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← A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be…

17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 29 Aug 2023 to 15 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under AI agents AI agents Everything filed under reinforcement learning reinforcement learning Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. A control evaluation that reports underone per cent risk should be read asseveral per cent, because the evaluationcan itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago 7 May 2024 BS Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: The marginal value of AI safety evaluations is low. — tap to centre the map on it The marginal value of AI safetyevaluations is low. Last stated a week ago 15 Oct 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-10-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: We cannot know how much safety a control measure buys until we understand elicitation, so control adds a margin of unknown size. — tap to centre the map on it We cannot know how much safety acontrol measure buys until weunderstand elicitation, so controladds a margin of unknown size. Last stated 2 years ago 24 Jan 2025 JL Jan Leike — holds since 2025-01-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: This incident may be the clearest warning shot we will ever get about loss of control, because the AI systems that do worse things will be much better at hiding them. — tap to centre the map on it This incident may be the clearestwarning shot we will ever get aboutloss of control, because the AIsystems that do worse things will bemuch better at hiding them. Last stated 2 months ago 1 Sept 2026 AC Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Underestimating near-term AI progress is itself a danger, which is why researchers should register their forecasts in public. — tap to centre the map on it Underestimating near-term AIprogress is itself a danger, whichis why researchers should registertheir forecasts in public. Last stated 3 years ago 29 Aug 2023 AC Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: The error rate of these AI-generated mathematical results is impressively low. — tap to centre the map on it The error rate of these AI-generatedmathematical results is impressivelylow. Last stated 2 weeks ago 9 Oct 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-10-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: Whether a model is controlled can be settled with capability evaluations, which makes control far easier to check than alignment. — tap to centre the map on it Whether a model is controlled can besettled with capability evaluations,which makes control far easier tocheck than alignment. Last stated 2 years ago 7 May 2024 BS Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Controlling a scheming model needs no research breakthrough, which is what makes it the tractable half of the problem today. — tap to centre the map on it Controlling a scheming model needsno research breakthrough, which iswhat makes it the tractable half ofthe problem today. Last stated 2 years ago 7 May 2024 BS Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: The probability that AI destroys human civilization is about 10%. — tap to centre the map on it The probability that AI destroyshuman civilization is about 10%. Last stated a year ago 5 Jun 2025 LF Lex Fridman — holds since 2025-06-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supplychain should just buy the index —which works only in the world whereAI ends up commoditised rather thanconcentrated. Last stated 5 months ago 4 Jun 2026 AI Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is no substitutefor a well-specified conventionalalgorithm, so it cannot simply bedropped into a complex problem andtrusted. Last stated a year ago 7 Jun 2025 GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality — tap to centre the map on it A model that could learn effectivelyfrom raw bitstrings or bytestringswould be extremely powerful, able tolearn from any data modality Last stated 3 years ago 10 Oct 2023 CH Chip Huyen — holds since 2023-10-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. — tap to centre the map on it A physical AI company needs threeAIs, not one — the agent, thesimulator and the critic — turningdeployment into a flywheel. Last stated 3 months ago 3 Aug 2026 DD Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. — tap to centre the map on it A verifiable task can be optimisedby reinforcement learning until aneural network performs it extremelywell. Last stated 11 months ago 17 Nov 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: Building a realistic simulator is exactly as hard as building the agent, because the simulator is itself a large AI model. — tap to centre the map on it Building a realistic simulator isexactly as hard as building theagent, because the simulator isitself a large AI model. Last stated 3 months ago 3 Aug 2026 DD Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does. — tap to centre the map on it A collection of AI agents does notautomatically form a functioningorganization any more than a groupof smart people does. Last stated 5 months ago 21 May 2026 RK Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-05-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them. — tap to centre the map on it A company cannot be led by machines,because nobody would have recourseagainst them. Last stated a month ago 15 Sept 2026 TL Tobias Lütke — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor. — tap to centre the map on it A computer-using agent needs amachine of its own, or you willspend the day fighting it for themouse cursor. Last stated 2 months ago 10 Aug 2026 PS Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
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At the centre A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 7 May 2024 · 2 years ago Holds Buck Shlegeris Read this korrent →