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← We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades,…
17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 5 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under measuring intelligence
measuring intelligence
Everything filed under Silicon Valley
Silicon Valley
Everything filed under stock market
stock market
Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs
Everything filed under social media
social media
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it.
We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it.
Last stated a year ago
17 Oct 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The real danger in AI-driven growth is geographic: 50% growth in and around Silicon Valley and business as usual everywhere else. — tap to centre the map on it
The real danger in AI-driven growth is geographic: 50% growth in and around Silicon Valley and business as usual everywhere else.
Last stated 8 months ago
13 Feb 2026
DA
Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time. — tap to centre the map on it
Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time.
Last stated 11 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The long trend of making it easier for ordinary people to index more of the economy will resume, and AI itself will help by cutting the cost of going public. — tap to centre the map on it
The long trend of making it easier for ordinary people to index more of the economy will resume, and AI itself will help by cutting the cost of going public.
Last stated 5 months ago
4 Jun 2026
PT
Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb. — tap to centre the map on it
AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb.
Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The AI boom is not yet bigger than the railroad boom, which hit 5.4% of GDP in the 1870s, though it is close and its decade average might end up bigger. — tap to centre the map on it
The AI boom is not yet bigger than the railroad boom, which hit 5.4% of GDP in the 1870s, though it is close and its decade average might end up bigger.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
26 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is roughly a 35 to 40 percent chance of something we would recognise as an AI takeover by 2040. — tap to centre the map on it
There is roughly a 35 to 40 percent chance of something we would recognise as an AI takeover by 2040.
Last stated 2 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it
Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival.
Last stated 3 years ago
13 Dec 2023
SA
Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data. — tap to centre the map on it
AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data.
Last stated 2 weeks ago
5 Oct 2026
BD
Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it
A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad.
Last stated a year ago
7 Oct 2025
MM
Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Last stated 2 years ago
7 May 2024
BS
Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it
A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score.
Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
HK
Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. — tap to centre the map on it
A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve.
Last stated a month ago
15 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them. — tap to centre the map on it
Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them.
Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
CD
Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it
Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect.
Last stated 7 years ago
5 Nov 2019
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Last stated 10 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JL
Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
PC
Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are faded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind
At the centre
We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it.
Last stated 17 Oct 2025 · a year ago
Holds Andrej Karpathy
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
The real danger in AI-driven growth is geographic: 50% growth in and around Silicon Valley and business as usual everywhere else.
Last stated 13 Feb 2026 · 8 months ago
Holds Dario Amodei
Similar wording
Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time.
Last stated 25 Nov 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds Ilya Sutskever
Similar wording
The long trend of making it easier for ordinary people to index more of the economy will resume, and AI itself will help by cutting the cost of going public.
Last stated 4 Jun 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Phil Trammell
Similar wording
AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb.
Last stated 23 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds Demis Hassabis
Similar wording
The AI boom is not yet bigger than the railroad boom, which hit 5.4% of GDP in the 1870s, though it is close and its decade average might end up bigger.
Last stated 26 Sept 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Noah Smith
Similar wording
There is roughly a 35 to 40 percent chance of something we would recognise as an AI takeover by 2040.
Last stated 11 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Ryan Greenblatt
Similar wording
Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival.
Last stated 13 Dec 2023 · 3 years ago
No longer holds Scott Aaronson
Similar wording
AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data.
Last stated 5 Oct 2026 · 2 weeks ago
Holds Brad DeLong
Same subject: AI alignment
A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad.
Last stated 7 Oct 2025 · a year ago
Holds Mr. Money Mustache
Same subject: AI alignment
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Last stated 7 May 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Buck Shlegeris
Same subject: AI alignment
A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score.
Last stated 26 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Henrik Karlsson
Same subject: measuring intelligence
A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve.
Last stated 15 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Paul Graham
Same subject: measuring intelligence
Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them.
Last stated 18 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Cory Doctorow
Same subject: measuring intelligence
Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect.
Last stated 5 Nov 2019 · 7 years ago
Holds François Chollet
Same subject: LLMs
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Last stated 1 Jan 2026 · 10 months ago
Holds Jason Lemkin
Same subject: LLMs
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Last stated 15 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Dex Horthy
Same subject: LLMs
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Last stated 17 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Patrick Collison