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← Under rising uncertainty, people should shorten their planning horizon rather than invest in a distant future.
17 connected korrents · 17 moments on record from 22 Feb 2022 to 1 Sept 2026.
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market efficiency
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investing
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health and fitness
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demographics
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venture capital Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Under rising uncertainty, people should shorten their planning horizon rather than invest in a distant future. Under rising uncertainty, people should shorten their planning horizon rather than invest in a distant future. Last stated 2 months ago
15 Jul 2026
TF
Tiago Forte — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Risk-taking becomes exponentially harder as a person gets older. — tap to centre the map on it Risk-taking becomes exponentially harder as a person gets older. Last stated 11 months ago
16 Oct 2025
NE
Nat Eliason — holds since 2025-10-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Even a long-horizon deep tech company should chase revenue sooner than it thinks, so that it is valued on its roadmap rather than on its probability of dying. — tap to centre the map on it Even a long-horizon deep tech company should chase revenue sooner than it thinks, so that it is valued on its roadmap rather than on its probability of dying. Last stated a month ago
7 Aug 2026
MH
Max Hodak — holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. — tap to centre the map on it Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. Last stated 5 years ago
22 Feb 2022
NN
Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As much as possible, one should avoid predicting the future and instead wait for it to become the present and reveal what is actually needed. — tap to centre the map on it As much as possible, one should avoid predicting the future and instead wait for it to become the present and reveal what is actually needed. Last stated a year ago
14 May 2025
DS
Derek Sivers — holds since 2025-05-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Technology has made markets less efficient at long horizons rather than more efficient. — tap to centre the map on it Technology has made markets less efficient at long horizons rather than more efficient. Last stated 2 years ago
3 Sept 2024
CA
Cliff Asness — holds since 2024-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Investors have collectively absorbed the idea of increasing returns and power laws, and that belief is what makes them take ever more risk. — tap to centre the map on it Investors have collectively absorbed the idea of increasing returns and power laws, and that belief is what makes them take ever more risk. Last stated 3 months ago
9 Jun 2026
BG
Bill Gurley — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Health optimisation has overshot: minimising a measured risk is not worth it if the cost is not having lived. — tap to centre the map on it Health optimisation has overshot: minimising a measured risk is not worth it if the cost is not having lived. Last stated 4 weeks ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Expecting AI or longer lives to arrive in time makes people skip having a plan for falling birth rates at all. — tap to centre the map on it Expecting AI or longer lives to arrive in time makes people skip having a plan for falling birth rates at all. Last stated 3 years ago
17 Jan 2024
RH
Robin Hanson — holds since 2024-01-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A sophisticated economy cannot be centrally planned, because planning removes the price signal that carries information about demand. — tap to centre the map on it A sophisticated economy cannot be centrally planned, because planning removes the price signal that carries information about demand. Last stated a year ago
2 Sept 2025
BE
Benedict Evans — holds since 2025-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Corner allocations under price ceilings are a distinct source of cross-market misallocation, separate from Harberger quantity loss and within-market misallocation. — tap to centre the map on it Corner allocations under price ceilings are a distinct source of cross-market misallocation, separate from Harberger quantity loss and within-market misallocation. Last stated 7 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AT
Alex Tabarrok — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Even the most advanced AI cannot be followed blindly in investing, where value added is zero-sum and what is widely known is therefore worth little. — tap to centre the map on it Even the most advanced AI cannot be followed blindly in investing, where value added is zero-sum and what is widely known is therefore worth little. Last stated 3 months ago
10 Jun 2026
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-06-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: “Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now. — tap to centre the map on it “Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now. Last stated 2 months ago
28 Jul 2026
BS
Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. — tap to centre the map on it A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. Last stated 2 months ago
28 Jul 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company with ten customers has no data, and a growth team cannot function without data. — tap to centre the map on it A company with ten customers has no data, and a growth team cannot function without data. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jan 2025
EV
Elena Verna — holds since 2025-01-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that grows enough eventually has no need for investors. — tap to centre the map on it A company that grows enough eventually has no need for investors. Last stated 3 weeks ago
1 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit. — tap to centre the map on it A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit. Last stated 3 months ago
14 Jun 2026
MP
Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder should take half the valuation if it buys all of the control, because the right to be wrong in your own way is what founding was for. — tap to centre the map on it A founder should take half the valuation if it buys all of the control, because the right to be wrong in your own way is what founding was for. Last stated 4 months ago
2 Jun 2026
MP
Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Under rising uncertainty, people should shorten their planning horizon rather than invest in a distant future.
Holds Read this korrent →
Risk-taking becomes exponentially harder as a person gets older.
Holds
Even a long-horizon deep tech company should chase revenue sooner than it thinks, so that it is valued on its roadmap rather than on its probability of dying.
Holds
Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable.
Holds
As much as possible, one should avoid predicting the future and instead wait for it to become the present and reveal what is actually needed.
Holds
Technology has made markets less efficient at long horizons rather than more efficient.
Holds
Investors have collectively absorbed the idea of increasing returns and power laws, and that belief is what makes them take ever more risk.
Holds
Health optimisation has overshot: minimising a measured risk is not worth it if the cost is not having lived.
Holds
Expecting AI or longer lives to arrive in time makes people skip having a plan for falling birth rates at all.
Holds
A sophisticated economy cannot be centrally planned, because planning removes the price signal that carries information about demand.
Holds
Corner allocations under price ceilings are a distinct source of cross-market misallocation, separate from Harberger quantity loss and within-market misallocation.
Holds
Even the most advanced AI cannot be followed blindly in investing, where value added is zero-sum and what is widely known is therefore worth little.
Holds
“Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now.
Holds
A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero.
Holds
A company with ten customers has no data, and a growth team cannot function without data.
Holds
A company that grows enough eventually has no need for investors.
Holds
A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit.
Holds
A founder should take half the valuation if it buys all of the control, because the right to be wrong in your own way is what founding was for.
Holds