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← AI will not push rich-country growth to 10 or 20 percent a year:…
17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 1 Jun 2022 to 14 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under politics
politics
Everything filed under public debt
public debt
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under government
government
Everything filed under Silicon Valley
Silicon Valley
Everything filed under social media
social media Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: AI will not push rich-country growth to 10 or 20 percent a year: accelerationists overvalue intelligence and ignore material and political constraints. AI will not push rich-country growth to 10 or 20 percent a year: accelerationists overvalue intelligence and ignore material and political constraints. Last stated a month ago
21 Sept 2026
FF
Francis Fukuyama — holds since 2026-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: In an AI world growth and economic value come easily; distribution, wealth and political freedom are the hard parts, and that is where policy belongs. — tap to centre the map on it In an AI world growth and economic value come easily; distribution, wealth and political freedom are the hard parts, and that is where policy belongs. Last stated 9 months ago
13 Feb 2026
DA
Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Even generalised superintelligence will change society more slowly than the AGI community expects, because intelligence is not the only rate limiter. — tap to centre the map on it Even generalised superintelligence will change society more slowly than the AGI community expects, because intelligence is not the only rate limiter. Last stated a year ago
18 Aug 2025
BT
Bret Taylor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is a lack of convincing evidence that AI is transforming the global economy or boosting productivity and growth. — tap to centre the map on it There is a lack of convincing evidence that AI is transforming the global economy or boosting productivity and growth. Last stated a year ago
21 Oct 2025
DC
Diane Coyle — holds since 2025-10-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The AI backlash can only be resolved peacefully through a flagship policy that addresses public fears and redistributes AI's economic gains, not by pushing ahead regardless. — tap to centre the map on it The AI backlash can only be resolved peacefully through a flagship policy that addresses public fears and redistributes AI's economic gains, not by pushing ahead regardless. Last stated 7 months ago
13 Apr 2026
JS
Jasmine Sun — holds since 2026-04-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The real danger in AI-driven growth is geographic: 50% growth in and around Silicon Valley and business as usual everywhere else. — tap to centre the map on it The real danger in AI-driven growth is geographic: 50% growth in and around Silicon Valley and business as usual everywhere else. Last stated 9 months ago
13 Feb 2026
DA
Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The absence of a visible productivity jump from AI proves nothing, because a real ten percent uplift across the board would be impressive and almost invisible from outside. — tap to centre the map on it The absence of a visible productivity jump from AI proves nothing, because a real ten percent uplift across the board would be impressive and almost invisible from outside. Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
CM
Casey Muratori — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. — tap to centre the map on it We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. Last stated a year ago
17 Oct 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data. — tap to centre the map on it AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data. Last stated 4 weeks ago
5 Oct 2026
BD
Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home. — tap to centre the map on it Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home. Last stated 2 years ago
14 Apr 2025
JC
John H. Cochrane — holds since 2025-04-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: During post-2008 fiscal consolidation, the costs of high public debt were overestimated and fiscal multipliers were underestimated, understating the output costs of austerity. — tap to centre the map on it During post-2008 fiscal consolidation, the costs of high public debt were overestimated and fiscal multipliers were underestimated, understating the output costs of austerity. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. Last stated a year ago
7 Oct 2025
MM
Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago
7 May 2024
BS
Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
HK
Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A backlash against women's economic rise is not automatic; it happens only where politicians choose to mobilise it. — tap to centre the map on it A backlash against women's economic rise is not automatic; it happens only where politicians choose to mobilise it. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Dec 2024
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2024-12-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A corrupt, partisan majority on the Supreme Court has given Trump a huge amount of untrammeled power. — tap to centre the map on it A corrupt, partisan majority on the Supreme Court has given Trump a huge amount of untrammeled power. Last stated 3 weeks ago
14 Oct 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-10-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country without cultural unity struggles to provide public goods, because its politics turns into an ethnic spoils system. — tap to centre the map on it A country without cultural unity struggles to provide public goods, because its politics turns into an ethnic spoils system. Last stated 7 months ago
9 Apr 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-04-09 — tap for who they are
At the centre
AI will not push rich-country growth to 10 or 20 percent a year: accelerationists overvalue intelligence and ignore material and political constraints.
Holds Read this korrent →
In an AI world growth and economic value come easily; distribution, wealth and political freedom are the hard parts, and that is where policy belongs.
Holds
Even generalised superintelligence will change society more slowly than the AGI community expects, because intelligence is not the only rate limiter.
Holds
There is a lack of convincing evidence that AI is transforming the global economy or boosting productivity and growth.
Holds
The AI backlash can only be resolved peacefully through a flagship policy that addresses public fears and redistributes AI's economic gains, not by pushing ahead regardless.
Holds
The real danger in AI-driven growth is geographic: 50% growth in and around Silicon Valley and business as usual everywhere else.
Holds
The absence of a visible productivity jump from AI proves nothing, because a real ten percent uplift across the board would be impressive and almost invisible from outside.
Holds
We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it.
Holds
AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data.
Holds
A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate.
Holds
Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home.
Holds
During post-2008 fiscal consolidation, the costs of high public debt were overestimated and fiscal multipliers were underestimated, understating the output costs of austerity.
Holds
A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad.
Holds
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Holds
A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score.
Holds
A backlash against women's economic rise is not automatic; it happens only where politicians choose to mobilise it.
Holds
A corrupt, partisan majority on the Supreme Court has given Trump a huge amount of untrammeled power.
Holds
A country without cultural unity struggles to provide public goods, because its politics turns into an ethnic spoils system.
Holds