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← A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be…
17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 29 Aug 2023 to 15 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under AI agents
AI agents
Everything filed under reinforcement learning
reinforcement learning
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Read this korrent: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Last stated 2 years ago
7 May 2024
BS
Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The marginal value of AI safety evaluations is low. — tap to centre the map on it
The marginal value of AI safety evaluations is low.
Last stated a week ago
15 Oct 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-10-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: We cannot know how much safety a control measure buys until we understand elicitation, so control adds a margin of unknown size. — tap to centre the map on it
We cannot know how much safety a control measure buys until we understand elicitation, so control adds a margin of unknown size.
Last stated 2 years ago
24 Jan 2025
JL
Jan Leike — holds since 2025-01-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: This incident may be the clearest warning shot we will ever get about loss of control, because the AI systems that do worse things will be much better at hiding them. — tap to centre the map on it
This incident may be the clearest warning shot we will ever get about loss of control, because the AI systems that do worse things will be much better at hiding them.
Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Underestimating near-term AI progress is itself a danger, which is why researchers should register their forecasts in public. — tap to centre the map on it
Underestimating near-term AI progress is itself a danger, which is why researchers should register their forecasts in public.
Last stated 3 years ago
29 Aug 2023
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The error rate of these AI-generated mathematical results is impressively low. — tap to centre the map on it
The error rate of these AI-generated mathematical results is impressively low.
Last stated 2 weeks ago
9 Oct 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-10-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Whether a model is controlled can be settled with capability evaluations, which makes control far easier to check than alignment. — tap to centre the map on it
Whether a model is controlled can be settled with capability evaluations, which makes control far easier to check than alignment.
Last stated 2 years ago
7 May 2024
BS
Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Controlling a scheming model needs no research breakthrough, which is what makes it the tractable half of the problem today. — tap to centre the map on it
Controlling a scheming model needs no research breakthrough, which is what makes it the tractable half of the problem today.
Last stated 2 years ago
7 May 2024
BS
Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The probability that AI destroys human civilization is about 10%. — tap to centre the map on it
The probability that AI destroys human civilization is about 10%.
Last stated a year ago
5 Jun 2025
LF
Lex Fridman — holds since 2025-06-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Last stated 5 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it
A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.
Last stated a year ago
7 Jun 2025
GM
Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality — tap to centre the map on it
A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality
Last stated 3 years ago
10 Oct 2023
CH
Chip Huyen — holds since 2023-10-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. — tap to centre the map on it
A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel.
Last stated 3 months ago
3 Aug 2026
DD
Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. — tap to centre the map on it
A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well.
Last stated 11 months ago
17 Nov 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Building a realistic simulator is exactly as hard as building the agent, because the simulator is itself a large AI model. — tap to centre the map on it
Building a realistic simulator is exactly as hard as building the agent, because the simulator is itself a large AI model.
Last stated 3 months ago
3 Aug 2026
DD
Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does. — tap to centre the map on it
A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does.
Last stated 5 months ago
21 May 2026
RK
Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-05-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them. — tap to centre the map on it
A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them.
Last stated a month ago
15 Sept 2026
TL
Tobias Lütke — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor. — tap to centre the map on it
A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor.
Last stated 2 months ago
10 Aug 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Last stated 7 May 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Buck Shlegeris
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
The marginal value of AI safety evaluations is low.
Last stated 15 Oct 2026 · a week ago
Holds Zvi Mowshowitz
Similar wording
We cannot know how much safety a control measure buys until we understand elicitation, so control adds a margin of unknown size.
Last stated 24 Jan 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Jan Leike
Similar wording
This incident may be the clearest warning shot we will ever get about loss of control, because the AI systems that do worse things will be much better at hiding them.
Last stated 1 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Ajeya Cotra
Similar wording
Underestimating near-term AI progress is itself a danger, which is why researchers should register their forecasts in public.
Last stated 29 Aug 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Ajeya Cotra
Similar wording
The error rate of these AI-generated mathematical results is impressively low.
Last stated 9 Oct 2026 · 2 weeks ago
Holds Zvi Mowshowitz
Similar wording
Whether a model is controlled can be settled with capability evaluations, which makes control far easier to check than alignment.
Last stated 7 May 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Buck Shlegeris
Similar wording
Controlling a scheming model needs no research breakthrough, which is what makes it the tractable half of the problem today.
Last stated 7 May 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Buck Shlegeris
Similar wording
The probability that AI destroys human civilization is about 10%.
Last stated 5 Jun 2025 · a year ago
Holds Lex Fridman
Same subject: AGI
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Last stated 4 Jun 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Alex Imas
Same subject: AGI
A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.
Last stated 7 Jun 2025 · a year ago
Holds Gary Marcus
Same subject: AGI
A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality
Last stated 10 Oct 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Chip Huyen
Same subject: reinforcement learning
A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel.
Last stated 3 Aug 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Dmitri Dolgov
Same subject: reinforcement learning
A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well.
Last stated 17 Nov 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds Andrej Karpathy
Same subject: reinforcement learning
Building a realistic simulator is exactly as hard as building the agent, because the simulator is itself a large AI model.
Last stated 3 Aug 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Dmitri Dolgov
Same subject: AI agents
A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does.
Last stated 21 May 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Rohit Krishnan
Same subject: AI agents
A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them.
Last stated 15 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Tobias Lütke
Same subject: AI agents
A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor.
Last stated 10 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Peter Steinberger