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← We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades,…

17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 7 Sept 2008 to 5 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under measuring intelligence measuring intelligence Everything filed under Silicon Valley Silicon Valley Everything filed under stock market stock market Everything filed under AI and jobs AI and jobs Everything filed under social media social media Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. We are already in an intelligenceexplosion and have been for decades, so AIwill show up as more of the sameexponential rather than a break in it. Last stated a year ago 17 Oct 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: The real danger in AI-driven growth is geographic: 50% growth in and around Silicon Valley and business as usual everywhere else. — tap to centre the map on it The real danger in AI-driven growthis geographic: 50% growth in andaround Silicon Valley and businessas usual everywhere else. Last stated 8 months ago 13 Feb 2026 DA Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time. — tap to centre the map on it Broad deployment of AI that canlearn on the job will very likelyproduce rapid economic growth forsome period of time. Last stated 11 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: The long trend of making it easier for ordinary people to index more of the economy will resume, and AI itself will help by cutting the cost of going public. — tap to centre the map on it The long trend of making it easierfor ordinary people to index more ofthe economy will resume, and AIitself will help by cutting the costof going public. Last stated 5 months ago 4 Jun 2026 PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI will have ten times the impact of the Industrial Revolution and arrive ten times faster, which is what will make it hard for society to absorb. — tap to centre the map on it AI will have ten times the impact ofthe Industrial Revolution and arriveten times faster, which is what willmake it hard for society to absorb. Last stated a year ago 23 Jul 2025 DH Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: The AI boom is not yet bigger than the railroad boom, which hit 5.4% of GDP in the 1870s, though it is close and its decade average might end up bigger. — tap to centre the map on it The AI boom is not yet bigger thanthe railroad boom, which hit 5.4% ofGDP in the 1870s, though it is closeand its decade average might end upbigger. Last stated 4 weeks ago 26 Sept 2026 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is roughly a 35 to 40 percent chance of something we would recognise as an AI takeover by 2040. — tap to centre the map on it There is roughly a 35 to 40 percentchance of something we wouldrecognise as an AI takeover by 2040. Last stated 2 months ago 11 Aug 2026 RG Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI is most likelycenturies or millennia away, sothere is no reason to reorganiseone's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data. — tap to centre the map on it AI is creating user surplus andcapital deepening, even if it is notyet showing up in TFP data. Last stated 2 weeks ago 5 Oct 2026 BD Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-10-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it A company that uses an algorithm tonudge customers into behavior thatisn't good for them is doingsomething bad. Last stated a year ago 7 Oct 2025 MM Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reportsunder one per cent risk should beread as several per cent, becausethe evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago 7 May 2024 BS Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces abehavior pulls it toward whateverimproves the loop's own score. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 HK Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. — tap to centre the map on it A unit of measure needs defining,perhaps via a chain of increasinglyhard problems, each pair of which asingle model can solve. Last stated a month ago 15 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them. — tap to centre the map on it Being able to statistically predictwhat someone will say does not meanyou understand them. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 CD Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it Both the special-purpose-programsview and the blank-slate view ofhuman intelligence are likelyincorrect. Last stated 7 years ago 5 Nov 2019 FC François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email isevidence of a bad vendor, not of alimit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago 1 Jan 2026 JL Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does notgive you a smarter model; theintelligence of the model is whatdecides how much of that window itcan actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago 15 Jul 2026 DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy forAI models to consume via pretrainingcorpora but cumbersome for mosthumans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts,and paywalls. Last stated a month ago 17 Sept 2026 PC Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. Last stated 17 Oct 2025 · a year ago Holds Andrej Karpathy Read this korrent →