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← Dismissing human-level AI as science fiction is now unserious, because…

8 connected korrents · 7 moments on record from 1 Apr 2025 to 3 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about AGI.

Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Dismissing human-level AI as science fiction is now unserious, because even the sceptical experts put it within a decade or two. Dismissing human-level AI as sciencefiction is now unserious, becauseeven the sceptical experts put itwithin a decade or two. HT Helen Toner — holds since 2025-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. — tap to centre the map on it A human being is not an AGI:we lack a huge amount ofknowledge and rely oncontinual learning instead, so… IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Even generalised superintelligence will change society more slowly than the AGI community expects, because intelligence is not the only rate limiter. — tap to centre the map on it Even generalisedsuperintelligence will changesociety more slowly than theAGI community expects, because… BT Bret Taylor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is a 25% chance of AGI by 2027, a 50% chance by 2034, and a 75% chance by 2045 — tap to centre the map on it There is a 25% chance of AGIby 2027, a 50% chance by 2034,and a 75% chance by 2045 SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2026-06-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AIsupply chain should just buythe index — which works onlyin the world where AI ends up… AI Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is nosubstitute for awell-specified conventionalalgorithm, so it cannot simply… GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. — tap to centre the map on it A poor country shouldprioritise owning a piece ofAI over retraining itsworkers, but it should not bet… PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: AGI is not a finish line to be crossed but a smear with width, and we are already standing on it. — tap to centre the map on it AGI is not a finish line to becrossed but a smear withwidth, and we are alreadystanding on it. PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: AGI worth the name would combine human adaptiveness with machine reliability, not reproduce human performance including human failures. — tap to centre the map on it AGI worth the name wouldcombine human adaptivenesswith machine reliability, notreproduce human performance… GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Dismissing human-level AI as science fiction is now unserious, because even the sceptical experts put it within a decade or two. Holds Helen Toner Read this korrent →