan — holds since 2023-03-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: An open weights model from 2025 with a pentest harness could already escape a sandbox and hack most networks; the surprise says more about the sandbox than the model. — tap to centre the map on it An open weights model from 2025 witha pentest harness could alreadyescape a sandbox and hack mostnetworks; the surprise says moreabout the sandbox than the model. Last stated 2 months ago 22 Jul 2026 TP Thomas Ptacek — holds since 2026-07-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 6 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: After pre-training, post-training and test-time scaling, the fourth scaling law is agentic: multiplying AI by spawning agents, and the whole loop scales on one thing, compute. — tap to centre the map on it After pre-training, post-trainingand test-time scaling, the fourthscaling law is agentic: multiplyingAI by spawning agents, and the wholeloop scales on one thing, compute. Last stated 6 months ago 23 Mar 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: At any given moment the frontier systems are the ones worth worrying about, because by the time open models can do what these agents did, frontier models will be doing something far worse. — tap to centre the map on it At any given moment the frontiersystems are the ones worth worryingabout, because by the time openmodels can do what these agents did,frontier models will be doingsomething far worse. Last stated a week ago 1 Sept 2026 AC Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: The AI models involved in the HuggingFace hack incident were severely misaligned, not merely victims of process failures. — tap to centre the map on it The AI models involved in theHuggingFace hack incident wereseverely misaligned, not merelyvictims of process failures. Last stated a week ago 29 Aug 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-08-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: The most reassuring thing about the Hugging Face swarm is that it was not interested in humans at all, neither in alerting them nor in deceiving them. — tap to centre the map on it The most reassuring thing about theHugging Face swarm is that it wasnot interested in humans at all,neither in alerting them nor indeceiving them. Last stated a week ago 1 Sept 2026 AC Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI has passed nearly every human at finding security vulnerabilities, because the work is chaining together small flaws that are harmless on their own. — tap to centre the map on it AI has passed nearly every human atfinding security vulnerabilities,because the work is chainingtogether small flaws that areharmless on their own. Last stated 2 weeks ago 26 Aug 2026 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI-enabled cyberwarfare lacks an equivalent of nuclear deterrence's mutually assured destruction. — tap to centre the map on it AI-enabled cyberwarfare lacks anequivalent of nuclear deterrence'smutually assured destruction. Last stated 3 days ago 5 Sept 2026 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-05 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Scaling the 2019-2023 recipe — same architecture, bigger model, more data — is not enough; further progress depends on new architectural ideas. Last stated 20 Dec 2024 · 2 years ago Holds François CholletGary Marcus Read this korrent →