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← Even generalised superintelligence will change society more slowly…

8 connected korrents · 7 moments on record from 1 Apr 2025 to 3 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about AGI.

Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Even generalised superintelligence will change society more slowly than the AGI community expects, because intelligence is not the only rate limiter. Even generalised superintelligencewill change society more slowly thanthe AGI community expects, becauseintelligence is not the only ratelimiter. BT Bret Taylor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. — tap to centre the map on it A human being is not an AGI:we lack a huge amount ofknowledge and rely oncontinual learning instead, so… IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Dismissing human-level AI as science fiction is now unserious, because even the sceptical experts put it within a decade or two. — tap to centre the map on it Dismissing human-level AI asscience fiction is nowunserious, because even thesceptical experts put it… HT Helen Toner — holds since 2025-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is a 25% chance of AGI by 2027, a 50% chance by 2034, and a 75% chance by 2045 — tap to centre the map on it There is a 25% chance of AGIby 2027, a 50% chance by 2034,and a 75% chance by 2045 SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2026-06-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AIsupply chain should just buythe index — which works onlyin the world where AI ends up… AI Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is nosubstitute for awell-specified conventionalalgorithm, so it cannot simply… GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. — tap to centre the map on it A poor country shouldprioritise owning a piece ofAI over retraining itsworkers, but it should not bet… PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: AGI is not a finish line to be crossed but a smear with width, and we are already standing on it. — tap to centre the map on it AGI is not a finish line to becrossed but a smear withwidth, and we are alreadystanding on it. PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: AGI worth the name would combine human adaptiveness with machine reliability, not reproduce human performance including human failures. — tap to centre the map on it AGI worth the name wouldcombine human adaptivenesswith machine reliability, notreproduce human performance… GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Even generalised superintelligence will change society more slowly than the AGI community expects, because intelligence is not the only rate limiter. Holds Bret Taylor Read this korrent →