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← The time between deciding to cross a dangerous AI capability threshold…
17 connected korrents · 20 moments on record from 5 Nov 2019 to 18 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under OpenAI
OpenAI
Everything filed under measuring intelligence
measuring intelligence
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under video games
video games
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under cybersecurity
cybersecurity
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under HuggingFace
HuggingFace Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: The time between deciding to cross a dangerous AI capability threshold and actually crossing it could be extremely short, even seconds. The time between deciding to cross a dangerous AI capability threshold and actually crossing it could be extremely short, even seconds. Last stated a year ago
18 Jun 2025
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-06-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Any given AI capability becomes cheap and widely available within a couple of years of first being reached, so nobody can be kept away from it for long. — tap to centre the map on it Any given AI capability becomes cheap and widely available within a couple of years of first being reached, so nobody can be kept away from it for long. Last stated a year ago
5 Apr 2025
HT
Helen Toner — holds since 2025-04-05 — tap for who they are
EY
Eliezer Yudkowsky — holds since 2022-06-10 — tap for who they are
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-02-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Relying on gradual, continuous shifts in AI training behavior to catch misalignment will eventually fail because the dangerous shift itself may be discontinuous. — tap to centre the map on it Relying on gradual, continuous shifts in AI training behavior to catch misalignment will eventually fail because the dangerous shift itself may be discontinuous. Last stated 3 weeks ago
2 Sept 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: This is a critically important moment for AI cyber defence and there is not much time left to act; only a collective response will work. — tap to centre the map on it This is a critically important moment for AI cyber defence and there is not much time left to act; only a collective response will work. Last stated 4 weeks ago
27 Aug 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-08-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The current ease of building software with AI will be seen as normal and commonplace within 12 to 24 months, though few realize it yet. — tap to centre the map on it The current ease of building software with AI will be seen as normal and commonplace within 12 to 24 months, though few realize it yet. Last stated 2 months ago
15 Jul 2026
TY
Tynan — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Advanced AI is close enough that the preparations which take years have to be started now, whichever end of the expert range you believe. — tap to centre the map on it Advanced AI is close enough that the preparations which take years have to be started now, whichever end of the expert range you believe. Last stated a year ago
1 Apr 2025
HT
Helen Toner — holds since 2025-04-01 — tap for who they are
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Change from already-capable AI is inevitable no matter how the frontier is paced, though it will be uneven and not all at once. — tap to centre the map on it Change from already-capable AI is inevitable no matter how the frontier is paced, though it will be uneven and not all at once. Last stated 3 days ago
18 Sept 2026
EM
Ethan Mollick — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Given the current pace of AI capabilities relative to governance, society will at best avoid only the worst-case outcomes, not the merely very bad ones. — tap to centre the map on it Given the current pace of AI capabilities relative to governance, society will at best avoid only the worst-case outcomes, not the merely very bad ones. Last stated 7 months ago
22 Feb 2026
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2026-02-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI capabilities are jagged rather than smooth, so the different definitions of human-level AI will be met years apart rather than together. — tap to centre the map on it AI capabilities are jagged rather than smooth, so the different definitions of human-level AI will be met years apart rather than together. Last stated 6 months ago
6 Apr 2026
HT
Helen Toner — holds since 2026-04-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. Last stated 7 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A unit of AI inference needs to be defined, for example via a chain of increasingly hard problems where each consecutive pair is solvable by one model. — tap to centre the map on it A unit of AI inference needs to be defined, for example via a chain of increasingly hard problems where each consecutive pair is solvable by one model. Last stated 6 days ago
15 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. Last stated 7 years ago
5 Nov 2019
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Every generation's test for machine intelligence is whatever machines cannot do yet, so in twenty years the question will be whether it can reproduce. — tap to centre the map on it Every generation's test for machine intelligence is whatever machines cannot do yet, so in twenty years the question will be whether it can reproduce. Last stated 3 years ago
29 Jun 2023
GH
George Hotz — holds since 2023-06-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: By 2027, open-weight AI models more powerful than today's frontier systems will be downloadable by any country or well-resourced non-state group. — tap to centre the map on it By 2027, open-weight AI models more powerful than today's frontier systems will be downloadable by any country or well-resourced non-state group. Last stated a month ago
19 Aug 2026
DT
Derek Thompson — holds since 2026-08-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Frontier AI labs such as Anthropic likely have had internal security incidents similar to OpenAI's HuggingFace attack that were never publicly disclosed. — tap to centre the map on it Frontier AI labs such as Anthropic likely have had internal security incidents similar to OpenAI's HuggingFace attack that were never publicly disclosed. Last stated 3 weeks ago
31 Aug 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: OpenAI either could not find their agents' RubyGems attack in their logs after other incidents or knew and chose not to tell RubyGems, and both are bad. — tap to centre the map on it OpenAI either could not find their agents' RubyGems attack in their logs after other incidents or knew and chose not to tell RubyGems, and both are bad. Last stated a week ago
12 Sept 2026
SW
Simon Willison — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are
At the centre
The time between deciding to cross a dangerous AI capability threshold and actually crossing it could be extremely short, even seconds.
Holds Read this korrent →
Any given AI capability becomes cheap and widely available within a couple of years of first being reached, so nobody can be kept away from it for long.
Holds
Relying on gradual, continuous shifts in AI training behavior to catch misalignment will eventually fail because the dangerous shift itself may be discontinuous.
Holds
This is a critically important moment for AI cyber defence and there is not much time left to act; only a collective response will work.
Holds
The current ease of building software with AI will be seen as normal and commonplace within 12 to 24 months, though few realize it yet.
Holds
Advanced AI is close enough that the preparations which take years have to be started now, whichever end of the expert range you believe.
Holds
Change from already-capable AI is inevitable no matter how the frontier is paced, though it will be uneven and not all at once.
Holds
Given the current pace of AI capabilities relative to governance, society will at best avoid only the worst-case outcomes, not the merely very bad ones.
Holds
AI capabilities are jagged rather than smooth, so the different definitions of human-level AI will be met years apart rather than together.
Holds
A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests.
Holds
A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact.
Holds
Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers.
Holds
A unit of AI inference needs to be defined, for example via a chain of increasingly hard problems where each consecutive pair is solvable by one model.
Holds
Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect.
Holds
Every generation's test for machine intelligence is whatever machines cannot do yet, so in twenty years the question will be whether it can reproduce.
Holds
By 2027, open-weight AI models more powerful than today's frontier systems will be downloadable by any country or well-resourced non-state group.
Holds
Frontier AI labs such as Anthropic likely have had internal security incidents similar to OpenAI's HuggingFace attack that were never publicly disclosed.
Holds
OpenAI either could not find their agents' RubyGems attack in their logs after other incidents or knew and chose not to tell RubyGems, and both are bad.
Holds