korrents

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A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.

Drawn from what Buck Shlegeris said

A private bookmark. Not a position, and never counted.

What Buck Shlegeris actually said

Word for word, with the source under each one. They did not write this page.

  1. Buck Shlegeris

    CEO of Redwood Research

    In particular, suppose that our control evaluations directly estimate a less than 1% chance of catastrophe if our untrusted AIs are scheming, then the actual risk conditional on scheming is probably more like 5% to 20% due to the potential for failures in the evaluation.

Added to korrents 7 May 2024 · How quotes work · Something wrong? Tell us

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Our reading — they may agree, disagree or merely touch the same thing. Closest first: a shared subject counts for most, then how near the wording is.

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