korrents

On the map

Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.

← The current ease of building software with AI will be seen as normal…

17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 21 Mar 2023 to 13 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under coding agents coding agents Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under innovation innovation Everything filed under AI agents AI agents Everything filed under recursive self-improvement recursive self-improvement Everything filed under AGI AGI Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: The current ease of building software with AI will be seen as normal and commonplace within 12 to 24 months, though few realize it yet. The current ease of building software withAI will be seen as normal and commonplacewithin 12 to 24 months, though few realizeit yet. Last stated 4 months ago 15 Jul 2026 TY Tynan — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI capability will look dramatically different within about three years, provided agents can be reliably deployed and evaluated. — tap to centre the map on it AI capability will look dramaticallydifferent within about three years,provided agents can be reliablydeployed and evaluated. Last stated 3 years ago 22 Mar 2024 EG Elad Gil — holds since 2024-03-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI products should probably aim at where the models will be in two to three months, neither anchored in the present nor futuristic and unusable. — tap to centre the map on it AI products should probably aim atwhere the models will be in two tothree months, neither anchored inthe present nor futuristic andunusable. Last stated 2 months ago 10 Sept 2026 TS Tara Seshan — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: Once AI can do AI research, a single year should deliver four or five years worth of AI progress. — tap to centre the map on it Once AI can do AI research, a singleyear should deliver four or fiveyears worth of AI progress. Last stated 3 months ago 11 Aug 2026 RG Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level AI will arrive in 5 to 20 years with 90% confidence, not in the decades-to-centuries range previously assumed. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI will arrive in 5 to20 years with 90% confidence, not inthe decades-to-centuries rangepreviously assumed. Last stated 3 years ago 12 Aug 2023 YB Yoshua Bengio — holds since 2023-08-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: The time it takes for mainstream adoption of new behaviors is shrinking because AI moves exponentially fast and interfaces are easy — tap to centre the map on it The time it takes for mainstreamadoption of new behaviors isshrinking because AI movesexponentially fast and interfacesare easy Last stated 4 weeks ago 11 Oct 2026 PL Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-10-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI coding assistance now lets a programmer complete in a day work that used to take weeks. — tap to centre the map on it AI coding assistance now lets aprogrammer complete in a day workthat used to take weeks. Last stated 6 months ago 26 Apr 2026 CW Chris Wellons — holds since 2026-04-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: It is far too soon for a manifesto about AI development: the Agile Manifesto took fifteen years of object-oriented practice before anyone could write it. — tap to centre the map on it It is far too soon for a manifestoabout AI development: the AgileManifesto took fifteen years ofobject-oriented practice beforeanyone could write it. Last stated 4 months ago 1 Jul 2026 KB Kent Beck — holds since 2026-07-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Ambitious engineers are building AI systems in months that would have been considered madness previously. — tap to centre the map on it Ambitious engineers are building AIsystems in months that would havebeen considered madness previously. Last stated 3 weeks ago 13 Oct 2026 GO Gergely Orosz — holds since 2026-10-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Return on tokens" has the same measurement problems as hours and capacity: it still hinges on a theory of value. — tap to centre the map on it "Return on tokens" has the samemeasurement problems as hours andcapacity: it still hinges on atheory of value. Last stated 3 months ago 17 Aug 2026 JC John Cutler — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email isevidence of a bad vendor, not of alimit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago 1 Jan 2026 JL Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does notgive you a smarter model; theintelligence of the model is whatdecides how much of that window itcan actually attend to. Last stated 4 months ago 15 Jul 2026 DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A strength of Claude is that it is good at ranking your options, lowest risk and least expensive first. — tap to centre the map on it A strength of Claude is that it isgood at ranking your options, lowestrisk and least expensive first. Last stated 5 months ago 16 Jun 2026 BW Brett Williams — holds since 2026-06-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: Among the misuse threats in Anthropic's threat disruption report, distillation is by far the most important and will have the most impact. — tap to centre the map on it Among the misuse threats inAnthropic's threat disruptionreport, distillation is by far themost important and will have themost impact. Last stated 2 months ago 15 Sept 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Anthropic prices its Claude subscription plans as loss leaders relative to its own API rates. — tap to centre the map on it Anthropic prices its Claudesubscription plans as loss leadersrelative to its own API rates. Last stated 2 months ago 19 Sept 2026 BD Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-09-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing aplausible-sounding name is the samephenomenon as a large oneconfidently stating a false fact. Last stated 9 months ago 12 Feb 2026 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: An AI can already earn an A on a university economics midterm, years earlier than informed forecasters expected. — tap to centre the map on it An AI can already earn an A on auniversity economics midterm, yearsearlier than informed forecastersexpected. Last stated 4 years ago 21 Mar 2023 BC Bryan Caplan — holds since 2023-03-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: Bing's Sydney, not ChatGPT, was the first truly fantastic chatbot. — tap to centre the map on it Bing's Sydney, not ChatGPT, was thefirst truly fantastic chatbot. Last stated 2 months ago 15 Sept 2026 TL Tobias Lütke — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are

At the centre The current ease of building software with AI will be seen as normal and commonplace within 12 to 24 months, though few realize it yet. Last stated 15 Jul 2026 · 4 months ago Holds Tynan Read this korrent →