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Alice Evans

@alice-evans · 23 positions · 0 changes of mind

Senior lecturer in international development at King's College London, writing The Great Gender Divergence at ggd.world. She compares why men's and women's lives are converging in some societies and diverging in others, mixing survey data with her own interviews across Africa, Asia, Europe and the Middle East.

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  1. Once women are in control of their fertility, they only procreate if they expect rewards - whether that is personal fulfillment or social approval.

    How do we Boost Birth Rates?ggd.world 1st of 6 in this piece

  2. People are more likely to have kids if it’s FUN - relative to alternatives. As entertainment-technology improves, it generates a tantalising menu of ways to spend our lives.

    How do we Boost Birth Rates?ggd.world 2nd of 6 in this piece

  3. Community comes into play. If everyone else has kids, this shifts expectations and creates club goods.

    How do we Boost Birth Rates?ggd.world 3rd of 6 in this piece

    family

  4. cultural engineering is extremely difficult in the 21st century: in this age of infinite personalisation, people can swipe past anything they dislike

    How do we Boost Birth Rates?ggd.world 4th of 6 in this piece

  5. Even if late 30s eventually find love, the reproductive window is much smaller. Cash incentives can’t trump biology.

    How do we Boost Birth Rates?ggd.world 5th of 6 in this piece

  6. My qualitative research has taught me one thing: culture is malleable! So surely this issue is fixable!

    How do we Boost Birth Rates?ggd.world 6th of 6 in this piece

    demographics

  7. 4 months earlier
  8. The Middle East, North Africa and Anatolia are witnessing a rapid decline in coupling and fertility. This should rock your priors.

    Why are Marriage & Fertility Plummeting in MENA?ggd.world 1st of 4 in this piece

    demographics

  9. With few opportunities to mix and mingle, charm and bond, it’s difficult to find someone one actually likes.

    Why are Marriage & Fertility Plummeting in MENA?ggd.world 2nd of 4 in this piece

  10. Thus, even if cross-gender friendships are few and far between, South Asian families still consolidate and preserve nuptials.

    Why are Marriage & Fertility Plummeting in MENA?ggd.world 3rd of 4 in this piece

  11. But over the past 50 years, there has been a massive decline in fertility. This entails fewer cousins of a suitable age.

    Why are Marriage & Fertility Plummeting in MENA?ggd.world 4th of 4 in this piece

    demographics

  12. 3 months earlier
  13. Since women did not pose an economic threat, far-right politicians have instead galvanised society-wide opposition to immigration.

    Does Women’s Rise trigger Backlash?ggd.world 1st of 2 in this piece

    immigrationpolitics

  14. So even though women’s economic advancement did displace some men, and triggered some private hostility, it was never actually catapulted into social antagonism. This is primarily because it was never leveraged by political entrepreneurs!

    Does Women’s Rise trigger Backlash?ggd.world 2nd of 2 in this piece

  15. 4 weeks earlier
  16. The key difference wasn't policy - it was demographics. Japan's working-age population is shrinking.

    Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world 1st of 11 in this piece

    demographics

  17. For rich countries to maintain their working-age population ratios in 2050 through permanent migration (where each worker brings one dependent), Lant Pritchett estimates they would need to become 40-50% foreign-born.

    Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world 2nd of 11 in this piece

    immigration

  18. However, productive collaborations are not inevitable. Just look at ethnic violence in South-East Asia or Hindu Nationalism in India. Nation-building is really valuable, learning from multi-ethnic, democratic Indonesia.

    Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world 3rd of 11 in this piece

  19. One more word of caution: the world is a closed and shrinking box. As all populations age, competition for talent will only intensify.

    Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world 4th of 11 in this piece

    immigration

  20. Europe’s real problem is that we are not a competitive destination.

    Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world 5th of 11 in this piece

    immigrationEurope

  21. It must explain both the global collapse and local variation.

    Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world 6th of 11 in this piece

    demographics

  22. Nicolas Eberstadt speculates that it’s all about rising autonomy. But that can’t explain why fertility has also plummeted in Saudi Arabia, Egypt and India, where women are often heavily restricted.

    Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world 7th of 11 in this piece

    demographics

  23. Across the OECD, governments are upping their spending. But a wealth of research suggests these fail to mitigate the downward trend.

    Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world 8th of 11 in this piece

    governmentdemographics

  24. From the 1960s, US fertility fell primarily due to fewer births among couples. In that context, baby bonuses might raise fertility. But today, the major contributing factor is the decline of coupling.

    Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world 9th of 11 in this piece

    demographics

  25. Slurs of ‘childless cat ladies’ usually target female graduates, but in the US, Sweden and Finland the real decline is happening among people with less education.

    Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world 10th of 11 in this piece

  26. My suspicion is that massive improvement in quality of online entertainment crowd out socialising and development of social skills, possibly hurting relationship formation as well as desire for children within marriage.

    Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world 11th of 11 in this piece