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← Anyone who thinks large language models are a direct route to transformative AGI is kidding themselves.

17 connected korrents · 13 moments on record from 21 Jan 2019 to 3 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about AGI.

Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under Apple Apple Everything filed under OpenAI OpenAI Everything filed under formal proof formal proof Everything filed under energy energy Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Anyone who thinks large language models are a direct route to transformative AGI is kidding themselves. Anyone who thinks large language modelsare a direct route to transformative AGIis kidding themselves. Last stated a year ago 7 Jun 2025 GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is no substitutefor a well-specified conventionalalgorithm, so it cannot simply bedropped into a complex problem andtrusted. Last stated a year ago 7 Jun 2025 GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Work on large language models is not progress toward artificial general intelligence, because the models do not understand what they read. — tap to centre the map on it Work on large language models is notprogress toward artificial generalintelligence, because the models donot understand what they read. Last stated a year ago 30 Jul 2025 AG Alexey Guzey — holds since 2024-08-09 — tap for who they are AG Alexey Guzey — no longer holds since 2025-07-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supplychain should just buy the index —which works only in the world whereAI ends up commoditised rather thanconcentrated. Last stated 3 months ago 4 Jun 2026 AI Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. — tap to centre the map on it A human being is not an AGI: we lacka huge amount of knowledge and relyon continual learning instead, socontinual learning is whatsuperintelligence should mean. Last stated 9 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. — tap to centre the map on it A poor country should prioritiseowning a piece of AI over retrainingits workers, but it should not beteverything on that. Last stated 3 months ago 4 Jun 2026 PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: AGI is not a finish line to be crossed but a smear with width, and we are already standing on it. — tap to centre the map on it AGI is not a finish line to becrossed but a smear with width, andwe are already standing on it. Last stated 4 days ago 3 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: AGI worth the name would combine human adaptiveness with machine reliability, not reproduce human performance including human failures. — tap to centre the map on it AGI worth the name would combinehuman adaptiveness with machinereliability, not reproduce humanperformance including humanfailures. Last stated a year ago 7 Jun 2025 GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI capabilities are jagged rather than smooth, so the different definitions of human-level AI will be met years apart rather than together. — tap to centre the map on it AI capabilities are jagged ratherthan smooth, so the differentdefinitions of human-level AI willbe met years apart rather thantogether. Last stated 5 months ago 6 Apr 2026 HT Helen Toner — holds since 2026-04-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as anonprofit and bolt a for-profit armon later, whatever OpenAI's ownhistory suggests. Last stated 2 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A technique that lets an AI model's reasoning shift outside its visible Chain of Thought is dangerous, both because it works and because a leading lab is willing to deploy it. — tap to centre the map on it A technique that lets an AI model'sreasoning shift outside its visibleChain of Thought is dangerous, bothbecause it works and because aleading lab is willing to deploy it. Last stated 4 days ago 3 Sept 2026 ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it Advertising was a necessary phasefor the internet but a momentaryindustry, and an AI people pay foris better because they know theanswers are not influenced byadvertisers. Last stated 2 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Formalising a proof in Lean currently takes about ten times the effort of writing it out: doable, but annoying. — tap to centre the map on it Formalising a proof in Leancurrently takes about ten times theeffort of writing it out: doable,but annoying. Last stated a year ago 14 Jun 2025 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: Full formal verification is a waste of money for most software: near-perfect is reachable with ordinary techniques at a fraction of the cost. — tap to centre the map on it Full formal verification is a wasteof money for most software:near-perfect is reachable withordinary techniques at a fraction ofthe cost. Last stated 8 years ago 21 Jan 2019 HW Hillel Wayne — holds since 2019-01-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: Lean and tools like GitHub will let experimental mathematics scale far beyond what one mathematician's spaghetti code allows today. — tap to centre the map on it Lean and tools like GitHub will letexperimental mathematics scale farbeyond what one mathematician'sspaghetti code allows today. Last stated a year ago 14 Jun 2025 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: A big switch to desktop Linux is coming, at least among developers, because there is enough dissatisfaction with both Apple and Microsoft. — tap to centre the map on it A big switch to desktop Linux iscoming, at least among developers,because there is enoughdissatisfaction with both Apple andMicrosoft. Last stated a year ago 26 Jun 2025 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2025-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: An operating system should put its users on the same level as its maker: no two-tier system where the vendor makes the real thing and you patch around it. — tap to centre the map on it An operating system should put itsusers on the same level as itsmaker: no two-tier system where thevendor makes the real thing and youpatch around it. Last stated 2 weeks ago 25 Aug 2026 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Apple has more reason to stumble now than ever: terribly behind on AI, faltering software quality, rivals catching up on silicon, and a leadership too old to relearn. — tap to centre the map on it Apple has more reason to stumble nowthan ever: terribly behind on AI,faltering software quality, rivalscatching up on silicon, and aleadership too old to relearn. Last stated a year ago 12 Jul 2025 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2025-07-12 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is todaya face: someone on record holding the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre Anyone who thinks large language models are a direct route to transformative AGI is kidding themselves. Last stated 7 Jun 2025 · a year ago Holds Gary Marcus Read this korrent →